Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
- coil
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My Caps , without any idea of team changes etc
Crusaders minus 18.5 vs Lions
Wolves plus 12.5 vs Highlanders
Canes minus 6.5 vs Chiefs
Tahs minus 8.5 vs Sharks
Storms minus 4.5 vs Bulls
Jags minus 4.5 vs Brumbies
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- takethegap
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- Brent Graham
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Crusaders minus 18.5 vs Lions -20.5 (-17.5)
Wolves plus 12.5 vs Highlanders +11.5 (+9.5)
Canes minus 6.5 vs Chiefs -7.5 (-10.5)
Tahs minus 8.5 vs Sharks -6.5 (-6.5)
Storms minus 4.5 vs Bulls Choice (-0.5)
Jags minus 4.5 vs Brumbies -5.5 (-6.5)
Here is the video with a warp of week 1 and my handicaps
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- southpaw
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taken Bulls +2.5 @ 5/6
Stormers only hope is move Willemse to 10. The other 2 guys are hopeless, when u see them trying desperate chips over top after 15 minutes you realise this Stormers side hate a press defence and they’ll get plenty of that from the Bulls.
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- Ruan Fourie
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- NicG
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- davopnz
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Would make sense to me given that it's an impossible task to beat the Crusaders at home and they need to be rested at some point.
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- Cettas
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davopnz wrote: I wonder if Lions will rest Jantjies and Marx given that they were originally being "rested" against the Chiefs.
Would make sense to me given that it's an impossible task to beat the Crusaders at home and they need to be rested at some point.
Apparently Marx already on his way home:
Springbok hooker Malcolm Marx has returned to South Africa for his enforced Springbok rest and it is uncertain whether the likes of Elton Jantjies will be rested this weekend as well given the injury to Lombard
www.supersport.com/rugby/super-rugby/new...why_he_returned_home
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/cr...betting-preview.html
2 (of 5) units, Crusaders -18.5 points WSB
Thanks for heads up on Lions team news lads, Also read on NZ Herald site that Scott Barrett and Matt Todd are on their AB's rest but thinking Saders minus is still the way to go. Have seen the cap nudging 20 so 18.5 might be as good as it gets,
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- Cettas
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mackem wrote: Crusaders v Lions Friday
goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/cr...betting-preview.html
2 (of 5) units, Crusaders -18.5 points WSB
Thanks for heads up on Lions team news lads, Also read on NZ Herald site that Scott Barrett and Matt Todd are on their AB's rest but thinking Saders minus is still the way to go. Have seen the cap nudging 20 so 18.5 might be as good as it gets,
Lions
15 Ruan Combrinck, 14 Sylvian Mahuza, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Elton Jantjies, 11 Aphiwe Dyantyi, 10 Shaun Reynolds, 9 Nic Groom, 8 Warren Whiteley (captain), 7 Cyle Brink, 6 Kwagga Smith, 5 Marvin Orie, 4 Stephan Lewies, 3 Carlu Sadie, 2 Robbie Coetzee, 1 Sti Sithole
Substitutes: 16 Jan-Henning Campher, 17 Nathan Mcbeth, 18 Johannes Jonker, 19 Wilhelm van der Sluys, 20 Marnus Schoeman, 21 Ross Cronje, 22 Franco Naude, 23 Tyrone Green
www.sport24.co.za/Rugby/SuperRugby/lions...tjies-at-12-20190423
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- bradie82
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Ulster @ 2.46 (Betfair Exchange)
I m jumping on those odds without any info but can see them dropping down significantly as I expect Leinster to do a huge turnover this week end – qualified already for the Guinness semi finals and last year, after their H Cup semi-final, they got smashed in Connacht and made 15 changes in the starting line and only 4 players who played the semi final against Scarlets on the bench.
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- mackem
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/su...betting-preview.html
2 units Highlanders -9.5 points 9/10 widely available
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- Brad Breath
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bradie82 wrote: Ulster +4.5 @ 1.8 (Skybet)
Ulster @ 2.46 (Betfair Exchange)
I m jumping on those odds without any info but can see them dropping down significantly as I expect Leinster to do a huge turnover this week end – qualified already for the Guinness semi finals and last year, after their H Cup semi-final, they got smashed in Connacht and made 15 changes in the starting line and only 4 players who played the semi final against Scarlets on the bench.
Would urge caution here - Ulster don't have anything to play for and have Pro 14 QF next weekend.
I'm almost certain they'll rest a significant amount of their strongest players too
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- bradie82
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Brad Breath wrote:
bradie82 wrote: Ulster +4.5 @ 1.8 (Skybet)
Ulster @ 2.46 (Betfair Exchange)
I m jumping on those odds without any info but can see them dropping down significantly as I expect Leinster to do a huge turnover this week end – qualified already for the Guinness semi finals and last year, after their H Cup semi-final, they got smashed in Connacht and made 15 changes in the starting line and only 4 players who played the semi final against Scarlets on the bench.
