NRL 2020

Cheers Brad.

Nice start with the Dragons - lets hope it keeps going the right way. Reckon Warriors have a good shot of doing the job for us tomorrow. To be honest I can seen Broncos shocking someone somewhere but at the same time they could snap out of their trans at some unexpected stage as well.

Sea Eagles vs Warriors

Sea Eagles (-7.5) @1.80
Under 34.5 points @1.90

Sydney rooster vs Melbourne storm
+8 on the storm, bookies got this one wrong,
Roosters are heavily off form, without Brett Morris these roosters can't score a try.
Storm very powerful and on song last week despite losing cam smith.
Should be Storm -5 or 6, will be getting onto this strong

chrismcgowan2411 wrote: Sydney rooster vs Melbourne storm
+8 on the storm, bookies got this one wrong,
Roosters are heavily off form, without Brett Morris these roosters can't score a try.
Storm very powerful and on song last week despite losing cam smith.
Should be Storm -5 or 6, will be getting onto this strong

I was also very surprised when I saw the line. Brett Morris and Jared Waerea-Hargreaves both out.
I have already taken a chunk of Storm outright

Only issue for Storm is that Cam Munster joins Cam Smith on the sidelines. Munster is huge for Melbourne but I still agree that Storm on the plus is the way to go against a struggling Roosters side

I hear you but I think the bookies have overreacted to the Camerons's omissions. The Storm beat the Raiders away without Munster by a converted try a few games back. I also think Hughes playmaking has been really good and I rate the Storm forward pack over the Roosters pack. It's going to be an excellent game!
The plus at more than a converted try really is excellent value.

Cant watch much this weekend but having a moderate acca on the following:
Storm +8
Warriors +20
Raiders -12
@ 4.49

Panthers have the talent to shred the Warriors by 30, which they could well do, but Warriors showing resilience in bucket loads recently.
Pretty confident on the other 2 legs.

Zambusta wrote:

chrismcgowan2411 wrote: Sydney rooster vs Melbourne storm
+8 on the storm, bookies got this one wrong,
Roosters are heavily off form, without Brett Morris these roosters can't score a try.
Storm very powerful and on song last week despite losing cam smith.
Should be Storm -5 or 6, will be getting onto this strong

I was also very surprised when I saw the line. Brett Morris and Jared Waerea-Hargreaves both out.
I have already taken a chunk of Storm outright

Great start to the weekend!

Sharks vs Titans

Bet 1: Sharks Team Total Over 24.5 points @1.87
Bet 2: Total points over 44.5 @1.91
Bet 3: Sharks -7.5 @1.87
Bet 4: Time of Team 1st Try - Sharks 1st Try before 11'30" @1.85

Wow. You took a bite at the right plays there Quil. Amazing last quarter!!

2 early plays for me:

Eels to beat Storm @ 1.83 (taken on Monday, they've come right in since)

Acca on following teams to win:
Panthers, Dragons, Roosters, Rabbits, Knights
@ 5.38

Eels vs Storm
If not for hughes' ommission i'd price this at -20-25 storm.
Yet +6 is a very solid bet if your going to have one.
Papenhauzen, addo-carr and olam should get the win, against an eels side that can't put teams away.
If sivo and Jennings are managed, should be a walk over, although expecting a much closer contest than against the Roosters

Melbourne Storm +7.5 @1.90

The Eels have been struggling to win for the past few weeks, and those matches weren't even against top teams.
The grit and determination that the Storm showed last week in their demolition of the Roosters, makes me take them at under two tries.

Bet: Storm +7.5 @1.90

I am on Eels too. However value's gone on Monday. No Vunivalu, Finucane, Kamikamice, Momirovski, Cameron Smith, Cameron Munster. Hughes was the superman last round, he is ruled out as Bromwich failed and suspended. Sandor Earl is weak, new kid in the halves, questionable bench.
Eels lost round, but it was a coin toss and St. George's coach's last game. Last rounds were close but don't forget it, that for example in wet conditions. Eels are full.

The Storm may be missing their playmakers but I am backing their defence and Eels attack has been off the boil.
Eels have only scored more than 20 points once in their last 6 games.
Storm haven't conceded more than 20 at all in their last 6 games.

