Cycling : The Tour de France
- The Vann
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Win
Pinot @ 18/1
Nibali @ 25/1
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- The Vann
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The Vann wrote: Bit early for this but Thomas went down in Switzerland today with suspected collarbone ( currently in hospital ). Dumoulin had gravel taken out of knee today and will miss teams final high altitude training so have taken some early doors on
Win
Pinot @ 18/1
Nibali @ 25/1
Ineos report except for scratches and bruises Thomas OK. Not ideal preparation for TdF but coming in slightly under cooked is sometimes not a bad tactic. Would not make the above bets now but was worth a shot yesterday (before prices changed) as I believe the tour would be wide open if Thomas does not start.
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- kt6747
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The Vann wrote: Bit early for this but Thomas went down in Switzerland today with suspected collarbone ( currently in hospital ). Dumoulin had gravel taken out of knee today and will miss teams final high altitude training so have taken some early doors on
Win
Pinot @ 18/1
Nibali @ 25/1
Vann never to early for Tour De France topic. I have already started taking some early bets. So excited as hoping some team actually takes on Ineos.
My early punt down is on Uran @ 50/1 (E/W)
Still early but think EFF have a decent team and just hoping Wood just flu and nothing serious after Daphne.
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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He will have a strong team, he should be ok in TTT and then just the ITT to get through - some serious altitude in this tour and I cannot think he will have a better chance
5 units Quintana win 18/1 Sporting
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Brent Graham wrote: I know he hasn't had the best build up and there is talk he won't like the heat but I am making an early play on Quintana at 18/1 Sportingbet
He will have a strong team, he should be ok in TTT and then just the ITT to get through - some serious altitude in this tour and I cannot think he will have a better chance
5 units Quintana win 18/1 Sporting
I read somewhere that this is the TdF that will be the highest on aggregate ito meters above sea level. The first person I thought of when I heard this was Nairo. Reckon people are unsure whether he still has one last big grand tour in him but I reckon we are getting a cracking price at 18/1
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- Brent Graham
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He is 29 years old which is usually around when GT riders peak
The UDT Fantasy game looks likely to be a tough one this year - I love the format and it add so much to the Tour - here is the link cycling.big5games.com/tdf/restricted/Dashboard.j
League name Goodforthegame
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- Brent Graham
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I was impressed by Buchmann in the Dauphine and while he doesnt have the strongest of climbing teams I think he could impress in July
1 unit Buchmann win 66/1
2 units Buchmann top 3 15/1 at Sunbet
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- The Vann
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This is the kind of post one makes waiting for the next footie game to start.
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- kt6747
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I just think that's something worth taking.
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- The Vann
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Stage 1
1-3 Philipsen @ 50/1
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/tour-...betting-preview.html
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- Brent Graham
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Outright Preview up tomorrow morning
CLICK HERE to get onto my TDF Mailing list where I share my thoughts on occasions over the 3 weeks
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- The Vann
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Nibali still has not decided if he is going for out right or KOM or stages. Bahrain have given him a good TT team and I think he will find himself pretty close to the leaders after stage 6 when he say's he will decide. In 2018 Cofidis beat Direct Energy by 24 minutes reversing the 34 minute loss from the 2017 tour. This match-up will be decided by which team gets into the most breaks and I favour the Direct Energy team. Only two sprinters are here with virtually full lead-out trains and only one of them wins when the stage runs over 200km.
TdF Out Rights
Top 6
Nibali @ 11/4
Team Match-Up
Direct Energy over Cofidis @ 5/4
To win over 0.5 stages
Ewan @ evens
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- The Vann
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To win over 0.5 stages
de Gendt @ 3/1
de Marchi @ 7/2
To win over 1.5 stages
Ewan @ 4/1
To win team competition
Ineos @ 7/2
Match Bet Double
Buchmann over Martin into
Caruso over Vuillermoz @ 32/10
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- Brent Graham
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Guys here is the code to the UDT Fantasy League
18959529806189
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- The Vann
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Brent Graham wrote: Thanks Vann - interesting I was also eyeing Caruso in that match bet
Guys here is the code to the UDT Fantasy League
18959529806189
OK so that's the piddling little money side dealt with - Now we sort the men from the boys - No passing out on the back seat of cars for the manne:woohoo: Let the games begin.
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- The Vann
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Besides the Philipsen bet above two for me
Win
Ewan @ 7/2
Match Bet
Stuyven over Trentin @ 18/10
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- Brent Graham
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0.5 units Cobrelli 20/1
1.5 units Cobrelli podium 4/1
2 units Double Thomas/Bernal Sobrelli/Matthews at 24/10
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- southpaw
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FUGLSANG 11/2
BARDET 22/1
a nice interest for next 3 weeks.