Would urge caution here - Ulster don't have anything to play for and have Pro 14 QF next weekend.
I'm almost certain they'll rest a significant amount of their strongest players too
Agree with your Brad but I still can’t see why Leinster would be favourite. Yes Ulster might rest few key players, but have not played last week end and I can’t see all best players rested for 3 weeks without playing a game especially before a QF. This is a 50/50 to me and with ground advantage, at those odds, I m not thinking twice.
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- Cettas
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Glasgow need a win to stay ahead of Munster in Conference A and Edinburgh need 5 points to catch Benetton (who should beat Zebre) and make the top 3 in Conference B. Usually a tight tussle between these two. Edinburgh also already beat Glasgow twice this year (home & away).
Call Edinburgh +8.5 @ 1.90
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- shergar86
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- Pierrebal
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/hu...betting-preview.html
2 units Hurricanes win by 1-12 points at 2/1
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- mackem
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2 units, Either side to win by no more than 7 points inc tie, 29/20 Sunbet
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- mackem
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1.5 units, Bulls win by 1-10 points inc, 5/2 BetXchange
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- Cettas
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Odds - WSB/Betxchange
Pumas (-12.5/+2.5) v Bulls
Namibia (+30.5/no offering) v Lions
Free State (+7.5/choice) v Sharks
Griquas (-25.5/-9.5) v Valke
Griffons(-11.5/-6.5) v Leopards
SWD(+18.5/+16.5) v WP
Boland (-10.5/-12.5) v EP Kings
1. Bulls have named a strong team so will side with them on the +12.5, Pumas did beat them in all three games last year so might as well go for the Pumas +2.5 as well and look for the middle. They have a new coach but kept most of their players from last year.
2. Griquas have a new coach (Brent Janse van Rensburg - great coach) and play in Kimberley, recruited well. Valke did good last year in the CC 1st division, can see a high scoring game would like to go for points not sure if we will get any lines before kick off so will once again look for the middle - Griquas -9.5 and Valke +25.5.
3. FS and Sharks games in this competition tend to be close, So think the FS +7.5 at home is generous. Each won there home games last year and hoping for the same.
4. If any points line do become available will take overs on Griffons and Leopard game if not too high.
5. Namibia might have there front line players ready for this tournament as a way to prepare for the WC but not sure if they will feature in all the games - could not find team info.
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- CLrugby
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In Europe we have another massive mistake appearing on bookies on French Rugby Pro D2
Bayonne vs Massy and Bayonne odd for the win is @1.85
It’s the same mistake than 2 weeks ago, Bayonne should be 1.03 or 1.05 max, or with a 30+ points handicap.
Check all your bookies but we are almost all in on that one here.
@Chris_Lacharge
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- bradie82
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CLrugby wrote: Hi guy,
In Europe we have another massive mistake appearing on bookies on French Rugby Pro D2
Bayonne vs Massy and Bayonne odd for the win is @1.85
It’s the same mistake than 2 weeks ago, Bayonne should be 1.03 or 1.05 max, or with a 30+ points handicap.
Check all your bookies but we are almost all in on that one here.
Unfortunately, as usual, book will void the bet but well spotted
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- mackem
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goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/ja...betting-preview.html
2 units home win by 1-12 points at 7/4 Sunbet
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- mackem
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- southpaw
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Sharks win @ 11/5
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- CLrugby
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bradie82 wrote:
CLrugby wrote: Hi guy,
In Europe we have another massive mistake appearing on bookies on French Rugby Pro D2
Bayonne vs Massy and Bayonne odd for the win is @1.85
It’s the same mistake than 2 weeks ago, Bayonne should be 1.03 or 1.05 max, or with a 30+ points handicap.
Check all your bookies but we are almost all in on that one here.
Unfortunately, as usual, book will void the bet but well spotted
They won’t if you play in kiosk, we had the exact same mistake with Massy Mont de Marsant 2 weeks back and all tickets were paid at the kiosk/counter. The bet was available the full day yesterday so they can’t legally void the tickets
@Chris_Lacharge
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- bradie82
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CLrugby wrote:
bradie82 wrote:
CLrugby wrote: Hi guy,
In Europe we have another massive mistake appearing on bookies on French Rugby Pro D2
Bayonne vs Massy and Bayonne odd for the win is @1.85
It’s the same mistake than 2 weeks ago, Bayonne should be 1.03 or 1.05 max, or with a 30+ points handicap.
Check all your bookies but we are almost all in on that one here.
Unfortunately, as usual, book will void the bet but well spotted
They won’t if you play in kiosk, we had the exact same mistake with Massy Mont de Marsant 2 weeks back and all tickets were paid at the kiosk/counter. The bet was available the full day yesterday so they can’t legally void the tickets
What do you mean by kiosk please? A bookie shop? In which country do they accept bet on pro D2 as I know for a fact that most bookies where I live don t take bets on Pro D2
Thanks in advance
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- southpaw
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southpaw wrote: Much better Sharks side and Rob du Preez finally dropped. Like a bounce back and skipping the cap -
Sharks win @ 11/5
This game is also being played at the new multi sport ground in Sydney, the first game there was a league match last weekend which had 60 points scored. It’s a great looking surface but also new for Waratahs.
