Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

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4 years 11 months ago - 4 years 11 months ago #1 by coil
A better weekend for me but some real tough games to watch as the level of some rugby seemed very sub standard ...

My Caps , without any idea of team changes etc

Crusaders minus 18.5 vs Lions
Wolves plus 12.5 vs Highlanders
Canes minus 6.5 vs Chiefs
Tahs minus 8.5 vs Sharks
Storms minus 4.5 vs Bulls
Jags minus 4.5 vs Brumbies
Last edit: 4 years 11 months ago by Brent Graham. Reason: heading

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4 years 11 months ago #2 by takethegap
Replied by takethegap on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
I have taken -2.5 jags at Betway

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4 years 11 months ago #3 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Thanks Coil, a late start for me this week - my caps to the right and GGGaming in brackets - their prices have been out for over 24 hours so there could have been some movement

Crusaders minus 18.5 vs Lions -20.5 (-17.5)
Wolves plus 12.5 vs Highlanders +11.5 (+9.5)
Canes minus 6.5 vs Chiefs -7.5 (-10.5)
Tahs minus 8.5 vs Sharks -6.5 (-6.5)
Storms minus 4.5 vs Bulls Choice (-0.5)
Jags minus 4.5 vs Brumbies -5.5 (-6.5)

Here is the video with a warp of week 1 and my handicaps


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4 years 11 months ago #4 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Any plus on Bulls is good for me -

taken Bulls +2.5 @ 5/6

Stormers only hope is move Willemse to 10. The other 2 guys are hopeless, when u see them trying desperate chips over top after 15 minutes you realise this Stormers side hate a press defence and they’ll get plenty of that from the Bulls.

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4 years 11 months ago #5 by Ruan Fourie
Replied by Ruan Fourie on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
I've taken Jaguares - 3.5 at WSB.

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4 years 11 months ago #6 by NicG
Replied by NicG on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Also took Jaguars - 3.5 at WSB. Reckon they will be well rested and ready to put Brumbies away.

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4 years 11 months ago #7 by davopnz
Replied by davopnz on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
I wonder if Lions will rest Jantjies and Marx given that they were originally being "rested" against the Chiefs.

Would make sense to me given that it's an impossible task to beat the Crusaders at home and they need to be rested at some point.

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4 years 11 months ago #8 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

davopnz wrote: I wonder if Lions will rest Jantjies and Marx given that they were originally being "rested" against the Chiefs.

Would make sense to me given that it's an impossible task to beat the Crusaders at home and they need to be rested at some point.


Apparently Marx already on his way home:

Springbok hooker Malcolm Marx has returned to South Africa for his enforced Springbok rest and it is uncertain whether the likes of Elton Jantjies will be rested this weekend as well given the injury to Lombard

www.supersport.com/rugby/super-rugby/new...why_he_returned_home

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4 years 11 months ago #9 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Crusaders v Lions Friday

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/cr...betting-preview.html


2 (of 5) units, Crusaders -18.5 points WSB

Thanks for heads up on Lions team news lads, Also read on NZ Herald site that Scott Barrett and Matt Todd are on their AB's rest but thinking Saders minus is still the way to go. Have seen the cap nudging 20 so 18.5 might be as good as it gets,

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4 years 11 months ago #10 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

mackem wrote: Crusaders v Lions Friday

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/cr...betting-preview.html


2 (of 5) units, Crusaders -18.5 points WSB

Thanks for heads up on Lions team news lads, Also read on NZ Herald site that Scott Barrett and Matt Todd are on their AB's rest but thinking Saders minus is still the way to go. Have seen the cap nudging 20 so 18.5 might be as good as it gets,


Lions

15 Ruan Combrinck, 14 Sylvian Mahuza, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Elton Jantjies, 11 Aphiwe Dyantyi, 10 Shaun Reynolds, 9 Nic Groom, 8 Warren Whiteley (captain), 7 Cyle Brink, 6 Kwagga Smith, 5 Marvin Orie, 4 Stephan Lewies, 3 Carlu Sadie, 2 Robbie Coetzee, 1 Sti Sithole

