Super Rugby Week 8 and Other Rugby
- coil
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Racing was cancelled in Durban and the wife has gone out to get the hair done .
My early cap's for this week.
Canes minus 22.5 vs Sharks
Wolves plus 22.5 vs Waratahs
Chiefs minus 16.5 vs Blues
Brumbies choice vs Reds
Lions minus 2.5 vs Stormers
Jags plus 16.5 vs Crusaders
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- Brent Graham
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Canes minus 22.5 vs Sharks (-15.5)
Wolves plus 22.5 vs Waratahs (+16.5)
Chiefs minus 16.5 vs Blues (-10.5)
Brumbies choice vs Reds (-5.5)
Lions minus 2.5 vs Stormers (-3.5)
Jags plus 16.5 vs Crusaders (+11.5)
Let's see what the bookies reckon
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- Stoossy
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- The Missing Link
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Stoossy wrote: Brumbies vs Reds sunbet has reds 5/10 fav.
Was just an error, put the odds the wrong way round. I'm all over the Reds plus when it's available though.
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- Stoossy
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The Missing Link wrote:
Stoossy wrote: Brumbies vs Reds sunbet has reds 5/10 fav.
Was just an error, put the odds the wrong way round. I'm all over the Reds plus when it's available though.
sorry was my fault / i will also be on the Reds +
while you online hope we going get some Varsity Cup predictions
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- bradie82
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Canes -22.5 vs Sharks
Wolves +15.5 vs Waratahs
Chiefs -8.5 vs Blues
Brumbies -4.5 vs Reds
Lions -7.5 vs Stormers
Jags + 15.5 vs Crusaders
Early thoughts on Chiefs and Tahs H
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- Brent Graham
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The one game we both differ from the opening quotes is the Stormers and the +7.5 will be my only early play
Great to see Sunbet coming out so early
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- RuggaBugga
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Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- bradie82
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Despite Folau being out for three weeks, from what i ve seen, this team has the potential to smash that Wolves team by 30+
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- Brazil
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Sharks +11,5
Suns +7,5
Jaguars +7,5
Reds 15/10
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- mackem
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- Brad Breath
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mackem wrote: Many thanks to Couch Critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Fake Beer & Cubicle Cuddling
Quality read Couch, as per usual!
"Of course one swallow doesn’t make an orgy"
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- Couch Critic
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Brad Breath wrote:
mackem wrote: Many thanks to Couch Critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Fake Beer & Cubicle Cuddling
Quality read Couch, as per usual!
"Of course one swallow doesn’t make an orgy"
Thanks Brad! (B)
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- mackem
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- mackem
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Pro 14 Round 19 from Oracle
GFTG Super Rugby previews will start going up Wednesday night
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- bamiam
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Round 7 overall was pretty decent. Came good on the Chiefs -1.5, Tahs -2.5, Canes -9.5, Saders -5.5 and Bulls W. Blues cost me on the minus and lost 2.5 units on points in the Tahs match (Went over 48 at half time).
After landing a nice treble in Round 6 I had another go @7/1 with Chiefs W / Bulls W / Crusaders -6.5. Missed out on Crusaders - 5.5, otherwise this would have been another successful treble.
Round 8, firstly it’s quite interesting that the biggest cap of the weekend is on the Canes to hammer the Sharks. I’m not saying I disagree, but given the Sunwolves and Blues’ previous match performances I expected those caps to be slightly higher. So most of my early value are on Tahs and Chiefs.
I’ll definitely be looking at point lines during the games.
Straight bets -
Canes vs Sharks, No bet (Except for Multi). Canes to win quite comfortably, think cap is spot on and not much value in Canes 13+
Sunwolves vs Tahs, 3 Units Tahs – 14.5 & 2 Units Tahs 13+
Chiefs vs Blues, 3 Units Chiefs – 11.5 & 2 Units Chiefs 13+
Brumbies vs Reds, No bet (Brumbies to scrape it…)
Lions vs Stormers, No bet (Lions to scrape it…)
Jags vs Crusaders, Very tentative here 1 Unit Crusaders 1-12, 1 Unit Jags +14.5
Two Trebles this week (With the second one being very speculative ) –
Tahs -13.5 / Chiefs -9.5 / Jags +17.5 - 2 Units @ roughly 4/1
Canes -13.5 / Tahs -23.5 / Chiefs -17.5 – 1 Unit @ 13/1
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- Cettas
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Blitzboks squad has 5 uncapped players
New Zealand squad has 7 uncapped players
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- bradie82
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Cettas wrote: Will be interesting to see the pricing of the Hong Sevens this weekend as some teams have decided to take a two squad approach with the Common wealth games in mind.
