Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

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2 months 2 days ago #1 by coil
Hi lads ,

Just got a few moments and wanted to put down my caps before I saw anyone else's.

Chiefs minus 15.5 vs Lions
Sharks minus 5.5 vs Reds
Wolves plus 26.5 vs Canes
Highlanders minus 5.5 vs Blue
Waratahs minus 5.5 vs Rebels
Stormer minus 11.5 vs Brumbies

Cheers
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2 months 2 days ago #2 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Thanks Coil - mine to the right and GGG caps in brackets - all based on home team caps

Chiefs minus 15.5 vs Lions -14.5 (-14.5)
Wolves plus 26.5 vs Canes +21.5 (+19.5)
Sharks minus 5.5 vs Reds -7.5 (-13.5)
Highlanders minus 5.5 vs Blue -3.5 (-3.5)
Waratahs minus 5.5 vs Rebels -2.5 (-4.5)
Stormers minus 11.5 vs Brumbies -6.5 (-7.5)

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2 months 2 days ago #3 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Justin from GGGaming joins me to talk about the opening handicaps


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2 months 2 days ago #4 by De Jager
Replied by De Jager on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
I will be all over the Chiefs-14.5

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2 months 1 day ago #5 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Many thanks to Couch Critic for this week's edition of Post Match Scuffle .... Its Carnival City in Super Rugby

www.goodforthegame.co.za/Couch-Critic/po...-in-super-rugby.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 months 1 day ago #6 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Chiefs opened -10 in UK, which I was about to pull the trigger on.
But they're on the drift and the line now down to -7

Clearly the loss of DMac is significant, but that can't be solely responsible for the drift, presumably they priced up on the basis he was out?

Am I missing something else?

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2 months 1 day ago #7 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Dmac injury + Smith and Whiteley back for the Lions I believe. To be fair I will stay away from that game, remember how people follow trend sometimes, Chiefs were supposed to lose by double digits against the Bulls 3-4 weeks back, both team are mixing ups and downs and must win for both. I ll skip that one.
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2 months 1 day ago #8 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

CLrugby wrote: Dmac injury + Smith and Whiteley back for the Lions I believe. To be fair I will stay away from that game, remember how people follow trend sometimes, Chiefs were supposed to lose by double digits against the Bulls 3-4 weeks back, both team are mixing ups and downs and must win for both. I ll skip that one.


Chiefs have turned the corner somewhat, their form line in last 4 games is DWWW

Although just read Retallick & Harris carrying knocks too so perhaps in doubt.

I will also stay away for now.

I've taken some Brumbies +8.5 though, Pocock will apparently be back and Tom Wright is giving them a bit more creativity in their backline.

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2 months 1 day ago #9 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Agree on the Brumbies pick, here again Stormers in one week change from a +12 against Rebels to a - 8 against Brumbies. They have a solid pack and a good backline as well, they are clearly not at the ranking they deserve. Didn’t check injuries or rotations on that one but they can definitely get a win there. This week I am not shooting anything before the lineup are released anyway.

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2 months 1 day ago #10 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

CLrugby wrote: Agree on the Brumbies pick, here again Stormers in one week change from a +12 against Rebels to a - 8 against Brumbies. They have a solid pack and a good backline as well, they are clearly not at the ranking they deserve. Didn’t check injuries or rotations on that one but they can definitely get a win there. This week I am not shooting anything before the lineup are released anyway.


Also travel won't favor either side as they both travel to SA this week.

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2 months 16 hours ago #11 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Guys just a heads up, due to the long weekend we are going to do THE HANDICAP on Wednesday night at 21h00

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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2 months 15 hours ago #12 by Naidoo
Replied by Naidoo on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

Brent Graham wrote: Guys just a heads up, due to the long weekend we are going to do THE HANDICAP on Wednesday night at 21h00


No! It clashes with the Liverpool game. Guess can afford to miss the game, as this is much more important:lol:

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2 months 11 hours ago #13 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Whitely back - Jantjies and Marx on bench

Lions

15 Sylvian Mahuza, 14 Courtnall Skosan, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Franco Naude, 11 Aphiwe Dyantyi, 10 Gianni Lombard, 9 Ross Cronje, 8 Warren Whiteley (captain), 7 Cyle Brink, 6 Kwagga Smith, 5 Marvin Orie, 4 Stephan Lewies, 3 Carlu Sadie, 2 Robbie Coetzee, 1 Sti Sithole

