Friday's action in Round 3 of Super Rugby Australia sees the unbeaten Reds priced up as firm favourites for their clash with the Force in Brisbane.
Reds v Force, Friday 17rd July, Brisbane, KO 11:05 (South African time)
Referee: Nic Berry
Assistant referees: Damon Murphy, Jordan Way
TMO: Brett Cronan
Weather Forecast – Brisbane
The Reds took on the Rebels at the neutral venue of Brookvale Oval, NSW in Round 2, the pre-match betting suggested a close contest and that is exactly how it turned out with the final score locked up at 18-18. There was to be no “Golden Point” in Super Time and although the Reds missed a long range penalty, they shouldn't be too upset given they were 10 points down well inside the final 10 minutes of regulation time.
In Round 1 the Reds opened up with a 32-26 home win over the Waratahs in Brisbane ( 19-13 at half time), a margin of victory which was in line with the pre match handicap.
The Queenslanders are 1 point clear of the Brumbies at the top of the early standings although the Brumbies have played just the 1 game so far. In the outright betting to win the Australian tournament the Reds are now trading at around 9/2
The Force sat out the opening week of the tournament and they entered the fray away to the Waratahs at Sydney Cricket Ground last weekend. The early handicap's had the Force as 9.5 point underdogs for what was their first Super Rugby outing since 2017. The Force were 14-0 up late in the first half but they couldn't keep the Tahs at bay or add to their tally and eventually went down 23-14.
Going back to the Force previous days in Super Rugby they won the last 3 head to heads against the Reds and they were no strangers to winning in Brisbane.
In the outright betting to win the Australian tournament the Force remain the outsiders of the party, trading at around 16/1.
Reds: 15 Jock Campbell, 14 Chris Feauai-Sautia, 13 Hunter Paisaimi, 12 Hamish Stewart, 11 Filipo Daugunu, 10 James O’Connor, 9 Tate McDermott, 8 Harry Wilson, 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Liam Wright, 5 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 4 Angus Scott-Young, 3 Taniela Tupou, 2 Brandon Paenga-Amosa, 1 Harry Hoopert.
Replacements: 16 Alex Mafi, 17 Dane Zander, 18 Jack Straker, 19 Ryan Smith, 20 Tuaina Taii Tualima, 21 Scott Malolua, 22 Josh Flook, 23 Bryce Hegarty
Force: 15 Jack McGregor, 14 Byron Ralston, 13 Marcel Brache, 12 Nick Jooste, 11 Brad Lacey, 10 Jono Lance, 9 Ian Prior (captain), 8 Brynard Stander, 7 Tevin Ferris, 6 Henry Stowers, 5 Fergus Lee-Warner, 4 Jeremy Thrush, 3 Kieran Longbottom, 2 Feleti Kaitu’u, 1 Angus Wagner.
Replacements: 16 Andrew Ready, 17 Chris Heiberg, 18 Greg Holmes, 19 Ollie Atkins, 20 Ollie Callen, 21 Jacob Abel, 22 Henry Taefu, 23 Kyle Godwin.
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2017 Brisbane Reds 26-40 Force (Tries 4-4 )
2017 Perth Force 26-19 Reds (Tries 3-3)
2016 Brisbane Reds 6-22 Force (Tries 0-1 )
2015 Perth Force 10-32 Reds (Tries 1-4 )
2015 Brisbane Reds 18–6 Force (Tries 2-0 )
2014 Perth Force 30-20 Reds (Tries 3-2 )
2014 Brisbane Reds 29–32 Force (Tries 2-3 )
2013 Perth Force 11-11 Reds (Tries 1-1 )
2013 Brisbane Reds 12–19 Force (Tries 0-1 )
Reds -15.5 at 9/10
Force +16.5 at 9/10
Note: Odds quoted are subject to change
I priced this game at Reds -12.5 and while the cap opened around that region the money has come for the Reds and they are as big as -16.5
I can certainly see them blowing The Force away but the bet I like here was highlighted by @Son_of_a_Punt on Twitter and that is Reds to make a quick start.
I have had a quick look around and the Playabets have the Reds 1st half points at 0.82/1
BET: 5 units Reds o15.5 points at 0.82/1 at Playabets
For more bets over the weekend keep an eye on the Goodforthegame Rugby Forum thread
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