Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

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5 years 11 months ago #51 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Points line for Cheethas vs Munster is at 52.5..would normally be all over this like a cheap suit but I see rain expected today and tomorrow in Bloem. Like the look of this Cheethas team but some world class players in this Munster team with a great bench. Will wait for visuals before kick-off to make up my mind.

If weather holds, over 52.5 is golden. If weather is bad, Munster outright

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5 years 11 months ago #52 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Newcastle v Sharks

Over 43.5 @ 1.83
Over 4.5 tries @ 1.91
Over 1.5 tries HT @ 1.53

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5 years 11 months ago #53 by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Couple of thoughts for the up coming games.
My early leans nearly all oppose Oracles which on his recent super form is probably a good thing :silly:

Still cant find any confirmation if Dmack is playing for the Chiefs or not. If he plays I agree +10.5 is a good call but if he doesn't I swing the other way. That being the case probably not a great game to push the chips all in on.

You guys prob don't get a sense of it in SA but the Blues are under a lot of pressure to string some better performances together. That sharks game was embarrassing to the team/franchise. The loss to the chiefs while still a loss, showed a lot of improvement. The Blues have had no trouble scoring this season so they should have no trouble putting them on the board vs the Sunwolves. There is a lot of pressure for a complete performance here coupled with the need to right the loss to the Sunwolves at the end of last season.

Brumbies coach is turning up the heat in the media calling out a lack of respect from NZ teams. Brumbies will be up for this one and ill look to back the HT and FT lines. Still fading Arron Mauger all season long.

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5 years 11 months ago #54 by slaterj
Replied by slaterj on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
I see the line has come in on the Chiefs + from 11 to 9 now hope that this is a good sign

Does anyone know who's out for the Canes after last week and how many are missing?

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5 years 11 months ago #55 by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

slaterj wrote: I see the line has come in on the Chiefs + from 11 to 9 now hope that this is a good sign

Does anyone know who's out for the Canes after last week and how many are missing?


Hurricanes: 15 Jordie Barrett, 14 Vince Aso, 13 Matt Proctor, 12 Ngani Laumape, 11 Ben Lam, 10 Beauden Barrett, 9 Jamie Booth, 8 Gareth Evans, 7 Sam Henwood, 6 Brad Shields (c), 5 Sam Lousi, 4 Vaea Fifita, 3 Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 2 Ricky Riccitelli, 1 Toby Smith
Replacements: 16 James O'Reilly, 17 Chris Eves, 18 Ben May, 19 Michael Fatialofa, 20 Reed Prinsep, 21 Richard Judd, 22 Ihaia West, 23 Wes Goosen

No TJ, Both Saveas out.
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5 years 11 months ago - 5 years 11 months ago #56 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
This weeks Betting Blog for the Citizen and why I face something of a moral dilemma after effectively introducing my 15 year old daughter to sports betting last weekend :lol:

Not getting involved early doors but looking for a Blue overs points play tomorrow. Also with the majority of the forum on the Brumbies plus

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Last edit: 5 years 11 months ago by Brent Graham.

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5 years 11 months ago - 5 years 11 months ago #57 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Nice article, Brent. I have 2 young children and have also started to think how I am going to handle the betting angle of my sports watching. I have fond memories of supporting WP when I was a child and want my son to have that too.

Regarding the Sunwolves vs Blues game, I have also lined this game up as an overs play, but checking windguru they predicted rain and wind for Tokyo on Saturday. I see the prediction has now moved to later on Saturday and it seems the rain will only come after the game.

On this morning's game I like the Chiefs on the plus and also the 1st half to be higher scoring than the 2nd half. Of 8 NZ derbies this year, only 2 games had the 2nd half been higher scoring. Will also look at an unders play on total points.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Last edit: 5 years 11 months ago by hanrick.

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5 years 11 months ago #58 by Taylor
Replied by Taylor on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Heading along to the canes v chiefs game tonight, been a lovely day in Wellington other than the chill in the air. Was thinking of an overs play but the history between these teams shows largely low scoring affairs

With you Hanrick on the highest scoring half being first half, a trend I have noticed this season.

Also with Canes - 9.5, TJ is a big loss but think they'll be too strong at home in this rivalry game

Added Chiefs time of first penalty before 27mins 45secs as well

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5 years 11 months ago #59 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Following with the Chiefs plus , missed the plus 10.5 and on plus 9.5 , reducing bet size slightly as a result , also on under 52.5 total.

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5 years 11 months ago #60 by Ruan Fourie
Replied by Ruan Fourie on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Same as most of you, I'm on the +10.5 this morning.

