The final action in Super Rugby Round 10 sees the Stormers return from tour and head straight into a home clash against the Brumbies at Newlands, Cape Town on Saturday afternoon.
Stormers v Brumbies, Saturday 20th April, Cape Town, KO 15:05 (South African time)
Referee: Nick Briant
Assistant Refs: Glen Jackson, Federico Anselmi
TMO: Marius Jonker
Weather Forecast – Cape Town
Aside from a Round 12 trip to Buenos Aires to take on Jaguares, the Stormers will spend the rest of the regular season in South Africa. They salvaged something from their injury hit tour with a 41-24 win against the Rebels in Melbourne last week, scoring 5 tries to 3 and they were a touch unlucky not to pick up a bonus point. A week earlier the Stormers had lost to the Reds (24-12) in Brisbane and in New Zealand they were edged out 34-28 at the Hurricanes and went down 24-9 to the Blues.
This is the first of 6 remaining home games for the Stormers and they won both earlier matches in front of their own supporters. A try at the death gave them 19-17 win over the Lions in Round 2 and in Round 5 they put Jaguares away 35-8, scoring 4 tries to 1 to earn a bonus point.
Coming into Round 10 the Stormers were fourth in a congested and highly unpredictable SA Conference, just 5 points behind the Bulls
The Brumbies were the subject of plenty of early betting support for their home fixture against the Lions last week and they obliged with a 31-20 victory, scoring 5 tries to 3. That win saw them finish the round third best in the Australian Conference, 1 point behind the Waratahs and 8 shy of the Rebels and the top 2 clash in Sydney earlier on Saturday.
The Brumbies have now won 3 and lost 5 of their 8 matches but they have lost all 4 of their away fixtures with the only consolation being a losing bonus point at the Rebels in Round 4.
The Brumbies recent record in South Africa is encouraging with 5 wins in their last 7 on these shores. In 2018 they lost their first tour match 42-24 at the Lions before bouncing back to upset the Bulls (38-28) at Loftus. This will be their first visit to Cape Town since 2016.
Stormers: 15 Damian Willemse, 14 Sergeal Petersen, 13 Ruhan Nel, 12 Dan Kriel, 11 Dillyn Leyds, 10 Josh Stander, 9 Herschel Jantjies, 8 Kobus van Dyk, 7 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6 Ernst van Rhyn, 5 Cobus Wiese, 4 Salmaan Moerat, 3 Wilco Louw, 2 Bongi Mbonambi, 1 Steven Kitshoff (captain)
Substitutes: 16 Scarra Ntubeni, 17 Corne Fourie, 18 Neethling Fouche, 19 Johan du Toit, 20 Siya Kolisi, 21 Justin Phillips, 22 JJ Engelbrecht, 23 Seabelo Senatla
Brumbies: 15 Tom Banks, 14 Henry Speight, 13 Tevita Kuridrani, 12 Tom Wright, 11 Toni Pulu, 10 Christian Lealiifano (captain), 9 Joe Powell, 8 Pete Samu, 7 Jahrome Brown, 6 Tom Cusack, 5 Sam Carter, 4. Rory Arnold, 3 Allan Alaalatoa, 2 Folau Faingaa, 1 Scott Sio
Substitutes: 16 Josh Mann-Rea, 17 James Slipper, 18 Les Makin, 19 Darcy Swain, 20 Murray Douglas, 21 Matt Lucas, 22 Wharenui Hawera, 23 Andy Muirhead
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2016 Cape Town Stormers 31–11 Brumbies (Tries 3-1 )
2015 Cape Town Stormers 19–39 Brumbies (Tries 1-6 ) (play off)
2015 Cape Town Stormers 25–24 Brumbies (Tries 1-2 )
2014 Canberra Brumbies 25-15 Stormers (Tries 3-2 )
2013 Cape Town Stormers 35–22 Brumbies (Tries 4-1 )
2011 Canberra Brumbies 3-16 Stormers (Tries 0-1 )
2010 Cape Town Stormers 17–19 Brumbies (Tries 1-1 )
Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.
The Stormers can take some beating in Cape Town and they at least ended their tour on a high with a convincing win over the Australian Conference leaders last week. I think the Brumbies will be more competitive here than what the Rebels were in Melbourne in the previous but the handicap looks well set to me with most books either 7.5 or 8.5 points.
Preference is for a Stormers win by 1-12 points.
Bet: 2 units Stormers to win by 1-12 points at 17/10
(Unit Scale 1 to 5)
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