Substitutes: 16 Malcolm Marx, 17 Frans Van Wyk, 18 Johannes Jonker, 19 Wilhelm van der Sluys, 20 Marnus Schoeman, 21 Nic Groom, 22 Elton Jantjies, 23 Andries Coetzee

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2 months 11 hours ago #14 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

Cettas wrote: Whitely back - Jantjies and Marx on bench

Lions

15 Sylvian Mahuza, 14 Courtnall Skosan, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Franco Naude, 11 Aphiwe Dyantyi, 10 Gianni Lombard, 9 Ross Cronje, 8 Warren Whiteley (captain), 7 Cyle Brink, 6 Kwagga Smith, 5 Marvin Orie, 4 Stephan Lewies, 3 Carlu Sadie, 2 Robbie Coetzee, 1 Sti Sithole

Substitutes: 16 Malcolm Marx, 17 Frans Van Wyk, 18 Johannes Jonker, 19 Wilhelm van der Sluys, 20 Marnus Schoeman, 21 Nic Groom, 22 Elton Jantjies, 23 Andries Coetzee



Still not convinced on the Chiefs H, I can see everyone jumped on it but being on the bench doesn't mean being rested. If they bring them back in at the 50' it is a massive bench to do some damages as well if the Lions are still on the game. There are also some potential injuries on the Chiefs side so I would rather wait for their lineup and I even don't believe I will put a single coin on that match.

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2 months 3 hours ago #15 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

Naidoo wrote:

Brent Graham wrote: Guys just a heads up, due to the long weekend we are going to do THE HANDICAP on Wednesday night at 21h00


No! It clashes with the Liverpool game. Guess can afford to miss the game, as this is much more important:lol:


We will do the show at 20h00 and wrap up before the Liverpool game :lol: :lol: :lol:

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2 months 2 hours ago #16 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Also waiting on team news before finishing the previews but have got a couple I'm happy to go with now.

Sharks v Reds Friday

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/sh...betting-preview.html


1.5 units, Home win by 1-12 points at 19/10, Sunbet


Waratahs v Rebels Saturday

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/wa...betting-preview.html

2.5 units Either team wins by 7 or Less (incl. Draw) at 14/10 also at Sunbet

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 4 weeks ago #17 by davopnz
Replied by davopnz on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Yuck Chiefs team.

Chiefs: Jack Debreczeni, Sean Wainui, Alex Nankivell, Anton Lienert-Brown, Ataata Moeakiola, Marty McKenzie, Brad Weber (captain), Taleni Seu, Lachlan Boshier, Luke Jacobson, Mitchell Brown, Tyler Ardron, Nepo Laulala, Liam Polwart, Angus Ta'avao. Reserves: Samisoni Taukei'aho, Atu Moli, Sosefo Kautai, Jesse Parete, Pita Gus Sowakula, Jonathan Taumateine, Tumua Manu, Shaun Stevenson.

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1 month 4 weeks ago - 1 month 4 weeks ago #18 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
On chiefs lions team news I like -

Either side win by 7 or less incl draw @ just over 16/10 Sunbet.

Then a value bet - HT/FT Chiefs/lions 9/1 also Sunbet.

Twitter @southpawZA
Last edit: 1 month 4 weeks ago by southpaw.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #19 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Hurricanes squad to face the Sunwolves: Source NZ Herald

15 Chase Tiatia
14 Wes Goosen
13 Matt Proctor
12 Ngani Laumape
11 Ben Lam
10 Fletcher Smith
9 TJ Perenara (c)
8 Reed Prinsep
7 Du'Plessis Kirifi
6 Vaea Fifita
5 Liam Mitchell
4 James Blackwell
3 Ben May
2 Ricky Riccitelli
1 Fraser Armstrong

Reserves:

16 Asafo Aumua
17 Xavier Numia
18 Jeff To'omaga-Allen
19 Isaia Walker-Leawere
20 Sam Henwood
21 Richard Judd
22 James Marshall
23 Billy Proctor

Notably no Barrett Bros & no Ardie Savea.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #20 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Skosan is out for the Lions, he is going back to SA. Chiefs missing Harris, Retallick, Dmac, Alaimalo and TTT ... looks more and more like a coin flip to me. Definitely a skip.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #21 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Appreciate the Chiefs v Lions game looks tricky which bring Southpaw's 1-7 inc draw into the equation. I think the Chiefs can edge it and going home win by 1-12 points, 18/10 Sportingbet for 1.5 units

