Currie Cup wk 3, Pro 14 wk 1, Aviva Prem + other rugby
- Brent Graham
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Pro 14 - here are the current handicaps for the Kings and Cheetahs games
Zebre -14.5 v Kings
Munster -21.5 v Cheetahs
Currie Cup - handicap projections
Pumas +5.5 v WP - interesting game this
Cheetahs +24.5 v Sharks - a wild guess really
Bulls -0.5 v Lions
Look forward to your thoughts
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- southpaw
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Would even be looking at the win around 2/1.
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote: Bristol on a plus 6.5 or around that mark appeals in opening game of Premiership. Will be a huge home crowd for them, about 25,000 expected at stadium, and this is a fierce local derby.
Would even be looking at the win around 2/1.
Will hold fire for now, just got a news alert that key man Charles Piatau picked up a knock on weekend and is a doubt for Friday. He is their top player.
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- mattyc
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-21.5 at first glance seems about 20 points off the mark.
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- MrMeeseeks86
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- bradie82
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I reckon its more serious than a knocksouthpaw wrote:
southpaw wrote: Bristol on a plus 6.5 or around that mark appeals in opening game of Premiership. Will be a huge home crowd for them, about 25,000 expected at stadium, and this is a fierce local derby.
Would even be looking at the win around 2/1.
Will hold fire for now, just got a news alert that key man Charles Piatau picked up a knock on weekend and is a doubt for Friday. He is their top player.
French Rugby Newspaper are mentioning 4 to 6 months
On the Gallagher premiership news, Biggar and Gopperth both got injured as well and should be out for few weeks (tbc)
As mentioned earlier by someone else this month on a outright discussion, Gloucester will be a very strong team this season and i totally agree with that statement
I saw their friendly game Thursday night aginst dragons and despite few players missing, i ve been impressed by the quality of the game played and with Saints home on Saturday, I reckon Gloucester should win this one by 5/6 at least (Saints were poor last season and without Biggar and few key players left)
I will be taking points and tries later this week but taking already
Gloucester -5.5 @ 1.72
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- plloyd88
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My thoughts on some of the games mentioned this weekend.
Munster will be without their Irish contingent (Stander, O' Mahony, Beirne, Murray, Carbery etc.) this weekend and a few of their better players are still coming back from injury (Cloete, Farrell maybe). Team news will clarify things on Friday but I wouldn't be too confident yet.
I like the look of the Zebre minus versus the Kings. Zebre improved in a big way last year, have a big enough pack and some very good backs (Canna, Boni, Mizonni, Padovani). Doesn't look lke the Kings have had any pre-season games and are without some key guys e.g. Coleman.
Also I was wondering if anyone saw Agen play at the weekend? I watched the Perpignan game and they looked awful. As poor a standard as I've seen in the Top 14 in a long time. Agen will look to give them nothing as they'll likely be in a relegation battle, the cap currently stands at -8. Wondering if Agen are much better as they lost some of their stars from last year.
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- MrMeeseeks86
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- southpaw
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bradie82 wrote:
I reckon its more serious than a knocksouthpaw wrote:
southpaw wrote: Bristol on a plus 6.5 or around that mark appeals in opening game of Premiership. Will be a huge home crowd for them, about 25,000 expected at stadium, and this is a fierce local derby.
Would even be looking at the win around 2/1.
Will hold fire for now, just got a news alert that key man Charles Piatau picked up a knock on weekend and is a doubt for Friday. He is their top player.
French Rugby Newspaper are mentioning 4 to 6 months
On the Gallagher premiership news, Biggar and Gopperth both got injured as well and should be out for few weeks (tbc)
As mentioned earlier by someone else this month on a outright discussion, Gloucester will be a very strong team this season and i totally agree with that statement
I saw their friendly game Thursday night aginst dragons and despite few players missing, i ve been impressed by the quality of the game played and with Saints home on Saturday, I reckon Gloucester should win this one by 5/6 at least (Saints were poor last season and without Biggar and few key players left)
I will be taking points and tries later this week but taking already
Gloucester -5.5 @ 1.72
thanks Bradie, yes i just got a quick heads up via Twitter this am and now see more detailed reports suggest a while out. Big blow for Bristol.
Yep Gloucester were my tip on here for 16/1 outright, i wasn't jumping in on game 1 until seen more team news. Tempted now to take the -7 @ 10/11, but trying to find out if Naiyaravoro is playing for Saints.
