Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

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7 months 6 days ago #1 by Brent Graham
Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby was created by Brent Graham
Week 8 was a tough one for many of us and hopefully good things lie ahead in week 9

Here are my projected handicaps for week 9

Hurricanes -8.5 v Chiefs
Sunwolves +21.5 v Blues
Rebels -8.5 v Jaguares
Highlanders -13.5 v Brumbies
Waratahs -11.5 v Reds
Sharks -4.5 v Bulls

Not very confident on these caps, very distracted by the Masters :lol:

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7 months 5 days ago #2 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Brent Graham wrote: Week 8 was a tough one for many of us and hopefully good things lie ahead in week 9

Here are my projected handicaps for week 9

Hurricanes -8.5 v Chiefs ( - 9.5 )
Sunwolves +21.5 v Blues ( + 26.5 )
Rebels -8.5 v Jaguares ( -8.5 )
Highlanders -13.5 v Brumbies ( - 11.5 )
Waratahs -11.5 v Reds ( - 13.5 )
Sharks -4.5 v Bulls ( - 4.5 )

Not very confident on these caps, very distracted by the Masters :lol:


Mine in brackets ,very close to yours ) safe to say I did my balls on the weekend but did have 3/3 winning golf bets to lessen the carnage . :)

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7 months 5 days ago #3 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Would be all over the Rebels at -8.5!

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!

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7 months 5 days ago #4 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Please find the first caps out

Hurricanes -10.5 v Chiefs
Sunwolves +18.5 v Blues
Rebels 11.5 v Jaguares
Highlanders -15.5 v Brumbies
Waratahs -9.5 v Reds
Sharks -4.5 v Bulls

Quite a good job on your predictions Brent

Found the books have put the caps are the right place and the only early though would be the Sharks H but I might wait for the over
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7 months 5 days ago #5 by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Won't be betting on it just yet, but got a feeling the Highlanders could well put a big score up against the Brumbies, -15 might be quite good

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7 months 5 days ago #6 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Many thanks to Couch Critic for the latest edition of Post Match Scuffle, KZN Sakkie Sakkie and Stormers Sorrows can be viewed here

twitter: @goodforthegame
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7 months 5 days ago #7 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Been a fly on the wall on these forum chats for far too long. Thought it was time to get involved and add my two cents.

2 units on UWC -23.5 vs WSU tonight. Yes it’s a final but UWC are a cut above the rest in the Varsity Shield and have won by 20+ points in every game this season. Great conditions to play rugby in CPT too.

If you want, mortgage your house on the 3/100 for UWC to win the game, it’s safe as houses.
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7 months 5 days ago #8 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
I saw now its the Varsity Shield final tonight and its televised from 7pm. To be honest I have not followed the comp this year but had a look now at the teams. UWC v WSU -23.5 9/10 - WSB.

Purely on the results this year and some news articles UWC looks good for the cap - They have points difference of 244 after six matches (40) and beat WSU earlier this year 42 - 5.

Here is also an article on the match www.varsitycup.co.za/news/fnb-uwc-defend-title-against-fnb-wsu

Therefore taking a small interest and backing Chester's team -23.5.

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7 months 5 days ago #9 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Welcome Overs_Punter, based on your name I expect I will be agreeing with a lot of your posts!

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

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7 months 5 days ago #10 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Think this UWC handicap will close closer to -29.5 by kick-off

Piled into the handicap last week at -21.5 and taken some more now. Backing Overs_Punter to start off with a winner!

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!

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7 months 5 days ago #11 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Thanks RB and Brent! Really enjoy your guys tips along with Oracle & TML, always good insight. Early super rugby caps look well priced, although sharks -4.5 looks a few points too low. A few factors (travel, bulls well rested) stopping me from an early strike!

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7 months 5 days ago #12 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
In full agreement with Overs_Punter there. 3 units -23.5 UWC. Early super rugby pics include Jags +11.5 and Chiefs +9.5. Too good to ignore. 3 units a piece.

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7 months 5 days ago #13 by sebokeng
Replied by sebokeng on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
6/10 for a Sharks win on the board....I'm sorry, u may as well pay the punters already. Travel factor is over stressed, just as bye weeks are. Infact teams coming from a bye tend to be sluggish off the mark.