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- Couch Critic
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Caleb Ewan to win @ 9/2
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- The Vann
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Stage 2 TTT
Win
MS @ 11/2
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- Brent Graham
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A slow start and taking it easy today
1 unit MScott 5/1 Sunbet (thanks Vann)
0.5 unit CCC top 3 9/1 Sunbet
Update and preview below
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- Brent Graham
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A slow start and taking it easy today
1 unit MScott 5/1 Sunbet (thanks Vann)
0.5 unit CCC top 3 9/1 Sunbet
Update and preview below
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- Couch Critic
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EF over Quick-Step @ 6/5 with Sunbet
Double:
CCC over Katusha onto MS over QS @ 13/10 (WSB)
And an outside nibble on Bora not being at top speeds with the Buchmann issue
Movi over Bora @ 19/10 with WSB
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- The Vann
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Couch Critic wrote:
Double:
CCC over Katusha onto MS over QS @ 13/10 (WSB)
Yep - will have me some of that
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- Brent Graham
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- mackem
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Stage 3 bets
2 units Alaphilippe over Sagan at 1/1 Sunbet
0.5 unit Bettiol win 33/1
Here is the preview and betting update
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I reckon bookies are underestimating Stage 3. The only concern with not throwing more cash at this stage is that it will be difficult to control late attacks. But for mind it should be between the big three - Sagan (if it's a touch easier than I think), Ala P (if it's exactly as I expect) and Valverde (if it's a touch tougher). If there are number of riders going up that final 500 meters together then I don't see anyone stopping one of those 3 from taking the win.
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To win
Tim Wellens @ 50/1
Tiesj Benoot @ 90/1
Lutsenko @ 110/1
Mohoric @ 138/1
Match-ups which I feel offer value:
Porte over Kruisjwijk @ 7/4
Bettiol over Colbrelli @ 16/10
Thomas over Bernal @ 11/10
Trentin over Colbrelli @ 7/5
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- The Vann
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Stage 3
Ned Boulting rode the last km an hour ago and reports it has quite a kick - probably Alaphilippe territory. He's a little short so two places for me
1-3
Valverde @ 13/2
Wellens @ 12/1
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- mackem
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Tiesj Benoot at 16/1. If Ewan doesn't get over the climbs in touch I guess Wellens is the most likely from the team and they potentially have multiple cards to play. Maybe Wednesday is a better day for Benoot but I'll kick myself if he pops up and Ive left him out..
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- Brent Graham
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- kt6747
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I have taken Ewan/Sagan @ 11/10
If Ewan gets over the final climb in pelaton, should have the pace to beat Sagan.
Enjoy the stage
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- Brent Graham
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I have a feeling stage 4 is going to be exciting, it will surely end in a sprint but I have a feeling a few of the sprinters will battle to get back after that final climb
Stage 4 Bets
I like Viviani to win the stage but he is a bit short for me
0.5 units Van Aert win 50/1
1 unit Viviani/Groen, Nizzolo/Kristoff Ewan/Sagan at 4.7/1 Hollywood
Reasoning in the video preview
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- The Vann
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Not sure whether Groenewegen is at 100% and there is always a small question mark for me re Viviani when the stage runs over 200km
Ewan @ 9/2
Sagan over Viviani @ 23/20
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Nothing for me on Stage 4 gents. Just don't have a solid feeling either way so I will sit out.
Just a little extra outright nibble from me:
Omar Fraile - King of the Mountains @ 125/1
He looked to have a little go for the points yesterday so just taking a small nibble in case he is indeed in the mix for the polka
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- Brent Graham
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Tomorrows stage should be great viewing - will we see the Yellow Jersey in the break? I think so
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- Brent Graham
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I think Alaphilippe is a worthy fav but will go for a variety of bets - explanations in the video
0.5 units Bettiol 28/1 Hollywood
5 units Alaphilippe/Sagan at 8/10 Sunbet (I almost made this a 10 unit strike)
1 unit winning margin 2 seconds or more 22/10 Sunbet
Video Preview
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- mackem
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The odds on some breakaway candidates are just too tasty to pass up so I will take a stab at a few who have different winning options. Wellens and Schachmann are rightly also near the top of the boards for this one and I'm sure Chris will be all over TdG today! But here are my plays:
Lutsenko @ 40/1
Mohoric @ 43/1
Olivier Naesen @ 119/1
Jose Goncalves @ 170/1
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- Brent Graham
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0.5 units down for me - could only get 33/1
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mackem wrote: Stage 5, Mohoric for me at around 40/1, way back in the standings so should be allowed into break if he fancy's it and he is a great descender.
What - no Tommy G?! Clearly that means he wins this...!
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- mackem
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GvA didn't contest sprint yesterday by the look of it so think he will target this one. Sticking to those 2 but could have put 10 riders in there, looking forward to this one and Thursday, what a shame tomorrow clashes with cricket.
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- The Vann
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1-3
G Martin @ 100/1
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