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TOPIC: Tennis: US Open

Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 5 days ago #73564

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As and when we have the time and opportunity let's post our views and bets here.

There are so many matches that caught my eye today, that I find it difficult to concentrate on them, although I did make a selection.

Here's what caught my attention.

Winners (the numbers are the odds for plain win):
Schwartzman 1.23
Donaldson 1.37
Kokkinakis 1.43
Muller 1.26
Norrie 1.29
Carreno-Busta (PCB) 1.09
Anderson 1.05
Tsonga 1.12
Isner 1.16
M Zverev 1.10
A Zverev 1.02
Johnson 1.13

Some bets that I could figure out:

Schwartzman vs Berlocq Over 3.5 sets @1.80
Schwartzman vs Berlocq Over 34.5 games @1.72

Multiples

Carreno-Busta 1.09 + Anderson 1.05 + Tsonga 1.12 + Isner 1.16 + M Zverev 1.10 + A Zverev 1.02 + Johnson 1.13 @1.88

Schwartzman 1.23 + PCB 1.09 + Anderson 1.05 + Isner 1.16 + A Zverev 1.02 + Johnson 1.13 @1.88

Donaldson 1.37 + PCB 1.09 + Anderson 1.05 + Isner 1.16 + A Zverev 1.02 + Johnson 1.13 @2.09

The Americans
Donaldson + Johnson + Isner @1.80

PCB 3-0
Anderson 3-0
Isner 3-0
M Zverev 3-0
A Zverev 3-0

I'll be looking at various multiples combining plain wins with 3-0 wins, depending on the odds.

Let's have a good tournament! (B)
Last Edit: 3 weeks 5 days ago by Quill.
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 5 days ago #73565

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Quick notes.

Cilic is coming after an injury, as in the final at Wimbledon he got injured and still played the full match. This is his first match since then, so I am waiting to see how he fares, that's why I didn't include him in my winners.
In the meantime Sandgren played quite well.

The Americans play very well at home, so I am taking them for the win in their respective matches.

Kokkinakis has been picking up form since he returned from injury and I expect him to do well against an out of form Tipsarevic.

Muller should beat Tomic, who is on a downward slope. Muller is in great form this year and also leads H2H 4-1.

The other winners I picked are simply much better than their opponents and should win.
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 5 days ago #73566

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OK, I think this is it for tonight.

Multiples

Kokkinakis 1.43 + PCB 1.09 + Anderson 1.05 + Isner 1.16 + A Zverev 1.02 @1.93

Muller 1.26 + PCB 1.09 + Anderson 1.05 + Isner 1.16 + M Zverev 1.10 + A Zverev 1.02 @1.87

Norrie 1.29 + PCB 1.09 + Anderson 1.05 + Isner 1.16 + M Zverev 1.10 + A Zverev 1.02 @1.92

PCB 3-0 1.68 + Anderson 1.05 + Isner 1.16 + M Zverev 1.10 + A Zverev 1.02 @2.29

Anderson 3-0 1.42 + PCB 1.09 + Isner 1.16 + M Zverev 1.10 + A Zverev 1.02 @2.01

M Zverev 3-0 1.69 + Anderson 1.05 + Isner 1.16 + PCB 1.09 + A Zverev 1.02 @2.29

A Zverev 3-0 1.32 + Anderson 1.05 + Isner 1.16 + M Zverev 1.10 + PCB 1.09 @1.92

Isner 3-0 @2.06
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 5 days ago #73579

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4-fold for today:
Chung
Norrie
Kokkinakis
Ferrer @ 16/10
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 4 days ago #73630

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Some of the results yesterday didn't go according to plan, as it always happens, but the weather plays a role too, and today it seems it's going to be windy and rainy.
My multiples saved me though, therefore I'm not taking any individual match bets, but only H2H.

I think that the following will win their matches, and I will take these in various combinations:

Sugita + Gasquet + Young + Delpo + Kyrgios + Monfils + Federer + Nadal + Maceiras + Mannarino + Karlovic + Thiem + Troicki + Dolgo + RBA + Jaziri + Bedene + Dimitrov.

Good luck!
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 4 days ago #73631

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Some combinations I took:

Bedene 1.73 + Kyrgios 1.11 + Karlovic 1.33 @2.46

Jaziri 1.63 + Fed 1.04 + Monfils 1.11 + Mannarino 1.16 @2.07

Kyrgios 1.11 + Fed 1.04 + Troicki 1.62 + Nadal 1.02 + Delpo 1.06 + RBA 1.15 @2.17

Sugita 1.09 + Thiem 1.04 + Dimitrov 1.02 + Young 1.55 + Maceiras 1.09 + Gasquet 1.28 @2.31

Dolgo 1.95 + Fed 1.04 + Nadal 1.02 @2.00

Also adding Cirstea @1.36 and Radwanska @1.27 in some combinations with the likes of Fed, Nadal, Dimitrov, Thiem, Kyrgios, Delpo, to boost the odds.
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73647

