Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby

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5 years 1 week ago #1 by Brent Graham
Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby was created by Brent Graham
Hi Guys,

Out early with my caps but GGGaming beat me to it (we couldn't do it live this week due to commitments my side) - theirs on right in brackets - capping the home team

Crusaders -12.5 v Highlanders (-12.5)
Rebels -7.5 v Stormers (-9.5 )
Chiefs -5.5 v Blues (-6.5)
Brumbies -8.5 v Lions (-7.5)
Sharks -8.5 v Jaguares (-8.5)
Bulls -13.5 v Reds (-18.5)

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5 years 1 week ago - 5 years 1 week ago #2 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Here is the video wrapping up week 8 and comparing my caps to GGG


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Last edit: 5 years 1 week ago by mackem.

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5 years 1 week ago #3 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Many thanks to Couch Critic for this week's edition of Post Match Scuffle ........., The Animal Kingdom

goodforthegame.co.za/Couch-Critic/post-m...-animal-kingdom.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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5 years 1 week ago #4 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Interesting post from Dave our "Australian Correspondent" below the video

markets just came out over here..
They are -1.5 brumbies!!! Brumbies bet of the century....
-11.5 bulls is far too low also!

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5 years 1 week ago #5 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
100% with Dave on the Brumbies. All over them. Have fired the Brumbies 8/10 to win, Brumbies/Brumbies on ht/ft at 1.47/1 and Brumbies -6.5 at 18/10

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 years 1 week ago - 5 years 1 week ago #6 by davopnz
Replied by davopnz on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
I also strongly fancy Brumbies.

Should hopefully have a full compliment with Pocock sounding probable, along with the other 3 Wallabies that were rested vs Saders.

If so it will be strongest team since round 1 in which both Pocock and Pulu were injured early. I think Brumbies should be -10 minimum.

I also really fancy Rebels x Sharks ML double, Stormers now without Kolisi & Van Zyl (and Marais but that's probably a net gain lol). It sounds to me like they know they're no chance to win this as they were contemplating bringing PSDT back but decided against it along with sending Kolisi home to rest, Fleck has been talking about the home games ahead.

Jags suck in SA, they pulled a win out of their rear end against an AWFUL Bulls xv, Moyano has also been ruled out.

Both probably cover but really happy to sink into the ML double.
Last edit: 5 years 1 week ago by davopnz.

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5 years 1 week ago #7 by takethegap
Replied by takethegap on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby

Brent Graham wrote: Interesting post from Dave our "Australian Correspondent" below the video

markets just came out over here..
They are -1.5 brumbies!!! Brumbies bet of the century....
-11.5 bulls is far too low also!


Betway has bulls -10.5
brumbies -0.5

went huge!

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5 years 1 week ago #8 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Guys please Click Here if you open a Betway account

I have resisted for a while but keep missing these early opportunities

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5 years 1 week ago #9 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Hi Everyone,

I am going for Brumbies to Win @1.80 on B365 + a combo Rebels x Bulls x Crusaders @1.95

All in 2-ways so draw is covered. I can't see depleted highlanders and Stromers grab an away win against firing Saders and Rebels and I think the Bulls will reset the clock against the Reds that can't travel.

Thoughts?

L.

@Chris_Lacharge

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5 years 1 week ago #10 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Hi Lads ,

Another weekend which should have been a nice winner , my best bet of the Sharks plus I missed out on as I got the times all mixed up as I was in Australia for a few days , as a result I ended up chasing for most of Saturday . After getting to about square I feel into the Cheetahs trap and once again had an unrealistically too big a bet on the clowns from Bloem. Needless to say say they played like a team that had never played together and were well beaten. Onto Sunday without learning a valuable lesson I had two very large bets on the kings , one on the outright ( thankfully with dead heat rules at 8/10 ) the other at minus 1.5 at 9/10.

It was never going to be a pretty match and one got the feeling that we'ed be sweating till the end. Once again putting one's faith in craps teams can be soul destroying , both sides did their fair share of butchering but towards the end I thought just maybe the Kings would somehow ( against their concerted efforts ) would get up on both bets. Needless to say some brainless yellow cards and the useless attempt to close out the game with 5 min to play ended in a loss.

