The Waratahs start their Super Rugby 2019 campaign with a home fixture against the Hurricanes at Brookvale Oval in Sydney on Saturday and the winning margin market is the focus for our play.
Waratahs v Hurricanes, Saturday 16th February, Sydney, KO 10:45 (South African time)
Referee: Angus Gardner
ARs: Ben O'Keeffe, Damon Murphy
TMO: James Leckie
The Waratahs fared the best of the Australian sides in 2018 with a round robin record of 9 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats, at home they won 5 of 8 regular season matches. The Tahs were Australia’s only representatives in the play offs and they beat the Highlanders 30-23 in Sydney in the first knockout round before going down 44-26 to the Lions in a semi final in Johannesburg.
In 2018 the Tahs had also beaten the Highlanders in the regular season in Sydney but they did fluff their lines in an earlier home fixtures against the Blues. When the Tahs visited New Zealand sides they lost narrowly at the Crusaders and went down by a 12 point margin away to the Chiefs.
The Tahs most recent warm up saw them go down a 34-28 to the Brumbies and note that their home games this season will be staged at Brookvale.
The Hurricanes finished as distant runners up to the Crusaders in the 2018 regular season with a record of 11 wins and 5 defeats. In the play offs they first edged their way past the Chiefs but never threatened the Crusaders in the semi finals.
The Canes away form was below par last season, losing 5 of 8 before the play offs. The defeats included a Round 2 visit to the Bulls when they looked way undercooked and a Round 17 visit to the Brumbies which ended a 6 match winning streak away to Australian opposition.
The Canes can no longer call on the services of the likes of Brad Shields and Julian Savea and they have injury problems here with lock Sam Lousi ruled out. Beauden Barrett is also out of this game and a number of their All Blacks who were not involved in the pre-season 38-31 defeat to the Blues will be assessed so keep an eye on the team news.
Super Rugby 2019 Superbru Pool
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Waratahs: 15 Israel Folau, 14 Alex Newsome, 13 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 12 Karmichael Hunt, 11 Curtis Rona, 10 Bernard Foley, 9 Jake Gordon, 8 Jack Dempsey, 7 Michael Hooper, 6 Ned Hanigan, 5 Rob Simmons, 4 Jed Holloway, 3 Sekope Kepu, 2 Damien Fitzpatrick, 1 Harry Johnson-Holmes
Replacements: 16 Tolu Latu, 17 Rory O’Connor, 18 Chris Talakai, 19 Lachlan Swinton, 20 Will Miller, 21 Mitch Short, 22 Mack Mason, 23 Cam Clark
Hurricanes: 15 Jordie Barrett, 14 Vince Aso, 13 Matt Proctor, 12 Ngani Laumape, 11 Ben Lam, 10 Fletcher Smith, 9 TJ Perenara (c), 8 Gareth Evans, 7 Ardie Savea, 6 Reed Prinsep, 5 Liam Mitchell, 4 James Blackwell, 3 Jeff To’omaga-Allen, 2 Ricky Riccitelli, 1 Chris Eves
Replacements: 16 Dane Coles, 17 Xavier Numia, 18 Ben May, 19 Isaia Walker-Leawere, 20 Du’Plessis Kirifi, 21 Finlay Christie, 22 James Marshall, 23 Wes Goosen
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2017 Wellington Hurricanes 38–28 Waratahs (Tries 6-4 )
2016 Sydney Waratahs 17–28 Hurricanes (Tries 2-3 )
2015 Wellington Hurricanes 24–29 Waratahs (Tries 4-4 )
2014 Sydney Waratahs 39–30 Hurricanes (Tries 5-3)
2013 Wellington Hurricanes 41–29 Waratahs (Tries 4-3 )
2012 Sydney Waratahs 12–33 Hurricanes (Tries 0-4)
2010 Sydney Waratahs 32–16 Hurricanes (Tries 4-1)
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Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of the last update but are subject to change.
I’m going work on the principle that this could be a close call and the 1-12 winning margin markets are the focus of my play.
I don’t want to get too involved here and a draw or 13 point + win for either side would sink me. Level stakes on both the 1-12 margins will hopefully give me at least a small profit and preferably a much healthier one if the Tahs can edge it.
Bet: 1 unit Waratahs to win by under 12.5 points at 33/10
1 unit Hurricanes win by under 12.5 points at 14/10
(Unit scale 1 to 5)
Remember you can have your own say on all this week’s matches on our discussion forum