Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

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8 months 1 week ago - 8 months 1 week ago #1 by coil
Honda Lads , wishing you all a pleasant Easter . I'm working early hour's so have jumped the gun while the kids watch Youtube and play PS4 :huh:

Racing was cancelled in Durban and the wife has gone out to get the hair done .

My early cap's for this week.

Canes minus 22.5 vs Sharks
Wolves plus 22.5 vs Waratahs
Chiefs minus 16.5 vs Blues
Brumbies choice vs Reds
Lions minus 2.5 vs Stormers
Jags plus 16.5 vs Crusaders
Last edit: 8 months 1 week ago by Brent Graham. Reason: Heading
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8 months 1 week ago #2 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Thanks Coiler, mine in brackets to the right

Canes minus 22.5 vs Sharks (-15.5)
Wolves plus 22.5 vs Waratahs (+16.5)
Chiefs minus 16.5 vs Blues (-10.5)
Brumbies choice vs Reds (-5.5)
Lions minus 2.5 vs Stormers (-3.5)
Jags plus 16.5 vs Crusaders (+11.5)

Let's see what the bookies reckon

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8 months 1 week ago #3 by Stoossy
Replied by Stoossy on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Brumbies vs Reds sunbet has reds 5/10 fav. :silly:

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8 months 1 week ago #4 by The Missing Link
Replied by The Missing Link on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

Stoossy wrote: Brumbies vs Reds sunbet has reds 5/10 fav. :silly:


Was just an error, put the odds the wrong way round. I'm all over the Reds plus when it's available though.

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8 months 1 week ago #5 by Stoossy
Replied by Stoossy on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

The Missing Link wrote:

Stoossy wrote: Brumbies vs Reds sunbet has reds 5/10 fav. :silly:


Was just an error, put the odds the wrong way round. I'm all over the Reds plus when it's available though.


sorry was my fault / i will also be on the Reds +

while you online hope we going get some Varsity Cup predictions :)

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8 months 1 week ago #6 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Caps are out

Canes -22.5 vs Sharks
Wolves +15.5 vs Waratahs
Chiefs -8.5 vs Blues
Brumbies -4.5 vs Reds
Lions -7.5 vs Stormers
Jags + 15.5 vs Crusaders

Early thoughts on Chiefs and Tahs H

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8 months 1 week ago - 8 months 1 week ago #7 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Thanks bradie82, based on my caps the Sharks plus, Jags plus and Stormers plus are the big differences, Coil would see value in the Waratahs minus, Chiefs minus, Reds plus and Stormers plus

The one game we both differ from the opening quotes is the Stormers and the +7.5 will be my only early play

Great to see Sunbet coming out so early

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Last edit: 8 months 1 week ago by Brent Graham. Reason: addition
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8 months 1 week ago #8 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Chiefs and Stormers for me

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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8 months 1 week ago #9 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Waratahs by 13+ @ 1.62 is my early call this week
Despite Folau being out for three weeks, from what i ve seen, this team has the potential to smash that Wolves team by 30+

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8 months 1 week ago #10 by Brazil
Replied by Brazil on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Three H/T cap calls for me and one F/T

Sharks +11,5
Suns +7,5
Jaguars +7,5

Reds 15/10

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8 months 1 week ago #11 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Many thanks to Couch Critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Fake Beer & Cubicle Cuddling

twitter: @goodforthegame
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8 months 1 week ago #12 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

mackem wrote: Many thanks to Couch Critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Fake Beer & Cubicle Cuddling


Quality read Couch, as per usual!

"Of course one swallow doesn’t make an orgy" :lol: :lol: :lol:
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8 months 1 week ago #13 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

Brad Breath wrote:

mackem wrote: Many thanks to Couch Critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Fake Beer & Cubicle Cuddling


Quality read Couch, as per usual!

"Of course one swallow doesn’t make an orgy" :lol: :lol: :lol:


Thanks Brad! (B)

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8 months 1 week ago #14 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Canes v Sharks preview from Oracle,

More Oracle video previews to follow in the next hour

twitter: @goodforthegame
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8 months 1 week ago #15 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Super Rugby Saturday from Oracle

Pro 14 Round 19 from Oracle

GFTG Super Rugby previews will start going up Wednesday night

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8 months 1 week ago #16 by bamiam
Replied by bamiam on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Mid-week and I'm already stoked for Friday's matches.

Round 7 overall was pretty decent. Came good on the Chiefs -1.5, Tahs -2.5, Canes -9.5, Saders -5.5 and Bulls W. Blues cost me on the minus and lost 2.5 units on points in the Tahs match (Went over 48 at half time).

After landing a nice treble in Round 6 I had another go @7/1 with Chiefs W / Bulls W / Crusaders -6.5. Missed out on Crusaders - 5.5, otherwise this would have been another successful treble.

