The Autumn Nations Cup continues this weekend and the top game on Saturday sees England host Ireland at Twickenham, a game which is likely to decide this pool.
England v Ireland, Saturday 21st November, Twickenham, KO 19:00 (South African time)
Referee: Pascal Gauzere
Assistant Referees: Mathieu Raynal , Alex Ruiz
TMO: Nigel Owens
Weather Forecast: Twickenham
Tournament favourites England opened up with a 40-0 win over Georgia at Twickenham last weekend. England scored 6 tries, 3 of which went to hooker Jamie George and the contest was over by half time with England 26-0 to the good.
Prior to that England clinched the 6 nations title when they beat Italy 34-5 in Rome. They finished ahead of France on points difference and 4 points clear of Ireland and Scotland. England beat Ireland 24-12 at Twickenham back in February in that tournament and their only defeat in 2020 came in Paris.
In the outright betting to win this tournament England are now trading at around 15/20 from even money and their final match in this pool will be a visit to Wales next weekend.
Ireland also opened their Autumn Nations campaign with a home win last week. They put Wales away 32-9 in Dublin, a game they started as 9.5 point favourites on the handicap. They led 16-6 at half time but Johnny Sexton had to leave the field and he has subsequently been ruled out of this clash.
Prior to the win over Wales Ireland's hopes of pipping England to the 6 Nations title evaporated when they were beaten 35-27 by France in Paris.
In the outright betting to win this tournament Ireland are trading at around 9/2 and their final pool match is a home fixture against Georgia..
England: 15 Elliot Daly, 14 Jonathan Joseph, 13 Ollie Lawrence, 12 Henry Slade, 11 Jonny May, 10 Owen Farrell (captain), 9 Ben Youngs, 8 Billy Vunipola, 7 Sam Underhill, 6 Tom Curry, 5 Joe Launchbury, 4 Maro Itoje, 3 Kyle Sinckler, 2 Jamie George, 1 Mako Vunipola.
Replacements: 16 Tom Dunn, 17 Ellis Genge, 18 Will Stuart, 19 Jonny Hill, 20 Ben Earl, 21 Dan Robson, 22 George Ford, 23 Max Malins
Ireland: 15 Hugo Keenan, 14 Keith Earls, 13 Chris Farrell, 12 Bundee Aki, 11 James Lowe, 10 Ross Byrne, 9 Jamison Gibson-Park, 8 Caelan Doris, 7 Peter O’Mahony, 6 CJ Stander, 5 James Ryan (c), 4 Quinn Roux, 3 Andrew Porter, 2 Ronan Kelleher, 1 Cian Healy
Replacements: 16 Rob Herring, 17 Ed Byrne, 18 Finlay Bealham, 19 Iain Henderson, 20 Will Connors, 21 Conor Murray, 22 Billy Burns, 23 Jacob Stockdale
6N & RWC Head to Head (any venue)
2020 6N Twickenham England 24–12 Ireland (Tries 3-2)
2019 6N Dublin Ireland 20-32 England (Tries 2-4)
2018 6N Twickenham England 15–24 Ireland (Tries 3-3)
2017 6N Dublin Ireland 13-9 England (Tries 1-0)
2016 6N Twickenham England 21-10 Ireland (Tries 2-1)
2015 6N Dublin Ireland 19-9 England (Tries 1-0)
2014 6N Twickenham England 13–10 Ireland (Tries 1-1)
The Betting – Handicap
England -11.5 points at 9/10
Ireland +12.5 points at 9/10
Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.
Money has been steadily flowing onto the English with the -10.5 available early in the week now gone. I fancy them to win this and was seriously considering the -11.5 as I have not been impressed by Ireland of late (even against Wales where I felt the visitors were poor) however I have found a bet that I prefer.
The Irish points line has been set at 16.5 and in their last 3 visits to Twickenham they would only have gone overs once.
Bet: 6 units Ireland u16.5 points at 17/20 at Playabets
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