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150waratahsThe Waratahs host the Rebels in Super Rugby Round 10 at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, a game which will have a significant bearing on the top of the Australian Conference.

 

 

 

Waratahs v Rebels, Saturday 20th April, Sydney, KO 11:45 (South African time)

Referee:  Damon Murphy
Assistant Refs: Nic Berry, Jordan Way
TMO: James Leckie 

Weather Forecast – Sydney Cricket Ground

 

Waratahs:

The Waratahs sat out Round 9 and have had time to dwell on back to back defeats, 31-29 at home to the Sunwolves (in Newcastle) in Round 7 and 32-29 away to the Blues in Auckland a week later.

Those defeats would be most disappointing given that in Round 6 they turned the Crusaders over at the Sydney Cricket Ground, 20-12, their stand out result of the season so far. One other game staged at the SCG saw the Tahs beat the Reds 28-17 in a local derby in Round 4. Their only other Australian derby this season saw the go down 19-13 to the Brumbies in Canberra in Round 5.

The Tahs have an outstanding record against the Rebels with 13 wins and just 2 defeats in 15 head to heads (any venue).

The Waratahs come into Round 10 second best in the Australian Conference with 16 log points, 7 off the pace being set by the Rebels who have played 1 game more.

 

 

Rebels:

The Rebels started last week’s home game against the Stormers in the region of 10 point favourites but they finished well beaten at 41-24, scoring 3 tries and conceding 5. Their overall record now comprises of 5 wins and 3 defeats with the other 2 losses coming on tour in South Africa.

The Rebels strength this season has been in Australian derby matches. In Round 7 they won away to the Reds 32-13 and early in the tournament they beat the Brumbies 34-27 in Canberra and 29-26 in Melbourne, coming from behind in both of those games. Their other victory came at home to the Sunwolves, 42-15 in Round 8.

The Rebels last win against the Tahs came in Sydney, 21-17, in the 2016 season and their only other success against this opponent arrived in Melbourne in 2013 when they edged another tight contest 24-22.

 

Team News

Waratahs: 15 Kurtley Beale, 14 Cam Clark, 13 Adam Ashley-Cooper, 12 Karmichael Hunt, 11 Alex Newsome, 10 Bernard Foley, 9 Jake Gordon, 8 Michael Wells, 7 Michael Hooper (captain), 6 Jack Dempsey, 5 Rob Simmons, 4 Jed Holloway, 3 Sekope Kepu, 2 Damien Fitzpatrick, 1 Harry Johnson-Holmes.

Substitutes: 16 Andrew Tuala, 17 Rory O’Connor, 18 Chris Talakai, 19 Tom Staniforth, 20 Will Miller, 21 Nick Phipps, 22 Lalakai Foketi, 23 Curtis Rona

 

Rebels: 15 Reece Hodge, 14 Jack Maddocks, 13 Tom English (captain), 12 Billy Meakes, 11 Marika Koroibete, 10 Quade Cooper, 9 Will Genia, 8 Isi Naisarani, 7 Richard Hardwick, 6 Luke Jones, 5 Adam Coleman, 4 Matt Philip, 3 Jermaine Ainsley, 2 Anaru Rangi, 1 Matt Gibbon 

Substitutes: 16 Hugh Roach, 17 Tetera Faulkner, 18 Sam Talakai, 19 Ross Haylett-Petty, 20 Rob Leota, 21 Michael Ruru, 22 Campbell Magnay, 23 Sione Tuipulotu

 

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Watch out for our weekly rugby betting show “The Handicap” which is streamed live on our youtube channel every Thursday night at 21:00

 

 

 

 

Recent Head to Head (any venue)

2018 Melbourne Rebels 26–31 Waratahs (Tries 2-4)

2018 Sydney Waratahs 51-27 Rebels (Tries 6-4 )

2017 Sydney Waratahs 50-23 Rebels (Tries 8-3 )

2017 Melbourne Rebels 25–32 Waratahs (Tries 3-4)

2016 Sydney Waratahs 17-21 Rebels (Tries 2-2 )

2015 Sydney Waratahs 18-16 Rebels (Tries 3-1 )

2015 Melbourne Rebels 28–38 Waratahs (Tries 4-4 )

2014 Melbourne Rebels 19–41 Waratahs (Tries 1-6 )

2014 Sydney Waratahs 32-8 Rebels (Tries 4-1 )

2013 Melbourne Rebels 24–22 Waratahs (Tries 2-1 )

2013 Sydney Waratahs 31-26 Rebels (Tries 3-2 )

 

The Betting,

WARvREBREsult

 

WARvREBMargin

Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.

Sunbet, Claim your 1st deposit bonus of up to R1,000 here

Note, odds quoted are available at the time of writing but are subject to change.

 

Betting Angle

As disappointing as the Rebels were last week I wouldn’t be surprised to see them winning this game. They have a 100% record in Australian derby matches this season, coming from behind to win both clashes with the Brumbies by narrow margins and they put the Reds away with some daylight in Brisbane.

The Waratahs may have beaten the Crusaders at the SCG but the circumstances and timing of that game were arguably a big factor. The Folau situation doesn’t help the home side but they do have a dominant record against this opposition.

The Tahs can’t afford to cough up more ground in Australian Conference and to me this smacks of a close game and hence the 1-7 ball game with the tie running for me is deployed.

 

Bet: 2.5 units Either team wins by 7 or Less (incl. Draw) at 14/10

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(Unit Scale 1 to 5)

 

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