The final match in the 2020 Tri Nations clash between Australia and Argentina clash at the Bankwest Stadium on Saturday and the home side start as firm favourites with the bookmakers.
Australia v Argentina, Western Sydney, Saturday 5th December, KO 10:45 (South African time)
REFEREE: Ben O'Keeffe
ASSISTANT REFEREES: Paul Williams, Nic Berry (RA)
TMO: Angus Gardner
Weather Forecast – Western Sydney
The Wallabies have had 2 weeks to recover from the first meeting with Los Pumas which ended in a 15-15 draw. They started the game as favourites at around
4.5 points and were 9 points to the good at one stage. Argentina fought back and both sides had chances to win in the closing stages, especially the Wallabies who missed a penalty.
In earlier results the Wallabies pulled off a thrilling 24-22 victory over the All Blacks in Brisbane in their second match of the tournament. That represented a massive turnaround in form given when the teams met in the tournament opener the All Blacks piled on a record victory margin between the sides, dishing out a 43-5 hiding in Sydney.
Coming into this game the Wallabies are level with Argentina on 6 log points and a points difference of -36 compared to -28. The All Blacks are 5 points clear at the top and with a points difference of +64 the title is as good as theirs.
Argentina were no match for the All Blacks last week as a third consecutive game arguably took its toll and they went down 38-0. Previously they had registered a first ever win over New Zealand, 25-15 in their first action of the tournament, a game where they were given more than 20 points start on the handicap. Nicolas Sanchez was the Pumas hero in the first 2 matches, scoring all their points in the shock win over the AB's and the 15 – 15 draw with Australia.
Australia: 15 Reece Hodge, 14 Tom Wright, 13 Jordan Petaia, 12 Hunter Paisami, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 James O’Connor, 9 Nic White, 8 Harry Wilson, 7 Michael Hooper (captain), 6 Ned Hanigan, 5 Matt Philip, 4 Rob Simmons, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 1 Scott Sio.
Replacements: 16 Folau Fainga’a, 17 Angus Bell, 18 Taniela Tupou, 19 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 20 Rob Valetini, 21 Jake Gordon, 22 Irae Simone, 23 Tom Banks
Argentina: 15 Santiago Carreras, 14 Bautista Delguy, 13 Matias Orlando, 12 Jeronimo de la Fuente (captain), 11 Emiliano Boffelli, 10 Nicolas Sanchez, 9 Felipe Ezcurra, 8 Rodrigo Bruni, 7 Facundo Isa, 6 Santiago Grondona, 5 Marcos Kremer, 4 Matias Alemanno, 3 Francisco Gomez Kodela, 2 Julian Montoya, 1 Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro.
Replacements: 16 Jose Luis Gonzalez, 17 Mayco Vivas, 18 Juan Pablo Zeiss, 19 Lucas Paulos, 20 Francisco Gorrissen, 21 Gonzalo Bertranou, 22 Domingo Miotti, 23 Santiago Chocobares
Recent Head to Heads, (any venue)
2020 Newcastle Argentina 15-15 Australia (Tries 0-0)
2019 Brisbane Australia 16–10 Argentina (Tries 1-1 )
2018 Salta Argentina 34-45 Australia (Tries 4-6)
2018 Gold Coast Australia 19–23 Argentina (Tries 3-2)
2017 Mendoza Argentina 20-37 Australia (Tries 2-5)
2017 Canberra Australia 45–20 Argentina (Tries 6-2 )
2016 Twickenham Argentina 21–33 Australia (Tries 2-4 )
2016 Perth Australia 36–20 Argentina (Tries 5-2 )
2015 Twickenham Australia 29-15 Argentina (Tries 4-0) (RWC semi final)
2015 Mendoza Argentina 9-34 Australia (Tries 0-4)
Australia –12.5 points at 19/20 Sunbet
Argentina +13.5 points at 17/20 Playabets
Note, odds quoted are a reflection of what was available at the time of the last update but are subject to change.
The team news could have been worse for Argentina but they were arguably a touch fortunate to escape with a draw against the Wallabies first time around and I fancy the hosts to win this one.
As far as the handicap is concerned I think it looks a touch high and preference is for the home side by 1-12 points inclusive at an attractive price.
BET: 1.5 of 5 units, Australia to win by under 12.5 points at 2/1 BetXChange
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