Top spot in the South African Conference is up for grabs in Round 4 of Super Rugby on Saturday when the Stormers host Jaguares in Cape Town.
Stormers v Jaguares, Saturday 22nd February, Cape Town, KO 15:05 (South African time)
Referee: Rasta Rasivhenge
Assistant Refs: Egon Seconds , Griffin Colby
TMO: Willie Vos
Weather Forecast – Cape Town
The Stormers made it 3 wins from 3 when they edged out the Lions 33-30 in Johannesburg last week and they finished the round alongside the Chiefs at the top of the overall standings as 1 of 2 sides with a 100% record. The Stormers didn't cover a minus handicap in Johannesburg, something they had achieved in winning their first 2 matches of the season “to nil”.
The Stormers started as marginal favourites for their opening game at home to the Hurricanes and they came through with a 27-0 bonus point victory. They followed up with a 13-0 derby win over the Bulls at Newlands, covering a 10.5 point handicap in the process. After 3 rounds the Stormers, with 13 log points, are 3 clear of Jaguares at the top of the SA Conference.
Jaguares bounced back from a Round 2 home defeat to the Hurricanes when they beat the Reds 43-27 in Buenos Aires in Round 3. There was no bonus point last week but the Argentine side did pick up the full 5 log points in Round 1 when they pulled away from a visiting Lions side in the second half to run out comfortable winners 38-8 in another home fixture. Jaguares now travel for the first time this season.
Jaguares have lost all 3 of their previous visits to Newlands and in 2019 they crashed to a 35-8 defeat in Round 4 before recovering to eventually finish well clear at the top of the SA Conference. Jaguares did win away to the Bulls and the Sharks last season, their only other wins on SA soil came against the Cheetahs in 2016 and the Kings a year later.
Stormers: 15 Dillyn Leyds, 14 Sergeal Petersen, 13 Ruhan Nel, 12 Jamie Roberts, 11 Seabelo Senatla, 10 Damian Willemse, 9 Herschel Jantjies, 8 Juarno Augustus, 7 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6 Jaco Coetzee, 5 JD Schickerling, 4 Salmaan Moerat, 3 Frans Malherbe, 2 Scarra Ntubeni, 1 Steven Kitshoff (captain)
Substitutes: 16 Chad Solomon, 17 Ali Vermaak, 18 Wilco Louw, 19 Chris van Zyl, 20 Johan du Toit, 21 Ernst van Rhyn, 22 Godlen Masimla, 23 Jean-Luc du Plessis
Jaguares: 15 Emiliano Boffelli, 14 Bautista Delguy, 13 Santiago Chocobares, 12 Juan Cruz Mallía, 11 Sebastien Cancelliere, 10 Domingo Miotti, 9 Tomás Cubelli (captain) , 8 Rodrigo Bruni, 7 Tomás Lezana, 6 Francisco Gorrison , 5 Lucas Paulos, 4 Matías Alemanno, 3 Santiago Medrano, 2 Santiago Socino, 1 Nahuel Tetaz Chapparro
Substitutes: 16 Julián Montoya, 17 Mayco Vivas, 18 Joel Sclavi, 19 Guido Petti, 20 Marcos Kremer, 21 Gonzalo Bertranou , 22 Joaquin Diaz Bonilla, 23 Matias Moroni
Recent Head to Head (any venue)
2019 Buenos Aires Jaguares 30-25 Stormers (Tries 3-1)
2019 Cape Town Stormers 35-8 Jaguares (Tries 4-1)
2018 Buenos Aires Jaguares 25-14 Stormers (Tries 3-2)
2018 Cape Town Stormers 28-20 Jaguares (Tries 3-2)
2017 Cape Town Stormers 32-25 Jaguares (Tries 4-3)
2016 Buenos Aires Jaguares 8-13 Stormers (Tries 1-1)
Note: Odds quoted are subject to change
I set this handicap at Stormers -6.5 during my weekly Sunday handicapping exercise and it was one of those weeks where nearly all of my projections have turned out to be close to the mark.
I like the team the Stormers have selected and am going with them on the minus. Their 3 home games against the Jaguares have had margins of 27, 8 and 7 points for the Stormers and I am going slightly conservative and will take the 8/10 the -6.5 rather than the 7.5.
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