Substitutes: 16 Jan-Henning Campher, 17 Nathan Mcbeth, 18 Johannes Jonker, 19 Wilhelm van der Sluys, 20 Marnus Schoeman, 21 Ross Cronje, 22 Franco Naude, 23 Tyrone Green

www.sport24.co.za/Rugby/SuperRugby/lions...tjies-at-12-20190423
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4 years 11 months ago #11 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Ulster +4.5 @ 1.8 (Skybet)
Ulster @ 2.46 (Betfair Exchange)

I m jumping on those odds without any info but can see them dropping down significantly as I expect Leinster to do a huge turnover this week end – qualified already for the Guinness semi finals and last year, after their H Cup semi-final, they got smashed in Connacht and made 15 changes in the starting line and only 4 players who played the semi final against Scarlets on the bench.
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4 years 11 months ago #12 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
This week's edition of Post Match Scuffle from Couch Critic

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4 years 11 months ago #13 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Sunwolves v Highlanders preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/su...betting-preview.html

2 units Highlanders -9.5 points 9/10 widely available

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4 years 11 months ago #14 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

bradie82 wrote: Ulster +4.5 @ 1.8 (Skybet)
Ulster @ 2.46 (Betfair Exchange)

I m jumping on those odds without any info but can see them dropping down significantly as I expect Leinster to do a huge turnover this week end – qualified already for the Guinness semi finals and last year, after their H Cup semi-final, they got smashed in Connacht and made 15 changes in the starting line and only 4 players who played the semi final against Scarlets on the bench.


Would urge caution here - Ulster don't have anything to play for and have Pro 14 QF next weekend.
I'm almost certain they'll rest a significant amount of their strongest players too
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4 years 11 months ago #15 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

Brad Breath wrote:

bradie82 wrote: Ulster +4.5 @ 1.8 (Skybet)
Ulster @ 2.46 (Betfair Exchange)

I m jumping on those odds without any info but can see them dropping down significantly as I expect Leinster to do a huge turnover this week end – qualified already for the Guinness semi finals and last year, after their H Cup semi-final, they got smashed in Connacht and made 15 changes in the starting line and only 4 players who played the semi final against Scarlets on the bench.


Would urge caution here - Ulster don't have anything to play for and have Pro 14 QF next weekend.
I'm almost certain they'll rest a significant amount of their strongest players too


Agree with your Brad but I still can’t see why Leinster would be favourite. Yes Ulster might rest few key players, but have not played last week end and I can’t see all best players rested for 3 weeks without playing a game especially before a QF. This is a 50/50 to me and with ground advantage, at those odds, I m not thinking twice.
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4 years 11 months ago - 4 years 11 months ago #16 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Pro14: Glasgow v Edinburgh

Glasgow need a win to stay ahead of Munster in Conference A and Edinburgh need 5 points to catch Benetton (who should beat Zebre) and make the top 3 in Conference B. Usually a tight tussle between these two. Edinburgh also already beat Glasgow twice this year (home & away).

Call Edinburgh +8.5 @ 1.90
Last edit: 4 years 11 months ago by Cettas.
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4 years 11 months ago #17 by shergar86
Replied by shergar86 on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
I'd be on Ulster also. Think they'll want to get one over Leinster especially after the tight QF loss a few weeks ago and Leinster know this is simply a nothing fixture for them. Ulster faithful will be out in force and I'd certainly take them on the handicap at the very least.
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4 years 11 months ago #18 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
I have taken the Crusaders HT -9.5 with WSB, and might add some in-play. A 20 point handicap always just scares me as a couple of late tries can ruin things quickly.