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- Brent Graham
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Guys loving all the input on the European Rugby - if any of our offshore punters who follow any of these leagues closely fancy appearing on our Thursday night You Tube show drop me an e-mail This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
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- bradie82
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@ Southpaw : Naiyaravoro was supposed to arrive late last week or early this week in England so I doubt he will be playing this week end
On the topic of injuries, seems like Gopperth is out for the season while Biggar could only be out this Saturday and the club is even optimistic he will be playing - does not change my bet on the Gloucester cap
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- Cettas
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Kings (28):
Schalk Ferreira, Justin Forwood, Lupumlo Mguca, Xandre Vos, Alandre van Rooyen, Mike Willemse, Tango Balekile, Luvuyo Pupuma, Schalk Oelofse, JC Astle, Bobby de Wee, Henry Brandon Brown, Stephan De Wit, Martinus Burger, Ruaan Lerm, Andisa Ntsila, Rudi van Rooyen, Godlen Masimla, Martin du Toit, Harlon Klaasen, Berton Klaasen, Michael Makase, Yaw Penxe, Bjorn Basson, Masixole Banda, Michael Botha, Ulrich Beyers
Cheetahs (26):
Ox Nche, Erich de Jager, Charles Marais, Joseph Dweba, Jacques du Toit, Marnus van der Merwe, Luan de Bruin, Aranos Coetzee, Justin Basson, JP du Preez, Walt Steenkamp, Junior Pokomela, Oupa Mohoje, Aidon Davis, Jasper Wiese, Shaun Venter, Tian Meyer, Ruben de Haas, Tian Schoeman, Ernst Stapelberg, William Small-Smith, Nico Lee, Benhard Janse van Rensburg, Rabz Maxwane, Malcolm Jaer, Ryno Eksteen
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- NicG
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- Wies Bang
NicG wrote: Kings & Cheetahs squads look VERY average to me...not expecting a lot of these teams during this Pro14...reckon Cheetahs will even struggle with their home games this campaign... SA rugby in a bit of a mess with all the 100's of players playing in Europe & Japan...local depth becoming a huge problem.
Have to agree with you NicG , SA teams will receive a proper hiding this year in the PRO14 , will be opposing them as much as possible.
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- Cettas
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Pumas +3.5 v WP
Bulls +1.5 v Lions XV
FS XV +45.5 v Sharks XV
Anyone know if any of the Boks fringe members or squad members will be released to play Currie cup this week in order to get some game time?
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- hanrick
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- Stoossy
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is this real ??
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- Cettas
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hanrick wrote: Have just broken all kind of betting rules for myself regarding maximum bets. Started shivering when I saw the handicap for the Sharks is only 16.5. Have had one of my biggest bets ever on that. Christmas has come early!
I see they have moved it up to 20.5, also went big
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- MrMeeseeks86
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hanrick wrote: Have just broken all kind of betting rules for myself regarding maximum bets. Started shivering when I saw the handicap for the Sharks is only 16.5. Have had one of my biggest bets ever on that. Christmas has come early!
May I ask where Hanrick? I only see Sharks handicap at 42.5 - and if you meant Sale Sharks, that is at 3.5
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- Chickendinner
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- hanrick
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MrMeeseeks86 wrote:
hanrick wrote: Have just broken all kind of betting rules for myself regarding maximum bets. Started shivering when I saw the handicap for the Sharks is only 16.5. Have had one of my biggest bets ever on that. Christmas has come early!
May I ask where Hanrick? I only see Sharks handicap at 42.5 - and if you meant Sale Sharks, that is at 3.5
Don't really know anything about Sape Shark. I took Sharks -16.5 at 9/10 vs Cheetahs. Bet was with Betxchange. They have since moved it out to 20.5 and then to 25.5.
I guess the 42.5 you're talking of is with WSB. You won't catch me near those snakes' website.
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- hanrick
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hanrick wrote:
MrMeeseeks86 wrote:
hanrick wrote: Have just broken all kind of betting rules for myself regarding maximum bets. Started shivering when I saw the handicap for the Sharks is only 16.5. Have had one of my biggest bets ever on that. Christmas has come early!
May I ask where Hanrick? I only see Sharks handicap at 42.5 - and if you meant Sale Sharks, that is at 3.5
Don't really know anything about Sale Shark. I took Sharks -16.5 at 9/10 vs Cheetahs. Bet was with Betxchange. They have since moved it out to 20.5 and then to 25.5.
I guess the 42.5 you're talking of is with WSB. You won't catch me near those snakes' website.
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- MrMeeseeks86
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hanrick wrote:
MrMeeseeks86 wrote:
hanrick wrote: Have just broken all kind of betting rules for myself regarding maximum bets. Started shivering when I saw the handicap for the Sharks is only 16.5. Have had one of my biggest bets ever on that. Christmas has come early!
May I ask where Hanrick? I only see Sharks handicap at 42.5 - and if you meant Sale Sharks, that is at 3.5
Don't really know anything about Sape Shark. I took Sharks -16.5 at 9/10 vs Cheetahs. Bet was with Betxchange. They have since moved it out to 20.5 and then to 25.5.