Will be looking for best overs quote in this game as think there could be tries.
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- BookieDave
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197 kiwi derbys I have....122 highest scoring half was 1st half...=$1.615 to 100%... I play this EVERY game...
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- southpaw
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Lions over 7.5 1st half pts @ 11/10
Then for smaller interest on first tries -
Taylor 15/1
Coetzee 30/1
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- hanrick
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Sunwolves +11.5 at 9/10, Highlanders under 32.5 points at 17/20
Conditions look good in Christchurch, but looks like there will be a bit of rain in Tokyo
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- Brent Graham
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Arrived in 3 of 4 Saders home games this season (and just missed in the 4th) and also 5 of last 7 at home to SA sides
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- bradie82
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Saders vs Lions
Try before 15" @ 1.70
Try Saderws before 20" @ 1.65
Try Lions before 20" @ 2.55 (lower stake but odd is quite high)
Wolves vs Landers
Try before 15" @ 1.85
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- threepeat
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Dangerous bet buddy
Saders v Lions have played last two finals.
GREAT respect for Lions = more conservative game plan.
Interview with Razor says they have huge respect due to recent history with lions. Lions have been up and down they will bring A game to Ch Ch
threepeat bet Saders - 16.5. Would go for less but top #8 WW out with injury.
Cheers & good luck to everyone
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- Northerner
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bradie82 wrote: I m gonna go with early tries in both games this morning
Saders vs Lions
Try before 15" @ 1.70
Try Saderws before 20" @ 1.65
Try Lions before 20" @ 2.55 (lower stake but odd is quite high)
Wolves vs Landers
Try before 15" @ 1.85
where are these odds Bradie? Thanks in advance
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- bradie82
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Northerner wrote:
bradie82 wrote: I m gonna go with early tries in both games this morning
Saders vs Lions
Try before 15" @ 1.70
Try Saderws before 20" @ 1.65
Try Lions before 20" @ 2.55 (lower stake but odd is quite high)
Wolves vs Landers
Try before 15" @ 1.85
where are these odds Bradie? Thanks in advance
Bwin Northerner
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- kompos
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Crusaders-33.5 (3/1)
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- Pierrebal
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Crusaders -9.5 HT (taken midweek)
Crusaders over 5.5 tries
Lions under 16.5
Will go inplay as well.
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- sunnyskies
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- Brad Breath
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Crusaders 1-12 @ 5.50
1st try Ennor @ 10
Last try Punivai @ 13
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- takethegap
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Brad Breath wrote: Small plays only for me here
Crusaders 1-12 @ 5.50
1st try Ennor @ 10
Last try Punivai @ 13
Great call on Ennor. Well done!
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- hanrick
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hanrick wrote: Crusaders -9.5 1st half cap at 0.88/1, Crusaders -21.5 ft cap at evens, Crusaders over 37.5 points at 0.82/1
Sunwolves +11.5 at 9/10, Highlanders under 32.5 points at 17/20
Conditions look good in Christchurch, but looks like there will be a bit of rain in Tokyo
Sickening blow with the Saders overs missing out so closely. No score by them in last 28 mins. And the missed conversion.
Have added a bet in next one. Sunwolves to score more converted tries than Highlanders at 27/10
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- The Vann
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Brent Graham wrote: Crusaders over 37.5 at 8/10
Arrived in 3 of 4 Saders home games this season (and just missed in the 4th) and also 5 of last 7 at home to SA sides
If I was a Man City fan I'd be crapping myself:silly:
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- Pierrebal
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I’m Bullish on the Highlanders tonight.
Highlanders -8.5 FT
Highlanders over 4.5 tries
Sunwolves under 23.5
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- hanrick
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- NicG
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I like reading up and following the teams. Always nice to see which youngsters are coming through the ranks or which familiar names are getting game time.
I find it very frustrating that there's almost no effort from the rugby / sports sites to publish the teams
Does anyone possibly know where ALL the team line ups will be available for the weekend?
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- Cettas
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NicG wrote: Hi guys. Every year it's the same story. I really struggle to get proper team news in respect to the Supersport Challenge competition.
I like reading up and following the teams. Always nice to see which youngsters are coming through the ranks or which familiar names are getting game time.
I find it very frustrating that there's almost no effort from the rugby / sports sites to publish the teams
Does anyone possibly know where ALL the team line ups will be available for the weekend?
Youngsters to watch according to supersport:
www.supersport.com/rugby/supersport-chal...port_Rugby_Challenge
The following team lineups are available on the respective team facebook pages:
Lions, Sharks, Cheetahs, Bulls, Griquas, Valke, Kings, Boland
The facebook page SupaRugby have the following teams available:
Griffons, Leopards, Lions, Valke, Griquas
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