Mitchel has been awesome for the Bulls so far, but Sharks r sniffing blood right now, they found their hunger. Now is a really bad time to be be playing the sharks

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7 months 5 days ago #14 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

sebokeng wrote: 6/10 for a Sharks win on the board....I'm sorry, u may as well pay the punters already. Travel factor is over stressed, just as bye weeks are. Infact teams coming from a bye tend to be sluggish off the mark.

Mitchel has been awesome for the Bulls so far, but Sharks r sniffing blood right now, they found their hunger. Now is a really bad time to be be playing the sharks


I wouldn't be rushing in to this one. Sharks must be running on fumes by now and in desperate need of a rest after a hell of a tour.

Twitter: @HDCouchCritic

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7 months 5 days ago #15 by sebokeng
Replied by sebokeng on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Couch Critic wrote:

sebokeng wrote: 6/10 for a Sharks win on the board....I'm sorry, u may as well pay the punters already. Travel factor is over stressed, just as bye weeks are. Infact teams coming from a bye tend to be sluggish off the mark.

Mitchel has been awesome for the Bulls so far, but Sharks r sniffing blood right now, they found their hunger. Now is a really bad time to be be playing the sharks


I wouldn't be rushing in to this one. Sharks must be running on fumes by now and in desperate need of a rest after a hell of a tour.

Eish u've put doubt in my mind now. Ure right bout running on fumes tho. Let me hold my horses a bit longer.

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7 months 5 days ago #16 by shergar86
Replied by shergar86 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
I'd expect the Pro 14 games to have the following handicaps;

Cheetahs -2 v Munster
Glasgow -18 v Connacht
Ulster -3 v Ospreys
Edinburgh +6 v Scarletts
Zebre -4 v Dragons
Kings +7 v Cardiff
Leinster -28 v Treviso

I suspect Leinster and Scarletts will rest a large proportion of their their team in anticipation of their match the following week in the Champions cup. Munster even more so and I would be very interested to see what the cap is in that game v the Cheetahs. I wouldn't be surprised if Munster get beaten. They will be sending a lot of their team home this week before the game as they have achieved the 5 points they came to SA to achieve. Edinburgh on the plus v Scarletts could be a good bet if the cap is placed anywhere near that. They should be out in a few hours.
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7 months 5 days ago #17 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
I am not sure Leinster will rest that many key players – they already did last week end (10 players that played the quarter final rested) and sometimes the best to prepare a semi-final is to have the strongest squad available the week end prior to that game. I would not be surprised to see Cronin, Fardy, McGrath, Sexton and Ringrose back this week end.
Agree however with the Scarlets – they are 6 points ahead of Edinburgh so can easily “tank” that game but I reckon Edinburgh will be favourite like Toulouse is versus Racing – Toulouse to win was 1.15/1.20 this morning on French bookies

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7 months 5 days ago #18 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Cheetahs are -1.5 at 10/11 vs Munster at BetX

Looks good!

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!

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7 months 5 days ago #19 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Jeez Cheethas home games used to be a gold mine but have lost faith after failing to beat the cap in their last few home games! Will wait to strike later in the week.

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7 months 5 days ago #20 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
UWC 55 - WSU 10
Cash those tickets boys (B) (B) (B)

Tristan Leyds looks like a star on the rise, scored a cracking try 2nd half.

Should have taken more of the - UWC!

Reckon WSB lost a few pennies on that match :whistle:

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!

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7 months 5 days ago #21 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Great start to the week. Jumped on WSU +63.5 at half time for some extra loot. Hope they open markets for the promotion relegation battle between WSU & CUT. Could be a gold mine!

