Pin It

citizenReaders of last weeks article will know that I had some pretty tense moments in the Currie Cup semi-final between the Sharks and the Bulls. I had backed the home team to win by 9 points or more and was pretty confident it would arrive and judging by my stake, perhaps a little bit over confident.

 

 

I couldn’t watch the game as was at a water polo tournament watching my daughter and perhaps it was best I was distracted as the score constantly moved either side of the handicap. I was still in the car listening to commentary when the Sharks raced into a 14-0 lead and I thought it was race over.

At the end of the 1st chukka I checked my phone for scores and was dismayed to see the Bulls had pulled to 14-10 and the handicap now looked anything but a sure thing. When the Sharks led by 7 going into the last quarter I fancied my chances and was relieved when I saw the lead shift out to 10 points.

I would have been more concerned had this been a regular season game as the Bulls would have taken a penalty for the losing bonus point however being a playoff I basically had to avoid a Bulls try. As the polo ended I focused harder on my phone and was relieved to see the final score at 37-27 meaning a narrow but substantial win.

Onto this weekend then and the final Sharks against WP in Durban after Province beat the Lions convincingly at home despite starting underdogs. I conducted my regular Sunday night handicapping exercise and made the |Sharks -8.5 points so was understandably excited when World Sports Betting opened -4.5 about the home team.

I think they had something in hand in their win over the Bulls and am banking on them being back to their defensive best this weekend. In truth I was expecting some more movement in the line by the time I wrote this but at this point the bookie has just shortened the -4.5 to 8/10 from 9/10.

Some encouraging stats is that of the last 9 Currie Cup finals played the winning margin has been 5 points or more on 8 occasions and here is hoping the home team can do the business in a Currie Cup final for the 4th year in a row.

Brent Graham is a sports betting blogger at www.goodforthegame.co.za and to get on his free weekly e-mail list just send a message to This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. titled “Best Bets”.

Twitter: @BrentGraham

How quickly things change!
How quickly things change!

My betting bank roll was in pretty good shape heading into this past weekend. The Crusaders had kicked off a decent run of form and I was full of confidence.  At the same time though I have been involved in this game for many years and I know that form is fleeting and it doesn’t take much to lose the initiative to the bookmakers.  

Full Story
Spotting the value only half the job!
Spotting the value only half the job!

If you hang around with people who bet on sport you will often hear them talk about betting value.  People often disagree about what value is but for me it is simply when you get a price or a handicap line which is better than what you were expecting and a subsequent shift in the market proves that you were correct. 

Full Story
A rare patriotic moment!
A rare patriotic moment!

I have written many times here about the fact that I bet with my head and not my heart and because of that I don’t support any particular team.  This past weekend was no different and when a down and out Springbok side was faced with a massive task of taking on New Zealand I was looking to oppose them. 

Full Story