Couch Critic previews the betting and provides a tip for each match in Round 10 of Super Rugby, brought to you courtesy of BetOlimp.co.za
Let’s not waste too much time in over analysing what transpired last week – the short (and not so sweet of it) was that the Stormers pulled a Lazarus-like resurrection to sink my biggest bets of the weekend. The Bulls could have helped to ease the pain but despite dominating matters weren’t able to deliver the alternative handicap for us. Let’s dust ourselves off and get stuck into what, unfortunately, appears a bit of a tougher challenge this week.
Chiefs vs Lions(Friday @ 08:35)
The Chiefs come into this one without D-Mac who has been ruled out for the rest of the tournament (and the World Cup). Retallick also sits out for this clash. The Lions have opted for giving half a rest to their Boks – Malcolm Marx and Elton Jantjies – who both start off the bench this week. Importantly for the Lions Warren Whiteley and Kwagga Smith make their return to the team after injury layoffs.
Verdict: The Lions will know that an unconquerable task lies ahead of them in Christchurch next week and as such must target this game to try and pick up a victory on tour. The Chiefs will have been hit hard by the loss of McKenzie but they are surely not merely a one-man side. The recent form of the Chiefs has me believing they can still deliver a victory against a rather unsettled Lions team, though I think it will be close.
Sunwolves vs Hurricanes(Friday @ 12:00)
Canes have opted to rest Savea and the Barrett’s for this clash in Tokyo. After the Waratah victory the Wolves came unstuck against the Rebels and will now look to get back to their competitive best after a break. If the home side give the Hurricanes room to move they will rip them to shreds.
Verdict: The Sunwolves have howled a bit louder in Tokyo than Singapore and given a two try head-start I believe the home side are worth a nibble.
BETOLIMP Best Bet: Sunwolves to stay within the handicap of +15.5 points @ 1.82 (Bronze medal level of confidence)
Sharks vs Reds (Friday @ 15:05)
The Sharks return to the scene of the crime as they host the Reds. Having wet the bed last week nothing but a resounding win will offer any sort of comfort to their supporters this week. The Reds were well beaten by the Bulls but deserved some respect for never throwing in the towel.
Highlanders vs Blues (Saturday @ 09:35)
Verdict: Promises to be yet another thrilling Kiwi derby. Value lies with taking the Blues to snatch a narrow victory (though some might be put off by the Blues’ poor record against fellow New Zealand sides).
Waratahs vs Rebels (Saturday @ 11:45)
Verdict: The Rebels were one of the more impressive teams of 2019 until they faltered against the Stormers last week. Coach Dave Wessels will have his chargers well up for this one and they square off against a Waratahs team they could be distracted by some off-field issues. For mind the Waratah team is there for the taking and I will draw a line through the Rebels’ performance last week and write it off as a once off.
BETOLIMP Best Bet: Rebels to beat the alternative handicap of -6.5 @ 2.76 (Bronze medal)
Stormers vs Brumbies (Saturday @ 15:05)
Verdict: The Stormers pulled a performance out of nowhere last week. Back at home they face a Brumbies side how haven’t performed at all well away from Canberra. I am backing the Capetonians to be lifted by last week’s effort and to show how happy they are to be back home as well.
BETOLIMP Best Bet: Stormers to beat the handicap of -7.5 @ 1.86 (Silver confidence level)
Additional Multiple (Bronze Medal level of confidence):
Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change