Super Rugby Week 9 and other Rugby
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Out early with my caps but GGGaming beat me to it (we couldn't do it live this week due to commitments my side) - theirs on right in brackets - capping the home team
Crusaders -12.5 v Highlanders (-12.5)
Rebels -7.5 v Stormers (-9.5 )
Chiefs -5.5 v Blues (-6.5)
Brumbies -8.5 v Lions (-7.5)
Sharks -8.5 v Jaguares (-8.5)
Bulls -13.5 v Reds (-18.5)
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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markets just came out over here..
They are -1.5 brumbies!!! Brumbies bet of the century....
-11.5 bulls is far too low also!
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- davopnz
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Should hopefully have a full compliment with Pocock sounding probable, along with the other 3 Wallabies that were rested vs Saders.
If so it will be strongest team since round 1 in which both Pocock and Pulu were injured early. I think Brumbies should be -10 minimum.
I also really fancy Rebels x Sharks ML double, Stormers now without Kolisi & Van Zyl (and Marais but that's probably a net gain lol). It sounds to me like they know they're no chance to win this as they were contemplating bringing PSDT back but decided against it along with sending Kolisi home to rest, Fleck has been talking about the home games ahead.
Jags suck in SA, they pulled a win out of their rear end against an AWFUL Bulls xv, Moyano has also been ruled out.
Both probably cover but really happy to sink into the ML double.
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- takethegap
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Brent Graham wrote: Interesting post from Dave our "Australian Correspondent" below the video
markets just came out over here..
They are -1.5 brumbies!!! Brumbies bet of the century....
-11.5 bulls is far too low also!
Betway has bulls -10.5
brumbies -0.5
went huge!
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- Brent Graham
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I have resisted for a while but keep missing these early opportunities
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- CLrugby
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I am going for Brumbies to Win @1.80 on B365 + a combo Rebels x Bulls x Crusaders @1.95
All in 2-ways so draw is covered. I can't see depleted highlanders and Stromers grab an away win against firing Saders and Rebels and I think the Bulls will reset the clock against the Reds that can't travel.
Thoughts?
L.
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- coil
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Another weekend which should have been a nice winner , my best bet of the Sharks plus I missed out on as I got the times all mixed up as I was in Australia for a few days , as a result I ended up chasing for most of Saturday . After getting to about square I feel into the Cheetahs trap and once again had an unrealistically too big a bet on the clowns from Bloem. Needless to say say they played like a team that had never played together and were well beaten. Onto Sunday without learning a valuable lesson I had two very large bets on the kings , one on the outright ( thankfully with dead heat rules at 8/10 ) the other at minus 1.5 at 9/10.
It was never going to be a pretty match and one got the feeling that we'ed be sweating till the end. Once again putting one's faith in craps teams can be soul destroying , both sides did their fair share of butchering but towards the end I thought just maybe the Kings would somehow ( against their concerted efforts ) would get up on both bets. Needless to say some brainless yellow cards and the useless attempt to close out the game with 5 min to play ended in a loss.
Thankfully I rallied late in running in the Clermont game pouncing on the unders at 72.5 in running to end a small loser.
Moral of the story , one cannot lump such hard earned loot on the array of clown sides out there !
Below are my predicted caps before seeing the other selections.
13.5Brent Graham wrote: Hi Guys,
Out early with my caps but GGGaming beat me to it (we couldn't do it live this week due to commitments my side) - theirs on right in brackets - capping the home team
Crusaders -12.5 v Highlanders (-12.5) 13.5
Rebels -7.5 v Stormers (-9.5 ) 10.5
Chiefs -5.5 v Blues (-6.5) 6.5
Brumbies -8.5 v Lions (-7.5) 9.5
Sharks -8.5 v Jaguares (-8.5) 7.5
Bulls -13.5 v Reds (-18.5)
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- landrews77
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I go 1st bet : for Brumbies X Bulls X Rebels X Crusaders. All to Win outright.
2de bet : Brumbies X Rebels -7,5 X Bulls -8,5
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- Brent Graham
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When are you making a guest appearance on #TheHandicap?
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- mackem
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email addy is This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.
Many thanks
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- Brad Breath
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Also treble Brumbies win, Rebels -8, Bulls -11 @ 6.9
I see Saders line is shifting out a bit, happy to wait and see if it goes further before getting on the plus - fancy the Landers to put up a decent fight. (Perhaps against all logic)
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Saturday Chiefs v Blues
goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/ch...betting-preview.html
2.5 units Chiefs -4.5 points 10/11 Sportingbet
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- De Jager
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Brent Graham wrote: Guys please Click Here if you open a Betway account
I have resisted for a while but keep missing these early opportunities
What a shit site, will be my first and last R1000 deposit. They take 3 hours to clear the EFT, and after taking the bet they tell you that your "free" bet will be made available after your first bet gets resulted. They can go and learn from Hollywood and WSB....my advise is stay away..
I took R3060 to R1000, Brumbies to beat the Lions -9.5. Was going to use to "free" bet to take the Rebels -10.5.