Blitzboks squad has 5 uncapped players
New Zealand squad has 7 uncapped players
Indeed and Australia as well
10 teams are impacted by both tournaments (SA,NZ,AUS,WAL,ENG,SCO,SAM,CAN,FIJI,KEN) but I think Canada, Scotland, England, Fiji and Kenya are bringing a larger group in HK and the same group will play then the CWG.
USA, Argentina and France are the "main teams" not impacted but the three of them are in the same pool
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- RuggaBugga
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Fiji will walk the HK7s
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Sharks +21.5 - 2U
Connacht +7.5 - 3U
Stormers +7.5 - 1U
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- mackem
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3 units, half time handicap, Sharks +11.5 points 17/20 Sunbet
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- bradie82
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Mont de Marsan DNB @1.57
Best squad available while Perpignan is having a slight turnover, must win for a play off at home and MdM is the best team at home with 61 points scored so far
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- shergar86
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- slaterj
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Hurricanes (-22) v Sharks
Brumbies v Reds (+4)
Chiefs (-9) v Blues
Slightly hesitant with the Chiefs considering it's a NZ Derby but all in all it's again a tricky card
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- mackem
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4 units Waratahs -14.5 points 9/10 BetXchange, Hollywood
Chiefs v Blues preview
2.5 units Chiefs to win by under 12.5 points, 1.85/1 Sportingbet
Brumbies v Reds preview
2.5 units, Brumbies 1-12 points 1.75/1 Sportingbet
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- mackem
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3.5 units Stormers +7.5 points at 9/10 widely available
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- The Missing Link
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- The Missing Link
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- harry_rag
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bradie82 wrote: For tomorrow night in prod2
Mont de Marsan DNB @1.57
Best squad available while Perpignan is having a slight turnover, must win for a play off at home and MdM is the best team at home with 61 points scored so far
Good luck. Hopefully they can win an extraordinarily high scoring encounter then we can both be happy! I've bought Perpignan hotshots at 18 with Spreadex (25 points per Pujol, Piukala, Bousquet or Farnoux try). SPIN are 22 to buy (which is over 22% more expensive, if you like). Looking at the player stats, seems worth risking 8 points that you get at least one try from those 4 players.
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- Brad Breath
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The Missing Link wrote: Benetton -7.5 vs Dragons
I'm with you on this.
Very inexperienced Dragons squad. Nine of the 26 have made their pro debuts this season.
Down to 3rd and 4th choice scrum halves.
Got some -8 with Skybet, out to -10 with most books, can see it going further.
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- The Missing Link
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- The Missing Link
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Brad Breath wrote:
The Missing Link wrote: Benetton -7.5 vs Dragons
I'm with you on this.
Very inexperienced Dragons squad. Nine of the 26 have made their pro debuts this season.
Down to 3rd and 4th choice scrum halves.
Got some -8 with Skybet, out to -10 with most books, can see it going further.
Ya same logic and Dragons are still awful even at best. Some -7.5 still available at wsb if you can bet in SA
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- The Missing Link
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- mackem
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3.5 units Jaguares +14.5 points at 9/10 widely available
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- harry_rag
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Good luck backing him with the latter though; they have 2 players just listed as "Preez" and both at 4/1. Hard enough finding a winner without them turning into a lucky dip!
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- harry_rag
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Keary anytime 10/3 and buy his try minutes at 11, both with Spreadex.
Same anytime price available with Skybet.
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- bradie82
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Penalty scored before 30”30 @ 1.83
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- harry_rag
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Widdop backed at 5/2 and bought at 14. 13/8 best with the fixed odds firms and 17 to buy elsewhere.
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- southpaw
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- Brent Graham
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Seems concern is around it being hard as opposed to cutting up so not certain that there will be any impact on points
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- Ruan Fourie
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- bradie82
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Rebels scored 46 and Blues 40 so can't see why Canes will not score as much as those 2
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- Madkiwi
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- Brad Breath
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The Barrett news is helpful
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- Matador
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Sharks will take every opportunity to score some points as they did last weekend against the Blues
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- Taylor
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Brad Breath wrote: Gone under 62.5 total points
The Barrett news is helpful
That's a big late change and could throw out all rhythm in the backline and become a less open affair. Therefore I like the under too, got under 60.5
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- bradie82
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bradie82 wrote: Nothing exciting on the Canes game tomorrow morning so going with the usual fun bet
Penalty scored before 30”30 @ 1.83
Easy one - putting it back on Canes over 5.5 tries
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- Madkiwi
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- Taylor
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Taylor wrote:
Brad Breath wrote: Gone under 62.5 total points
The Barrett news is helpful
That's a big late change and could throw out all rhythm in the backline and become a less open affair. Therefore I like the under too, got under 60.5
Or.....it'll be the sort of game where West's chip kick from inside his own 22 will manage to fall into the arms for a run away try
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- JacoAucamp
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