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7 months 5 days ago #22 by slaterj
Replied by slaterj on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Managed to have a glance this evening on the caps for the coming weekend in the Super Rugby. Again looks another tough card ahead

Hurricanes v Chiefs (+10)
Highlanders (-15) v Brumbies
Sunwolves (+20) v Blues
Rebels (-11) v Jaguares

Probably questioning my own sanity going + on the Sunwolves i know but i am sorry i just cannot have the Blues to cover any handicap by 20 or more and particularly when they lost against the Sunwolves last season in Japan

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7 months 4 days ago #23 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
It's a pity that it's raining in Tokyo and Melbourne on Saturday. Two afternoon games and I lined both of those up as overs plays.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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7 months 4 days ago #24 by sebokeng
Replied by sebokeng on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Bankers
Does anyone have any strong ideas regarding any low odd games that one can use in an acca this week? Any input will be appreciated.

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7 months 4 days ago #25 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Early strike on chiefs +10.5 @ 9/10 for 2 units. At least 4 or 5 points too high for me!

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7 months 4 days ago #26 by kingalex44
Replied by kingalex44 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Rebels look best bet so far would have it closer to the -15 region, travel and home advantage big, expect a high scoring game

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7 months 4 days ago #27 by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Overs_Punter wrote: Early strike on chiefs +10.5 @ 9/10 for 2 units. At least 4 or 5 points too high for me!


Plenty of key injuries to both sides. Still waiting on D-Macks health but I would think unlikely considering he was limping of the field. No TJ and still unsure if Beauden will be a late scratch again.
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7 months 4 days ago #28 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Brumbies +15.5 @ evens my early bet.

Highlanders not covered that cap against Brumbies since 2003, and Pocock back has really galvanised this side, got their set pieces firing again which is bad news for a Higglanders team who’ve struggled in this department.

+15.5 is PLATINUM! ;-)

Twitter @southpawZA
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7 months 3 days ago #29 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Canes v Chiefs preview
Team news a little bit inconclusive but agree with Overs Punter that double digits looks big enough for a plus call
3 units (1 to 10 scale) Chiefs +10.5 points at 9/10 widely available

twitter: @goodforthegame

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7 months 3 days ago #30 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Waratahs v Reds preview
3 units, Waratahs win by 1-12 points inclusive, 1.95/1 Sportingbet

twitter: @goodforthegame

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7 months 3 days ago #31 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Going with a 2 unit punt on Jags +11.5. The Jags have put away the Waratahs already this season (albeit at home) and they enjoy playing against Australian opposition. In 2017, they won both their tour games in Australia against the Tahs and Rebels. I think the cap is a few points too high and I expect it to drop to 8.5 before kick off.

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7 months 3 days ago #32 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Had a mare of a weekend last week, 0/6 in the sevens and whatever I touched went cold in HK , get out stakes was Stormers plus 7.5 and then I closed shop . Sunday's games I called 3/3 but was hiding in the bunker and had no bets.

Feel more confident this week and like a number of plusses.

Chiefs plus , Wolves plus , Brumbies plus and Jag's plus.

Bulls have a cracking record against the Sharks and could also be a plus call.

Waratahs look about right and no bet just yet.

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7 months 3 days ago #33 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

southpaw wrote: Brumbies +15.5 @ evens my early bet.

+15.5 is PLATINUM! ;-)


:woohoo: South you beaut! :woohoo:

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!

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7 months 3 days ago #34 by Stoossy
Replied by Stoossy on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

RuggaBugga wrote:

southpaw wrote: Brumbies +15.5 @ evens my early bet.

+15.5 is PLATINUM! ;-)


:woohoo: South you beaut! :woohoo:


you do know they have not played yet ( bronze )

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7 months 3 days ago #35 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Stoossy wrote:

RuggaBugga wrote:

southpaw wrote: Brumbies +15.5 @ evens my early bet.

+15.5 is PLATINUM! ;-)


:woohoo: South you beaut! :woohoo:


you do know they have not played yet ( bronze )


Giving South props for calling his play Platinum ;)
That means its a little better than Golden ;)

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!

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7 months 3 days ago #36 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
There is plus 17.5 the Brumbies at Hollywood , I'm all over it like a fat kid on a cake !
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7 months 3 days ago - 7 months 3 days ago #37 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Highlanders v Brumbies preview
Happy to follow the Brumbies plus backers and especially so with the +17.5 @hollywood so 5 (of the max 10) units credited to a forum pick

twitter: @goodforthegame
Last edit: 7 months 3 days ago by mackem.