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5 years 11 months ago #61 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
McKenzie starting, Allardice at lock

Also on Chiefs +10.5

And Canes win by 1-12 @ 3.30

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5 years 11 months ago #62 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
In Chiefs +10.5 main punt

Cap would have arrived in 6 of last 7. Dmack starting huge.
This is a close one, also going Chiefs HT / Canes FT for smalls

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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5 years 11 months ago #63 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Brad Breath wrote: McKenzie starting, Allardice at lock

Also on Chiefs +10.5

And Canes win by 1-12 @ 3.30


Apologies - should've been a bit more specific, :lol: Damien McKenzie to start

Also late change for Canes - Michael Fatialofa replaces Sam Lousi with Murray Douglas coming on to the bench

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5 years 11 months ago #64 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
High Jordie Barrett try minutes @ 17

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5 years 11 months ago - 5 years 11 months ago #65 by shark prince
Replied by shark prince on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Also on +10.5 with dmack starting, would’ve been a no bet otherwise. Can’t have myself betting in favour of a double digit nz derby result
Last edit: 5 years 11 months ago by shark prince.

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5 years 11 months ago #66 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

RuggaBugga wrote: In Chiefs +10.5 main punt

Cap would have arrived in 6 of last 7. Dmack starting huge.
This is a close one, also going Chiefs HT / Canes FT for smalls


Was looking for a "smalls" to check Friday 13th luck :silly:

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5 years 11 months ago - 5 years 11 months ago #67 by bamiam
Replied by bamiam on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
I reckon the loss of TJ is worth almost 10 points. I still have a lot of confidence that the Canes will be eager to recover from an average performance against the Sharks. Have gone Canes - 4.5, - 9.5, 13+ and total points over 50.5.

I could be way off but think the Canes could easily build a two score lead by 60min mark. The Chiefs are an absolute 80min side, so it might be a tense final 20 for punters on either side...
Last edit: 5 years 11 months ago by bamiam.

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5 years 11 months ago #68 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Just for the record I think Jamie Nutbrown may be the next referee who I will hate with a passion , retarded I think .
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5 years 11 months ago #69 by slaterj
Replied by slaterj on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Ben Lam is an absolute UNIT.

NZ call up in the offing?

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5 years 11 months ago #70 by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Northerner wrote:
Also gone for Laumape anytime @ 15/8 in the Hurricanes game, and mulling over adding Lam @ evens

Hoping to continue the good end to last week!


The pair of them dotting down makes it 10 from 10!

Cheers to Bradie as well for the Chiefs penalty tip - those types of bets are coming in much more often than not
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5 years 11 months ago #71 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Northerner wrote:

Northerner wrote:
Also gone for Laumape anytime @ 15/8 in the Hurricanes game, and mulling over adding Lam @ evens

Hoping to continue the good end to last week!


The pair of them dotting down makes it 10 from 10!

Cheers to Bradie as well for the Chiefs penalty tip - those types of bets are coming in much more often than not


(B) (B) (B) (B)
Amazing stuff!

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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5 years 11 months ago #72 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Rogered royally in the final moments :sick:

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5 years 11 months ago #73 by RuggaBugga
Replied by RuggaBugga on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

coil wrote: Rogered royally in the final moments :sick:


Sickening

Scared money dont make money! BOOM!

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5 years 11 months ago #74 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Northerner wrote: Cheers to Bradie as well for the Chiefs penalty tip - those types of bets are coming in much more often than not


(B)
I like this type of bets and I think the bookmaker are most of the time wrong with some teams – will wait for the timing on the next games

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5 years 11 months ago #75 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Some good value in Cheetahs vs Munster today. Munster have a terrible away record and will be eyeing out their semi final tie against Racing next weekend. Cheetahs have only lost 1 game at home in the Pro 14 this season and have picked a strong side. Although there is a little bit of rain predicted, I wouldn't overanalyse this. A bit of altitude in Bloom could lead to a fairly open game of rugby.

Cheetahs outright @ 1.8 - 3 units
Cheetahs over 13.5 first half points @1.8 - 2 units
Total tries Over 6.5 @ 1.8 - 1 unit
Total points Over 52.5 @ 1.8 - 0.5 unit

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports
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5 years 11 months ago #76 by sebokeng
Replied by sebokeng on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Some good value in Cheetahs vs Munster today. Munster have a terrible away record and will be eyeing out their semi final tie against Racing next weekend. Cheetahs have only lost 1 game at home in the Pro 14 this season and have picked a strong side. Although there is a little bit of rain predicted, I wouldn't overanalyse this. A bit of altitude in Bloom could lead to a fairly open game of rugby.

Cheetahs outright @ 1.8 - 3 units
Cheetahs over 13.5 first half points @1.8 - 2 units
Total tries Over 6.5 @ 1.8 - 1 unit
Total points Over 52.5 @ 1.8 - 0.5 unit


I like the cheetahs over 13.5 first half aswell. The bad news tho is Munster seem to be using this game as a dress rehearsal for next weekend's game. They've chosen a strong side. 9 changes from last week's Kings beating side

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5 years 11 months ago #77 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Seems like the Wolves, Tahs and Rebels game will be played with quite a lot of wind
Cuts are 68.5, 53.5 and 53.5 but I will wait for the tries match and team before making any move

On the Cheetahs game, I m going with the over 2.5 tries HT

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5 years 11 months ago #78 by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
For the Sunwolves vs Blues game tomorrow, I'm betting on the Ioane brothers to score. Surely at least one of the two will score against this Sunwolves team.

