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TOPIC: Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other

Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80788

I recovered nicely from my bad beat in the Sharks v Bulls game (u49.5 pts) and looking forward to next weekend.

Here are my projected Super Rugby caps

Blues +8.5 v Highlanders
Waratahs -5.5 v Lions
Crusaders -38.5 v Sunwolves
Reds +8.5 v Chiefs
Bulls -12.5 v Rebels
Sharks -2.5 v Stormers
Brumbies -8.5 v Jaguares

The Champions Cup and Challenge Cup semi's take place this weekend and here are the caps

Gloucester -2.5 v Newcastle
Cardiff Blues -1.5 v Pau
Leinster -12.5 v Scarlets
Racing -4.5 v Munster

Look forward to your views
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80793

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My projected caps in brackets next to Brent’s -

Blues +8.5 v Highlanders (+6.5 Blues)
Waratahs -5.5 v Lions (-2.5 Tahs)
Crusaders -38.5 v Sunwolves (-44.5)
Reds +8.5 v Chiefs (+12.5)
Bulls -12.5 v Rebels (-9.5)
Sharks -2.5 v Stormers (-4.5 Sharks)
Brumbies -8.5 v Jaguares (-8.5)

Main difference Saders and Chiefs. Think Saders will pick a strong side and can see a huge smash coming if conditions good. Reds I feel are going to battle with pace of Chiefs game in their first match against NZ opposition this season.

On Champions Cup I’m sitting on 25/1 Racing outright but think Munster will be hard to beat, as even though game in France it’s not in Paris and the Irish will be their in masses.
"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80795

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Bet365 our with their caps:

Blues +6 vs Highlanders
Waratahs -1 vs Highlanders
Crusaders -37 vs Sunwolves
Reds +13 vs Chiefs
Bulls -7 vs Rebels
Sharks -2 vs Stormers
Brumbies -5 vs Los Jaguares
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80796

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Northerner wrote:
Bet365 our with their caps:

Blues +6 vs Highlanders
Waratahs -1 vs Highlanders
Crusaders -37 vs Sunwolves
Reds +13 vs Chiefs
Bulls -7 vs Rebels
Sharks -2 vs Stormers
Brumbies -5 vs Los Jaguares

Crusaders and Sharks the early value for me.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80797

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Many thanks to Couch critic for this weeks edition of Post Match Scuffle, Sharks Get Hitchcocked at Poolside! is available here
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80804

Sharks , Bulls , Crusaders are bankers
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80805

A few of the local books out, Playabets go 9/10 the pair on the early caps and I like the Crusaders -37.5 and the Bulls -7.5 early doors.
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80806

I also like the 5/6 Bulls/Bulls HT/FT at GGGaming
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80807

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Bulls -7.5 looks too good to be true!
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80809

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Agree re Bulls, Rebels are half the team without Genia, who isn't travelling.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 2 days ago #80810

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Bulls are seriously on the up and will be buzzing after that win in Durbs. Lions have a
Genia is a massive loss to the Rebels. Rebels are also punching way above their weight and have benefited from playing 5 of their 7 games at home this season. The Tahs and Canes put 50 past them and Bulls know their home form is key for a push in the SA Conference.

Bulls -7.5 is GOLDEN!
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80821

2 early strikes for me. Bulls -8.5 is golden. This line will definitely change before kick off. Lions to beat the Tahs. It's always difficult to play away and travel but the Lions are a superior side to the Tahs and at evens, it's too good not to punt.

3 units -8.5 Bulls.
2 units Lions.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80827

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Blues v Highlanders preview
5 units (1-10 scale) Highlanders -6.5 points 9/10 BetXchange
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80830

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Stepping out of running order this week.

Brent also on the Bulls - train and worthy of an early call

Saturday, Bulls v Rebels preview
7 units Bulls -8.5 points, 19/20 at Playabets
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80831

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More info backing the Bulls
Last 3 H2H
o 2016 – Bulls won 45-25 (Handicap was Bulls -5.5)
o 2014 – Bulls won 40-7 (Handicap was Bulls -19.5)
o 2011 – Bulls won 47-10 (Handicap was Bulls -24.5)
- Bulls have covered cap on each of last 3 times when at home against Rebels
- Rebels are 6th on combined log – Played 2 of the top 5 (1 home, 1 away), of 7 games played, 3 have been against the bottom 4 teams!
- Bulls are 8th on combined log – Played 4 of top 5 (2 home, 2 away)
- Rebels position on the log is due to easy wins against bad teams, there is no way the Rebels would have accumulated more points than the Bulls if Rebels had the Bulls fixture list.
- Bulls have the better coach
- Altitude factor
- Line has moved out to -10.5 at BetX

I am quite invested in the Bulls -7.5 and pretty happy that I am :woohoo:
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80832

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Rugga where do you find historical handicaps?
"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80833

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shaft wrote:
Rugga where do you find historical handicaps?