I guess the 42.5 you're talking of is with WSB. You won't catch me near those snakes' website.
Ah okay, thank you! Yeah, quite a large difference. Very strange.
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- bradie82
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Ulster dnb @ 1.90 seems like a good bet but waiting on some pro14 expert to share their thoughts.
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- plloyd88
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Scarlets are weakened but in fairness have good depth. Ulster will also be without their Irish stars and don't have a whole lot of depth. They are good at home but I wouldn't be too quick to back against Scarlets who'll have weapons like Patchell, Davies and Evans.
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- Ruan Fourie
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Unfortunately I don't have an account with BetXchange so missed out on that gem.
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- bradie82
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- Thrasher6
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Fri 19.35 Cardiff + 6 v Leinster -6
Fri 19.35 Ospreys - 6 v Edinburgh +6
Sat 17,15 Scarlets +1 v Ulster -1
Sat 19.30 Dragons -7 v Benneton +7
Oppose the Welsh teams on the handicap...but only if you want an interest,,,none of these are big plays....
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- bradie82
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Agree that this is not a big play but managed to get Ulster @ 2.24 & 2.12 on Betfair Exchange (half unit on each) and at this price, the value was clearly on Ulster
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- hanrick
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- Brad Breath
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Taranaki win in Mitre 10 cup this morning @ 1.44 to rebuild the bank
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- ThoughtsOnSports
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- hanrick
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I see Ardie Savea and Perenara is back for Wellington, but with the amount of rain predicted for Wellington on Friday I, I would stay away from such a big handicap
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- shaft
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"No team is as good or as bad as their last game."
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- hanrick
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- mackem
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Pumas v WP preview here
www.goodforthegame.co.za/Currie-Cup-2018...betting-preview.html
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- bradie82
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Auckland v Waikato
Good weather, the 2 teams are most of the time this season going for try but rather than score a penalty
Over 2.5 tries HT @ 1.55
Over 6.5 tries @1.75
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- Brad Breath
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shaft wrote: Well played guys. Brad, I'm also starting to punt teams to win straight up if at least 4/10 and handicap looks tricky. See that ended bang on the line.
Cheers Shaft, like you say it is perhaps a decent strategy if the cap is well set.
Testing it further on Auckland to beat Waikato, who have made 7 changes, @ 1.44.
(Placed earlier today with Skybet but I see its come in since)
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- southpaw
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Auckland -7.5 @ 17/20 with Hollywood
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- mackem
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Currie Cup week 3
www.goodforthegame.co.za/Oracle/oracle-r...round-3-preview.html
Pro 14 round 1
www.goodforthegame.co.za/Oracle/oracle-r...round-1-preview.html
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- Delon
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I am "dumb or mute bob" usually, but noticed that my fav team, Wellington Lions have a very good team this week. What a backline:
15 Wes Goosen
14 Ben Lam !!!
13 Matt Proctor
12 Thomas Umaga-Jensen !
11 Malo Tuitama !
10 Jackson Garden-Bachop !
9 TJ Perenara AB
Pack is strong this time with Fifita and Ardie Savea.. and my future picked AB hooker is starting (Aumua). Thats big diff on flanker and hooker posi.
8 Teariki Ben-Nicholas
7 Ardie Savea !!!
6 Vaea Fifita !!!
5 Will Mangos
4 James Blackwell
3 Joel Hintz
2 Asafo Aumua !!!
1 Tolu Fahamokioa
Bench is nothing special to be honest. 16 James O'Reilly 17 Xavier Numia 18 Kaliopasi Uluilakepa 19 Galu Taufale 20 Greg Foe 21 Carlos Price 22 TJ Va'a 23 Billy Proctor
Fidow is injured, Waldrom is not in the selection, but still like a Canes mixed team.
I will be honest, I dont know too much about Southland, but they are very poor... nonames for me. BUT thats all sounds beauty... but weather forecast says trouble.
Line is big! -41 LOL...
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- Thrasher6
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- hanrick
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southpaw wrote: HT/FT Auckland/Auckland just under 8/10 with Sunbet
Auckland -7.5 @ 17/20 with Hollywood
Nice plays South!
Not sure why guys keep punting the overs in the Mitre10 Cup. I have checked and of the 16 games, only 3 have gone overs on the pre-game total points quote.
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- Thrasher6
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- hanrick
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Thrasher6 wrote: Thanks...kick a man when he is down....
My post wasn't directed at you specifically Thrasher6.
I think punters expect lots of tries because it's NZ teams playing against each other. NZ teams focus heavily on defence and play from turnover ball. That's why when they play each other points don't come that easily.
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