Thankfully I rallied late in running in the Clermont game pouncing on the unders at 72.5 in running to end a small loser.

Moral of the story , one cannot lump such hard earned loot on the array of clown sides out there !

Below are my predicted caps before seeing the other selections.

Brent Graham wrote: Hi Guys,

Out early with my caps but GGGaming beat me to it (we couldn't do it live this week due to commitments my side) - theirs on right in brackets - capping the home team

Crusaders -12.5 v Highlanders (-12.5) 13.5
Rebels -7.5 v Stormers (-9.5 ) 10.5
Chiefs -5.5 v Blues (-6.5) 6.5
Brumbies -8.5 v Lions (-7.5) 9.5
Sharks -8.5 v Jaguares (-8.5) 7.5
Bulls -13.5 v Reds (-18.5)

13.5

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5 years 1 week ago #11 by landrews77
Replied by landrews77 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
First Strike :
I go 1st bet : for Brumbies X Bulls X Rebels X Crusaders. All to Win outright.
2de bet : Brumbies X Rebels -7,5 X Bulls -8,5

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5 years 1 week ago #12 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Missed early line but had a go at Brumbies -2.5 @ 17/20 with Sunbet

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5 years 1 week ago #13 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
@ThreePeat - don't think Mackem saw your message regards Crusaders and Highlanders on previous thread so have sent it to him

When are you making a guest appearance on #TheHandicap?

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5 years 1 week ago #14 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Threepeat, if you see this, would really appreciate it, If you have chance please send me a paragraph summarizing, doesn't have to be long. I will do the rest the rest of the preview as normal some time this morning and then credit you with the summary and bet(s) but no rush, just whenever it suits you.

email addy is This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Many thanks

twitter: @goodforthegame

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5 years 1 week ago #15 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Fancy the Brumbies also and managed to get them to win @ 1.91 (24 hours ago)

Also treble Brumbies win, Rebels -8, Bulls -11 @ 6.9

I see Saders line is shifting out a bit, happy to wait and see if it goes further before getting on the plus - fancy the Landers to put up a decent fight. (Perhaps against all logic)
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5 years 1 week ago #16 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Previews won't be in running order this week.

Saturday Chiefs v Blues

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/ch...betting-preview.html

2.5 units Chiefs -4.5 points 10/11 Sportingbet

twitter: @goodforthegame

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5 years 1 week ago #17 by De Jager
Replied by De Jager on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby

Brent Graham wrote: Guys please Click Here if you open a Betway account

I have resisted for a while but keep missing these early opportunities


What a shit site, will be my first and last R1000 deposit. They take 3 hours to clear the EFT, and after taking the bet they tell you that your "free" bet will be made available after your first bet gets resulted. They can go and learn from Hollywood and WSB....my advise is stay away..

I took R3060 to R1000, Brumbies to beat the Lions -9.5. Was going to use to "free" bet to take the Rebels -10.5.

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5 years 1 week ago #18 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Crusaders v Highlanders preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/cr...betting-preview.html

I think threepeat might have some firm views on this one which I can drop into the preview in due course but my take is Saders -13.5 9/10 WSB and a couple of other places and I go 4 of 5 units

twitter: @goodforthegame
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5 years 1 week ago #19 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Rebels v Stormers preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/re...betting-preview.html

Current line seems to be 10.5 across the board, not as confident on this one but another minus call for 2 units

twitter: @goodforthegame

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5 years 1 week ago #20 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Slightly off topic, but I had a look at the Conference betting.

Mainly focus on SA conference as the other two pretty much are gone. Today's prices from WSB on left, and pre tournament on the right in brackets.

NZ
Crusaders 1/33 (11/10)

Australia
Rebels 3/10 (5/2)
Waratahs 3/1 (1/1)

South Africa
Sharks 15/10 (8/1)
Lions 16/10 (9/10)
Bulls 9/2 (13/2)
Stormers 8/1 (5/1)

Pre-tournament I took some Bulls and up to this past weekend things looked good. I had a look at the remaining fixtures and I do see the conference being open until the final weekend. My projected points finishes with the main aim.

