The penultimate round of the Tri Nations sees Argentina clash with New Zealand in Newcastle on Saturday with the All Blacks looking for revenge after they were on the wrong end of huge upset against this opponent earlier in the tournament.
Argentina v New Zealand, Newcastle, Saturday 28th November, KO 10:45 (South African time)
REFEREE: Nic Berry
ASSISTANT REFEREES: Angus Gardner, Ben O'Keeffe
TMO: Paul Williams
Weather Forecast - Newcastle
A week after they registered a first ever win over New Zealand, Argentina launched a comeback against the Wallabies to draw 15-15 last Saturday. Once again Nicolas Sanchez was the hero for Los Pumas as he scored all of their points from the boot as his side clawed back a deficit that had reached 9 points at one stage. Both sides had chances to win it at the death with Australia missing a penalty and Argentina threatening a breakaway try.
Argentina's 25-15 victory over the All Blacks came in their first action of the tournament, a game where they were given more than 20 points start on the handicap. They were also underdogs last week against the Wallabies but all 3 nations now have 6 log points and Argentina have a game in hand.
The final match of the tournament sees Los Pumas square off against the Wallabies next weekend.
Since thrashing the Wallabies by a record margin (43-5) in the opening match of the tournament the All Blacks have been hugely disappointing. They lost the return to the Wallabies 24-22 a week later and the aforementioned defeat to Argentina attracted huge criticism.
Despite the log being so tight the betting to win the tournament has New Zealand favourites at 2/11 with Australia a 6/1 chance and you can get around 9/1 against Los Pumas. That is down to points difference being in the All Blacks favour, +26 to Argentina's +10 and the Wallabies are -36 ahead of their final game of the tournament. Any sort of All Blacks win here would see either Australia or Argentina looking for a landslide victory when they meet in the final match next week.
Argentina: 15 Emiliano Boffelli, 14 Ramiro Moyano, 13 Juan Cruz Mallía, 12 Jerónimo de la Fuente, 11 Santiago Cordero, 10 Nicolas Sanchez, 9 Felipe Ezcurra, 8 Facundo Isa, 7 Marcos Kremer, 6 Pablo Matera (captain), 5 Lucas Paulos, 4 Guido Petti, 3 Santiago Medrano, 2 Julian Montoya, 1 Mayco Vivas.
Replacements: 16 Santiago Socino, 17 Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro, 18 Lucio Sordoni, 19 Matías Alemanno, 20. Santiago Grondona, 21 Gonzalo Bertranou, 22 Santiago Carreras 23 Lucas Mensa
New Zealand: 15 Beauden Barrett, 14 Jordie Barrett, 13 Anton Lienert-Brown, 12 Jack Goodhue, 11 Caleb Clarke, 10 Richie Mo’unga, 9 Aaron Smith, 8 Ardie Savea, 7 Sam Cane (captain), 6 Akira Ioane, 5 Sam Whitelock, 4 Scott Barrett, 3 Nepo Laulala, 2 Dane Coles, 1 Joe Moody.
Replacements: 16 Codie Taylor, 17 Karl Tu’inukuafe, 18 Tyrel Lomax, 19 Patrick Tuipulotu, 20 Hoskins Sotutu, 21 TJ Perenara, 22 Rieko Ioane, 23 Will Jordan
Recent Head to Heads, (any venue)
2020 Sydney New Zealand 15-25 Argentina (Tries 2-1)
2019 Buenos Aires Argentina 16–20 New Zealand (Tries 1-2)
2018 Buenos Aires Argentina 17–35 New Zealand (Tries 2-5)
2018 Nelson New Zealand 46-24 Argentina (Tries 6-3)
2017 Buenos Aires Argentina 10–36 New Zealand (Tries 1-5)
2017 New Plymouth New Zealand 39-22 Argentina (Tries 6-1)
2016 Buenos Aires Argentina 17–36 New Zealand (Tries 2-5)
2016 Hamilton New Zealand 57-22 Argentina (Tries 8-1 )
2015 Wembley New Zealand 26-16 Argentina (Tries 2-1 ) (RWC Pool Stage)
2015 Christchurch New Zealand 39-18 Argentina (Tries 5-2 )
Argentina +18.5 points at 9/10 BetXchange
New Zealand –17.5 points at 9/10 WSB, Sportingbet
Note, odds quoted are a reflection of what was available at the time of the last update but are subject to change.
Argentina are tasked with a third energy sapping encounter in a row and I like the All Blacks to cover this handicap. New Zealand will be hurting from the two recent defeats and they have often bounced back from a poor display.
NZ minus is the handicap play.
BET: 3.5 of 5 units New Zealand minus 17.5 points 9/10 WSB
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