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7 months 3 days ago #38 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Hollywood always a bit late up on caps and had checked for a line there when taking the Brumbies 15.5. But will gladly also add the +17.5, thanks for pointing out!

Twitter @southpawZA

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7 months 2 days ago #39 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Many thanks to Oracle for the video's of his weekend plays

Friday Canes v Chiefs

Pro 14 Round 20

Super Rugby Saturday, all 5 games

twitter: @goodforthegame
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7 months 2 days ago #40 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Sunwolves v Blues preview
2.5 units Sunwolves +19.5 points at 9/10 WSB

Rebels v Jaguares preview
3 units Rebels -11.5 points at 9/10 widely available

twitter: @goodforthegame
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7 months 2 days ago #41 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Last up, Sharks v Bulls preview
3.5 units Bulls +6.5 points at 9/10 Hollywood
0.5 units, HT/FT Sharks/Bulls widely available at 8/1

twitter: @goodforthegame

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7 months 2 days ago #42 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

mackem wrote: Highlanders v Brumbies preview
Happy to follow the Brumbies plus backers and especially so with the +17.5 @hollywood so 5 (of the max 10) units credited to a forum pick


Going against the grain with this one, had a decent go at Highlanders -15
Think they'll have too much quality, particularly outwide, can see Naholo having a field day

I like the other preview picks though, particularly Rebels -11 and Wolves +20.
Have backed both of these also.
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7 months 2 days ago #43 by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Likewise Brad, thinking Highlanders could rack up a big score in this. Gone for -15 and might add a higher handicap, or maybe over team points, when the markets are released

Also gone for Laumape anytime @ 15/8 in the Hurricanes game, and mulling over adding Lam @ evens

Hoping to continue the good end to last week!

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7 months 2 days ago #44 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Following on Brumbies +17.5 for 2 units. Also an early strike on pukke +9.5 in the VC final. I’ve got a few mates in the maties team and a few injuries were picked up in the semi’s and pukke are also a quality outfit.

Points punters, which games are you eying our for high scoring affairs? I reckon Sunwolves Blues would be a try fest but bad weather preventing me from a strike there. If points in the highlanders Brumbies game is anywhere in the 60’s I reckon I will strike for unders. Brumbies a solid defensive unit and reckon they will dog it out without conceding too much without scoring many themselves.

If points are anywhere around the early 50’s mark for Kings and or Cheethas game I will look to strike overs.

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7 months 2 days ago #45 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Overs_Punter wrote: Points punters, which games are you eying our for high scoring affairs?


In Super Rugby, I m with you on the Wolves games potentially being a try fest but waiting for update on the forecast and obviously the cut.
The Canes Chiefs is definitely not on my radar – not sure why but I see a closed game ending with less than 50 points
I have the Rebels points and tries in mind, and if cuts are around 50 points, I ll probably go for over in the Tahs and Sharks game

In the Aviva, I would go for over if the cut is around 45 in tomorrow’s game, and will wait for the cut tries and points for Wasps, Tigers, Sarries and Exeter – depending on the forecast obviously

In the top 14, Clermont v Bordeaux, Lyon v Stade Francais and La Rochelle v Castres are the three I am targetting so far but will wait for startinbg line and forecast

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7 months 2 days ago #46 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Chiefs to score a penalty before 28”45 @ 1.83

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7 months 2 days ago #47 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Which bookie? Like this a lot

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7 months 2 days ago #48 by Rohan11
Replied by Rohan11 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Chiefs to score a try before 19.59 @ 2.15 Sporting bet

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7 months 2 days ago #49 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Overs_Punter wrote: Which bookie? Like this a lot

Bet365

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7 months 2 days ago #50 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

bradie82 wrote: The Canes Chiefs is definitely not on my radar – not sure why but I see a closed game ending with less than 50 points


Cut is placed at 50.5 - I was expecting bigger to potentially go under (which I hate to do) but I will wait for the update on McKenzie and the latest forecast to take a decision.

Will put a tenner on Brodie to score @ 11 and take Laumape @ 2.85

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