Eels total under 21,5 @1.96

Disappointed that I didnt keep my focus on the points in that one. Jeez that was horrible footy.
Rabbitohs and Roosters the teams I have most faith in for the rest of the weekend

Panthers vs Sharks

Bet 1: Total points over 42.5 @1.95
Bet 2: Panthers -12.5 @1.91

Small stakes, for an interest.

Quill wrote: Panthers vs Sharks

Bet 1: Total points over 42.5 @1.95
Bet 2: Panthers -12.5 @1.91

Small stakes, for an interest.

Smalls myself on Panthers over 24.5 points @ 1.80

Couch Critic wrote: Disappointed that I didnt keep my focus on the points in that one. Jeez that was horrible footy.
Rabbitohs and Roosters the teams I have most faith in for the rest of the weekend

The officiating was shocking in the Eels vs Storm game and the Eels play acting was just terrible!

Sorry I forgot to post earlier. I was on Panthers over 2.5 tries in 1st half again...they have been a really impressive first half team bringing lots and lots of energy as seen in today's game so far.

Brisbane Broncos vs St George Illawarra Dragons

Bet 1: Total points over 44.5 @1.91
Bet 2: Dragons -9.5 @1.84

Titans v Raiders

Total points under 44.5 @ 1.91

Gold Coast Titans vs Canberra Raiders

I'm always hesitant when bookies put a high total in a match played by two notoriously low scoring teams. There must be something about it, and when the bookies put a number higher than what we'd think, the total goes over. It happened in Super Rugby and other competitions too.

What's the catch, I wonder...
OK, nice weather on the Gold Coast, but these teams played in nice weather before too.

So I took this multi, with a higher under:

Bet 1: Raiders win + Under 49.5 @2.05

As a second bet I took the Titans to stay close. They've showed improvement in the past few weeks, staying close in their defeats to the Panthers (8 points), Roosters (6 points), beating the Cowboys (as any half decent team should), and last week, if it wasn't for Proctor's bite (of the hand that was not feeding him ) resulting in a red card, they may not have lost to the Sharks.

Bet 2: Titans +12.5 @1.85

I am not sure where the appropriate place is to make this post - but I can't see anything other than another resounding victory for the Catalan Dragons v Wakefield Trinity in the Challenge Cup.

Wakefield are turning to a lot of youngsters this week after getting smashed by the Dragons one week ago 58-0 (without Israel Folau who is back this week) in the league fixture.

The Catalan Dragons have put out a strong side for this cup fixture. They might not win by 50+ again but I expect them to put 20+ on a young Wakefield side who should get outclassed.

Bet: Catalan Dragons (-14) to beat Wakefield Trinity

Wests Tigers vs Sydney Roosters

Bet 1: Roosters -6 @1.91
Bet 2: Roosters team total Over 22.5 @1.93
Bet 3: Total points Over 40.5

Catalan Dragons (-14) @ 1.91

Quill wrote: Gold Coast Titans vs Canberra Raiders

I'm always hesitant when bookies put a high total in a match played by two notoriously low scoring teams. There must be something about it, and when the bookies put a number higher than what we'd think, the total goes over. It happened in Super Rugby and other competitions too.

What's the catch, I wonder...
OK, nice weather on the Gold Coast, but these teams played in nice weather before too.

So I took this multi, with a higher under:

Bet 1: Raiders win + Under 49.5 @2.05

As a second bet I took the Titans to stay close. They've showed improvement in the past few weeks, staying close in their defeats to the Panthers (8 points), Roosters (6 points), beating the Cowboys (as any half decent team should), and last week, if it wasn't for Proctor's bite (of the hand that was not feeding him ) resulting in a red card, they may not have lost to the Sharks.

Bet 2: Titans +12.5 @1.85

It's been quite a while since I've been telling myself, but rarely listened to this inside voice of mine: "If the bookies put a higher total than you'd expect, there is a reason for that and you'd better follow it or don't play it"

Unlucky quill. I’m not generally an NRL fan but kids got me up early this am so watched this due to lack of other rugga. Quite enjoyed it, could be tempted to have a punt next time around!

southpaw wrote: Unlucky quill. I’m not generally an NRL fan but kids got me up early this am so watched this due to lack of other rugga. Quite enjoyed it, could be tempted to have a punt next time around!