I just know them ...
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80834

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:woohoo: oddsportal.com

www.oddsportal.com/rugby-union/world/super-rugby/

Click on results and then you can go into previous seasons from 2009
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80835

  • southpaw
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Been travelling and missed early caps, where was Bulls -7.5 lads?
"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80836

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southpaw wrote:
Been travelling and missed early caps, where was Bulls -7.5 lads?

Long gone since GFTG started betting. Was -8.5 @ 9/10 at BetXchange Monday at 15h00. 24 Hours later now -10.5 @ 9/10
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80837

RuggaBugga wrote:
:woohoo: oddsportal.com

www.oddsportal.com/rugby-union/world/super-rugby/

Click on results and then you can go into previous seasons from 2009

And here I was thinking you were running a massive spreadsheet :lol:
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 1 day ago #80838

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Sportingbet were still -8.5 Bulls at 9/10 earlier this afternoon and a few local books yet to go up.

Lions out early with their side.

Waratahs v Lions preview
3 units Waratahs win at 5/6 WSB, Playabets, Betway
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 17 hours ago #80840

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Shouts for the Super Rugby this weekend:

Blues v Highlanders (+7)
Waratahs (to win) v Lions
Crusaders (-38) v Sunwolves
Reds v Chiefs (-13)
Bulls (10) v Rebels
Sharks v Stormers (to win)


I like the look of the card this weekend and strongest players would be on the Saders and Bulls covering
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 15 hours ago #80841

  • R3V3R3NT_
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RuggaBugga wrote:
More info backing the Bulls
Last 3 H2H
o 2016 – Bulls won 45-25 (Handicap was Bulls -5.5)
o 2014 – Bulls won 40-7 (Handicap was Bulls -19.5)
o 2011 – Bulls won 47-10 (Handicap was Bulls -24.5)
- Bulls have covered cap on each of last 3 times when at home against Rebels
- Rebels are 6th on combined log – Played 2 of the top 5 (1 home, 1 away), of 7 games played, 3 have been against the bottom 4 teams!
- Bulls are 8th on combined log – Played 4 of top 5 (2 home, 2 away)
- Rebels position on the log is due to easy wins against bad teams, there is no way the Rebels would have accumulated more points than the Bulls if Rebels had the Bulls fixture list.
- Bulls have the better coach
- Altitude factor
- Line has moved out to -10.5 at BetX

I am quite invested in the Bulls -7.5 and pretty happy that I am :woohoo:

The Genia effect needs to be emphasized as well. Vs the Jags at the 50th minute Rebels are leading 19-6 and Genia is subbed after that they concede 19 points to 3. The Rebels backup scrumhalfs are terrible no Genia no chance.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 12 hours ago #80842

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The Vann wrote:
southpaw wrote:
Been travelling and missed early caps, where was Bulls -7.5 lads?

Long gone since GFTG started betting. Was -8.5 @ 9/10 at BetXchange Monday at 15h00. 24 Hours later now -10.5 @ 9/10

Betxchange were out at about 7 o'clock Monday morning with all the caps.They are very early the last couple of weeks. Also took a big strike on Bulls -7.5
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 12 hours ago #80843

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takethegap wrote:
The Vann wrote:
southpaw wrote:
Been travelling and missed early caps, where was Bulls -7.5 lads?

Long gone since GFTG started betting. Was -8.5 @ 9/10 at BetXchange Monday at 15h00. 24 Hours later now -10.5 @ 9/10

Betxchange were out at about 7 o'clock Monday morning with all the caps.They are very early the last couple of weeks. Also took a big strike on Bulls -7.5

Thanks thought it might have been Betx.

Managed to get -8 @ 10/11 yesterday and have climbed aboard the Bulls train.
"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 9 hours ago #80845

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On 25+ @ $4.50 Nz Tab Crusaders halftime margin also halftime and full time minus.
On -6.5 Highlanders, Blues have 18 players out and good weather forecast in Auckland Friday night.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 9 hours ago #80847

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www.facebook.com/groups/1632270960410813/
an awesome betting F/B page...very helpful
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 8 hours ago #80848

  • RuggaBugga
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Brent Graham wrote:
RuggaBugga wrote:
:woohoo: oddsportal.com

www.oddsportal.com/rugby-union/world/super-rugby/

Click on results and then you can go into previous seasons from 2009

And here I was thinking you were running a massive spreadsheet :lol:

There may be a spreadsheet ;)
This Bulls train is growing :woohoo:
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 7 hours ago #80850

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I saw this and knew his biggest fan Hanrick would be devasted over the news. As a Sharks fan I would say 5 years to late, but knew Hanrick would be disappointed. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

www.sport24.co.za/Rugby/SuperRugby/shark...ls-it-a-day-20180418
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 7 hours ago #80851

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kt6747 wrote:
I saw this and knew his biggest fan Hanrick would be devasted over the news. As a Sharks fan I would say 5 years to late, but knew Hanrick would be disappointed. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

www.sport24.co.za/Rugby/SuperRugby/shark...ls-it-a-day-20180418

Haha, KT! That's great news for Sharks rugby. Agree with you on the 5 years too late. He was okay early in his career, but has been a big liability the last few years.

