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TOPIC: Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 6 days ago #80050

  • coil
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Honda Lads , wishing you all a pleasant Easter . I'm working early hour's so have jumped the gun while the kids watch Youtube and play PS4 :huh:

Racing was cancelled in Durban and the wife has gone out to get the hair done .

My early cap's for this week.

Canes minus 22.5 vs Sharks
Wolves plus 22.5 vs Waratahs
Chiefs minus 16.5 vs Blues
Brumbies choice vs Reds
Lions minus 2.5 vs Stormers
Jags plus 16.5 vs Crusaders
Last Edit: 2 weeks 6 days ago by Brent Graham. Reason: Heading
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 6 days ago #80095

Thanks Coiler, mine in brackets to the right

Canes minus 22.5 vs Sharks (-15.5)
Wolves plus 22.5 vs Waratahs (+16.5)
Chiefs minus 16.5 vs Blues (-10.5)
Brumbies choice vs Reds (-5.5)
Lions minus 2.5 vs Stormers (-3.5)
Jags plus 16.5 vs Crusaders (+11.5)

Let's see what the bookies reckon
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 5 days ago #80099

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Brumbies vs Reds sunbet has reds 5/10 fav. :silly:
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 5 days ago #80100

Stoossy wrote:
Brumbies vs Reds sunbet has reds 5/10 fav. :silly:

Was just an error, put the odds the wrong way round. I'm all over the Reds plus when it's available though.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 5 days ago #80102

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The Missing Link wrote:
Stoossy wrote:
Brumbies vs Reds sunbet has reds 5/10 fav. :silly:

Was just an error, put the odds the wrong way round. I'm all over the Reds plus when it's available though.

sorry was my fault / i will also be on the Reds +

while you online hope we going get some Varsity Cup predictions :)
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 5 days ago #80105

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Caps are out

Canes -22.5 vs Sharks
Wolves +15.5 vs Waratahs
Chiefs -8.5 vs Blues
Brumbies -4.5 vs Reds
Lions -7.5 vs Stormers
Jags + 15.5 vs Crusaders

Early thoughts on Chiefs and Tahs H
Lachignole
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 5 days ago #80108

Thanks bradie82, based on my caps the Sharks plus, Jags plus and Stormers plus are the big differences, Coil would see value in the Waratahs minus, Chiefs minus, Reds plus and Stormers plus

The one game we both differ from the opening quotes is the Stormers and the +7.5 will be my only early play

Great to see Sunbet coming out so early
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Last Edit: 2 weeks 5 days ago by Brent Graham. Reason: addition
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 5 days ago #80110

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Chiefs and Stormers for me
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 5 days ago #80112

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Waratahs by 13+ @ 1.62 is my early call this week
Despite Folau being out for three weeks, from what i ve seen, this team has the potential to smash that Wolves team by 30+
Lachignole
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 5 days ago #80117

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Three H/T cap calls for me and one F/T

Sharks +11,5
Suns +7,5
Jaguars +7,5

Reds 15/10
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 4 days ago #80143

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Many thanks to Couch Critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Fake Beer & Cubicle Cuddling
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 4 days ago #80151

mackem wrote:
Many thanks to Couch Critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Fake Beer & Cubicle Cuddling

Quality read Couch, as per usual!

"Of course one swallow doesn’t make an orgy" :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 4 days ago #80152

Brad Breath wrote:
mackem wrote:
Many thanks to Couch Critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Fake Beer & Cubicle Cuddling

Quality read Couch, as per usual!

"Of course one swallow doesn’t make an orgy" :lol: :lol: :lol:

Thanks Brad! (B)
Twitter: @HDCouchCritic
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80166

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Canes v Sharks preview from Oracle,

More Oracle video previews to follow in the next hour
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80167

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Super Rugby Saturday from Oracle

Pro 14 Round 19 from Oracle

GFTG Super Rugby previews will start going up Wednesday night
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80168

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Mid-week and I'm already stoked for Friday's matches.

Round 7 overall was pretty decent. Came good on the Chiefs -1.5, Tahs -2.5, Canes -9.5, Saders -5.5 and Bulls W. Blues cost me on the minus and lost 2.5 units on points in the Tahs match (Went over 48 at half time).

After landing a nice treble in Round 6 I had another go @7/1 with Chiefs W / Bulls W / Crusaders -6.5. Missed out on Crusaders - 5.5, otherwise this would have been another successful treble.

