All Football Tips w/c 31st December

EPL Previews for Wednesday
Huddersfield v Burnley
Home 23/20 Draw 43/20 Away 29/10
The reverse fixture in October was drawn 1-1.
Dyche finally dropped Hart last time out and the difference in confidence levels at the back for Burnley against West Ham was remarkable. We also saw full backs bombing forward. Huddersfield have lost their last seven matches. I made Burnley slight favorites for this match and I believe these odds to be wrong. This bet will attract the bulk of my funds in this round of EPL matches
Burnley DNB @ 17/10
West Ham v Brighton
Home 9/10 Draw 53/20 Away 63/20
Reverse fixture was won 1-0 by Brighton.
These sides are closer then the odds offered and the draw is in play. Problem being WHM have drawn only 1 of 10 at home and Brighton only 1 of 10 away. I'm not going to pick a winner here but we have an option covering a low scoring match which could go either way
Match to be won by one goal exactly @ 27/20
Wolves v Palace
Home evens Draw 23/10 Away 13/4
Reverse fixture was won by Wolves 1-0.
Palace are a better side now then in October. The evens on Wolves is probably due to their second half performance against Spurs but we must remember Palace's last away was a win over Man City. What I like about Wolves this season is they have produced some quality second half displays which is reflected by their goal stats - 22% in first half and 78% in second. This bet has appeal
Wolves highest scoring half 2nd @ 15/10
( This match may also attract my days beer in the match flow market - Palace/Wolves @ 27/2 )

Having invested most of the money I raised pawning my Christmas gifts on the Huddersfield match just a beer or two for the watch
Everton v Leicester
ATGS Coleman @ 11/1 (Probably as much chance as van Dijk on Thursday but odds are better)
and trying the double again
BTTS yes
Ever v Leic/Card v Spurs @ 23/10

Cardiff v Tottenham

A classic Spursy second half against Wolves saw Tottenham undo a lot of the good work they did previously. It's been quite a common occurrence this season but they do tend to recover for the next game as if nothing has happened. Now that there is a substantial points gap to the top and whispers of title challengers subsided , Spurs can approach this with less pressure and I can see them being pretty comfortable. The price for a win looks fair for an acca but I think I'm gonna try a couple of singles

Tottenham to score 3 or more goals @ 13/8 ( main bet )
Tottenham to win by exactly 2 goals @ 3/1

Well done Spurs lads.

I’m looking ahead to the cracker on Thursday, City v Liverpool. Normally I wind down punting in December but Liverpools form and constant overpricing from bookies helped towards the best December betting returns I’ve had for a long time. I’m going to stick to same strategy on Thurs, although I do think bookies have got this one a little closer to mark, but still like the Reds -

Liverpool over 1.5 goals @ 7/5.

Number of clean sheets by City across 9 games in Dec = 0...! Now facing the best in form attack in league.

Brent Graham wrote: Like your main bet Spurs 3 or more Stokes and wading in as well

Glad you got involved Brent. I should of turned the tv off when the third went in, absolute snooze fest after that lol.

Other then my suitcase full of clothes on Burnley - two for me this evening
Wolves v Palace
2nd Half over 1.5 goals @ 29/20
and a double
Both to win and over 2.5 match goals
Chelsea + Man Utd @ 27/10

Man City v Liverpool
Unfortunately the last EPL match before the FA Cup ( where I traditionally get seven sorts of s***t kicked out of me by the books ) has little appeal. The head says last competitive match at The Etihad (UCL quarter) was won 2-1 by Liverpool who now have a better defense. The reverse fixture in October finished 0-0. Its almost a league knock-out match so must be low goals. The heart says are you crazy? look at the strike force out there.
I am not going to give back the nice pile Burnley worked so hard to give me last night so a few beers for the watch
Match goals under 2.5 @ 27/20

FA Cup Outrights
Looking for the long shot finalist
e/w on all
Leicester @ 30/1
West Ham @ 40/1
Palace @ 66/1

FA Cup Saturday
Last year 18 of the 32 matches in this round finished under 2.5 goals so going to do a Murfin on it. Taking the 9 matches where under 2.5 goals are odds against for a few beers each. Three others for me today
Fleetwood v AFC Wimbledon
Fleetwood win @ 12/10
Shrewsbury v Stoke
Shrewsbury win @ 3/1
(Always looking for the upset and the other possibilities are poorly priced)
and the few beers double
Newcastle v Blackburn - Blackburn D/C into
Sheff Wednesday v Luton - Luton D/C
@ 9/4

Doing OK on our under 2.5 goals ( 4 from 7 at present ). One possible upset I discarded as odds were too short was Bristol City. I see Huddersfield are now out to 11/4. Have to take some of that
Bristol City v Huddersfield
Huddersfield win @ 11/4

FA Cup Sunday
Only one match where the odds look slightly skewed. Hull have won their last 5 in the Championship including a win over Leeds. Millwall have won their last 3 but two of those against the bottom feeders Reading and Ipswich. The sides finished 2-2 at The Den in early December. Not enough in it for the straight bet so taking
Millwall v Hull
Hull and over 2.5 match goals @ 7/2
Two other sides who can score goals
Preston v Doncaster
Preston and BTTS yes @ 57/20

Lets see - The fans believe you can win the FA Cup - The books believe you have an excellent chance and have priced you up at 30/1 - very short for a mid-table side - so you go out and field a B team against Newport. Then - to compound matters you pull Okazaki ( Who would give his soul for the club ) at half time and leave the mercenary Iheanacho on the field. Your next match is home to Southampton so no excuses regarding squad rotation. If Vichai was still alive he would fire your little French arse out of there before breakfast tomorrow.