Round 8, firstly it’s quite interesting that the biggest cap of the weekend is on the Canes to hammer the Sharks. I’m not saying I disagree, but given the Sunwolves and Blues’ previous match performances I expected those caps to be slightly higher. So most of my early value are on Tahs and Chiefs.
I’ll definitely be looking at point lines during the games.

Straight bets -
Canes vs Sharks, No bet (Except for Multi). Canes to win quite comfortably, think cap is spot on and not much value in Canes 13+
Sunwolves vs Tahs, 3 Units Tahs – 14.5 & 2 Units Tahs 13+
Chiefs vs Blues, 3 Units Chiefs – 11.5 & 2 Units Chiefs 13+
Brumbies vs Reds, No bet (Brumbies to scrape it…)
Lions vs Stormers, No bet (Lions to scrape it…)
Jags vs Crusaders, Very tentative here 1 Unit Crusaders 1-12, 1 Unit Jags +14.5

Two Trebles this week (With the second one being very speculative ) –
Tahs -13.5 / Chiefs -9.5 / Jags +17.5 - 2 Units @ roughly 4/1
Canes -13.5 / Tahs -23.5 / Chiefs -17.5 – 1 Unit @ 13/1
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8 months 1 week ago #17 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Will be interesting to see the pricing of the Hong Sevens this weekend as some teams have decided to take a two squad approach with the Common wealth games in mind.

Blitzboks squad has 5 uncapped players
New Zealand squad has 7 uncapped players
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8 months 1 week ago #18 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

Cettas wrote: Will be interesting to see the pricing of the Hong Sevens this weekend as some teams have decided to take a two squad approach with the Common wealth games in mind.

Blitzboks squad has 5 uncapped players
New Zealand squad has 7 uncapped players


Indeed and Australia as well
10 teams are impacted by both tournaments (SA,NZ,AUS,WAL,ENG,SCO,SAM,CAN,FIJI,KEN) but I think Canada, Scotland, England, Fiji and Kenya are bringing a larger group in HK and the same group will play then the CWG.
USA, Argentina and France are the "main teams" not impacted but the three of them are in the same pool
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8 months 1 week ago #19 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
England taking kids to HK with 4 debutants

Fiji will walk the HK7s

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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8 months 1 week ago #20 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
My play for the weekend:

Sharks +21.5 - 2U
Connacht +7.5 - 3U
Stormers +7.5 - 1U

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8 months 1 week ago #21 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Canes v Sharks preview
3 units, half time handicap, Sharks +11.5 points 17/20 Sunbet

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8 months 1 week ago #22 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
For tomorrow night in prod2

Mont de Marsan DNB @1.57

Best squad available while Perpignan is having a slight turnover, must win for a play off at home and MdM is the best team at home with 61 points scored so far

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8 months 1 week ago #23 by shergar86
Replied by shergar86 on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Munster going to be stacked this weekend against the kings with as close to a first team as possible. I think -15 is a good bet. Get on it early if ye can.
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8 months 1 week ago #24 by slaterj
Replied by slaterj on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
First chance I've had to look at the card for this weekend on the Super Rugby today and after a very disappointing weekend last time out looking to try and claw back some losses made on the Blues v Sharks game as well the Crusaders on the - against the Lions. Picks I've gone for are as follows:

Hurricanes (-22) v Sharks
Brumbies v Reds (+4)
Chiefs (-9) v Blues

Slightly hesitant with the Chiefs considering it's a NZ Derby but all in all it's again a tricky card

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8 months 1 week ago #25 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Sunwolves v Waratahs preview
4 units Waratahs -14.5 points 9/10 BetXchange, Hollywood

Chiefs v Blues preview
2.5 units Chiefs to win by under 12.5 points, 1.85/1 Sportingbet

Brumbies v Reds preview
2.5 units, Brumbies 1-12 points 1.75/1 Sportingbet

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8 months 1 week ago #26 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Lions v Stormers preview
3.5 units Stormers +7.5 points at 9/10 widely available

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8 months 1 week ago #27 by The Missing Link
Replied by The Missing Link on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Benetton -7.5 vs Dragons

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8 months 1 week ago #28 by The Missing Link
Replied by The Missing Link on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Cheetahs -10.5 vs Cardiff. Seen they only leaving Heathrow now and Bloemfontein is not the easiest place to play if you stepping straight off a plane
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8 months 1 week ago #29 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

bradie82 wrote: For tomorrow night in prod2

Mont de Marsan DNB @1.57

Best squad available while Perpignan is having a slight turnover, must win for a play off at home and MdM is the best team at home with 61 points scored so far


Good luck. Hopefully they can win an extraordinarily high scoring encounter then we can both be happy! I've bought Perpignan hotshots at 18 with Spreadex (25 points per Pujol, Piukala, Bousquet or Farnoux try). SPIN are 22 to buy (which is over 22% more expensive, if you like). Looking at the player stats, seems worth risking 8 points that you get at least one try from those 4 players.