Round 8, firstly it’s quite interesting that the biggest cap of the weekend is on the Canes to hammer the Sharks. I’m not saying I disagree, but given the Sunwolves and Blues’ previous match performances I expected those caps to be slightly higher. So most of my early value are on Tahs and Chiefs.
I’ll definitely be looking at point lines during the games.

Straight bets -
Canes vs Sharks, No bet (Except for Multi). Canes to win quite comfortably, think cap is spot on and not much value in Canes 13+
Sunwolves vs Tahs, 3 Units Tahs – 14.5 & 2 Units Tahs 13+
Chiefs vs Blues, 3 Units Chiefs – 11.5 & 2 Units Chiefs 13+
Brumbies vs Reds, No bet (Brumbies to scrape it…)
Lions vs Stormers, No bet (Lions to scrape it…)
Jags vs Crusaders, Very tentative here 1 Unit Crusaders 1-12, 1 Unit Jags +14.5

Two Trebles this week (With the second one being very speculative ) –
Tahs -13.5 / Chiefs -9.5 / Jags +17.5 - 2 Units @ roughly 4/1
Canes -13.5 / Tahs -23.5 / Chiefs -17.5 – 1 Unit @ 13/1
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80177

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Will be interesting to see the pricing of the Hong Sevens this weekend as some teams have decided to take a two squad approach with the Common wealth games in mind.

Blitzboks squad has 5 uncapped players
New Zealand squad has 7 uncapped players
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80178

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Cettas wrote:
Will be interesting to see the pricing of the Hong Sevens this weekend as some teams have decided to take a two squad approach with the Common wealth games in mind.

Blitzboks squad has 5 uncapped players
New Zealand squad has 7 uncapped players

Indeed and Australia as well
10 teams are impacted by both tournaments (SA,NZ,AUS,WAL,ENG,SCO,SAM,CAN,FIJI,KEN) but I think Canada, Scotland, England, Fiji and Kenya are bringing a larger group in HK and the same group will play then the CWG.
USA, Argentina and France are the "main teams" not impacted but the three of them are in the same pool
Lachignole
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80179

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England taking kids to HK with 4 debutants

Fiji will walk the HK7s
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80185

My play for the weekend:

Sharks +21.5 - 2U
Connacht +7.5 - 3U
Stormers +7.5 - 1U
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80191

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Canes v Sharks preview
3 units, half time handicap, Sharks +11.5 points 17/20 Sunbet
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80192

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For tomorrow night in prod2

Mont de Marsan DNB @1.57

Best squad available while Perpignan is having a slight turnover, must win for a play off at home and MdM is the best team at home with 61 points scored so far
Lachignole
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80200

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Munster going to be stacked this weekend against the kings with as close to a first team as possible. I think -15 is a good bet. Get on it early if ye can.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 3 days ago #80202

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First chance I've had to look at the card for this weekend on the Super Rugby today and after a very disappointing weekend last time out looking to try and claw back some losses made on the Blues v Sharks game as well the Crusaders on the - against the Lions. Picks I've gone for are as follows:

Hurricanes (-22) v Sharks
Brumbies v Reds (+4)
Chiefs (-9) v Blues

Slightly hesitant with the Chiefs considering it's a NZ Derby but all in all it's again a tricky card
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80211

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Sunwolves v Waratahs preview
4 units Waratahs -14.5 points 9/10 BetXchange, Hollywood

Chiefs v Blues preview
2.5 units Chiefs to win by under 12.5 points, 1.85/1 Sportingbet

Brumbies v Reds preview
2.5 units, Brumbies 1-12 points 1.75/1 Sportingbet
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80224

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Lions v Stormers preview
3.5 units Stormers +7.5 points at 9/10 widely available
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80225

Benetton -7.5 vs Dragons
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80226

Cheetahs -10.5 vs Cardiff. Seen they only leaving Heathrow now and Bloemfontein is not the easiest place to play if you stepping straight off a plane
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80227

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bradie82 wrote:
For tomorrow night in prod2

Mont de Marsan DNB @1.57

Best squad available while Perpignan is having a slight turnover, must win for a play off at home and MdM is the best team at home with 61 points scored so far

Good luck. Hopefully they can win an extraordinarily high scoring encounter then we can both be happy! I've bought Perpignan hotshots at 18 with Spreadex (25 points per Pujol, Piukala, Bousquet or Farnoux try). SPIN are 22 to buy (which is over 22% more expensive, if you like). Looking at the player stats, seems worth risking 8 points that you get at least one try from those 4 players.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80233

The Missing Link wrote:
Benetton -7.5 vs Dragons

I'm with you on this.
Very inexperienced Dragons squad. Nine of the 26 have made their pro debuts this season.
Down to 3rd and 4th choice scrum halves.