Sharks 37 - 40 - Need to win next two at home, beat Jags and Waratahs away.
Bulls 35 - 39 - Easiest tour, but need to win next three in SA and one on the road.
Stormers 34 - 38 - Lot's of home games left, key is to beat all SA sides and Jags away.
Lions 30 - 34 - Difficult tour, and finish Sharks, Bulls away, Canes, Stormers home

Sharks, Bulls will shorten after this weekend. Stormers will most likely drift out with Lions. I'll be taking more Bulls, a little bit of Stormers - they will finish strong and might sneak it.

Follow me on @kilianpierre
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5 years 1 week ago #21 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Brumbies v Lions preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/br...betting-preview.html

3 units Brumbies -3.5 points at 9/10 which is where the line seems to have shifted to right now

twitter: @goodforthegame

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5 years 1 week ago #22 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Sharks v Jaguares preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/sh...betting-preview.html

2 units Sharks win by 1-12 points inc 16/10 Sportingbet

twitter: @goodforthegame

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5 years 1 week ago - 5 years 1 week ago #23 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Couch Critic's preview of every match in Super Rugby Round 9 with best bets and specials

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...round-9-preview.html

twitter: @goodforthegame
Last edit: 5 years 1 week ago by mackem.

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5 years 1 week ago #24 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Bulls v Reds preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/bu...betting-preview.html


1.5 units Reds +15.5 points 9/10 Hollywoodbets

twitter: @goodforthegame

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5 years 6 days ago #25 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Don't forget "The Handicap", live from 21:00 on Thursday night




If you wish to comment on the show whilst it is live please use this link to our Youtube channel

twitter: @goodforthegame

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5 years 6 days ago #26 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Question for those that follow the Pro14

Is Ospreys -10 v Kings one of the bets of the year??
Kings are woeful and should've been beaten by a hopeless Dragons outfit last week.
Cheetahs were unusually poor last week but Ospreys were in control of that game the whole way through, winning by 17 points.
They still have an outside shot at making the Playoffs, (top 3 in conference) or at least getting themselves in contention for the Heineken Cup qualification match if they end up in 4th.
They've hardly set the world alight this season, particularly without their internationals, but at almost full strength I can see them going all out for a bonus point victory here.

I'll probably have a go at some alternative caps too up to approx -25 when markets available and teams are announced later today.

Thoughts lads?

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5 years 6 days ago #27 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Going against the grain on Bulls game, the Reds +14.5 @ 15/20 too big a line in my view.

Reds are a very fit side, they showed how they like to stretch sides in wins over brumbies and then later on against stormers. They are 2nd behind Canes on total defenders beaten over 8 rounds.

I also look at the selection of Kerevi as a sign this is the game they are targeting to try get a result from more than trip to Durban week later, have a hunch it may be similar to rebels, Kerevi to get a much needed rest, Naivalu to come into centre in his place last week after a good trial in midfield last week.

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5 years 6 days ago #28 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
There is a massive book mistake going on with the ProD2 (France), some bookies offer Mont de Marsant (Stade Montois) +12.5 @1.90 with the money line @4.7 against Massy who is already relegated. MdM sending their best team for a PO spot and Massy is in big crisis not a single win in 2018 ... we have hit that one hard on the few bookies that offered it

@Chris_Lacharge
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5 years 5 days ago #29 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Crusaders over 32.5 points at 17/20.

Saw there was 56.5 total points available in Rebels game. Really liked the unders on that. Thought I would take the bet later and now see it is down to 52.5. Annoyed I waited to take the bet.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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5 years 5 days ago - 5 years 5 days ago #30 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Brumbies v Lions:

Any forward (either team 1-8 ) to score first try @ 3.10
Last edit: 5 years 5 days ago by Cettas.
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5 years 5 days ago #31 by Thrasher6
Replied by Thrasher6 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
The World and his wife are on the Rebels...from -8 to -11......current score.....Rebels 10 Stormers 24....I'm out

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5 years 5 days ago #32 by Overs_Punter
Replied by Overs_Punter on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Howsit Gents. Been a fly on the wall for too long - really enjoy reading everyones opinions and more often that not leads me in the right direction. Looking forward to tomorrow's fixtures.

Brumbies vs Lions: Expecting a backlash from the Lions. Getting a great price on a price boost with GGG 18/10.

