Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby

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2 weeks 3 days ago #51 by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
I should add its really windy, no SBW and no reiko gonna give this a miss and focus on the 7s

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2 weeks 3 days ago #52 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Stocked up on some more Blues -7.5 19/20 at Betxchange

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2 weeks 3 days ago #53 by sunnyskies
Replied by sunnyskies on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby

Taylor wrote: I like Saders 1-12 tonight @ 2.70 (NZ TAB)

I know there is no Whitelock or Crotty, but with Moody and Dagg back and Taufua confirmed to start I think it's a pretty good looking team and they should be able to get across the line


My thoughts exactly :cheer:

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2 weeks 3 days ago #54 by Taylor
Whoops forgot about the early start time for Blues v Rebels

Not the strongest Blues lineup and while I think they will win, not sure it will be by a big margin, so some Blues 1-12 @ 2.87 in play , but not too involved

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2 weeks 3 days ago #55 by sebokeng
Replied by sebokeng on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
I'm of the strong view that Boks will play out of their skins tonight. Boks to cruise by more than 12 against Wales. Boom!

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2 weeks 3 days ago #56 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
The Blues are worse than ever, thank goodness I decided not to buy their shirts, poor start to the weekend for me though

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2 weeks 3 days ago - 2 weeks 3 days ago #57 by sunnyskies
Replied by sunnyskies on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Taking Crusaders 1-12 (same as Taylor) with Crusaders over 24.5 points. I've added last scoring play either Chiefs or Crusaders Penalty.
Last edit: 2 weeks 3 days ago by sunnyskies.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #58 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Blues must be the worst professional team in the modern era.

I'm on Chiefs 1-12 @ 3.70

Just read Taufua and Goodhue are both late scratchings for the Crusaders.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #59 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Under 50.5 points at Sunbet for me

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2 weeks 3 days ago - 2 weeks 3 days ago #60 by Taylor

Brad Breath wrote: Blues must be the worst professional team in the modern era.

I'm on Chiefs 1-12 @ 3.70

Just read Taufua and Goodhue are both late scratchings for the Crusaders.


Ah man really? :S

ATS - Dagg @ 2.60 + Team FTS @ 7.50
Last edit: 2 weeks 3 days ago by Taylor.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #61 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Had a week from hell at work and now away for weekend so slim involvement for me on rugby this weekend, thankfully didn’t go with Monday view on Canes, not sure what happened to them yesterday. My first bet will probably be the bok game tonight - hoping for a low points quote and looking for overs.

Could be some showers there but pitch looked a great surface. Will check closer to kick off.

"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #62 by Taylor

sunnyskies wrote: Taking Crusaders 1-12 (same as Taylor) with Crusaders over 24.5 points. I've added last scoring play either Chiefs or Crusaders Penalty.


Why could that ball not just sneak past the outside of that post not the inside.. That one hurt

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2 weeks 3 days ago #63 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Thought I was out of jail with that unders play but also screwed over at the end

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2 weeks 3 days ago #64 by Quill
Reds vs Tahs

Over 6.5 tries @2.00
Tahs over 27.5 points @1.80
Tahs over 3.5 tries @1.85

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2 weeks 3 days ago #65 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Also on Waratahs over 27.5 0.89/1 GG

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2 weeks 3 days ago #66 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
SA v Wales: Buy North's try minutes at 7 and anytime tryscorer at 5/1, both with Spreadex.

The Racing Post have tipped North anytime at 5/2 describing it as "a surprisingly big price". No doubt their eyes would pop out if they saw 5/1 or the 9/2 and 4s readily available elsewhere!

I'd equate a try minutes buy at 7 as even better value and think he's worth a bet with stakes split across spreads and fixed odds.
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2 weeks 3 days ago #67 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
I've also bought the Wales hotshots at 20 (Amos, Prydie, North and Evans) as that looks a little light to me and a 5 point profit for just a single try is attractive. Obviously I'll be hoping for more though!

Same price but even better value for me is a buy of the Castres hotshots v Montpellier with SPIN (Tulou, Smith, Battle, Dumora). They're Castres 4 top tryscorers this season and I get an indicative price of 26. It's very rare for me to find a perceived edge of 30% and this is my bet of the weekend. Obviously I could strike out and lose 20 x my stake but it's well worth the risk.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #68 by Salop41

harry_rag wrote: SA v Wales: Buy North's try minutes at 7 and anytime tryscorer at 5/1, both with Spreadex.

The Racing Post have tipped North anytime at 5/2 describing it as "a surprisingly big price". No doubt their eyes would pop out if they saw 5/1 or the 9/2 and 4s readily available elsewhere!

I'd equate a try minutes buy at 7 as even better value and think he's worth a bet with stakes split across spreads and fixed odds.