I wasn't an NRL fan either, but I moved from Perth to Sydney a few years ago, and not only Sydney is both union and league country, but now I live near the Panthers stadium too!

Bulldogs vs Warriors

Bulldogs -1.5 @1.87

Newcastle Knights vs NQ Cowboys

The Cowboys are 3rd from bottom with 7 consecutive defeats, only 2 wins in their last 12 matches since the resumption.
They did beat today's hosts at the end of June, but since then they've gone on a 7-match losing streak, while the Knights are 4W-3L.
The Knights are sitting 7th on the ladder, inside the top 8 play-off zone, at a fairly comfortable distance from the chasing pack from 9th downwards (5 points - 2 points for the win).

The Knights play their 3rd consecutive home game, the previous two ended in wins, and there is nothing to suggest that they won't get the third in a row, especially with a limited number spectators allowed (a few thousand).

Bet 1: Knights -9.5 @1.91
Bet 2: Knights total team points Over 26.5 @1.75
Bet 3: Time of 1st Newcastle Knights Try - Before 10'59" @1.80
Bet 4: Time of 1st Try - Before 7'59" @1.77

Double
Knights + West Coast Eagles (Australian Rules Football - see thread next door) @1.72, big bet.

Brad Breath wrote: Acca on following teams to win:
Panthers, Dragons, Roosters, Rabbits, Knights
@ 5.38

Having the Knights as last leg - what an unpleasant experience for 78 minutes that was!

My acca this week (perhaps getting a bit greedy):
Rabbits +10
Warriors +12
Cowboys +14
Tigers +20
Storm -6
@ 9.70

And seperate punt on the Warriors +8 @ 1.91
They've been ultra tough in recent weeks and with Harris-Tavita in and Blake Green out for the Knights, reckon they're a good chance to win here

I like the Rabbitohs to stay close.

Although the Eels have been winning, they struggle to put teams away and even to get their wins. Against a severely depleted Melbourne Storm they won only 14-0, with only 2 points scored in the second half when Melbourne had a player sin binned too.

Bet: Rabbitohs +6.5 @1.91.

Agreed Quill. The Eels have been great on defence but their attack has been off the boil. Rabbitohs coming in to some good form. In the Eels win against the Storm the officiating was very one sided and even with a Storm player being binned they didn't score a lot of points.

I also took the plus earleir in the week along with the following:
Eels under 21,5 points

Both your bets just snuck in there lads

Nicely done lads!!

I also took Bunnies on the board + half time/full time + overs in play.

So was a very profitable morning!



Keep it rolling boys!

Couch, I must thank you for bringing rugby league to my attention all of 3 months ago.
Before this I had never watched a rugby league game - it's great...no scrums, no line outs, etc etc, and you don't even know there is a ref on the field.
Best of all - pre-match bookie handicaps are as irrelevant as in union - pick the correct side and you can punt some nice odds against shots

St. George Illawarra Dragons vs Gold Coast Titans

The Dragons are still in with a chance for the play-offs, while the Titans have only 4 wins in 15 matches and the second leakiest defence in the league.
The Dragons have now won two in a row, and they look better under their new coach. Matt Dufty and Zac Lomax are in great form for them, and after nearly botching last week's win against the Broncos (the team that everybody beats), I expect them to cover the handicap here and score a plenty too.

Bet 1: Dragons -8.5 @1.80
Bet 2: Dragons Team Total Over 26.5 @1.84

Anytime, S. Katoa (sharks) + Ravalawa (dragons) + Brett Morris (roosters) + Tedesco (roosters) tryscorers combo
LEGO

Bet 1: Roosters -25.5 @1.90
Bet 2: Team Total Roosters Over 34.5 points @1.89
Bet 3: To score two or more tries - Brett Morris @2.80
Bet 4: Anytime tryscorers - B Morris + J Morris @2.50
Bet 5: Anytime tryscorers - B Morris + Tedesco @2.30

Looks like all aboard the BMoz train!!