france.matchSunday's action in the Autumn Nations Cup comes from Murrayfield, a vital Pool B match between Scotland and France

 

 

 

Scotland v France, Sunday 22nd November, Murrayfield, KO 17:15 (South African time)

 

Referee: Wayne Barnes
Assistant Referees:  Matthew Carley, Nika Amashukeli
TMO: Ben Whitehouse

 

Weather Forecast: Edinburgh

 

Scotland

 

Scotland started their tournament in Italy and after finding it tough going for a while they got the measure of their opponents to come through with a 28-17 win. The Scots were 14-7 down early in the second half but they hit back to score 3 more tries and 4 in total to chalk up a bonus point. The final score saw punters who took the -10.5 on the handicap squeeze home.

Prior to that Scotland's 6 Nations campaign finished with a flourish as they won their only remaining fixture away to Wales 14-10, a first victory in Wales in that tournament since 2002. Scotland also had a warm up game just after lockdown and they cruised past Georgia 48-7 (half time 17-0) at Murrayfield, running in 8 tries.

In the outright betting to win this tournament Scotland are now trading at around 7/1 and after this they are slated to take on Fiji in another home fixture though whether that will take place was not clear at the time of writing as Fiji's weekend fixture against Italy has been called off.

 

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France

 

Les Bleus were due to start their tournament against Fiji in Paris but the game was cancelled due to an outbreak of Covid in the Fiji squad and competitions rules dictated that France be awarded a 28-0 win and 5 log points.

The most recent action for France was in the final round of the 6 Nations when they completed a 35-27 home win over Ireland. That victory was not enough for France to lift the title as they finished behind England on points difference with a record of 4 wins and 1 defeat. They will look back on a defeat (28-17) in Edinburgh in Round 4 back in March as the definitive result in terms of them missing out on winning that tournament.

In the outright betting to win the Autumn Nations Cup France are now trading at around 7/2 and after this they are scheduled to host Italy in the final round of pool matches.

 

 

Team News

 

Scotland: 15 Stuart Hogg (captain), 14 Blair Kinghorn, 13 Chris Harris, 12 Sam Johnson, 11 Duhan van der Merwe, 10 Duncan Weir, 9 Ali Price, 8 Matt Fagerson, 7 Hamish Watson, 6 Jamie Ritchie, 5 Jonny Gray, 4 Scott Cummings, 3 Simon Berghan, 2 Fraser Brown, 1 Oliver Kebble.

Replacements: 16 George Turner, 17 Jamie Bhatti, 18 Zander Fagerson, 19 Sam Skinner, 20 Blade Thomson, 21 Sam Hidalgo-Clyne, 22 Duncan Taylor, 23 Sean Maitland

 

France: 15 Thomas Ramos; 14 Teddy Thomas, 13 Virimi Vakatawa, 12 Gael Fickou, 11 Vincent Rattez; 10 Matthieu Jalibert, 9 Antoine Dupont; 8 Jean-Baptiste Gros, 7 Camille Chat, 6 Demba Bamba, 5 Bernard Le Roux, 4 Romain Taofifenua, 3 Dylan Cretin, 2 Charles Ollivon (captain), 1 Gregory Alldritt

Replacements: 16 Julien Marchand, 17 Cyril Baille, 18 Mohamed Haouas, 19 Paul Willemse, 20 Cameron Woki, 21 Baptiste Couilloud, 22 Louis Carbonel, 23 Arhtur Vincent

 

6N & RWC Head to Head (any venue)

 

2020 6N Edinburgh Scotland 28-17 France (Tries 3-2)

2019 6N Paris France 27-10 Scotland (Tries 4-1)

2018 6N Edinburgh Scotland 32-26 France (Tries 2-2)

2017 6N Paris France 22-16 Scotland (Tries 1-2)

2016 6N Edinburgh Scotland 29-18 France (Tries 3-2)

2015 6N Paris France 15-8 Scotland (Tries 0-1)

2014 6N Edinburgh Scotland 17-19 France (Tries 2-1)

2013 6N Paris France 23-16 Scotland (Tries 2-1)

2012 6N Edinburgh Scotland 17-23 France (Tries 2-2)

 

 

The Betting – Handicap

 

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Scotland +5.5 points at 9/10

France -5.5 points at 9/10

 

Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of writing but are subject to change.

 

Betting Angle

 

The handicap looks well set for this one and there hasn't been much movement since it came out. 

If I had a gun to my head I would take France on the cap and another bet I fancy is France by 1-12 at around 14/10 - I think this will be a close game. 

The bet of choice at this stage though is under 50.5 points. 

In the last 12 meetings between the sides in Scotland this bet would have arrived 11 times. The one exception was a 6 Nations game in 2018 with 58 points and I expected the line to be around 46.5. 

 

Bet: 5 units under 50.5 points at 0.89/1 at Playabets 

 

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