Super Rugby Week 9 and Other Rugby
- Overs_Punter
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If weather holds, over 52.5 is golden. If weather is bad, Munster outright
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- bradie82
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Over 43.5 @ 1.83
Over 4.5 tries @ 1.91
Over 1.5 tries HT @ 1.53
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- R3V3R3NT_
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My early leans nearly all oppose Oracles which on his recent super form is probably a good thing
Still cant find any confirmation if Dmack is playing for the Chiefs or not. If he plays I agree +10.5 is a good call but if he doesn't I swing the other way. That being the case probably not a great game to push the chips all in on.
You guys prob don't get a sense of it in SA but the Blues are under a lot of pressure to string some better performances together. That sharks game was embarrassing to the team/franchise. The loss to the chiefs while still a loss, showed a lot of improvement. The Blues have had no trouble scoring this season so they should have no trouble putting them on the board vs the Sunwolves. There is a lot of pressure for a complete performance here coupled with the need to right the loss to the Sunwolves at the end of last season.
Brumbies coach is turning up the heat in the media calling out a lack of respect from NZ teams. Brumbies will be up for this one and ill look to back the HT and FT lines. Still fading Arron Mauger all season long.
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- slaterj
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Does anyone know who's out for the Canes after last week and how many are missing?
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- R3V3R3NT_
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slaterj wrote: I see the line has come in on the Chiefs + from 11 to 9 now hope that this is a good sign
Does anyone know who's out for the Canes after last week and how many are missing?
Hurricanes: 15 Jordie Barrett, 14 Vince Aso, 13 Matt Proctor, 12 Ngani Laumape, 11 Ben Lam, 10 Beauden Barrett, 9 Jamie Booth, 8 Gareth Evans, 7 Sam Henwood, 6 Brad Shields (c), 5 Sam Lousi, 4 Vaea Fifita, 3 Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 2 Ricky Riccitelli, 1 Toby Smith
Replacements: 16 James O'Reilly, 17 Chris Eves, 18 Ben May, 19 Michael Fatialofa, 20 Reed Prinsep, 21 Richard Judd, 22 Ihaia West, 23 Wes Goosen
No TJ, Both Saveas out.
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- Brent Graham
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Not getting involved early doors but looking for a Blue overs points play tomorrow. Also with the majority of the forum on the Brumbies plus
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- hanrick
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Regarding the Sunwolves vs Blues game, I have also lined this game up as an overs play, but checking windguru they predicted rain and wind for Tokyo on Saturday. I see the prediction has now moved to later on Saturday and it seems the rain will only come after the game.
On this morning's game I like the Chiefs on the plus and also the 1st half to be higher scoring than the 2nd half. Of 8 NZ derbies this year, only 2 games had the 2nd half been higher scoring. Will also look at an unders play on total points.
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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- Taylor
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With you Hanrick on the highest scoring half being first half, a trend I have noticed this season.
Also with Canes - 9.5, TJ is a big loss but think they'll be too strong at home in this rivalry game
Added Chiefs time of first penalty before 27mins 45secs as well
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- coil
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- Ruan Fourie
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- Brad Breath
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Also on Chiefs +10.5
And Canes win by 1-12 @ 3.30
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- RuggaBugga
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Cap would have arrived in 6 of last 7. Dmack starting huge.
This is a close one, also going Chiefs HT / Canes FT for smalls
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- Brad Breath
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Brad Breath wrote: McKenzie starting, Allardice at lock
Also on Chiefs +10.5
And Canes win by 1-12 @ 3.30
Apologies - should've been a bit more specific, Damien McKenzie to start
Also late change for Canes - Michael Fatialofa replaces Sam Lousi with Murray Douglas coming on to the bench
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- southpaw
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- shark prince
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- The Vann
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RuggaBugga wrote: In Chiefs +10.5 main punt
Cap would have arrived in 6 of last 7. Dmack starting huge.
This is a close one, also going Chiefs HT / Canes FT for smalls
Was looking for a "smalls" to check Friday 13th luck
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- bamiam
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I could be way off but think the Canes could easily build a two score lead by 60min mark. The Chiefs are an absolute 80min side, so it might be a tense final 20 for punters on either side...
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- coil
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- slaterj
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NZ call up in the offing?
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- Northerner
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Northerner wrote:
Also gone for Laumape anytime @ 15/8 in the Hurricanes game, and mulling over adding Lam @ evens
Hoping to continue the good end to last week!
The pair of them dotting down makes it 10 from 10!