Just for the record, I'm also on the Bulls train. Sounds like every man and his dog is on the Bulls minus. From my experience, not always a good thing and has me a bit nervous.
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 7 hours ago #80852

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Looks like one of the dilemmas at the moment is whether one should jump on the bulls -4.5 HT , or -10.5 FT. Oh boy which to choose which to choose...
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 7 hours ago #80853

A little nibble for me this weekend.

Highlanders 1-12 @ 2.7 - 0.5 unit
Lions 1-12 @ 3.8 - 0.5 unit.

Not overly confident, but I think there is good value. As shaky as the Blues are, they are playing at home and it is a NZ derby. The Lions have been up and down this season but I believe that they will have too much quality for the Tahs. If the Stormers can lose by 2 points to the Tahs in Sydney, then the Lions will definitely give a better account.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 6 hours ago #80854

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Reds v Chiefs preview
4 units Chiefs -12.5 points 9/10 BetXchange
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 6 hours ago #80855

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hanrick wrote:
Just for the record, I'm also on the Bulls train. Sounds like every man and his dog is on the Bulls minus. From my experience, not always a good thing and has me a bit nervous.

Last weekend belonged to the Bookies, this weekend the punters strike back!

The handicap has shifted from -7.5 to -10.5 so clear that the money is on the Bulls. If the handicap stayed at -7.5 then I would be worried ;)
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 6 hours ago #80856

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EPCR Podcast discussing the semi-finals

www.epcrugby.com/news/37552.php#.WtcViS5uapo
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 4 hours ago #80860

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Hollywood open at Bulls -12.5

The Bulls train is gathering steam ...
Scared money dont make money! BOOM!
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 4 hours ago #80861

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This weekend looks like it could be a cracker, really like some of the match-ups and will also be adding this acca:

Highlanders -7.5
Chiefs -8.5
Bulls -8.5
Saders -36.5

7/1 with Betx.
"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 3 hours ago #80862

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Have any one seen any markets for The Supersport challenge?
Great competitions for punters to make money
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 1 week 23 minutes ago #80864

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southpaw wrote:
This weekend looks like it could be a cracker, really like some of the match-ups and will also be adding this acca:

Highlanders -7.5
Chiefs -8.5
Bulls -8.5
Saders -36.5

7/1 with Betx.

Have same acca, but Highlanders - 8.5 and Bulls - 9.5, same caps on other two @ 8.45/1 with Betx. If you add Brumbies - 5.5 you get 17.3/1. Considering adding Brumbies in a second acca 1/2 unit...
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 6 days 9 hours ago #80874

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Many thanks to Oracle for his weekend Super Rugby plays

Friday preview
Saturday preview
Sunday preview
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 6 days 8 hours ago #80877

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Crusaders v Sunwolves preview, little appetitite for the handicap here.
1.25 units Anytime tryscorer Ryan Crotty at 9/10 GGGaming
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 6 days 7 hours ago #80880

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Nice juicy banker!!

Crusaders to be leading by 15+ points HT at 5/10 WSB. Make it a two team acca and add a simple bulls win and u get 9.5/10 without having to stress bout bulls -10.5 handicaps.
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 6 days 6 hours ago #80881

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Sharks v Stormers preview
3 units Sharks -2.5 points 9/10 WSB, Sportingbet (you won't believe how long it took me to arrive at that conclusion) :)
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 6 days 5 hours ago #80886

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mackem wrote:
Are you delivering your selections in the style of Ronnie Barker now? ;)
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 6 days 5 hours ago #80887

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harry_rag wrote:
mackem wrote:
Are you delivering your selections in the style of Ronnie Barker now? ;)

Qualitity spot Harry :lol:
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 6 days 4 hours ago #80888

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Last up, Brumbies v Jaguares on Sunday, preview here
5 units Brumbies -4.5 points 9/10 Sunbet
twitter: @goodforthegame
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 5 days 23 hours ago #80890

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Kwagga and Marx anytime tomorrow @ 5/2 each for me
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 5 days 19 hours ago #80892

Small double for me tomorrow as cannot watch - Highlanders -8.5 onto the Waratahs to win at 5/6 - double comes in at 5/2
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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Super Rugby Week 10, Champions Cup semi's + other 5 days 13 hours ago #80893

  • R3V3R3NT_
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Have to agree with Hanrick O/U 7.5 Tries in the Blues High game seems really high. Besides opening game played against each other Highlanders have had 1 game go over this number in the last minute last week.The Blues just 2 games the capitulation vs the Sharks and away to the Lions. Going to have a solid go at Under 7.5 Tries.
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