Got some -8 with Skybet, out to -10 with most books, can see it going further.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80234

Hurricanes Sharks under 62.5 points. That's a big quote and need to go back to 2011 to find a game between the two that went above that quote.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80235

Brad Breath wrote:
The Missing Link wrote:
Benetton -7.5 vs Dragons

I'm with you on this.
Very inexperienced Dragons squad. Nine of the 26 have made their pro debuts this season.
Down to 3rd and 4th choice scrum halves.

Got some -8 with Skybet, out to -10 with most books, can see it going further.

Ya same logic and Dragons are still awful even at best. Some -7.5 still available at wsb if you can bet in SA
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80236

I know its a final but UWC have been in a class of their own in varsity shield. -21.5 is generous I feel, only UFH got within this handicap mainly due to UWC missing a number of 3 point conversions and them taking their foot off the gas, they still won by 19 points.The game will be televised so can see them putting on a show and they did win this fixture 42-5 earlier in the campaign. Likely will only be available at wsb and can't have a proper go but better than nothing
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80239

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Jaguares v Crusaders preview
3.5 units Jaguares +14.5 points at 9/10 widely available
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80243

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Just one for me in the Hurricanes v Sharks game, Robert du Preez to score a try at 4/1 with 365 or Sportingbet.

Good luck backing him with the latter though; they have 2 players just listed as "Preez" and both at 4/1. Hard enough finding a winner without them turning into a lucky dip! :silly:
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80246

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And one player in the Sharks v Roosters NRL game.

Keary anytime 10/3 and buy his try minutes at 11, both with Spreadex.

Same anytime price available with Skybet.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80247

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Nothing exciting on the Canes game tomorrow morning so going with the usual fun bet

Penalty scored before 30”30 @ 1.83
Lachignole
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 2 days ago #80248

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Similar approach in the Dragons v Rabbitohs game and with the same firm.

Widdop backed at 5/2 and bought at 14. 13/8 best with the fixed odds firms and 17 to buy elsewhere.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80251

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High Brad Shield try minutes @ 8
"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80254

Saw this piece on Twitter about the surface www.radiosport.co.nz/sport-news/rugby/ru...rks-playing-service/

Seems concern is around it being hard as opposed to cutting up so not certain that there will be any impact on points
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80256

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I took a small bet on Hurricanes - 10.5 half time.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80258

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Canes over 40.5 @1.90

Rebels scored 46 and Blues 40 so can't see why Canes will not score as much as those 2
Lachignole
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80259

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Breaking news- Barrett is out and West is in at 1st five....bugger i went on the minus
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80261

Gone under 62.5 total points

The Barrett news is helpful :lol:
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80262

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16/10 for O2.5 penalties scored is too big.

Sharks will take every opportunity to score some points as they did last weekend against the Blues
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80263

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Brad Breath wrote:
Gone under 62.5 total points

The Barrett news is helpful :lol:

That's a big late change and could throw out all rhythm in the backline and become a less open affair. Therefore I like the under too, got under 60.5
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80264

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bradie82 wrote:
Nothing exciting on the Canes game tomorrow morning so going with the usual fun bet

Penalty scored before 30”30 @ 1.83

Easy one - putting it back on Canes over 5.5 tries
Lachignole
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80265

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One would think the Sharks started the season last week...17-12 Sharks so far ...not looking good for the/my minus
Last Edit: 2 weeks 1 day ago by Madkiwi.
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80266

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Taylor wrote:
Brad Breath wrote:
Gone under 62.5 total points

The Barrett news is helpful :lol:

That's a big late change and could throw out all rhythm in the backline and become a less open affair. Therefore I like the under too, got under 60.5

Or.....it'll be the sort of game where West's chip kick from inside his own 22 will manage to fall into the arms for a run away try :unsure:
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Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby 2 weeks 1 day ago #80268

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Mackem’s +11.5 call on the Sharks was pure genius!
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