The Brumbies clash with the Waratahs in Canberra in Round 5 of Super Rugby on Friday and in recent season’s home advantage has counted for very little in this Australian Conference derby fixture.
Brumbies v Waratahs, Friday 15th March, Canberra, KO 10:45 (South African time)
Referee: Glen Jackson
Assistant Refs: Jordan way, Amy Perrett
TMO: James Leckie
Weather Forecast - Canberra
The Brumbies have an overall record of 1 win and 3 defeats and they lie third in the Australian Conference, 2 points behind the Waratahs and 5 shy of the Rebels who set the early pace. The Canberra side have also played 1 game more than the top 2 and they lost both of their clashes with the Rebels in these early rounds.
After going down 34-27 at home to the Rebels in Round 1 the Brumbies were looking for revenge in Melbourne last week. They led at half time but the second half was largely one way traffic and the Rebels came out on top 29-26.
The 2 other fixtures for the Brumbies came against New Zealand opposition. Encouragingly they thrashed the Chiefs in Canberra in Round 2, running in 8 tries in a 54-17 bonus point victory. A week later they travelled to meet the Hurricanes in Palmerston but finished well beaten 43-13.
With the Rebels not in action until Saturday away to the Lions, this is an opportunity for the Tahs to go top of the Australian Conference, at least for a day or so. Their first Australian derby of the season came against the Reds at the Sydney Cricket Ground last week and they covered the minus handicap with a 28-17 victory.
The Tahs had sat out Round 3 and their earlier results saw them edge out the Sunwolves 31-30 in Tokyo. They started with a 20-19 defeat to the Hurricanes in Sydney, a game they would have won had a very kickable late penalty landed.
In 2018 the Tahs won 5 of their 6 Australian derby matches including their trip to Canberra but they did lose to the Brumbies in the return in Sydney. In the last 6 head to heads (any venue), whichever team was playing away has come out on top on 5 occassions.
Brumbies: 15 Tom Banks, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Tevita Kuridrani, 12 Irae Simone, 11 Lausii Taliauli, 10 Christian Lealiifano, 9 Joe Powell, 8 Lachlan Mccaffrey, 7 Tom Cusack, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Sam Carter, 4 Rory Arnold, 3 Leslie Leuluaialii-Makin, 2 Folau Fainga’a, 1 Scott Sio
Replacements: 16 Josh Mann-Rea, 17 James Slipper, 18 Tom Ross, 19 Murray Douglas, 20 Pete Samu, 21 Ryan Lonergan, 22 Jordan Jackson-Hope, 23 Mack Hansen
Waratahs: 15 Kurtley Beale, 14 Israel Folau, 13 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 12 Karmichael Hunt, 11 Alex Newsome, 10 Bernard Foley, 9 Jake Gordon, 8 Jack Dempsey, 7 Michael Hooper, 6 Ned Hanigan, 5 Rob Simmons, 4 Jed Holloway, 3 Sekope Kepu, 2 Damien Fitzpatrick, 1 Harry Johnson-Holmes
Replacements: 16 Tatafu Polota-Nau, 17 Rory O’Connor, 18 Chris Talakai, 19 Ryan Mccauley, 20 Lachlan Swinton, 21 Nick Phipps, 22 Mack Mason, 23 Cameron Clark
Watch out for our weekly rugby betting show “The Handicap” which is streamed live on our youtube channel every Thursday night at 21:00
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2018 Sydney Waratahs 31-40 Brumbies (Tries 4-6)
2018 Canberra Brumbies 17–24 Waratahs (Tries 1-2 )
2017 Sydney Waratahs 12-28 Brumbies (Tries 2-4)
2016 Sydney Waratahs 20-26 Brumbies (Tries 2-4)
2016 Canberra Brumbies 32–15 Waratahs (Tries 4-2 )
2015 Canberra Brumbies 10–13 Waratahs (Tries 1-1 )
2015 Sydney Waratahs 28–13 Brumbies (Tries 3-1)
2014 Sydney Waratahs 26–8 Brumbies (Tries 3-1) (semi final)
2014 Sydney Waratahs 39–8 Brumbies (Tries 5-1)
2014 Canberra Brumbies 28–23 Waratahs (Tries 3-2 )
Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of the last update but are subject to change.
Last season’s meetings were settled by margins of 7 and then 9 points and as the match result betting suggests, this could well turn out to be very close.
Slight preference is for the Waratahs who really should be 3 wins from 3. The Tahs have the better record in Australian derby matches in recent times and the early quote for a winning margin of under 12.5 points looks pretty attractive in the circumstances.
Bet: 2 units Waratahs win by under 12.5 points at 22/10
(Unit Scale 1 to 5)
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