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/cr...betting-preview.html
I think threepeat might have some firm views on this one which I can drop into the preview in due course but my take is Saders -13.5 9/10 WSB and a couple of other places and I go 4 of 5 units
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- mackem
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Current line seems to be 10.5 across the board, not as confident on this one but another minus call for 2 units
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- Pierrebal
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Mainly focus on SA conference as the other two pretty much are gone. Today's prices from WSB on left, and pre tournament on the right in brackets.
NZ
Crusaders 1/33 (11/10)
Australia
Rebels 3/10 (5/2)
Waratahs 3/1 (1/1)
South Africa
Sharks 15/10 (8/1)
Lions 16/10 (9/10)
Bulls 9/2 (13/2)
Stormers 8/1 (5/1)
Pre-tournament I took some Bulls and up to this past weekend things looked good. I had a look at the remaining fixtures and I do see the conference being open until the final weekend. My projected points finishes with the main aim.
Sharks 37 - 40 - Need to win next two at home, beat Jags and Waratahs away.
Bulls 35 - 39 - Easiest tour, but need to win next three in SA and one on the road.
Stormers 34 - 38 - Lot's of home games left, key is to beat all SA sides and Jags away.
Lions 30 - 34 - Difficult tour, and finish Sharks, Bulls away, Canes, Stormers home
Sharks, Bulls will shorten after this weekend. Stormers will most likely drift out with Lions. I'll be taking more Bulls, a little bit of Stormers - they will finish strong and might sneak it.
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- mackem
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3 units Brumbies -3.5 points at 9/10 which is where the line seems to have shifted to right now
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- mackem
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2 units Sharks win by 1-12 points inc 16/10 Sportingbet
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1.5 units Reds +15.5 points 9/10 Hollywoodbets
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- Brad Breath
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Is Ospreys -10 v Kings one of the bets of the year??
Kings are woeful and should've been beaten by a hopeless Dragons outfit last week.
Cheetahs were unusually poor last week but Ospreys were in control of that game the whole way through, winning by 17 points.
They still have an outside shot at making the Playoffs, (top 3 in conference) or at least getting themselves in contention for the Heineken Cup qualification match if they end up in 4th.
They've hardly set the world alight this season, particularly without their internationals, but at almost full strength I can see them going all out for a bonus point victory here.
I'll probably have a go at some alternative caps too up to approx -25 when markets available and teams are announced later today.
Thoughts lads?
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- southpaw
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Reds are a very fit side, they showed how they like to stretch sides in wins over brumbies and then later on against stormers. They are 2nd behind Canes on total defenders beaten over 8 rounds.
I also look at the selection of Kerevi as a sign this is the game they are targeting to try get a result from more than trip to Durban week later, have a hunch it may be similar to rebels, Kerevi to get a much needed rest, Naivalu to come into centre in his place last week after a good trial in midfield last week.
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- CLrugby
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- hanrick
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Saw there was 56.5 total points available in Rebels game. Really liked the unders on that. Thought I would take the bet later and now see it is down to 52.5. Annoyed I waited to take the bet.
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- Cettas
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Any forward (either team 1-8 ) to score first try @ 3.10
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- Thrasher6
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- Overs_Punter
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Brumbies vs Lions: Expecting a backlash from the Lions. Getting a great price on a price boost with GGG 18/10.
Sharks vs Jags: Sharks can never be trusted. Last week was a pure anomaly. Jags +7.5 9/10
Bulls vs Reds: We due a points fest at the highveld sooner rather than later. This is my biggest play. Haven't seen a line around but assume it'll be near the 60 point mark.
Good Punting
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- hanrick
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- Brad Breath
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Brad Breath wrote: Question for those that follow the Pro14
Is Ospreys -10 v Kings one of the bets of the year??
I'll probably have a go at some alternative caps too.
Thoughts lads?
An overwhelming response from the forum has me oozing confidence....lol
Added
-17 @ 2.7 &
-20 @ 3.3
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- Brent Graham
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I was about to go Kings points over 17.5 but rethinking
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote: Going against the grain on Bulls game, the Reds +14.5 @ 15/20 too big a line in my view.
Reds are a very fit side, they showed how they like to stretch sides in wins over brumbies and then later on against stormers. They are 2nd behind Canes on total defenders beaten over 8 rounds.
I also look at the selection of Kerevi as a sign this is the game they are targeting to try get a result from more than trip to Durban week later, have a hunch it may be similar to rebels, Kerevi to get a much needed rest, Naivalu to come into centre in his place last week after a good trial in midfield last week.
Added over 56.5pts @ 9/10 Sunbet
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- Northerner
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Blues vs Chiefs - Penalty to be scored before 16 mins 30
Brumbies -3 and HT/FT
Fainga’a anytime 6/4 and first 12/1
Gareth Davies anytime 11/10 looks a cracking bet for Scarlets, playing Zebre with a -37 handicap
Also first 13/1, double 5/1, hatrick 22/1
And finally Reinach anytime 9/2 with Spreadex is just wrong. Also first 22/1 and double 11/1
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- hanrick
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- alanmc09
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Brumbies -4 here, Also have the win in a number of doubles (With Sharks, Bulls, Connaught, Gloucester)
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- coil
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- stokes1982
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Sharks -7 @ 10/11
Jags under 21.5 @ 17/20
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