Couch Critic Blog

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Pin It

150bullsJaguares take on the Bulls in the final action of Round 14 of Super Rugby in Buenos Aires on Saturday, a vital game in the South African Conference.

 

 

Jaguares v Bulls, Saturday 19th May, Buenos Aires, KO 23:40 (South African time)

Referee: Federico Anselmi (Argentina)
Assistant referees: Paul Williams (New Zealand), Pablo Deluca (Argentina)
Television match official: Santiago Borsani (Argentina)

Weather Forecast

Jaguares:

Jaguares return from a bye, interrupting a sequence of 4 successive wins which all came overseas. Most recently they turned the Chiefs over (23-19) in Hamilton and prior to that they saw off the Blues 20-13 in the rain at Auckland. Their tour began in Australia with wins at the Rebels (25-22) and the Brumbies (25-20) and they started all 4 of those matches as underdogs.

Home form is less impressive with 2 wins and 3 defeats although 1 of those victories came against opposition from SA, a 49-35 win over the Lions in Round 6. Earlier matches against South African sides saw Jaguares lose the first meeting with the Lions 47-27 in Joburg and they also lost 28-20 to the Stormers in Cape Town at the start of the tournament.

Jaguares fine form has seen them rise to second in the SA Conference on the same points tally as the Bulls and Sharks and 7 shy of the Lions who have played 1 game more.

Bulls:

The Bulls head overseas on the back of a 39-33 home win over the Sharks at Loftus last week, a result which saw them move level on points with Jaguares and the Sharks in the SA Conference. They now have an overall record of 5 wins and 6 defeats although they have won just 1 of 5 away from home, a 40-10 beating of the Sharks in an earlier derby in Durban.

The Bulls haven’t won outside of South Africa since Round 10 of the 2016 campaign and their only visit to Buenos Aires ended in defeat in that same campaign.

On the team news front Burger Odendaal is out injured as are Lood de Jager and prop Lizo Gqoboka

Team News

Jaguares – 15 Emiliano Boffelli, 14 Bautista Delguy, 13 Matias Orlando, 12 Jeronimo De La Fuente, 11 Sebastian Cancelliere, 10 Nicolas Sanchez, 9 Gonzalo Bertranou, 8 Javier Ortega Desio, 7 Marcos Kremer, 6 Tomas Lezana, 5 Tomas Lavanini, 4 Guido Petti, 3 Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro, 2 Agustin Creevy, 1 Santiago Garcia Botta.

Subs: 16 Julian Montoya , 17 Javier Manuel Diaz, 18 Santiago Medrano, 19 Matias Alemanno, 20 Leonardo Senatore, 21 Martin Landajo, 22 Bautista Ezcurra, 23 Juan Cruz Mallia.

Bulls: 15 Warrick Gelant, 14 Travis Ismiael, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Handre Pollard (captain), 11 Johnny Kotze, 10 Manie Libbok, 9 Ivan van Zyl, 8 Marco van Staden, 7 Thembelani Bholi, 6 Roelof Smit, 5 RG Snyman, 4 Jason Jenkins, 3 Conraad van Vuuren, 2 Adriaan Strauss, 1 Trevor Nyakane

Substitutes: 16 Jaco Visagie, 17 Nqobisiwe Mxoli, 18 Frans van Wyk, 19 Hendre Stassen, 20 Nic de Jager, 21 Andre Warner, 22 JT Jackson, 23 Divan Rossouw

Recent Head to Head (any venue)

2017 Pretoria Bulls 26–13 Jaguares (Tries 2-1 )

2016 Buenos Aires Jagaures 29–11 Bulls (Tries 3-1 )

The Betting

Handicap

Jaguares -4.5 points at 9/10 widely available  

Bulls +5.5 points at 9/10 Sunbet

Note, odds quoted are correct at the time of last update but are subject to change.

Betting Angle

Injuries don’t help the Bulls cause for what looks a tough assignment although I do think that this will be a close game. There is so little between the teams in the SA Conference standings and I can see that being reflected in how this game pans out.

Slight preference is for the home side to edge it so the 1-12 margin gets another run out. I’m also looking to a speculative play in the HT/FT market with the Bulls leading at half time and the Jags hitting back in the second period.

Bet: 2.5 units Jaguares win by under 12.5 points 1.75/1 Sportingbet

0.5 units HT/FT Bulls/Jags 6/1 GGGaming

forumRemember you can have your own say on all this week’s matches on our discussion forum