Can see North moving out to the wing for the last 20 minutes so I've gone with his try minutes.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #69 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby

mackem wrote: Brumbies v Sunwolves preview http://www.goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-Matches/brumbies-v-sunwolves-super-rugby-2018-betting-preview.html

I've no view on the handicap either side of,30 points. Tom Banks anytime at 5/6 and also as 1st try scorer at 10/1 (both with WSB) took my eye


Banks 4/5 best now but it's an eyecatching price when you compare it to his price on the spreads (top ranked by the spreads yet longer than Speight and Muirhead on the fixed odds). You can get 11/1 1st with 365 and (best price of the lot for me) 15/4 that he scores 2 or more as well. That looks huge given that I thought 3/1 elsewhere wasn't bad.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #70 by Ruan Fourie
Replied by Ruan Fourie on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Really looking forward to the rugby tonight. Top 14 final plus the Bokke game. We are in for a treat.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #71 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Still on the Brumbies v Sunwolves game, I've bought Brumbies hotshots at 83 and Teaupa's try minutes at 13, both with Spreadex.

The hotshots are Muirhead, Kuridrani, Speight, Banks. It's rare for me to pay such a high price (4 tries needed for a profit) but it's about 8 points lower than I'd expect so I'm on to modest stake.

Teaupa a bit of an unknown quantity (he's 25 or 30 depending on which source you look at) but I just think that price is a little low (17 to buy elsewhere).

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2 weeks 2 days ago #72 by Ruan Fourie
Replied by Ruan Fourie on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Sportingbet's live rugby betting is so lazy. They aren't even bothering to update the handicaps. So you'll get handicaps like:

Montpellier - 10.5 @ 2.70
Castres + 10.5 @ 1.40.

And those are your choices. Same with the points and amount of tries scored. Lazy lazy.

I think after tonight I'll take out my money there and move it to a different bookie.

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2 weeks 2 days ago - 2 weeks 2 days ago #73 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
My only rugby bet of weekend - over 39.5pts @ 7/9 with Sunbet in bok wales game.

"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.
Last edit: 2 weeks 2 days ago by southpaw.
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2 weeks 2 days ago - 2 weeks 2 days ago #74 by Delon
Washington DC is WET :/ still 1 hour to go. We will see.
And storm is coming
This Castres is hilarious for 5,00 odds
Last edit: 2 weeks 2 days ago by Delon.

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2 weeks 2 days ago #75 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Damn, last picture I’d seen was dry. I might hold tight, wet but also warm.

"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.

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2 weeks 2 days ago #76 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Conditions didn't look too bad when they went over, surely both teams will try and be positive - I also don't rate the defencse of some of the Boks (Bosch, Ismail) and have flown into over 39.5 points, biggest fixed odds play in quite a while

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2 weeks 2 days ago #77 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Likewise, I think bookies have this wrong and am expecting attacking intent from both sides. Hopefully!!

"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.

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2 weeks 2 days ago #78 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Yip, I am worried about conditions a bit but 39.5 is attainable even if there is some rain about - need a fast start to calm the nerves

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2 weeks 2 days ago #79 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
My sister is in DC. Said it was 28 degrees but felt like 34. Real muggy.
Don't think it will suit the Welsh.

Have followed on George North anytime, but no strong feeling on anything else.
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2 weeks 2 days ago #80 by Ruan Fourie
Replied by Ruan Fourie on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Not good advertising for rugby in the States. I really hope the game opens up in the second half.

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2 weeks 2 days ago #81 by Salop41
Not happy, that should have been a walk in for North.

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2 weeks 2 days ago #82 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Overs arrives, big bet, big win, worth the wait today.

"He who is not courageous enough to take risks will accomplish nothing in life." Muhammad Ali.
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2 weeks 2 days ago #83 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Overs looked dead, then arrives. I split my bet between GGGaming and WSB - checking accounts now it appears as if I went unders with WSB and not overs - hoping I wake up in the morning to find it is a bad dream

Instead of a big win a small loss and a week after an error made me money

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2 weeks 2 days ago #84 by Quill
Brumbies -29.5 @1.93
Brumbies try before 10min 30sec @1.85

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2 weeks 2 days ago #85 by Quill
Adding Brumbies over 47.5 @1.85

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2 weeks 2 days ago #86 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby

Brent Graham wrote: Overs looked dead, then arrives. I split my bet between GGGaming and WSB - checking accounts now it appears as if I went unders with WSB and not overs - hoping I wake up in the morning to find it is a bad dream

Instead of a big win a small loss and a week after an error made me money


Sadly not a bad dream, I back unders with WSB and overs with GGGaming

Only consolation I didnt lose much but should have been a big win.

Going to get involved in some u20 action later where I fancy Ireland +8.5 on the Cap against the Baby Boks

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2 weeks 2 days ago #87 by Ruan Fourie
Replied by Ruan Fourie on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
The Brumbies turned a good weekend into an alright one. At some point it looked like they were going to win by 40.

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2 weeks 2 days ago #88 by harry_rag
Replied by harry_rag on topic Super Rugby Week 16 Wales v SA and other Rugby
Ok weekend for me courtesy of the 3 hotshots bets, shame there wasn't a nice late North try!

5 points profit on each of Wales and Castres and 17 on Brumbies.

Not spectacular but beats losing.

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