The Chiefs host the Brumbies in Round 4 of Super Rugby in Hamilton on Saturday and the home side are firm favourites to extend their 100% record this season.
Chiefs v Brumbies, Saturday 22nd February, Hamilton, KO 08:05 (South African time)
Referee: Brendon Pickerill
Assistant Refs: Mike Fraser , Dan Waenga
TMO: Glenn Newman
Weather Forecast –Hamilton
After 3 rounds of matches the Chiefs are 1 of just 2 teams with a 100% record, the Stormers being the other. They made it 3 wins from 3 with a 43-17 victory over the Sunwolves in Japan last week whilst in Round 2 they downed the Crusaders 25-15 in Hamilton. In Round 1 they came from 19-5 down at half time to beat the Blues 37-29 in Auckland. In terms of the New Zealand Conference the Chiefs are top, 4 points clear of the Crusaders with the Hurricanes a further point in arrears.
By mean reckoning the Chiefs have been worth following on the handicap in every round so far and they now take aim at the Brumbies who thrashed them in Canberra early last season when the Chiefs were in very different shape to what they are now.
The Chiefs have won their last 10 home fixtures against Australian opposition, the Waratahs in 2014 were the last Aussie side to beat them in front of their own supporters.
After 3 home games the Brumbies travel for the first time this season and last week they were beaten by New Zealand opposition as the Highlanders edged them out 23-22 in Canberra, ending a winning streak on home turf which had spanned 10 matches. The Brumbies season started with with 2 Australian derby games. The first delivered a 27-24 win over the Reds and in Round 2 the Brumbies overcame the Rebels 39-26.
Although they suffered a first defeat last week the Brumbies still finished the round with a 5 point lead over the Rebels at the top of the Australian Conference.
You have to go back Round 14 of the 2014 season for the Brumbies last win on New Zealand soil and the last time they beat the Chiefs on home turf came back in 2007.
Chiefs: 15 Damian McKenzie, 14 Sean Wainui, 13 Anton Lienert-Brown, 12 Alex Nankivell, 11 Sam McNicol, 10 Aaron Cruden, 9 Te Toiroa Tahuriorangi, 8 Pita Gus Sowakula, 7 Sam Cane (captain), 6 Luke Jacobson, 5 Mitchell Brown, 4 Michael Allardice, 3 Atu Moli, 2 Bradley Slater, 1 Aidan Ross
Substitutes: 16 Samisoni Taukei’aho, 17 Reuben O’Neill, 18 Ross Geldenhuys, 19 Naitoa Ah Kuoi, 20 Mitchell Karpik, 21 Lisati Milo-Harris, 22 Kaleb Trask, 23 Quinn Tupaea
Brumbies: 15 Tom Banks, 14 Solomone Kata, 13 Tevita Kuridrani, 12 Irae Simone, 11 Andy Muirhead, 10 Noah Lolesio, 9 Joe Powell, 8 Pete Samu, 7 Will Miller, 6 Rob Valetini, 5 Murray Douglas, 4 Cadeyrn Neville, 3 Allan Alaalatoa (captain), 2 Connal McInerney, 1 James Slipper
Substitutes: 16 Lachlan Lonergan, 17 Scott Sio, 18 Tom Ross, 19 Nick Frost, 20 Lachlan McCaffrey, 21 Ryan Lonergan, 22 Bayley Kuenzle, 23 Toni Pulu.
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2019 Canberra Brumbies 54–17 Chiefs (Tries 8-2)
2018 Hamilton Chiefs 24-19 Brumbies (Tries 3-3)
2017 Hamilton Chiefs 28-10 Brumbies (Tries 3-1)
2016 Canberra Brumbies 23–48 Chiefs (Tries 2-6)
2015 New Plymouth Chiefs 19-17 Brumbies (Tries 1-1)
2014 Canberra Brumbies 32–30 Chiefs (Tries 4-4) (play off)
2014 Canberra Brumbies 41–23 Chiefs (Tries 5-2)
2013 Hamilton Chiefs 27-22 Brumbies (Tries 2-1) (final)
2012 Hamilton Chiefs 29-22 Brumbies (Tries 2-1)
2011 Canberra Brumbies 28–20 Chiefs (Tries 3-3)
Chiefs -15.5 at 9/10 generally available
Brumbies +16.5 at 9/10 at WSB
Note: Odds quoted are subject to change
I set this handicap at Chiefs -14.5 during my weekly Sunday handicapping exercise so at 1st glance I don’t see a lot of value. The closer we get to kick off the more I am leaning towards a big Chiefs win though as the gulf between New Zealand and Australian sides look huge and the Chiefs have impressed me this season.
Subscribe to our free weekly betting mailer which will include our best and value bets below.