All Football Tips w/c 26th November

Thanks, Mackem. I see there is English domestic league football as well. Any tips on the Sunderland game? Or Championship/ league 1&2bets?

Either I'm getting past it or the books just seem to be getting all the breaks this November. Had them by the short and curly's last night on a sizable TGM spread @ 75min in the Wolves v Hudderfield match and they were forced to pull the spread after the second goal and pray for 15min plus injury time. Their prayers were answered and I had to settle for 5 units profit. Third time in the last 6 weeks.
Burnley v Newcastle
All goal quotes are low but this is not backed by the stats. Burnley matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 7 from 12 - if you strip out top 6 matches it's still over 2.5 in 5 from 9. Price should be around even so I am taking some
Match goals over 2.5 @ 27/20
(Stats also strongly favor Newcastle to score first so may look at match flow NewC/Draw or run a spread if one side has not scored by half time)

The Vann wrote: Either I'm getting past it or the books just seem to be getting all the breaks this November. Had them by the short and curly's last night on a sizable TGM spread @ 75min in the Wolves v Hudderfield match and they were forced to pull the spread after the second goal and pray for 15min plus injury time. Their prayers were answered and I had to settle for 5 units profit. Third time in the last 6 weeks.
Burnley v Newcastle
All goal quotes are low but this is not backed by the stats. Burnley matches have produced over 2.5 goals in 7 from 12 - if you strip out top 6 matches it's still over 2.5 in 5 from 9. Price should be around even so I am taking some
Match goals over 2.5 @ 27/20
(Stats also strongly favor Newcastle to score first so may look at match flow NewC/Draw or run a spread if one side has not scored by half time)

Brilliant Vann well done. Done and dusted before halftime!

PSG v Liverpool

Neymar and Mbappe rumoured to be out so if anyone fancies a Liverpool win it could be worth taking now incase the price shortens. A Liverpool win is currently @ 11/5.

Taken a conservative double tonight: Juventus win/City and Lyon btts at 2.18

Tuesday UCL
Tonight's card looks good for goals and I expect 6-7 matches to produce over 2.5 goals. Hopefully I can pick four. Caught the Eibar - Real Madrid match over the weekend and boy were Madrid rubbish. Have to rate Roma's chances at better then the odds on offer.
Hoffenheim V Shakhtar
Hoffenheim win and over 3.5 match goals @ 17/10 (Odds a little short for this type of bet so not a full stake)
Roma v Real Madrid
Roma win @ 24/10
Match goals over 2.5 acca
CSKA Moscow/Roma/Lyon/Hoffenheim @ just on 5/1

mackem wrote: Gone with Sunderland to score over 1.5 goals in League 1 match at home to Barnsley at 14/10. Not overly confident as Barnsley have keep keeping it tight lately but price took my eye as much as anything. My apologies to the lad who git sent off at the weekend as his red card was rescinded on appeal and he can play tonight and I'll blame Saturday's referee instead .

Power to you for the apology Mackem. Think I will join you on those odds - Thanks

PSG v Liverpool

Neymar and Mbappe passed fit. I will wait for team news to 100% confirm, but fancy PSG if they both start. I thought they looked good at Anfield and are one those teams that go up a level st home.

PSG to win @ 11/10

Wednesday UCL
Thankfully joined Mackem last night on Sunderland for only win of evening. Two for this evening
PSV v Barca
Barca win and BTTS yes @ 17/10
and the acca
BTTS Yes
Porto/PSG/PSV/Spurs @ 6/1

UEFA Europa League
Small double for late kick-offs
Chelsea/Sarpsborg Win @ 24/10

Adelaide vs Brisbane Roar

Both teams have only one defeat so far, both to Perth Glory.
Brisbane is a team that began the season with slow starts, conceding first before they came back into their games. That changed last week, as they beat Melbourne City 2-0.

Adelaide bounced back last week in Wellington, 3-1, after their home defeat to Perth Glory.
However, they had a slow start themselves, conceding first.
Taggart is on fire for Brisbane and Adelaide are expected to avoid a second consecutive defeat on home ground.

Bet 1: Over 2.5 goals @1.90
Bet 2: BTTS & Over 2.5 goals @2.10.

Half stake each bet or go for the higher odds.
I'm taking both, as you never know how a team goes 3-0 in this league.

Lacking inspiration today so some long-odds dogs for a few beers
Palace v Burnley
Happy with the guys pick but Palace usually start slow so
Match flow Burnley/Palace @ 21/2
Hudd v Brighton
Agree with the draw but taking more value
Half Time/FT Draw/Draw @ 13/4
Leicester v Watford
Match could produce anything from 1-6 goals. Taking the better odds
Match goals over 3.5 @ 23/10
Man City v Bournemouth
Too difficult to pick the ManC goals. Bournemouth much easier 0 or 1.
Bournemouth One goal exactly @ 17/10
and a double
The Leicester and Bournemouth picks at just under 8/1

Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory

Perth Glory is on a four match winning streak. Although they had wins at some very difficult venues to take points from (Adelaide and Melbourne Victory), last week at home they scored the winner deep in injury time, against the lowly Central Coast Mariners.

Phoenix started the season with a 2-1 home win (vs Newcastle Jets) and since then have not won again. They are on a three match losing streak.
Last week they played very well in the first half at home against Adelaide, 1-1 at the break, coming apart in the second half, ending up with a 1-3 defeat.

Phoenix will try hard to avoid another defeat in their second home match in a row, so I expect them to score.

Glory's defence still has work to do, while Wellington's is quite porous with 9 goals in 5 matches.

Two of Wellington's 3 home matches have seen more goals in the second half than in the first, as did Perth's both of their away matches.

Bet 1: BTTS & Over 2.5 goals @1.90
Bet 2: Highest scoring half - Second Half @2.10

Melbourne City vs Newcastle Jets

Last week the Jets won 2-0 away to the Wanderers. Their win came pretty much out of nowhere. It was their first of the season, however the Wanderers themselves haven't had a great start to their season either.
So I'm not exactly convinced that the Jets turned into title contenders again, all of a sudden. Ok, they played the Final last season, but this season they started poorly.

City are again without their main striker, Fornaroli, but there is enough quality in their team to hope for a win.

In terms of goals, both teams have been finding it hard to score, while their defences have not been porous either.

City will want to bounce back, while the Jets will want to take advantage of City's average form.

I like the total cards bet in this match, as City will play with a bit of pressure and Newcastle's defence is quite good.

Bet 1: Number of Goals - 2 or 3 goals @1.95
Bet 2: Total cards - over 4.5 @2.00

Sunday EPL
Taking a beer on Chelsea v Fulham 3-1 @ 12/1
and the acca
Chelsea and BTTS Yes/Arsenal BTTS Yes/Liverpool BTTS Yes @ 11/2
Fancied the three home wins but at 7/2 a little skinny. Just hope Everton can score at Anfield

Arsenal v Tottenham

Odds suggest that the bookies see this as a 50/50 game and I wouldn't be suprised by any result. I think it might be worth taking a chance with Arsenal as the Spurs back line looks a bit vulnerable and fatigue may kick in after two draining games in the past week.

Arsenal to win @ 17/10

Liverpool score both halves 23/20 Hollywood