With the bulk of the teams having played four matches the English Premier League is on an international break and we take the opportunity to look at some key betting related stats and some outright markets.
Only 2 sides have a 100% record and if you have been backing Everton (4 wins from 4) and Aston Villa (3 wins from 3) you should be a happy punter.
The latest round of results illustrated a chaotic start to the season with Man United thrashed 6-1 at home by Spurs and Aston Villa thumped Liverpool 7-2. A round earlier Manchester City shipped 5 goals in a home game against Leicester.
The transfer window is “closed” for dealing between top flight teams and clubs abroad and although EPL clubs can still recruit from the lower domestic leagues, you would have to say the significant business has now been concluded.
Let's have a look at some betting markets, starting with the title race ….
EPL Title Winners 2020/21 (Average prices, subject to change)
Manchester City 6/4
Manchester United 40/1
Before a ball was kicked Manchester City were odds on (5/6) to win the title and Liverpool were a shade better than 2/1 so despite that jaw dropping defeat at Villa, Klopp's side are now favourites.
Chelsea have had a “work in prgress” look about them, Spurs have been dynamite away from home with 11 goals in 2 games but have taken just 1 point from 2 matches in front of their own supporters. Talk that Everton can do a “Leicester” has been growing and their odds have tumbled from triple digits pre-season, their first game back is the Merseyside derby and that will tell us plenty more about them.
As far as a top 4 finish is concerned the North London pairing of Arsenal and Spurs can both be backed at 7/2 whilst United are 2/1, Everton 5/2 and Leicester are 9/2.
EPL Relegation 2020/21 (Average prices, subject to change)
Fulham1 / 4
West Brom 1 / 2
Sheffield United 7/4
West Ham 5/1
Fulham's woeful start which comprises of 4 defeats sees them 1 / 4 to go down whilst West Brom, who's only point came in a draw at home to Chelsea, are battling defensively with 13 goals conceded in 4 games. Burnley's odds to take the drop have been slashed with injury problems in defence and a lack of recruitment being the contributors to their poor start (3 defeats from 3). Sheffield United are still looking for their first point and hence their odds have also being cut drastically.
Mo Salah 4/1
Calvert Lewin 6/1
The usual suspects at the top of the market have been joined by Everton's Calvert Lewin who's blistering form has earned an England call up. With so many penalty kicks awarded this season Salah and Vardy have seen their tally's boosted.
EPL Stats After Week 4.
With no prospect of fans returning to the stadiums any time soon there has been lots of talk about the impact of home advantage, or lack of it.
From a total of 38 matches 19 have resulted in the away side winning with 16 home wins and just the 3 draws so far. Visiting teams have scored 77 goals, 10 more than the home sides tally.
Total goals markets are a favourite with punters and so far this season 68% of games have gone over 2.5 goals.
Enjoy a break from the EPL and we will be back with previews and tips for individual matches for Week 5 which starts on 17th October and includes Everton v Liverpool and Manchester City v Arsenal.
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