Preview below

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/ch...betting-preview.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 4 weeks ago #22 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Sunwolves v Hurricanes preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/su...betting-preview.html


1 unit, Alternative Winning Margin, Hurricanes by 11-20 points at 3/1 (WSB)

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 4 weeks ago #23 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Due to the Easter weekend this week's edition of The Handicap has been brought forward to Wednesday night with a start time of 20:00




If you wish to comment on the show whilst it is live, please use this link to our Youtube channel

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 4 weeks ago #24 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Highlanders v Blues preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/hi...betting-preview.html

3 units Highlanders -2.5 points 0.93/1 Betway

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 4 weeks ago #25 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Couch Critics Round 10 preview with bets bets and specials, all matches covered

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...ound-10-preview.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 4 weeks ago #26 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Stormers v Brumbies preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/st...betting-preview.html

2 units Stormers to win by 1-12 points at 17/10 Sunbet

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 month 4 weeks ago #27 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

mackem wrote: Due to the Easter weekend this week's edition of The Handicap has been brought forward to Wednesday night with a start time of 20:00




If you wish to comment on the show whilst it is live, please use this link to our Youtube channel


No GGGamingGoneMad this week guys but we are giving away an entry into their RWC final comp which costs 2k worth of bets and a R500 voucher tonight - we are live in 10

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
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1 month 4 weeks ago #28 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Brumbies team out and no Pocock. Have added some -7.5 9/10. Its sure to move soon.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #29 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
I think there is a lot of value in rugby this weekend.

Chiefs -5.5 @evens
Even with Brodie and DMac missing, NZ rugby boasts the best depth. Chiefs in great form and a home game to boot. Lions start with Marx on bench.

Storm -6.5
No Pocock for Brumbies. Storm are different beasts at Newlands. Playoff hopes rest on their home games and they are in with a real sniff. A fresh PSDT returning is a huge boost.

Tahs to beat Rebels.
Tahs at home can't be overlooked. Rebels stuttering.

Wolves +19.5
Very improved Wolves playing in Japan.

Value of the round:
Tahs 1-12 @3.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #30 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: I think there is a lot of value in rugby this weekend.

Chiefs -5.5 @evens
Even with Brodie and DMac missing, NZ rugby boasts the best depth. Chiefs in great form and a home game to boot. Lions start with Marx on bench.

Storm -6.5
No Pocock for Brumbies. Storm are different beasts at Newlands. Playoff hopes rest on their home games and they are in with a real sniff. A fresh PSDT returning is a huge boost.

Tahs to beat Rebels.
Tahs at home can't be overlooked. Rebels stuttering.

Wolves +19.5
Very improved Wolves playing in Japan.

Value of the round:
Tahs 1-12 @3.


Which bookie has these prices? Looks mostly like Monday’s prices.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #31 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
BetXChange has the prices and they have a promotion this weekend where the handicaps are at evens.
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1 month 4 weeks ago #32 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Am I the only one to think that Waratahs @2 is a value here? Except Folau they have a pretty experienced and balanced team and I still believe that Rebels are overrated here.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #33 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
I agree with you CL. But then again, might be safer to cut the grass and wait for the Stormers game.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #34 by azzman
Replied by azzman on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Hi Guys
Just thinking or hoping that the Lions bench might make a huge difference in the second half.
So i will take 2 bets... Not sure of odds yet.
Game double.. Chiefs/lions
What ever the lions cap is at the 50th minute.... Ill jump on that to

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1 month 4 weeks ago #35 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
I’m on the Chiefs today, they managed the game well without McKenzie. The forwards are solid enough but Lienert-Brown is a cut above and runs a good backline. I don’t think it will be a run away and points lines are a bit high for me.

Chiefs -7.5
Total points u 55.5
Lions points u 24.5
Anton Lienert-Brown Anytime 22//10

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1 month 4 weeks ago #36 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
NZ GAMES WEEK 10

Highlanders v Blues tomorrow Saturday appears to be the best punt downunder.

GFTG have gone Highlanders -2.5
Couch & Hanrick have both gone Blues 1-12.

The esteemed panel is off target on this game in my opinion.

