The second match in Round 1 of Super Rugby 2019 comes from Canberra on Friday where the Brumbies clash with the Rebels in an Australian Conference derby.
Brumbies v Rebels, Friday 15th February, Canberra, KO 10:45 (South African time)
Referee: Ben O'Keeffe
ARs: Angus Gardner, Damon Murphy
TMO: James Leckie
The Brumbies finished third best of the Australian franchises in the regular 2018 season with a record of 7 wins and 9 defeats, failing to make the play offs.
They won 4 of 8 home games in 2018 with victory over the Hurricanes in Round 17 the pick of their results in front of their own supporters. The Brumbies other home wins came against the Sharks, the Reds and the Waratahs. In terms of overall Australian derby form in 2018 the Brumbies won 2 and lost 4 with the victories coming at home to the Reds and then away to the play off bound Waratahs in the final round of the regular season.
In pre-season The Brumbies beat Friday’s opponents the Rebels 52-38 and followed up with a 34-28 victory over the Waratahs.
Toni Pulu and James Slipper are among the new arrivals whilst Kyle Godwin and Ben Alexander are among those who are no longer in the squad.
The Rebels were second best of the Australian sides in 2018, finishing 2 points clear of the Brumbies and 6 shy of the Waratahs. They won 4 of their first 5 matches last season before losing the next 5 and although they found form again their play off bid subsequently faded and ultimately failed after 3 defeats in the later rounds.
Away from home in 2018 the Rebels won at the Sunwolves, Brumbies and Blues and 5 other away fixtures ended in defeat. As far as Australian derby form was concerned the Rebels won 3 and lost 3 and they did come out on top in both meetings with the Brumbies.
Quade Cooper and Matt To’omua are among the new faces whilst Amanaki Mafi and Jack Debreczeni are among those who have moved on. Dane Haylett-Petty is the skipper.
Super Rugby 2019 Superbru Pool
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Brumbies: 15 Tom Banks, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Tevita Kuridrani, 12 Irae Simone, 11 Toni Pulu, 10 Christian Lealiifano (captain), 9 Joe Powell, 8 Lachlan McCaffrey, 7 David Pocock, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Sam Carter, 4 Rory Arnold, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Folau Fainga’a, 1 James Slipper
Substitutes: 16 Josh Mann-Rea, 17 Scott Sio, 18 Leslie Leuluaialii-Makin, 19 Blake Enever, 20 Peter Samu, 21 Matt Lucas, 22 Wharenui Hawera, 23 Andy Muirhead
Rebels: 15 Dane Haylett-Petty (captain), 14 Jack Maddocks, 13 Tom English, 12 Billy Meakes, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 Quade Cooper, 9 Will Genia, 8 Isi Naisarani, 7 Richard Hardwick, 6 Angus Cottrell, 5 Matt Philip, 4 Luke Jones, 3 Jermaine Ainsley, 2 Anaru Rangi, 1 Tetra Faulkner
Substitutes: 16 Robbie Abel, 17 Matt Gibbon, 18 Sam Talakai, 19 Esi Ha’angana, 20 Brad Wilkin, 21 Rob Leota, 22 Michael Ruru, 23 Semisi Tupou
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2018 Canberra Brumbies 24–27 Rebels (Tries 3-4)
2018 Melbourne Rebels 33-10 Brumbies (Tries 5-2)
2017 Canberra Brumbies 32–3 Rebels (Tries 4-0)
2017 Melbourne Rebels 19-17 Brumbies (Tries 1-3)
2016 Melbourne Rebels 22-30 Brumbies (Tries 3-5 )
2015 Canberra Brumbies 8–13 Rebels (Tries 1-1)
2015 Melbourne Rebels 15–20 Brumbies (Tries 0-2)
2014 Canberra Brumbies 37–10 Rebels (Tries 6-1)
2014 Melbourne Rebels 32–24 Brumbies (Tries 2-3)
2013 Canberra Brumbies 39–17 Rebels (Tries 6-2)
2013 Melbourne Rebels 13–30 Brumbies (Tries 1-4)
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Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of the last update but are subject to change.
As with the earlier match on Friday I see plenty of scope for this one being close. The Brumbies had a good pre-season by all accounts although I’m not one for putting too much emphasis on the results.
The 1-12 margin markets will probably come into play but I will go with the straight minus handicap call with home advantage a big factor.
Bet: 2 units (1 to 5 scale) Brumbies -2.5 points 9/10 widely available
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