Cheers to Bradie as well for the Chiefs penalty tip - those types of bets are coming in much more often than not
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- RuggaBugga
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Northerner wrote:
Northerner wrote:
Also gone for Laumape anytime @ 15/8 in the Hurricanes game, and mulling over adding Lam @ evens
Hoping to continue the good end to last week!
The pair of them dotting down makes it 10 from 10!
Cheers to Bradie as well for the Chiefs penalty tip - those types of bets are coming in much more often than not
(B) (B) (B) (B)
Amazing stuff!
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- coil
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- RuggaBugga
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coil wrote: Rogered royally in the final moments
Sickening
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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- bradie82
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Northerner wrote: Cheers to Bradie as well for the Chiefs penalty tip - those types of bets are coming in much more often than not
(B)
I like this type of bets and I think the bookmaker are most of the time wrong with some teams – will wait for the timing on the next games
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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Cheetahs outright @ 1.8 - 3 units
Cheetahs over 13.5 first half points @1.8 - 2 units
Total tries Over 6.5 @ 1.8 - 1 unit
Total points Over 52.5 @ 1.8 - 0.5 unit
twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports
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- sebokeng
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ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Some good value in Cheetahs vs Munster today. Munster have a terrible away record and will be eyeing out their semi final tie against Racing next weekend. Cheetahs have only lost 1 game at home in the Pro 14 this season and have picked a strong side. Although there is a little bit of rain predicted, I wouldn't overanalyse this. A bit of altitude in Bloom could lead to a fairly open game of rugby.
Cheetahs outright @ 1.8 - 3 units
Cheetahs over 13.5 first half points @1.8 - 2 units
Total tries Over 6.5 @ 1.8 - 1 unit
Total points Over 52.5 @ 1.8 - 0.5 unit
I like the cheetahs over 13.5 first half aswell. The bad news tho is Munster seem to be using this game as a dress rehearsal for next weekend's game. They've chosen a strong side. 9 changes from last week's Kings beating side
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- bradie82
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Cuts are 68.5, 53.5 and 53.5 but I will wait for the tries match and team before making any move
On the Cheetahs game, I m going with the over 2.5 tries HT
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- Northerner
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Rieko anytime @ 5/6
Akira anytime @ 6/5
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- Overs_Punter
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- Stoossy
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Overs_Punter wrote: Anyone live in and around Bloem? Would love to know what the conditions are like!
no one going to the game ? no one in Blom ?
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- harry_rag
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Numbers caught my eye here, the buy price a bit too low and the back price a bit too high (3/1 or more would have been a potential bet for me). Stats are more ok than absolutely convincing but these just make it over the line for me.
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- Overs_Punter
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5 units over 53.5 points @ 1.9 (Cheethas vs Munster)
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- harry_rag
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Dunbar 9/4 Skybet, Gibbins 7/2 Betway and Fagerson 9/2 Lads.
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- bradie82
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Toulon -12 @ 1.95
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- sebokeng
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- Watson
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Any advice on the Shute Shield out there? Cannot seem to find the match odds anywhere.
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- coil
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Tomorrow's actions starts with the Blues strong favourites, I for one will always oppose them when such strong favourites and I'm sure there ill be a few more supporters of that theory. Even though I'll be lumping on the Wolves as I think they could outsmart the Blues enough to beat the cap , I wouldn't be surprised to see the Blues run away with it , but for now I stick with my guns , Wolves plus.
I fancy the Jag's on the plus too. They've been terribly inconsistent this season once again but I feel the Rebels could be vulnerable playing such an awkward side .
I do fancy the Waratahs in the Ausie derby but it will be a smallish punt in comparison.
I have lumped on the Brumbies plus 17.5 but even though I don't rate them I was impressed with their fight back against the Reds and their overall record against the Highlanders is a good one.
I'm funking for the Sharks to win in Durban and they have really shown some great promise in their last two games on tour , however they're back in Durban where they showed some of their worst form. The Bulls have done well in the past so I'll probably look to on the unders total points.
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- Brent Graham
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- slaterj
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Rebels to win
Reds +9
Sharks to win
2.65/1 William Hill
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- southpaw
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Jags +11.5
Brumbies +17.5
Reds +8.5
ATC @ 12/1
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- bradie82
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Jaguares to score a penalty before 36”45 @ 1.86
Highlanders to score a penalty before 50”45 @ 1.86
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- Overs_Punter
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- Brent Graham
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- Taylor
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And following Bradie on Jags time of first penalty
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- bradie82
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Rebels over 29.5 @1.89
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- Greedyfly
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- Overs_Punter
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- Taylor
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- coil
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