Sharks vs Jags: Sharks can never be trusted. Last week was a pure anomaly. Jags +7.5 9/10

Bulls vs Reds: We due a points fest at the highveld sooner rather than later. This is my biggest play. Haven't seen a line around but assume it'll be near the 60 point mark.

Good Punting
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5 years 5 days ago #33 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Kings under 19.5 points at 9/10

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 years 5 days ago #34 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby

Brad Breath wrote: Question for those that follow the Pro14

Is Ospreys -10 v Kings one of the bets of the year??

I'll probably have a go at some alternative caps too.

Thoughts lads?


An overwhelming response from the forum has me oozing confidence....lol

Added
-17 @ 2.7 &
-20 @ 3.3

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5 years 5 days ago #35 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
LOL sorry Brad we are all dead scared of Kings games

I was about to go Kings points over 17.5 but rethinking

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5 years 5 days ago #36 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
And how Brent , them kings are a putrid side , i cant back them not back against , however i will take some plus 7.5 leicester at 5/7 , think this will be very close .

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5 years 5 days ago #37 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Windy and field looks a bit cut up - under 53.5 at 9/10

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5 years 5 days ago #38 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
ok with you bg , got 54.5 at 5/7 .... couldnt resist , hoping for a shite fest

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5 years 5 days ago #39 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Phew unders scrapes in, great early call Ospreys Brad and unders Kings points Hanrick

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5 years 4 days ago #40 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby

southpaw wrote: Going against the grain on Bulls game, the Reds +14.5 @ 15/20 too big a line in my view.

Reds are a very fit side, they showed how they like to stretch sides in wins over brumbies and then later on against stormers. They are 2nd behind Canes on total defenders beaten over 8 rounds.

I also look at the selection of Kerevi as a sign this is the game they are targeting to try get a result from more than trip to Durban week later, have a hunch it may be similar to rebels, Kerevi to get a much needed rest, Naivalu to come into centre in his place last week after a good trial in midfield last week.


Added over 56.5pts @ 9/10 Sunbet
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5 years 4 days ago #41 by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Few bets so far this weekend:

Blues vs Chiefs - Penalty to be scored before 16 mins 30

Brumbies -3 and HT/FT
Fainga’a anytime 6/4 and first 12/1

Gareth Davies anytime 11/10 looks a cracking bet for Scarlets, playing Zebre with a -37 handicap
Also first 13/1, double 5/1, hatrick 22/1

And finally Reinach anytime 9/2 with Spreadex is just wrong. Also first 22/1 and double 11/1

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5 years 4 days ago #42 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Blues over 21.5 points and Brumbies over 28.5 points. Bigger bet on Brumbies points

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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5 years 4 days ago #43 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Have added Blues to win the game and over 50.5 match points at 4.88/1

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
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5 years 4 days ago #44 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Over 43.5 in chiefs game onto over 46.5 Brumbies game - double @ evens

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5 years 4 days ago #45 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
against the grain as they say , but taking a lessor price of 5/10 the chiefs , not big stakes as the blues have a habit of screwing me when going or opposing them ... also going to have a nibble on the unders 54.5 at 6/10 into a double overs in the brumbies game .

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5 years 4 days ago #46 by alanmc09
Replied by alanmc09 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
What a game that was!!! Happy enough to have overs and Chiefs 1-12, Hope McKenzie is ok he was on fire before he limped off!
Brumbies -4 here, Also have the win in a number of doubles (With Sharks, Bulls, Connaught, Gloucester)

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5 years 4 days ago #47 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Having broken square in the last , have dived into the Brumbies and now doubting myself ... just hoping they don't get that daft Ausie mentality like the Rebels did yesterday .. on the minus 4 , over 52.5 pts , and on brumbies outright with a double onto Worcester later on.

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5 years 4 days ago #48 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Just missed the overs but a decent profit , have fired into the Jags plus 10.5 at 7/10 and under 48.5

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5 years 4 days ago #49 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Sharks 1 - 12 at 17/10 and under 52.5 total points at 17/20

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 years 4 days ago #50 by stokes1982
Replied by stokes1982 on topic Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
Got the Father in law visiting and have spent the whole morning trying to find a pub that will show the Sharks game. Absolutely Knackered. Anyway, got on the following...

Sharks -7 @ 10/11
Jags under 21.5 @ 17/20

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