Football Liverpool120Chelsea and Liverpool contest the final of the EFL Cup at Wembley on Sunday and Jurgen Klopp's side start as the bookmakers favourites.

 

 

 

 

Chelsea

 

Chelsea booked their place in the final with a 3-0 aggregate win over Spurs, winning the first leg at Stamford Bridge 2-0 and then following up with a 1-0 win away from home.

 

Chelsea have also faced Premier League opposition in each of the previous rounds. They needed penalty kicks to see off Villa and Southampton in home fixtures with both games finishing 1-1. Their quarter final visit to Brentford also looked to be heading for a shoot out before 2 late goals saw Chelsea through 2-0.

 

Third placed Chelsea are 10 points adrift of second placed Liverpool in the Premier League standings although they do have 1 game in hand. They won the Club World Cup earlier this year and no go in search of more silverware.

 

Liverpool

 

Despite the absence of Salah and Mane who were on AFCON duty Liverpool came out on top of their semi final match up with Arsenal, drawing the first leg 0-0 at Anfield and they were 2-0 winners in the return at The Emirates.

 

Liverpool's cup run began with comfortable away wins at Norwich (3-0) and Preston (2-0) before they played out a thrilling quarter final with Leicester at Anfield. They came from 3-1 down at half time to draw 3-3 with their third goal coming deep into injury time and they held their nerve in the penalty shoot out.

 

Liverpool are in second place in the Premier League, now just 3 points behind Manchester City. Like Chelsea they are also still involved in the Champions League and the FA Cup.

 

On the team news front Caoimhin Kelleher is expected to start in goal having played the bulk of matches in this competition.

 

Recent Head to Head

 

Both of this season's league meetings finished all square. At Anfield in August the game finished 1-1 with Chelsea playing half that match with 10 men.

 

At Stamford Bridge in early January they played out a 2-2 draw with Chelsea coming back from 2-0 down to level matters before half time and there was to be no

further scoring.

 

 

The Betting:

 

Chelsea are 2.42/1 to win the final in regulation time with the draw a 2.27/1 chance and Liverpool can be backed at around 13/10

 

It's 0.82 for both teams to score and a game of 3 goals or more is 13/10 (90 minutes)

 

To score the first goal of the game (90 mins) Mo Salah is 36/10 favourite, Lukaku is a 54/10 chance.

 

To lift the trophy under any method of victory Chelsea are 5/4 and Liverpool are 13/20

 

The Verdict

 

For me the main difference between these sides is up front. Lukaku has not delivered for Chelsea since returning this season and I would rather have my money riding on Liverpool's Salah, Mane, Jota, Firmino combination. Kelleher will be tested at every opportunity but I'm with Liverpool to get the job done in 90 minutes.

 

Both sides kept clean sheets in both legs of their respective semi finals but the 2 league meetings saw backers of both teams to score? (yes) collect. Although the goals markets look a tricky call I would side with a low scoring 90 minutes so combining my gut feels leads me to a Liverpool win in a game of no more than 2 goals in total.

 

Bets: Total goals / result, Under 2.5 goals and Liverpool win at 32/10

 

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Note, odds are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change

 

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