JAGUARESThe final action in Round 3 of Super Rugby sees Jaguares favourites to return to winning ways when they host the Reds in Buenos Aires

 

 

 

Jaguares v Reds, Saturday 15th February, Buenos Aires, KO 23:40 (South African time)

 

Referee: Federico Anselmi
Assistant Refs: Pablo Deluca, Martin Cordoba
TMO: Santiago Borsani

 

Weather Forecast – Buenos Aires

 

Jaguares:

 

This is a third successive home game for Jaguares who let favourite backers down in Round 2 when they were beaten 26-23 by the Hurricanes. Jaguares had started the tournament with 38-8 victory over the Lions (10-8 half time) where they ran in 5 tries to secure a bonus point. Last week's losing bonus point saw Jaguares finish the round third best in the SA Conference behind the Stormers and Sharks who both have 2 wins against their name.

The Brumbies were the only Australian side to visit Buenos Aires last season and Jaguares beat them twice, once in the regular season and again in the play offs.

 

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Reds:

 

The Reds continue to do the travelling in the early stages of the season. They have lost both their matches so far, 27-24 to the Brumbies in Canberra in Round 1 and 27-20 to the Lions in Johannesburg last week. The Queenslanders had led the Brumbies 17-7 at half time in that opening match and given they were down to 13 men at one stage in Johannesburg last last time out you could argue they could have had at least 1 win on the board by now.

After round 2 the Reds were still third best in the Australian Conference although they were 6 points behind the Brumbies who have another home game earlier in Round 3.

The Reds did beat Jaguares in their most recent visit to Buenos Aires in 2018 although when the teams met in Brisbane last season the Argentines came out on top by an 11 point margin.

 

 

Team News

 

Jaguares: 15 Santiago Carreras, 14 Bautista Delguy, 13 Matiás Moroni, 12 Jerónimo de la Fuente (c), 11 Emiliano Boffelli, 10 Domingo Miotti, 9 Felipe Ezcurra, 8 Rodrigo Bruni, 7 Marcos Kremer, 6 Tomás Lezana, 5 Lucas Paulos, 4 Guido Petti, 3 Lucio Sordoni, 2 Agustín Creevy, 1 Mayco Vivas

Replacements: 16 Julián Montoya, 17 Javier Diaz, 18 Joel Sclavi, 19 Matías Alemanno, 20 Javier Ortega Desio, 21 Tomás Cubelli, 22 Tomás Albornoz, 23 Juan Cruz Mallía

 

Reds: 15 Jock Campbell, 14 Chris Feauai-Sautia, 13 Hunter Paisami, 12 Hamish Stewart, 11 Henry Speight, 10 James O’Connor, 9 Tate McDermott, 8 Harry Wilson, 7 Liam Wright (c), 6 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 5 Angus Blyth, 4 Izack Rodda, 3 Taniela Tupou, 2 Alex Mafi, 1 JP Smith

Replacements: 16 Sean Farrell, 17 Dane Zander, 18 Josh Nasser, 19 Harry Hockings, 20 Angus Scott-Young, 21 Moses Sorovi, 22 Isaac Lucas, 23 Bryce Hegarty

 

Recent Head to Head (any venue)

 

2019 Brisbane Reds 23-34 Jaguares (Tries 2-5)

2018 Buenos Aires Jaguares 7–18 Reds (Tries 1-2 )

2017 Buenos Aires Jaguares 22–8 Reds (Tries 3-1 )

 

The Betting,

 

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Handicap

Jaguares -11.5

Reds +12.5

I handicapped this game as Jaguares -12.5 in my regular Sunday handicapping exercise on You Tube – click here to watch and subscribe to our You Tube Channel so you don’t miss future shows.

 

Betting Angle

The Jaguares were surprised last week when beaten by the Hurricanes a result that cost plenty of punters money as they were heavily backed on the minus handicap. The Reds were also a warm order against the Lions at +6.5 so their 7 point loss to the Lions was also a bit disappointing.

The Reds will target the Jaguares scrum and this may allow them to stay in the game but I am expecting a ruthless showing from the home team and believe they will trot up comfortably against what should be a tiring Reds team in the 2nd half.

 

To see what other punters fancy check out the Goodforthegame Forum Thread.

Click here to watch Thursday nights rugby betting show THE HANDICAP and click here for the podcast version

 

BET: 5 units Jaguares -11.5 at 9/10 at WSB

 

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