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4 years 11 months ago #19 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Hurricanes v Chiefs preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/hu...betting-preview.html


2 units Hurricanes win by 1-12 points at 2/1

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4 years 11 months ago #20 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Waratahs v Sharks preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/wa...betting-preview.html


2 units, Either side to win by no more than 7 points inc tie, 29/20 Sunbet

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4 years 11 months ago #21 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Stormers v Bulls preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/st...betting-preview.html

1.5 units, Bulls win by 1-10 points inc, 5/2 BetXchange

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4 years 11 months ago - 4 years 11 months ago #22 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Supersport Rugby Challenge Starting Friday as well, so far WSB and Betxchange out with prices and there seems some difference of opinion to say the least:

Odds - WSB/Betxchange

Pumas (-12.5/+2.5) v Bulls
Namibia (+30.5/no offering) v Lions
Free State (+7.5/choice) v Sharks
Griquas (-25.5/-9.5) v Valke
Griffons(-11.5/-6.5) v Leopards
SWD(+18.5/+16.5) v WP
Boland (-10.5/-12.5) v EP Kings

1. Bulls have named a strong team so will side with them on the +12.5, Pumas did beat them in all three games last year so might as well go for the Pumas +2.5 as well and look for the middle. They have a new coach but kept most of their players from last year.

2. Griquas have a new coach (Brent Janse van Rensburg - great coach) and play in Kimberley, recruited well. Valke did good last year in the CC 1st division, can see a high scoring game would like to go for points not sure if we will get any lines before kick off so will once again look for the middle - Griquas -9.5 and Valke +25.5.

3. FS and Sharks games in this competition tend to be close, So think the FS +7.5 at home is generous. Each won there home games last year and hoping for the same.

4. If any points line do become available will take overs on Griffons and Leopard game if not too high.

5. Namibia might have there front line players ready for this tournament as a way to prepare for the WC but not sure if they will feature in all the games - could not find team info.
Last edit: 4 years 11 months ago by Cettas.
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4 years 11 months ago #23 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Hi guy,

In Europe we have another massive mistake appearing on bookies on French Rugby Pro D2
Bayonne vs Massy and Bayonne odd for the win is @1.85
It’s the same mistake than 2 weeks ago, Bayonne should be 1.03 or 1.05 max, or with a 30+ points handicap.

Check all your bookies but we are almost all in on that one here.

@Chris_Lacharge

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4 years 11 months ago #24 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

CLrugby wrote: Hi guy,

In Europe we have another massive mistake appearing on bookies on French Rugby Pro D2
Bayonne vs Massy and Bayonne odd for the win is @1.85
It’s the same mistake than 2 weeks ago, Bayonne should be 1.03 or 1.05 max, or with a 30+ points handicap.

Check all your bookies but we are almost all in on that one here.


Unfortunately, as usual, book will void the bet but well spotted

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4 years 11 months ago #25 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Jaguares v Brumbies preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2019/ja...betting-preview.html


2 units home win by 1-12 points at 7/4 Sunbet

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4 years 11 months ago #26 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
The Handicap is back in its usual Thursday night 21:00 slot, don't miss the show.



If you wish to comment on the show whilst it is live please use this link to our Youtube channel

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4 years 11 months ago #27 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Much better Sharks side and Rob du Preez finally dropped. Like a bounce back and skipping the cap -

Sharks win @ 11/5
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4 years 11 months ago #28 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Couch Critic's preview of Round 11 Super Rugby, all matches covered

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...ound-11-preview.html

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4 years 11 months ago #29 by CLrugby
Replied by CLrugby on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

bradie82 wrote:

CLrugby wrote: Hi guy,

In Europe we have another massive mistake appearing on bookies on French Rugby Pro D2
Bayonne vs Massy and Bayonne odd for the win is @1.85
It’s the same mistake than 2 weeks ago, Bayonne should be 1.03 or 1.05 max, or with a 30+ points handicap.

Check all your bookies but we are almost all in on that one here.