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Many thanks to Oracle for his US Open outright pick



twitter: @goodforthegame
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73660

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Did not make my usual outright pick. Thanks to the Oracle posting I had a quick look earlier. If I am reading the draw correctly it seems virtually all the books top selections are sitting in the top half of the draw - Federer, Nadal, Dimitrov, Kyrgios and Thiem. In the bottom half you have A Zverev, Cilic and not much else. Zverev, I believe has yet to go deep in a best of five set tournament so two for me

e/w Cilic @ 14/1
e/w Muller @ 150/1
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73661

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After the Windies and Bangladesh, I'm going for another massive outsider - David Goffin at a crazy price of 158/1
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73662

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I took Kuznetsova + Vandeweghe + Gavrilova @1.90
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73663

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Harrison vs Berdych over 35 @1.85
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73664

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Darcis vs Pella over 36.5 @1.85
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73666

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Schwartzman + Muller + Isner @2.21
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73676

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Some desperately lousy individual results for me last night, but faring better at multiples for the time being.
Maybe I should stick to multiples for the first few rounds.

For tonight I like the following doubles (more experience playing together, good results, against players who haven't played together or with poorer results):

Rojer/Tecau 1.10 vs Dzumhur/Lajovic
Koolhof/Sitak vs Dodig/Granollers-Pujol 1.22
Haase/Middelkoop vs Herbert/Mahut 1.11
Bryan/Bryan 1.14 vs Jebavy/Vesely
Kirkov/Thomas vs Marach/Pavic 1.04
Duran/Skupski vs Kubot/Melo 1.14

Total combo @2.01

I'll also take each of these as part of other multiples, in various combinations.
Last Edit: 3 weeks 3 days ago by Quill.
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73678

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In Women's doubles I like the following:

Makarova/Vesnina 1.06 vs Brady/Riske
Safarova/Strycova 1.15 vs McHale/Watson
Babos/Hlavackova 1.10 vs Stojanovic/Vikhlyantseva
Putintseva/Rodionova vs Chan/Hingis 1.05

I'll use each of these in various combinations.
Last Edit: 3 weeks 3 days ago by Quill.
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 3 days ago #73679

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Players that I'll include in my various multiples:

Dimitrov
Del Potro
RB Agut
Federer
Nadal
Thiem
Monfils
Berdych
Goffin
Kohly

Multiple 3-0 bet:
Delpo + Fed + Nadal @2.36

Glaring bet:
Verdasco vs Lopez Over 38.5 games @1.85
Last Edit: 3 weeks 3 days ago by Quill.
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 2 days ago #73681

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My multiples for tonight:

Berdych 1.22 + Dodig/Granollers 1.22 + Marach/Pavic 1.04 + Kubot/Melo 1.14 + Dimi 1.14 @2.01

Delpo 1.05 + RBA 1.10 + Babos/Hlavackova 1.10 + Fed 1.04 + Thiem 1.21 + Goffin 1.26 @2.01

Kohly 1.11 + Monfils 1.22 + Herbert/Mahut 1.11 + Bryan/Bryan 1.14 + Nadal 1.02 + Fed 1.04 + Delpo 1.05 @1.90
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 2 days ago #73693

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Lost Muller in the bottom half last night so have added Querrey e/w @ 33/1 ( choice between him and Isner so took the longer odds )
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 2 days ago #73706

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Dzumhur -1.5 @ 1.83

Jaziri v Millman over 3.5 sets + Osaka @ 2.00

Niculescu + Dimitrov + Federer + Del Potro + Nadal @ 2.05

Harrison/Venus + Berdych + Klaasen/Ram @ 2.10
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 1 day ago #73734

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Pouille vs Kukushkin Over 36.5 @1.81

Shapovalov vs Edmund
These two are in great form and a couple months ago played a long match in London.

Over 38.5 games @1.87.
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 17 hours ago #73790

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Bautista-Agut @ 1.80

Dzumhur @ 2.00

Troicki +5.5 @ 1.75

Niculescu @ 2.00
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 13 hours ago #73800

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Kohlschreiber + Thiem + Nadal @2.00
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 12 hours ago #73809

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Rojer/Tecau + Bryan/Bryan + Chan/Hingis + Nadal @1.80
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 11 hours ago #73810

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Just one for me this evening. Lopez breezed past Verdasco where he normally struggles and The Fed has not looked himself. The courts appear slightly slower than normal and head to head is 12 zip in Fed's favour but I am going for this little outsider

Lopez over Federer @ 77/20
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Tennis: US Open 3 weeks 7 hours ago #73817

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Taylor wrote:
Bautista-Agut @ 1.80

Dzumhur @ 2.00

Troicki +5.5 @ 1.75

Niculescu @ 2.00

Wow absolute failure across the board. Useless. Time to give up on this tournament for me
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Tennis: US Open 2 weeks 6 days ago #73831

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Anderson + Sharapova + Muguruza @2.19
Babos/Hlavackova + Chan/Hingis + Sharapova @2.08
Anderson + Babos/Hlavackova + Chan/Hingis @1.75.

