Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other

Beautiful weather in Sydney.
My bets are:
Total over 57.5 points @1.90
Total tries over 6.5 @1.65.

Weather update for Nz games from Nz Met service
Auckland- had a brief shower midday but that was all and will be dry during the game.
Christchurch- could be heavy rain with possibilities of hail

I'm on Highlander minus so that's good news for me.
I'm on the Crusader minus so that's not good news but in saying that the Wolves probably won't know what hit them weather wise... I bloody hope so...

Brent Graham wrote: Interesting one that Crusaders game - while bad weather is not good for points I often feel that it makes it even harder for the big underdog to score, especially consolation tries when the game opens up, so we could be looking at a 48-3 rather than a 67- 21

Agree with you Brent. Low level skilled teams find it almost impossible to handle the ball in wet conditions. I am happy with -38.5

On the super sport challenge my bets as follow

WP -17.5.This is max bet for me.
Sharks +10.5. 3 units

Taken 14/1 on Crusaders to win to 0 at GG.

Seems a good shout

RuggaBugga wrote: Taken 14/1 on Crusaders to win to 0 at GG.

Seems a good shout

Been waiting the whole week for a bookmaker to price up on this.

Under 7.5 tries in 1st game and over 6.5 tries in the 2nd for ne this morning.

With all the Blues injuries and their form the Landers minus seems solid, but can't shake the feeling that this is just the sort of game where the Blues will go and pull out some miracle performance, so steering away from cap with:

Following on the under 7.5 tries

Penalty converted before 18mins @1.85
Team to score first - Blues @ 2.05
Blues/Highlanders HT/FT @ 5.50

Brent Graham wrote: Interesting one that Crusaders game - while bad weather is not good for points I often feel that it makes it even harder for the big underdog to score, especially consolation tries when the game opens up, so we could be looking at a 48-3 rather than a 67- 21

That's exactly what I'm hoping for Brent and yes I'm happy with the minus (thanks Rohan11)
I heard on our local sport radio station that Dagg has been playing club rugby and running amuck...apparently he fended virtually the whole team to score a 60M try...ill take him to score a try or first try also the other wing Mataele will deff score...he is sooo on form at the moment.

Taylor wrote: With all the Blues injuries and their form the Landers minus seems solid, but can't shake the feeling that this is just the sort of game where the Blues will go and pull out some miracle performance, so steering away from cap with:

Following on the under 7.5 tries

Penalty converted before 18mins @1.85
Team to score first - Blues @ 2.05
Blues/Highlanders HT/FT @ 5.50

I just can not see this Blues team staying with this Landers team tonight but in saying that the Blues always do the opposite of what logic would tell you.... but man are they under strength tonight so for that reason alone I took the minus 4 units and 1 unit 13+

also unable to watch or follow this am so just the Highlanders -7.5 to shout for as part of my weekend acca.

Will join on that Saders to win to 0 punt if i can get on, seems a fair shout. Wasn't aware there was poor weather there tomorrow but sill like a big winning margin.

Madkiwi wrote:

Taylor wrote: With all the Blues injuries and their form the Landers minus seems solid, but can't shake the feeling that this is just the sort of game where the Blues will go and pull out some miracle performance, so steering away from cap with:

Following on the under 7.5 tries

Penalty converted before 18mins @1.85
Team to score first - Blues @ 2.05
Blues/Highlanders HT/FT @ 5.50

I just can not see this Blues team staying with this Landers team tonight but in saying that the Blues always do the opposite of what logic would tell you.... but man are they under strength tonight so for that reason alone I took the minus 4 units and 1 unit 13+

I'm with you Madkiwi. The Blues were terrible against Sunwolves and have a lot of injuries. I think the Highlanders will win easily and it will be high scoring as I like the South African Ref Marius van der Westhuizen. He should let the game flow unlike Ben O'Keefe for example !!

Anyone know of Super Sport Challenge odds

Can't seem to find any.

Cheers

Will

Highlanders - 3.5 HT

Ruan Fourie wrote: Highlanders - 3.5 HT

Good call. Was literally about to put this up now myself as seen it at 10/11 on Bet 365.

The Blues are such a dodgy team to be getting involved with whenever they play as the style they have is so unpredictable and i'm refusing to go heavy in anything on this game.. injuries or no injuries.

Watson wrote: Trying to find those myself.

If you have found some please let me know.

Cheers

Will

Not 100% sure what you are referring to but if it's total points I use Unibet in Australia.

Like a rendition of a bad ass Rocky movie I'm back for more punishment , and after staying in a cave for a week am on under 57.5 points at Sunbet .

WSB the only bookie I can see with prices on the SuperSport Challenge, Watson

Absolute INSANITY from the Blues

Northerner wrote: Kwagga and Marx anytime tomorrow @ 5/2 each for me

I'm with you on both of those Northerner.

