All Football Tips w/c 17th December

UEFA Europa League Outrights
Chelsea 4/1 Arsenal 6/1 Napoli 8/1 Sevilla 10/1
For Chelsea and Arsenal first prize would be top 4 for next years UCL. Sevilla are in contention for the La Liga title. Napoli are 12 points clear of 4th in Serie A and are not good enough to catch Juve. They have no league pressure - On H2H in the UCL they would have eliminated PSG on away goals and finished square with Liverpool over the two legs - both these sides better then Chelsea or Arsenal in my opinion.
Europa League Winner
Napoli @ 8/1

Atalanta V Lazio tonight
Over 11.5 corners @ 13/10 with Sunbet

Atl averaging 9.5 corners at home over last 5 games.
Lazio averaging over 6 corners away over the last 5 games.

EPL Top 4 finish - yes
Manchester United @ 11/1

Matador wrote: Atalanta V Lazio tonight
Over 11.5 corners @ 13/10 with Sunbet

Atl averaging 9.5 corners at home over last 5 games.
Lazio averaging over 6 corners away over the last 5 games.

Thanks for this tip. Where do you get your corner stats from. Like the way you worked this one out. Is relying on the last 5 games of corner stats a profitable one e.g. does it win more money than it loses at a fixed staking plan?

Arsenal v Tottenham

Being a Spurs fan, the NLD defeat a few weeks ago was a sickener. I predicted fatigue could kick in for Spurs after two tough games and Arsenal were well up for it, so there were a few possible reasons to excuse it as a blip. Both teams should be rotated but the weekend line ups suggest Spurs might be targeting this more then Arsenal. Even the possible inclusion of someone like Llorente could actually be a benefit as Arsenal look weak at defending balls into the box. Overall, I think there is a fair chance that Spurs will start with a stronger team on paper and the option to qualify, instead of the straight win, offers a bit of insurance.

Spurs to qualify @ evens

Murfin wrote:

Matador wrote: Atalanta V Lazio tonight
Over 11.5 corners @ 13/10 with Sunbet

Atl averaging 9.5 corners at home over last 5 games.
Lazio averaging over 6 corners away over the last 5 games.

Thanks for this tip. Where do you get your corner stats from. Like the way you worked this one out. Is relying on the last 5 games of corner stats a profitable one e.g. does it win more money than it loses at a fixed staking plan?

Hey Murfin - regarding corner stats I do my own research using Soccerway.com by looking at each team's corner stats by selecting home & away results. I usually don't go too far back in the past as I think teams go through stages e.g. Real Madrid right now are going through a bad patch but before that were getting double digit corners.
Some teams(and leagues) are just corner machines and in every league (major) you pick them up. e.g. Sevilla, Barca, Napoli, Roma, Inter, Juve, L'pool, Arsenal, Man City, PSG, Marseille
Now the catch is that in the list above I usually look where these bigger clubs are playing smaller clubs as we know must smaller clubs will just defend for their lives until........ they concede 1 or 2 quick goals and then the likes of Liverpool take their foot off the gas and your corner ticket gets effed.
I also like to take in-play corner plays as sometimes two teams are just play expansive football and corners flow case in point the match on Monday with Atlanta/Lazio. (Sunbet have the best in-play corner markets that I've seen). At times you'll have a bigger club locked in a stalemate at HT and they come out and just attack their opposition resulting in corners and thats where I choose Sunbet's 'Total corners per team'.

A bit long winded but hope that helps. Corners is a very underrated market to bet on but can also see very frustrating as times you waiting for just that one extra to come in with 15/20 minutes left to play and it doesn't.

Matador wrote:

Murfin wrote:

Matador wrote: Atalanta V Lazio tonight
Over 11.5 corners @ 13/10 with Sunbet

Atl averaging 9.5 corners at home over last 5 games.
Lazio averaging over 6 corners away over the last 5 games.

