The 2018 edition of the Sun Met will be run at Kenilworth Racecourse in Cape Town on the 27th January and ahead of the big race we take a look at the field with jockeys, trainers and the draw along with an in depth analysis of the runners, latest odds and the all important betting tips.
SUN MET FINAL FIELD BETTING - BET NOW
1 LEGAL EAGLE 33/10
Draw 15, Jockey: A Marcus, Trainer: Sean Tarry
3 MARINARESCO 9/2
Draw 13, Jockey: A Domeyer, Trainer: Candice Bass-Robinson
20 OH SUSANNA 5/1
Draw 6, Jockey: G van Niekerk, Trainer: Justin Snaith
14 AFRICAN NIGHT SKY 8/1
Draw 8, Jockey: B Fayd'Herbe, Trainer: Justin Snaith
11 COPPER FORCE 9/1
Draw 7, Jockey: L Hewitson, Trainer: Justin Snaith
12 LAST WINTER 9/1
Draw 20, Jockey: P Strydom, Trainer: Dean Kannemeyer
2 CAPTAIN AMERICA 14/1
Draw 3, Jockey: C Orffer, Trainer: Brett Crawford
10 GOLD STANDARD 14/1
Draw 9, Jockey: R Fourie, Trainer: Glen Kotzen
4 SAIL SOUTH 20/1
Draw 17, Jockey: G Cheyne, Trainer: Brett Crawford
16 NOTHER RUSSIA 25/1
Draw 18, Jockey: C Zackey, Trainer: Mike de Kock
17 NIGHTINGALE 33/1
Draw 4, Jockey: M Byleveld, Trainer: Candice Bass-Robinson
6 KRAMBAMBULI 35/1
Draw 14, Jockey: B Lerena, Trainer: Justin Snaith
15 HORIZON 40/1
Draw 19, Jockey: A Andrews, Trainer: Candice Bass-Robinson
8 ELUSIVE SILVA 50/1
Draw 11, Jockey: R Khathi, Trainer: Justin Snaith
7 NEBULA 55/1
Draw 1, Jockey: S Veale, Trainer: Brett Crawford
9 CORAL FEVER 60/1
Draw 10, Jockey: M Yeni, Trainer: Robbie Sage
5 SILICONE VALLEY 70/1
Draw 12, Jockey: P Botha, Trainer: Glen Puller
18 SAFE HARBOUR 80/1
Draw 16, Jockey: R Danielson, Trainer: Sean Tarry
19 CASCAPEDIA 9/1
Draw 5, Jockey: A Delpech, Trainer: Mike de Kock
13 HEAVENLY BLUE 28/1
Draw 2, Jockey: C Murray, Trainer: Mike de Kock
Please note, the odds quoted are correct as of 10:30 Friday 26th January but are subject to change.
Southpaw's Sun Met 2018 Preview
The 2018 Sun Met takes place at Kenilworth over 2000 metres on Saturday, with the new weight for age status making for an intriguing looking and fairly open affair.
A bumper field of 20 top class thoroughbreds take their place in the jewel of the Cape racing season, with the new weight conditions potentially playing into the hands for some but less so for others. For example, runner up from the last 2 runnings and current favourite Legal Eagle carries a max 60kg on his back, however 5yr olds and above all get the same mass, meaning a horse like Coral Fever, rated a full 23 merit points inferior on his official MR, shoulders the exact same 60kg! And you can see why Justin Snaith feels it’s worth taking a crack with his talented 3yr old filly Oh Susanna, who’ll jump with just 51.5kg to carry.
But weights aside many in the field have some sort of claim to be in the shake-up. Let’s start with the favourite and ruling horse of the year LEGAL EAGLE. He produced a huge effort to haul in Captain America and then hold off some late challenges to land the Queens Plate. That was over the mile, probably his optimum distance at this stage in his career. He’s found one better over this 2000m trip the last 2 years, and even though he’s a Derby winner it’s possible he doesn’t quite have the stamina of past years. Nonetheless he’s a massive runner and deserves to win this race, but none will make it easy for him.
CAPTAIN AMERICA nearly made it to the line in that Queens Plate and he’s still a gallant fighter who is hard to haul in when on the lead. 2000m is a stretch for his running style but he did run a cracking 3rd this time 12 months ago. I’ll probably be passing him by on Sat as i just feel there’s more to come from others in the line-up. MARINARESCO produced his typical late burst to finish just a length behind Legal Eagle last time out, and the trip poses no challenge based on his July success. He does tend to find trouble in running so keep an eye out for a weaving effort in the home stretch.