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8 months 1 week ago #30 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

The Missing Link wrote: Benetton -7.5 vs Dragons


I'm with you on this.
Very inexperienced Dragons squad. Nine of the 26 have made their pro debuts this season.
Down to 3rd and 4th choice scrum halves.

Got some -8 with Skybet, out to -10 with most books, can see it going further.
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8 months 1 week ago #31 by The Missing Link
Replied by The Missing Link on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Hurricanes Sharks under 62.5 points. That's a big quote and need to go back to 2011 to find a game between the two that went above that quote.

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8 months 1 week ago #32 by The Missing Link
Replied by The Missing Link on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

Brad Breath wrote:

The Missing Link wrote: Benetton -7.5 vs Dragons


I'm with you on this.
Very inexperienced Dragons squad. Nine of the 26 have made their pro debuts this season.
Down to 3rd and 4th choice scrum halves.

Got some -8 with Skybet, out to -10 with most books, can see it going further.


Ya same logic and Dragons are still awful even at best. Some -7.5 still available at wsb if you can bet in SA
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8 months 1 week ago #33 by The Missing Link
Replied by The Missing Link on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
I know its a final but UWC have been in a class of their own in varsity shield. -21.5 is generous I feel, only UFH got within this handicap mainly due to UWC missing a number of 3 point conversions and them taking their foot off the gas, they still won by 19 points.The game will be televised so can see them putting on a show and they did win this fixture 42-5 earlier in the campaign. Likely will only be available at wsb and can't have a proper go but better than nothing

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8 months 1 week ago #34 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Jaguares v Crusaders preview
3.5 units Jaguares +14.5 points at 9/10 widely available

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8 months 1 week ago #35 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Just one for me in the Hurricanes v Sharks game, Robert du Preez to score a try at 4/1 with 365 or Sportingbet.

Good luck backing him with the latter though; they have 2 players just listed as "Preez" and both at 4/1. Hard enough finding a winner without them turning into a lucky dip! :silly:
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8 months 1 week ago #36 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
And one player in the Sharks v Roosters NRL game.

Keary anytime 10/3 and buy his try minutes at 11, both with Spreadex.

Same anytime price available with Skybet.

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8 months 1 week ago #37 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Nothing exciting on the Canes game tomorrow morning so going with the usual fun bet

Penalty scored before 30”30 @ 1.83
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8 months 1 week ago #38 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Similar approach in the Dragons v Rabbitohs game and with the same firm.

Widdop backed at 5/2 and bought at 14. 13/8 best with the fixed odds firms and 17 to buy elsewhere.

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8 months 1 week ago #39 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
High Brad Shield try minutes @ 8

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8 months 1 week ago #40 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Saw this piece on Twitter about the surface www.radiosport.co.nz/sport-news/rugby/ru...rks-playing-service/

Seems concern is around it being hard as opposed to cutting up so not certain that there will be any impact on points

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8 months 1 week ago #41 by Ruan Fourie
Replied by Ruan Fourie on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
I took a small bet on Hurricanes - 10.5 half time.

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8 months 1 week ago #42 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Canes over 40.5 @1.90

Rebels scored 46 and Blues 40 so can't see why Canes will not score as much as those 2

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8 months 1 week ago #43 by Madkiwi
Replied by Madkiwi on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Breaking news- Barrett is out and West is in at 1st five....bugger i went on the minus

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8 months 1 week ago #44 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Gone under 62.5 total points

The Barrett news is helpful :lol:
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8 months 1 week ago #45 by Matador
Replied by Matador on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
16/10 for O2.5 penalties scored is too big.

Sharks will take every opportunity to score some points as they did last weekend against the Blues
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8 months 1 week ago #46 by Taylor
Replied by Taylor on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

Brad Breath wrote: Gone under 62.5 total points

The Barrett news is helpful :lol:


That's a big late change and could throw out all rhythm in the backline and become a less open affair. Therefore I like the under too, got under 60.5
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8 months 1 week ago #47 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

bradie82 wrote: Nothing exciting on the Canes game tomorrow morning so going with the usual fun bet

Penalty scored before 30”30 @ 1.83


Easy one - putting it back on Canes over 5.5 tries

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8 months 1 week ago - 8 months 1 week ago #48 by Madkiwi
Replied by Madkiwi on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
One would think the Sharks started the season last week...17-12 Sharks so far ...not looking good for the/my minus
Last edit: 8 months 1 week ago by Madkiwi.

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8 months 1 week ago #49 by Taylor
Replied by Taylor on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby

Taylor wrote:

Brad Breath wrote: Gone under 62.5 total points

The Barrett news is helpful :lol:


That's a big late change and could throw out all rhythm in the backline and become a less open affair. Therefore I like the under too, got under 60.5


Or.....it'll be the sort of game where West's chip kick from inside his own 22 will manage to fall into the arms for a run away try :unsure:

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8 months 1 week ago #50 by JacoAucamp
Replied by JacoAucamp on topic Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
Mackem’s +11.5 call on the Sharks was pure genius!

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