Especially with anytime try scorer Kwagga@10 (Sunbet).

Lions over 13.5 points HT at WSB.

On the minus 2.5 Waratahs , think it's a gift .

There are some awful skills on show out there , conditions can't be that bad surely .. nevertheless going to fall on my sword and pressing Tah's plus 5.5

coil wrote: There are some awful skills on show out there , conditions can't be that bad surely .. nevertheless going to fall on my sword and pressing Tah's plus 5.5

Screw it. I'm going with the same.

Ten point home rule

On Tahs +9.5

Zambusta wrote:

Northerner wrote: Kwagga and Marx anytime tomorrow @ 5/2 each for me

I'm with you on both of those Northerner.

Especially with anytime try scorer Kwagga@10 (Sunbet).

Kwagga you biscuit! (B)

§

Zambusta wrote:

Zambusta wrote:

Northerner wrote: Kwagga and Marx anytime tomorrow @ 5/2 each for me

I'm with you on both of those Northerner.

Especially with anytime try scorer Kwagga@10 (Sunbet).

Kwagga you biscuit! (B)

Zam surely thats a typo... did you get Kwagga anytime at 10?!!

Someone was caught fast asleep at Sunbet there!

Zam did they payout @ 10/1?

Yeah, I got him @10

Zambusta wrote: Yeah, I got him @10

I know you got him at 10/1 Zam but did you check that they paid you out at that price? I've seen bookies realise their mistake and the despite the bet still stating the bigger odds merely pay out at an adjusted price...

To be honest there should be NO excuses. I once complained to them stating that their anytime tryscorer markets were very poor by comparison to others. They Informed me thst they price up themselves on that market so we should'nt compare theirs to others! Would be somewhat hypocritical if that theory does not apply now!

Sunwolves u14.5 points @1.88

I can't see the Sunwolves scoring more than 1 try, only 10 points against Blues and Chiefs... taking Sunwolves under 11.5 points @1.95

Also for a bit more value, Total penalties under 0.5 @ 2.75
Saders wont be bothering with penalties and if they score a couple tries early then the Wolves wont either

Saders -36.5 @ 9/10 main bet.

Saders over 51.5 points at 0.87/1 for me taken last night. Would also have prefered Brent's over 7.5 tries, but that wasn't priced up when I took my bet.

southpaw wrote: Saders -36.5 @ 9/10 main bet.

also bought Tom Sanders try min @ 10

Good start to the weekend yesterday with wins on Highlanders minus and Lions W. Lost 1 unit on Lions 1to12...

HEAVILY invested on Crusaders and Chiefs minus. Seems, from forcasts that the first came will see some rain. Looks like a clear night in Brisbane. Hoping for lost of points on the New Zealand teams.

Couch Critic wrote:

Zambusta wrote: Yeah, I got him @10

I know you got him at 10/1 Zam but did you check that they paid you out at that price? I've seen bookies realise their mistake and the despite the bet still stating the bigger odds merely pay out at an adjusted price...

CC when I checked they had paid out at @2.5, so called them and they adjusted it and paid out @10.

I have had a fair amount of issues with Sunbet for a while now (started a thread about it on the forum) with incorrect payments and winning bets being put through as losers etc. Their system is not great.

That Thunderstorm has really thrown a spanner in the works

can't ask for a much better start with 14-0 and then this...even the weather is f... me

This is not going according to the script at all... Hopefully the Crusaders gone our buzzing in the second half.

need a miracle 2nd half here, rain has killed game.

Crusaders look absolutely abysmal. Seems like they've been beamed up by Aliens and replaced with imposters. Sunwolves having the game of their lives

A mate of mine just sent me a screenshot of his betslip. Put 1 unit on a draw @40/1 before the game, wouldn't that be crazy...

bamiam wrote: A mate of mine just sent me a screenshot of his betslip. Put 1 unit on a draw @40/1 before the game, wouldn't that be crazy...

That is quite the punt. Kudos to your mate

slaterj wrote:

bamiam wrote: A mate of mine just sent me a screenshot of his betslip. Put 1 unit on a draw @40/1 before the game, wouldn't that be crazy...

That is quite the punt. Kudos to your mate

He also went Wolves plus 21.5, *%"# knows how he called it. Would say the draw is still unlikely but better odds than 40/1.

bamiam wrote:

slaterj wrote:

bamiam wrote: A mate of mine just sent me a screenshot of his betslip. Put 1 unit on a draw @40/1 before the game, wouldn't that be crazy...

That is quite the punt. Kudos to your mate

He also went Wolves plus 21.5, *%"# knows how he called it. Would say the draw is still unlikely but better odds than 40/1.

Hey at least he's had a run for his money. Crusaders have been well below par and even a +21.5 would have been absurd to most people before the game