Rieko anytime @ 5/6
Akira anytime @ 6/5

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5 years 11 months ago #79 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Anyone live in and around Bloem? Would love to know what the conditions are like!
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5 years 11 months ago #80 by Stoossy
Replied by Stoossy on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby

Overs_Punter wrote: Anyone live in and around Bloem? Would love to know what the conditions are like!


no one going to the game ? no one in Blom ?

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5 years 11 months ago #81 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Cheetahs v Munster: Buy Munster hotshots at 38 with Spreadex (Sweetnam, Arnold, Conway, Zebo) and F. Venter to score a try at 4/1 with Skybet.

Numbers caught my eye here, the buy price a bit too low and the back price a bit too high (3/1 or more would have been a potential bet for me). Stats are more ok than absolutely convincing but these just make it over the line for me.

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5 years 11 months ago #82 by shaft
Replied by shaft on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
I think Munster will win but my money's on their points over 25.5 @ 9/10 just in case something funny happens..

"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."

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5 years 11 months ago #83 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Throwing the kitchen sink at this one.

5 units over 53.5 points @ 1.9 (Cheethas vs Munster)

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5 years 11 months ago #84 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Glasgow v Connacht: 3 tryscorers who are essentially "system picks" for me. The stats don't necessarily endorse the bets but they don't put me off taking them either.

Dunbar 9/4 Skybet, Gibbins 7/2 Betway and Fagerson 9/2 Lads.

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5 years 11 months ago #85 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Massive turnover for Montpellier - the cut will melt so taking now

Toulon -12 @ 1.95
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5 years 11 months ago #86 by sebokeng
Replied by sebokeng on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Cheetahs over 30.5 FT 8/10 in running WSB

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5 years 11 months ago #87 by Watson
Replied by Watson on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Good evening all

Any advice on the Shute Shield out there? Cannot seem to find the match odds anywhere.

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5 years 11 months ago #88 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Just about to turn in and will follow the forum tip about Wales minus against Uganda , I can only find minus 16.5 so will be a small bet .

Tomorrow's actions starts with the Blues strong favourites, I for one will always oppose them when such strong favourites and I'm sure there ill be a few more supporters of that theory. Even though I'll be lumping on the Wolves as I think they could outsmart the Blues enough to beat the cap , I wouldn't be surprised to see the Blues run away with it , but for now I stick with my guns , Wolves plus.

I fancy the Jag's on the plus too. They've been terribly inconsistent this season once again but I feel the Rebels could be vulnerable playing such an awkward side .

I do fancy the Waratahs in the Ausie derby but it will be a smallish punt in comparison.

I have lumped on the Brumbies plus 17.5 but even though I don't rate them I was impressed with their fight back against the Reds and their overall record against the Highlanders is a good one.

I'm funking for the Sharks to win in Durban and they have really shown some great promise in their last two games on tour , however they're back in Durban where they showed some of their worst form. The Bulls have done well in the past so I'll probably look to on the unders total points.

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5 years 11 months ago #89 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Not sure if I will get up for the Blues game as the points quotes are higher than what I was hoping for. Have gone over 6.5 Blues tries at 1/1 - in 3 games at home to NZL opposition the Sunwolves have conceded 9, 3 (the Blues when they beat them) and 13 tries and their last 2 home games this season they have conceded 7 to the Waratahs and 9 to the Chiefs

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5 years 11 months ago - 5 years 11 months ago #90 by slaterj
Replied by slaterj on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Knocked together a treble in a few hours time that i think looks pretty solid

Rebels to win
Reds +9
Sharks to win

2.65/1 William Hill
Last edit: 5 years 11 months ago by slaterj.

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5 years 11 months ago #91 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Blues -16.5
Jags +11.5
Brumbies +17.5
Reds +8.5

ATC @ 12/1

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5 years 11 months ago #92 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Rebels over 3.5 tries @ 1.85
Jaguares to score a penalty before 36”45 @ 1.86
Highlanders to score a penalty before 50”45 @ 1.86
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5 years 11 months ago #93 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
3 units Sunwolves +8.5

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5 years 11 months ago #94 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
awake and caught up, happy I didn't set the alarm and get further involved, some great D by Wolves in the 1st half, as for the Blues well brain dead doesn't do them justice

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5 years 11 months ago - 5 years 11 months ago #95 by Taylor
Replied by Taylor on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Can't quite believe I am backing the Rebels on a double digit minus handicap against the Jags, how things have changed from last season. The Jags have been very average this season, am with the -10.5

And following Bradie on Jags time of first penalty
Last edit: 5 years 11 months ago by Taylor.

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5 years 11 months ago #96 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
weather looks better than expected so adding

Rebels over 29.5 @1.89

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5 years 11 months ago #97 by Greedyfly
Replied by Greedyfly on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Over 48.5 match points for Rebel’s Jags

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5 years 11 months ago #98 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
4 units over 48.5 points Rebels vs Jags

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5 years 11 months ago #99 by Taylor
Replied by Taylor on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Nearly jumped on overs myself but commentators keep mentioning it is very wet under foot :unsure:

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5 years 11 months ago #100 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
Geez this Jag's side is coached terribly , how can they butcher so many opportunities ..... :whistle:

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