The Reds host the Waratahs in Round 14 of Super Rugby in Brisbane on Saturday, an Australian derby fixture which has been dominated by the Tahs in recent seasons.
Reds v Waratahs, Saturday 18th May, Brisbane, KO 11:45 (South African time)
Referee: Ben O'Keeffe
Assistant Refs: Angus Gardner, Damon Murphy
TMO: James Leckie
Weather Forecast – Brisbane
The Reds were also involved in an Australian derby last week and they were beaten 30-24 away to the Rebels in Melbourne. The Reds stayed within the pre-match handicap and picked up a losing bonus point to finish the round third best in Australia, 5 points behind the Rebels and 6 shy of the Brumbies although the Canberra side have played 1 game more.
The Reds have won 1 and lost 3 of their local derby matches this season. The victory came in a home fixture against the Brumbies (36-14) in Round 6 but a week later they lost another home game against the Rebels 32-13. The first meeting with the Waratahs this season came at the Sydney Cricket Ground in Round 4 and the Tahs came out on top 28-17.
The Reds last victory over the Waratahs came in Sydney back in 2013 and since then the Tahs have won each of the last 10 meetings (any venue).
The Tahs are back from a tour of South Africa which saw them pick up 2 losing bonus points in defeats at the Bulls (28-21) and most recently at the Lions (29-28). They are 1 point behind the Reds in the Australian Conference and away from home this season they have won 1 and lost 4. The victory came away at the Sunwolves (31-30) back in Round 2 and all 5 of their road trips have been settled by 7 points or less.
This will be the fourth local derby for the Tahs this season. In addition to beating the Reds in Sydney they have lost 19-13 away to the Brumbies in Round 5 and in Round 10 they beat the Rebels 23-20 in Sydney.
REDS: Matt McGahan, Jock Campbell, Chris Feauai-Sautia, Samu Kerevi, Sefa Naivalu, Bryce Hegarty, Tate McDermott, Angus Scott-Young, Liam Wright, Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, Angus Blyth, Izack Rodda, Taniela Tupou, Alex Mafi, JP Smith
Reserves: Brandon Paenga-Amosa, Harry Hoopert, Ruan Smith, Scott Higginbotham, Caleb Timu, Moses Sorovi, Duncan Paia’aua, Seb Wileman
WARATAHS : Kurtley Beale, Alex Newsome, Adam Ashley-Cooper, Karmichael Hunt, Cam Clark, bernard Foley, Nick Phipps, Michael Wells, Michael Hooper, Lachlan Swinton, Rob Simmons, Ned Hanigan, Sekope Kepu, Damien Fitzpatrick, Tom Robertson
Reserves: Tolu Latu, Harry Johnson-Holmes, Chris Talakai, Tom Staniforth, Will Miller, Jake Gordon, Lalakai Foketi, Curtis Rona
Watch out for our weekly rugby betting show “The Handicap” which is streamed live on our youtube channel every Thursday night at 21:00
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2019 Sydney Waratahs 28-17 Reds (Tries 3-3)
2018 Brisbane Reds 41-52 Waratahs (Tries 7-8 )
2018 Sydney Waratahs 37-16 Reds (Tries 4-1)
2017 Brisbane Reds 26-29 Waratahs (Tries 4-2 )
2016 Brisbane Reds 13-15 Waratahs (Tries 1-2 )
2016 Sydney Waratahs 30-10 Reds (Tries 4-1)
2015 Sydney Waratahs 31-5 Reds (Tries 4-1)
2015 Brisbane Reds 5-23 Waratahs (Tries 1-2 )
2014 Brisbane Reds 3-34 Waratahs (Tries 0-4 )
2014 Sydney Waratahs 33-5 Reds (Tries 4-1)
Reds 11/10 WSB, Hollywood
Draw 28/1 WSB
Waratahs 17/20 WSB, Sunbet, GG Gaming, BetXchange
Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.
Although the Brumbies are on a bye this week the Rebels are at home to the Bulls on Friday and should the Melbourne side win that game the Reds and the Tahs will have to chase down 2 teams if they are to top the conference. Realistically it looks like any loser here will be out of contention and although the Tahs have the wood over this opponent in recent season’s I see this as a choice game.
This really looks to have the potential to another close contest and the middle option in WSB’s “Tribet Market” below is my play, essentially giving me a 6 point ball game either way plus the tie. .
Bet: 2.5 units, Tribet any other result 14/10 WSB
(Unit Scale 1 to 5)
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