Highlanders were shocking against Saders last week, whereas Blues should have won in the Tron. Blues have attacking threats all over the park (similar to Saders) and there is too much risk for me in keeping to the 1-12, Forsyth Barr Stadium lends itself to a high scoring Blues team. No home field advantage here, Threepeat bet is Blues -6.5 at $3.30 TAB NZ

Going 3 out of 5 and plan to add two more units live on Blues win if Landers get an early lead.

Early game I see Chiefs hard to beat at home, even without DMac & Retallick. With respect to Lions bench taking a nibble at Chiefs half time -3.5.

Will add live bet on Chiefs win if Lions get first score.

Adding a small double Blues -6.5 with Chiefs -3.5 HT

Cheers & Good Luck to everyone.

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1 month 4 weeks ago #37 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
My early thoughts were all the Chiefs , then the changes occurred and the cap came down as a result . For Rotalliik is possibly their biggest loss for this game than DM, Whitely could also produce a better performance from the Lions whilst the internal struggles revealed over night could play a part either way :)

So for now sticking with the Chiefs at minus 5.5 at 8/10.

The Wolves game throws us the same set of problems , the canes loose their core while the hosts make a number of changes once again. It's played in Tokyo and is an evening game for the first time .

Probably look at something in running , but the least minus is where I'm looking at for now .

Lastly the Sharks host the Reds , initial thoughts were the Reds plus , however one does worry about the Sharks potential bounce back. The Reds are not a great team to rely on but they still get a narrow vote on the plus .

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1 month 4 weeks ago #38 by kompos
Replied by kompos on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Chiefs-12.5 at 2.11/1

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1 month 4 weeks ago #39 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Lions news just in, Swys de Bruin has left for SA already. Personal reasons cited. Taking some more Chiefs!

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1 month 4 weeks ago #40 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

Pierrebal wrote: Lions news just in, Swys de Bruin has left for SA already. Personal reasons cited. Taking some more Chiefs!


And Marx and Jantjies now starting.

Took some Chiefs win @ 1.6 earlier in the week, was going to add the minus cap but will hold off for now

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1 month 4 weeks ago #41 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
I've done a 180 on this game. Now in the Lions camp. Lions over 23.5 points for me at 15/20

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 month 4 weeks ago #42 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

hanrick wrote: I've done a 180 on this game. Now in the Lions camp. Lions over 23.5 points for me at 15/20


Have added Lions +7.5 at even money

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 month 4 weeks ago #43 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Pierrebal wrote " And Marx and Jantjies now starting".

Last minute changes have thrown a nasty curve ball to my HT bet,

Nine minutes in Lions about to get three points

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1 month 4 weeks ago #44 by azzman
Replied by azzman on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

threepeat wrote: Pierrebal wrote " And Marx and Jantjies now starting".

Last minute changes have thrown a nasty curve ball to my HT bet,

Nine minutes in Lions about to get three points

Jip... So the bench started the game. Will take a cover now and take chiefs ons the cap on 50min mark

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1 month 4 weeks ago #45 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Still can't believe my Lions over 23.5 lost.

Sunwolves under 23.5 points at 10/11. Bit of a strike.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 month 4 weeks ago #46 by kompos
Replied by kompos on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
hurricanes -19.5 (19/10)

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1 month 4 weeks ago #47 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Nice start to punting day, and found great value in next -

Ben Lam anytime try 15/20 Sunbet.

This is a very nice price, my main bet on game.

Twitter @southpawZA

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1 month 4 weeks ago #48 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

kompos wrote: hurricanes -19.5 (19/10)


On the same, but bigger bet on -13

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1 month 4 weeks ago #49 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby

hanrick wrote: Still can't believe my Lions over 23.5 lost.

Sunwolves under 23.5 points at 10/11. Bit of a strike.


Just as I couldn't believe the Lions over 23.5 didn't win, I can't believe the Sunwolves under 23.5 has won. So so many games of 2 halves in rugby.

South, well played on Ben Lam. Did the job for you and went off.

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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1 month 4 weeks ago #50 by coil
Replied by coil on topic Week 10 Super Rugby and other Rugby
Like wise Hanrick, bigger bet was Canes minus and wolves under 23.5 , thankfully it somehow arrived , the latter. Once again like the chiefs the canes looked hopeless without their main players , wish I had given greater consideration to that .

Nevertheless, I'm down and will be looking to get out of it on the Sharks game , however it just doesn't look appealing and smaller bets are probably the wiser call.

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