Thanks for this tip. Where do you get your corner stats from. Like the way you worked this one out. Is relying on the last 5 games of corner stats a profitable one e.g. does it win more money than it loses at a fixed staking plan?

Hey Murfin - regarding corner stats I do my own research using Soccerway.com by looking at each team's corner stats by selecting home & away results. I usually don't go too far back in the past as I think teams go through stages e.g. Real Madrid right now are going through a bad patch but before that were getting double digit corners.
Some teams(and leagues) are just corner machines and in every league (major) you pick them up. e.g. Sevilla, Barca, Napoli, Roma, Inter, Juve, L'pool, Arsenal, Man City, PSG, Marseille
Now the catch is that in the list above I usually look where these bigger clubs are playing smaller clubs as we know must smaller clubs will just defend for their lives until........ they concede 1 or 2 quick goals and then the likes of Liverpool take their foot off the gas and your corner ticket gets effed.
I also like to take in-play corner plays as sometimes two teams are just play expansive football and corners flow case in point the match on Monday with Atlanta/Lazio. (Sunbet have the best in-play corner markets that I've seen). At times you'll have a bigger club locked in a stalemate at HT and they come out and just attack their opposition resulting in corners and thats where I choose Sunbet's 'Total corners per team'.

A bit long winded but hope that helps. Corners is a very underrated market to bet on but can also see very frustrating as times you waiting for just that one extra to come in with 15/20 minutes left to play and it doesn't.

Very useful info thanks for the detailed explanation.

EPL Saturday
Four matches not covered by Mackem. This is the start of the crazy season where sides are playing 4 matches in 13 days.
Arsenal v Burnley
Burnley's defense seems to be coming right and Arsenal did not look good against Southampton last time out. Can't go far wrong with a bet that's landed in four of their last five meetings
Arsenal to win by one goal exactly @ 32/10
Bournemouth v Brighton
Have two mates down for Christmas and the voting on this match came up at 1 for home - 1 for draw - 1 for away. Probably keep the stakes low here and I am pulling rank and going with my pick
Score draw @ 19/4
Huddersfield v Southampton
Great result for Southampton last time out. The last two of their four matches in the silly season are Chelsea and ManC. They have to target this match big time
Southampton win @ 15/10
(The over 2.5 match goals at 13/10 could also be a runner)
Manchester City v Crystal Palace
Palace have been the books cash cow this season but I did call them last time out. In their last three visits to the Etihad they have lost 5-0/5-0/4-0. Interestingly the second half goal tallies have been 4/4/3. Fancy the odds on this one
Second half match goals over 2.5 @ 33/20

mackem wrote: Terrific call on Spurs from Stokes in midweek.

Here's Sunday's preview of Everton v Spurs, wondering if Spurs might be worth taking on. Everton yet to host any of the top teams this season, went Everton DnB at 5/4

goodforthegame.co.za/English-Football/ev...betting-preview.html

Absa Prem Sunday, Highlands v Supersport

goodforthegame.co.za/South-Africa-Footba...betting-preview.html

Correct Score 1-1 at 9/2

Cheers Mackem. Although, I was a bit too cautious. The Everton v Spurs game looks tough to call and have no strong opinion on it at the moment. I did read a stat that Everton had scored in every home game this season and Spurs in every away game. Btts is 4/6 so maybe ok to add in an acca. Will have a deeper look into it over the weekend.

Liverpool -1 cap @ 7/5

Nice one South. Guests insisting on supping (no tasters here boyo) local grape varietals at source so taking days acca before senses get blurred
Chelsea
Man City
WBA
Charlton
Aberdeen
Man United
@ 14/1

Liverpool been a cash cow this season, can’t belive some of the odds been getting.

Going for 3rd Acca in a row-

Chelsea
Brentford
Luton
Bury
Hudd Soton drAw

13/1

Back and blurred - Must be cause cannot believe the results.
Cardiff v Man United
Multi Scores
Man Utd 2-1/3-1/4-1 @ 3/1