Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
- R3V3R3NT_
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- Brent Graham
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- sunnyskies
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Taylor wrote: I like Saders 1-12 tonight @ 2.70 (NZ TAB)
I know there is no Whitelock or Crotty, but with Moody and Dagg back and Taufua confirmed to start I think it's a pretty good looking team and they should be able to get across the line
My thoughts exactly
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- Taylor
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Not the strongest Blues lineup and while I think they will win, not sure it will be by a big margin, so some Blues 1-12 @ 2.87 in play , but not too involved
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- sebokeng
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- Brent Graham
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- sunnyskies
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- Brad Breath
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I'm on Chiefs 1-12 @ 3.70
Just read Taufua and Goodhue are both late scratchings for the Crusaders.
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- Brent Graham
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- Taylor
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Brad Breath wrote: Blues must be the worst professional team in the modern era.
I'm on Chiefs 1-12 @ 3.70
Just read Taufua and Goodhue are both late scratchings for the Crusaders.
Ah man really?
ATS - Dagg @ 2.60 + Team FTS @ 7.50
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- southpaw
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Could be some showers there but pitch looked a great surface. Will check closer to kick off.
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- Taylor
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sunnyskies wrote: Taking Crusaders 1-12 (same as Taylor) with Crusaders over 24.5 points. I've added last scoring play either Chiefs or Crusaders Penalty.
Why could that ball not just sneak past the outside of that post not the inside.. That one hurt
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- Brent Graham
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- Quill
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Over 6.5 tries @2.00
Tahs over 27.5 points @1.80
Tahs over 3.5 tries @1.85
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- Brent Graham
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- harry_rag
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The Racing Post have tipped North anytime at 5/2 describing it as "a surprisingly big price". No doubt their eyes would pop out if they saw 5/1 or the 9/2 and 4s readily available elsewhere!
I'd equate a try minutes buy at 7 as even better value and think he's worth a bet with stakes split across spreads and fixed odds.
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- harry_rag
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Same price but even better value for me is a buy of the Castres hotshots v Montpellier with SPIN (Tulou, Smith, Battle, Dumora). They're Castres 4 top tryscorers this season and I get an indicative price of 26. It's very rare for me to find a perceived edge of 30% and this is my bet of the weekend. Obviously I could strike out and lose 20 x my stake but it's well worth the risk.
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- Salop41
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harry_rag wrote: SA v Wales: Buy North's try minutes at 7 and anytime tryscorer at 5/1, both with Spreadex.
The Racing Post have tipped North anytime at 5/2 describing it as "a surprisingly big price". No doubt their eyes would pop out if they saw 5/1 or the 9/2 and 4s readily available elsewhere!
I'd equate a try minutes buy at 7 as even better value and think he's worth a bet with stakes split across spreads and fixed odds.
Can see North moving out to the wing for the last 20 minutes so I've gone with his try minutes.
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- harry_rag
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mackem wrote: Brumbies v Sunwolves preview http://www.goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Matches/brumbies-v-sunwolves-super-rugby-2018-betting-preview.html
I've no view on the handicap either side of,30 points. Tom Banks anytime at 5/6 and also as 1st try scorer at 10/1 (both with WSB) took my eye
Banks 4/5 best now but it's an eyecatching price when you compare it to his price on the spreads (top ranked by the spreads yet longer than Speight and Muirhead on the fixed odds). You can get 11/1 1st with 365 and (best price of the lot for me) 15/4 that he scores 2 or more as well. That looks huge given that I thought 3/1 elsewhere wasn't bad.
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- Ruan Fourie
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- harry_rag
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The hotshots are Muirhead, Kuridrani, Speight, Banks. It's rare for me to pay such a high price (4 tries needed for a profit) but it's about 8 points lower than I'd expect so I'm on to modest stake.
Teaupa a bit of an unknown quantity (he's 25 or 30 depending on which source you look at) but I just think that price is a little low (17 to buy elsewhere).
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- Ruan Fourie
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Montpellier - 10.5 @ 2.70
Castres + 10.5 @ 1.40.
And those are your choices. Same with the points and amount of tries scored. Lazy lazy.
I think after tonight I'll take out my money there and move it to a different bookie.
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- southpaw
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- Delon
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And storm is coming
This Castres is hilarious for 5,00 odds
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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- Brad Breath
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Don't think it will suit the Welsh.
Have followed on George North anytime, but no strong feeling on anything else.
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- Ruan Fourie
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- Salop41
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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Instead of a big win a small loss and a week after an error made me money
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- Quill
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Brumbies try before 10min 30sec @1.85
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- Quill
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- Brent Graham
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Brent Graham wrote: Overs looked dead, then arrives. I split my bet between GGGaming and WSB - checking accounts now it appears as if I went unders with WSB and not overs - hoping I wake up in the morning to find it is a bad dream
Instead of a big win a small loss and a week after an error made me money
Sadly not a bad dream, I back unders with WSB and overs with GGGaming
Only consolation I didnt lose much but should have been a big win.
Going to get involved in some u20 action later where I fancy Ireland +8.5 on the Cap against the Baby Boks
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- Ruan Fourie
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- harry_rag
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5 points profit on each of Wales and Castres and 17 on Brumbies.
Not spectacular but beats losing.
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