SAIL SOUTH has blossomed late in his career and has performed with distinction in top class fields the last months. He’s an unknown quantity over the 2000m having not gone beyond 1800 while also has a wide draw to contend with. SILICONE VALLEY is in a similar mould, older horse untested over this trip. He is lightly raced but at triple figure odds would be a shock to finish in the money.
KRAMBAMBULI from the powerful Justin Snaith yard probably prefers further but did make up a lot of ground in his last outing to finish just out the money, but I’d have to think his stablemates have his number. NEBULA has cracked a plum inside draw but is another who looks well out of it at the weights and would have to find some career best form to get into the mix here. ELUSIVE SILVA is a talented sort who’s had soundness issues that kept him out of a tilt at the Durban July last season. As a 5yr old he still looks to have more to give and if fit could run into quartets.
CORAL FEVER as mentioned earlier is badly handicapped here by the WFA conditions. He’s an honest performer but looks well held on what would be his first visit to the track. GOLD STANDARD is one who catches my eye, having possibly not really shown his hand in his prep runs. He was a cracking 4th as a 3yr old in last years Met and gets the services of shrewd jock Richard Fourie, a master at reading the pace in these big races. One to include.
COPPER FORCE flew like a rocket late in the Queens Plate and one view of the race replay head-on shows how unlucky he was to miss out on a big GR1 success. Lyle Hewitson must be the most underrated jockey about and the odds often available on his mounts doesn’t tally up to the number of winners he’s riding. He’ll give his charge a positive ride again and if he stays the trip he could contend. LAST WINTER is highly rated by his trainer Dean Kannemeyer and only just failed to maintain his unbeaten career record when pipped by Milton last time out. I’m sure Anthony Delpech would have kept the ride had it not been for his sponsor obligations his own mount, but Pierre Strydom is a very capable replacement and is rumoured to have been very impressed by what he’s felt under him on the gallops. I don’t see the extra distance being a challenge for this lightly raced colt.
AFRICAN NIGHT SKY hasn’t really performed his best on his last pair of outings but the trips were shorter than his optimum distance and his quick change of pace could be a huge asset in this big field and he rates as a big runner. HORIZON has flattered to deceive on one too many occasions for me, and despite clearly having the talent i’m inclined to pass on his prospects this weekend.
Moving down to the female contingent where NOTHER RUSSIA brings her ultra consistent form in fillies and mares races to take on the boys. She ran a cracker in the Summer Cup last season over 2000m and ran a solid race last time out, but at the same weights difference looks well held by Oh Susanna, especially with a poor outside draw to contend with. NIGHTINGALE got no sort of run last time out and we should draw a line thru that effort. She’s much better than that and loves the trip. Not one to leave out your permutations.
SAFE HARBOUR is better than the 100/1 currently available, on her day she has no problem mixing it with the boys. She hasn’t really trained on as well from a sparkling last season but hasn’t been disgraced on her recent Cape outings.
Lastly we have OH SUSANNA who jumps with just 51.5kg on her back. She was supplemented for this race after a simply superb win in the Paddock Stakes last time out. A leggy filly out of the impressive stallion Street Cry, it would be some feat to land the Met with a 3yr old filly, however the fairer sex have a good record in this race and the Snaith yard are in red-hot form of late.
SUMMARY & SELECTIONS:
I’d already given a hint a week or so ago on the Goodforthegame forum on what my early fancy was with some big priced early multiples down for the Met racecard. My view hasn’t changed, and i’m still firmly in the Oh Susanna camp. I had tipped and backed her @ 12/1 for the Paddock win and she really impressed me, gearing down to land the spoils with ease. Saturday is a huge task, but i feel she’s up for the challenge.
If she doesn’t come out on top my other 3 to consider for your staking plan are Legal Eagle, Gold Standard, Last Winter and as an outsider, Nightingale.
Southpaw's Top 5 Finishers
1st – OH SUSANNA
2nd – LEGAL EAGLE
3rd – GOLD STANDARD
4th – LAST WINTER
5th – NIGHTINGALE
For more information on the Sun Met including packages and tickets visit the official website