Unfortunately, as usual, book will void the bet but well spotted



They won’t if you play in kiosk, we had the exact same mistake with Massy Mont de Marsant 2 weeks back and all tickets were paid at the kiosk/counter. The bet was available the full day yesterday so they can’t legally void the tickets

@Chris_Lacharge

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4 years 11 months ago #30 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

CLrugby wrote:

bradie82 wrote:

CLrugby wrote: Hi guy,

In Europe we have another massive mistake appearing on bookies on French Rugby Pro D2
Bayonne vs Massy and Bayonne odd for the win is @1.85
It’s the same mistake than 2 weeks ago, Bayonne should be 1.03 or 1.05 max, or with a 30+ points handicap.

Check all your bookies but we are almost all in on that one here.


Unfortunately, as usual, book will void the bet but well spotted



They won’t if you play in kiosk, we had the exact same mistake with Massy Mont de Marsant 2 weeks back and all tickets were paid at the kiosk/counter. The bet was available the full day yesterday so they can’t legally void the tickets


What do you mean by kiosk please? A bookie shop? In which country do they accept bet on pro D2 as I know for a fact that most bookies where I live don t take bets on Pro D2
Thanks in advance

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4 years 11 months ago #31 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

southpaw wrote: Much better Sharks side and Rob du Preez finally dropped. Like a bounce back and skipping the cap -

Sharks win @ 11/5


This game is also being played at the new multi sport ground in Sydney, the first game there was a league match last weekend which had 60 points scored. It’s a great looking surface but also new for Waratahs.

Will be looking for best overs quote in this game as think there could be tries.
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4 years 11 months ago #32 by BookieDave
Replied by BookieDave on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
On your kiwi derby chat...

197 kiwi derbys I have....122 highest scoring half was 1st half...=$1.615 to 100%... I play this EVERY game...
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4 years 11 months ago #33 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
1st half lions points line just low enough to tempt me in, hopefully get a few early penalties.

Lions over 7.5 1st half pts @ 11/10

Then for smaller interest on first tries -

Taylor 15/1
Coetzee 30/1

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4 years 11 months ago - 4 years 11 months ago #34 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Crusaders -9.5 1st half cap at 0.88/1, Crusaders -21.5 ft cap at evens, Crusaders over 37.5 points at 0.82/1

Sunwolves +11.5 at 9/10, Highlanders under 32.5 points at 17/20

Conditions look good in Christchurch, but looks like there will be a bit of rain in Tokyo

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Last edit: 4 years 11 months ago by hanrick.
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4 years 11 months ago #35 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Crusaders over 37.5 at 8/10

Arrived in 3 of 4 Saders home games this season (and just missed in the 4th) and also 5 of last 7 at home to SA sides

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4 years 11 months ago #36 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
I m gonna go with early tries in both games this morning

Saders vs Lions
Try before 15" @ 1.70
Try Saderws before 20" @ 1.65
Try Lions before 20" @ 2.55 (lower stake but odd is quite high)

Wolves vs Landers
Try before 15" @ 1.85

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4 years 11 months ago #37 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Brent Graham wrote Crusaders over 37.5 at 8/10

Dangerous bet buddy

Saders v Lions have played last two finals.

GREAT respect for Lions = more conservative game plan.

Interview with Razor says they have huge respect due to recent history with lions. Lions have been up and down they will bring A game to Ch Ch

threepeat bet Saders - 16.5. Would go for less but top #8 WW out with injury.