I'm not going for any of the individual bets, overs or handicaps, because there have been too many that have gone the other way than what was expected.
The multiples have been good for me so far, so I am continuing like that as long as I can still see clear winners (whether in long or short matches).
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Tennis: US Open 2 weeks 4 days ago #73857

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PC Busta vs Schwartzman

I heard that Schwartzman had a groin injury, so not sure how fit he will be against the Spaniard. If fit, I'd take the Argentinian +3.5 or to win the match, as he has been tremendous at this tournament. He broke Cilic serve 9 times!

Querrey vs Anderson

Anderson looks set (excuse the pun ;) :P ) to go far here, but Querrey has been playing really well too, and these two players love their serves and they did have long matches in the past.
Two months ago at Wimbledon Querrey won in 5 long sets, with 2 tie-breaks and 31 aces each.

The bet I'm going for is over 41 games @1.83 Pinnaclesport. Bet365 has it at 41.5 games @1.83.
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Tennis: US Open 2 weeks 4 days ago #73884

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Kvitova + Wellington (-11.5 alt handi @1.48) @2.39
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Tennis: US Open 2 weeks 2 days ago #73938

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Rojer/Tecau have been playing very well so far and as underdogs (seed 12) they beat seed no.4 Murray/Soares in last round.
Today they play against the top seed, Kontinen/Peers.
These two pairs met 3 times so far, two times this year.
H2H is 2-1 to the top seed, with Rojer/Tecau winning in Dubai semifinal earlier this year.

Rojer/Tecau are no strangers in terms of winning Grand Slams, and at odds of 2.16 I think they are a great bet, especially that they are in great form too.

The other doubles match of the night has Lopez/Lopez vs Bryan/Bryan.
I'm taking the Americans to win in a multiple @2.10, with two big favourites from Bogota tournament: V. Estrella top seed and A. Martin, who plays against a qualifier.
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Tennis: US Open 2 weeks 2 days ago #73955

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Williams vs Stephens
Vandeweghe vs Keys

Going over 21.5 games in each of these matches.
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Tennis: US Open 2 weeks 1 day ago #74017

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Anderson vs PC Busta

Anderson leads H2H 2-0.
Both players are for the first time in the semifinals of a major tournament.
Busta had an easier path to get here, as he played against 4 qualifiers and the highest ranked opponent was Schwartzman.
Anderson was great against Querrey and he should be able to win this match.

Nadal vs Del Porto

Delpo is playing amazingly well. He survived Thiem after he was 2 sets down, being awfully sick, and lifted by the crowd he came back into the match, won the third set, saved 2 match points in the 4th and won the 5th.
Then he beat Federer.
I think that his adventure finishes here, because even though he beat Nadal in the past and leads H2H on hard courts 5-4, this is not the same Delpo whom we knew before his surgeries at his wrist.

Nadal will attack his weak point and he is too close to winning this major and too hungry for it.

Bet 1: Anderson + Nadal @1.94
Bet 2: Anderson -3.5 @1.81.
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Tennis: US Open 1 week 6 days ago #74123

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Not a very patriotic bet but I fancy Nadal to win in straight sets and or cover the -6.5 games handicap....Anderson statistically doesn't come close to threatening Nadal's serve and only holds in the high 70's against him.

The only way I see Anderson winning a set is through a tie break and he will have to endure a lot of pressure to even reach that stage...also, first slam final on a massive court has to trigger some serious nerves.
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Tennis: US Open 1 week 6 days ago #74127

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Anderson in general is one of my favourites and I'm glad that he made it to this final. He has a nice character too, as at the interview the other day he showed that he is in touch with reality, he didn't get ahead of himself, and acknowledged the fact that it may not have been possible for him, or others, to go so far in this tournament, if it wasn't for a bunch of top players missing out.

Obviously, he thanked Murray, Raonic, Wawrinka, Djokovic, Nishikori, as through their absence they gave the opportunity to other players to have a deeper run.

These two players met 4 times before and Nadal leads 4-0. On hard courts they met 3 times and in all 4 encounters Anderson won just one set.

In this tournament Nadal has had a habit of starting slow, even losing the first set.
It is therefore tempting to go for overs here, but given the importance of this match, Nadal's hunger to re-assert his dominance and why not, getting ever closer to reaching Fed's Grand Slam record wins, I too think that Nadal will waste no time and start this match well, and once having the upper hand it's game over.

Bet 1: Nadal 3-0 @1.93 pinnaclesport
Bet 2: Nadal -6.5 @2.00 pinnaclesport
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Tennis: US Open 1 week 6 days ago #74139

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With every one else here - probably about as much of a contest as the women's final

Final under 35 games @9/10 Going 5 units
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