The final match in Round 1 of Super Rugby 2019 comes from Buenos Aries on Saturday night where Jaguares host a Lions side who have had problems at the Estadio Jose Amalfitani in the past.
Jaguares v Lions, Saturday 16th February, Buenos Aires, KO 23:40 (South African time)
Referee: Mike Fraser
ARs: Brendon Pickerill, Rasta Rasivhenge
TMO: Santiago Borsani
Weather Forecast – Buenos Aires
Jaguares finished as runners up to the Lions in the South African Conference last season, 8 points in arrears. During the regular season they won 9 and lost 7 of their matches and at home they won 5 and lost 3. Jaguares reeled off 7 victories in succession from rounds 9 to 17 to help seal a play off place but in the first of the knockout rounds they went down 40-23 to the Lions in Johannesburg. They were also beaten by the Lions (47-27) in Joburg in Round 2 of the regular season but they took revenge in Round 7 with a 49-35 victory in Buenos Aires.
Jaguares have won all 3 of their home fixtures against the Lions and they have won each of their last 4 on home turf against South African opposition.
The Lions topped the SA Conference in 2018 with a record of 9 wins and 7 defeats and their ability to collect bonus points made a big difference in the race for top spot. They only won 3 of 8 away fixtures in the regular season and after coming through the first 2 knockout rounds unscathed in Johannesburg they found the Crusaders in Christchurch a bridge too far, going down 37-18 in the final.
In pre-season the Lions beat the Sharks 19-14 in Super Hero Sunday in Cape Town and they were early in nailing up their team sheet for this match. The Lions come into the tournament as the odds on favourites to top the South African Conference again but you can get double digit prices against them winning the tournament.
Super Rugby 2019 Superbru Pool
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Jaguares: 15 Joaquin Tuculet, 14 Bautista Delguy, 13 Matias Orlando, 12 Jeronimo de la Fuente (captain), 11 Ramiro Moyano, 10 Joaquin Diaz Bonilla, 9 Gonzalo Bertranou, 8 Javier Ortego Desio, 7 Rodrigo Bruni, 6 Pablo Matera, 5 Tomas Lavanini, 4 Guido Petti, 3 Santiago Medrano, 2 Agustin Creevy, 1 Mayco Vivas
Substitutes: 16 Julian Montoya, 17 Juan Pablo Zeiss, 18 Enrique Pieretto, 19 Matias Alemanno, 20 Marco Kremer, 21 Martin Landajo, 22 Juan Cruz Mallia, 23 Matias Moroni
Lions: 15 Andries Coetzee, 14 Courtnall Skosan, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Harold Vorster, 11 Aphiwe Dyanti, 10 Elton Jantjies 9 Nic Groom, 8 Warren Whiteley (captain), 7 Hacjivah Dayimani, 6 Marnus Schoeman, 5 Marvin Orie, 4 Rhyno Herbst, 3 Carlu Sadie, 2 Malcolm Marx, 1 Dylan Smith
Substitutes: 16 Pieter Jansen, 17 Frans van Wyk, 18 Jacobie Adriaanse, 19 Ruan Vermaak, 20 Robert Kruger, 21 Gianni Lombard/Dillon Smit, 22 Wandisile Simelane, 23 Ruan Combrinck
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2018 Johannesburg Lions 40–23 Jaguares (Tries 4-2 )
2018 Buenos Aires Jaguares 49-35 Lions (Tries 6-5 )
2018 Johannesburg Lions 47–27 Jaguares (Tries 7-3 )
2017 Johannesburg Lions 24–21 Jaguares (Tries 3-3 )
2017 Buenos Aires Jaguares 36-24 Lions (Tries 4-4 )
2016 Buenos Aires Jaguares 34-22 Lions (Tries 3-3 )
2016 Johannesburg Lions 52–24 Jaguares (Tries 8-2 )
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Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of the last update but are subject to change.
The Lions face a tough start away from home and although the starting XV looks pretty strong to me, whether they have enough to win the game I’m not so sure. Jaguares took time to hit their straps last season and I would rather give them s couple of rounds before forming an opinion of how they might go this year.
I’ll settle with a small and speculative play on the HT/FT market with the Lions to lead at the break and Jaguares to turn the scoreboard round in the second period.
Bet: 1 unit Half time / Full time Lions / Jaguares at 7/1
(Unit scale 1 to 5)
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