Cheers & good luck to everyone

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4 years 11 months ago #38 by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

bradie82 wrote: I m gonna go with early tries in both games this morning

Saders vs Lions
Try before 15" @ 1.70
Try Saderws before 20" @ 1.65
Try Lions before 20" @ 2.55 (lower stake but odd is quite high)

Wolves vs Landers
Try before 15" @ 1.85


where are these odds Bradie? Thanks in advance

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4 years 11 months ago #39 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

Northerner wrote:

bradie82 wrote: I m gonna go with early tries in both games this morning

Saders vs Lions
Try before 15" @ 1.70
Try Saderws before 20" @ 1.65
Try Lions before 20" @ 2.55 (lower stake but odd is quite high)

Wolves vs Landers
Try before 15" @ 1.85


where are these odds Bradie? Thanks in advance


Bwin Northerner
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4 years 11 months ago #40 by kompos
Replied by kompos on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Crusaders 1st half hcp. -16.5(1.85/1)
Crusaders-33.5 (3/1)

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4 years 11 months ago #41 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Lots of activity this morning. For me, all with WSB.

Crusaders -9.5 HT (taken midweek)
Crusaders over 5.5 tries
Lions under 16.5

Will go inplay as well.

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4 years 11 months ago #42 by sunnyskies
Replied by sunnyskies on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
I'm sitting a bit on the fence and taking Crusaders to win in the 11-20 and 21-30 range. I can cover both with the odds.

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4 years 11 months ago #43 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Small plays only for me here

Crusaders 1-12 @ 5.50

1st try Ennor @ 10

Last try Punivai @ 13

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4 years 11 months ago #44 by takethegap
Replied by takethegap on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

Brad Breath wrote: Small plays only for me here

Crusaders 1-12 @ 5.50

1st try Ennor @ 10

Last try Punivai @ 13



Great call on Ennor. Well done!
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4 years 11 months ago #45 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

hanrick wrote: Crusaders -9.5 1st half cap at 0.88/1, Crusaders -21.5 ft cap at evens, Crusaders over 37.5 points at 0.82/1

Sunwolves +11.5 at 9/10, Highlanders under 32.5 points at 17/20

Conditions look good in Christchurch, but looks like there will be a bit of rain in Tokyo


Sickening blow with the Saders overs missing out so closely. No score by them in last 28 mins. And the missed conversion.

Have added a bet in next one. Sunwolves to score more converted tries than Highlanders at 27/10

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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4 years 11 months ago #46 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

Brent Graham wrote: Crusaders over 37.5 at 8/10

Arrived in 3 of 4 Saders home games this season (and just missed in the 4th) and also 5 of last 7 at home to SA sides


If I was a Man City fan I'd be crapping myself:silly:

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4 years 11 months ago #47 by Pierrebal
Replied by Pierrebal on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Really don’t know how that didn’t come in. Luckily Lions unders did.

I’m Bullish on the Highlanders tonight.
Highlanders -8.5 FT
Highlanders over 4.5 tries
Sunwolves under 23.5

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4 years 11 months ago #48 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Well played Landers backers. I got this horribly wrong

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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4 years 11 months ago #49 by NicG
Replied by NicG on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys
Hi guys. Every year it's the same story. I really struggle to get proper team news in respect to the Supersport Challenge competition.

I like reading up and following the teams. Always nice to see which youngsters are coming through the ranks or which familiar names are getting game time.

I find it very frustrating that there's almost no effort from the rugby / sports sites to publish the teams

Does anyone possibly know where ALL the team line ups will be available for the weekend?

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4 years 11 months ago #50 by Cettas
Replied by Cettas on topic Super Rugby Week 11 and Other Rugbys

NicG wrote: Hi guys. Every year it's the same story. I really struggle to get proper team news in respect to the Supersport Challenge competition.

I like reading up and following the teams. Always nice to see which youngsters are coming through the ranks or which familiar names are getting game time.

I find it very frustrating that there's almost no effort from the rugby / sports sites to publish the teams

Does anyone possibly know where ALL the team line ups will be available for the weekend?


Youngsters to watch according to supersport:
www.supersport.com/rugby/supersport-chal...port_Rugby_Challenge

The following team lineups are available on the respective team facebook pages:
Lions, Sharks, Cheetahs, Bulls, Griquas, Valke, Kings, Boland

The facebook page SupaRugby have the following teams available:
Griffons, Leopards, Lions, Valke, Griquas
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