Cycling : La Vuelta Espana

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2 weeks 1 day ago #51 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Wednesday Stage 11, still haven't even threatened in this tour although I am enjoying what coverage we get.

Two of the less obvious guys for the break, Tomasz Marczynski at 66/1 and Enrico Battaglin 80/1 and just in case they get license to have a go today Omar Fraire 22/1 and Luis Leon Sanchez 28/1.

Good luck lads,

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 weeks 1 day ago #52 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Open stage - thankfully Roglic delivered yesterday although overall only made 1.5u on stage

0.5u on
Branbilla 40/1
Geoghan Hart 28/1
JJ Rojas 50/1

0.25 u Aru 150/1

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2 weeks 1 day ago #53 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Nice of Roglic to do the business for us yesterday and my match bet double paid.
Stage 11
Mezgec @ 18/1
Higuita @ 28/1
Rojas @ 40/1 (Surely he has to win a GT stage before he retires)
Had a match bet double in mind but WSB have pulled them. Will post if I can get on.

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2 weeks 1 day ago #54 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Stage 11
In play with 90km to go. Looks like break may stay so going with theory - Always bet Quickstep from break
Cavagna @ 5/1

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2 weeks 13 hours ago #55 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Thanks Brent. Followed with your Roglic and he brought it home.

For today I know probably way out but going with the following:
Teo Geoghan Hart @ 25/1
King @ 100/1
O Conner @ 150/1

Enjoy the racing.

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2 weeks 13 hours ago #56 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
These are really tough stages so keeping stakes very small

O.5 u on
Fraile 14/1
TGHart 25/1
Brambilla 40/1
Aranburu 40/1

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2 weeks 12 hours ago #57 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
I'm sticking with Tomasz Marczynski at 80/1 as my main pick, nibble at Aru at 66/1 just in case he fancies this stage and will join you guys with TGhart,.Covering stake on Fraile

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 weeks 12 hours ago #58 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Had the misfortune of picking the only guy from the 14 man break to have a mechanical yesterday - go figure.
Stage 12
Not sure the break stays today and it will most likely be small but will take a few anyway
Rodriguez @ 31/1
De Gendt @ 41/1
Brambilla @ 51/1
Grosschartner @ 114/1

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2 weeks 36 minutes ago #59 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
So close with Aranburu - that would have been useful

Studying tomorrows stage now - what a beast

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1 week 6 days ago #60 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
What a stage today - hoping Poels lays foundation for a KOM run

1u Poels win 12/1 WSB

I like Roglic for the stage but will instead take him to beat Valverde at 11/10

3 units Roglic/Valverde at 11/10 WSB

3 units Poels KOM at 16/1 Sunbet

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1 week 6 days ago #61 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Going with Chavez to turn my tour around at 33/1 with an additional nibble on Sergio Henao at the same price.

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 week 6 days ago #62 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Gave my head a good wall bashing last night. Can't believe I did not have Gilbert in my bets when I saw the finish.
Most of the clever chaps are calling today a GC finish so I am going Lopez but have to have a few for the possibility of the break staying.
Win
Lopez @ 5/1
Nieve @ 33/1
e/w
O'Connor @ 100/1
Poljanski @ 300/1
Fancy Teuns but he is just too close in GC to be allowed to run.

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1 week 6 days ago #63 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Joined Brent on Poels in play with 85km to go. Unfortunately only at 18/10

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1 week 6 days ago #64 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Great stage but another hopeless punting failure. Have to deal with a family emergency so will miss the weekend but will try to get on Lopez for the Sunday stage. Much more suited to his abilities.

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1 week 5 days ago #65 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
The Roglic match bet saves the stage for me

I am having a nibble Gavaria 18/1 WSB - just 0.5 unit and half unit Bevin 40/1

I don't think the fav Bennett runs in the top 3

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1 week 4 days ago #66 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
I was well off yesterday but no real financial cost - great ride Benett

Massive stage today and after a good weekend I am looking to fire

1st up a value KOM play

1 unit Fugslang at 100/1 Sunbet

The KOM leader has 32 points, I expect Fugs in the break today and in a best case scenario (he wins every climb and the stage) he gets 40 points. That may be a bit ambitious (he may also be called back for Lopez) but 100/1 looks worth a gamble. Same logic applies to other good climbers not in contention but he looks the value

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1 week 4 days ago #67 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
A massive acca for 0.5u at WSB at 79/1

Majka/Valverde, Quintana/Lopez, GHart/Poels, Pernsteiner/Keldermann, Martinez/Rodriguez

Also taken a Canadian for 0.2 of a unit (26 bets)

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1 week 4 days ago #68 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Win bets

1u Fugslang 14/1 WSB
0.5 u Ion Izzigirre 40/1 Sunbet
0.5u Pernsteiner 40/1 WSB

Big match bet to follow

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1 week 4 days ago #69 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Don't read too much into the stake as I have had a good weekend

5u Quintana/Lopez at 14/10

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1 week 4 days ago #70 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Thanks Brent, I am just having 2 small bets, bleed to much on the tour and Giro.

Ben O'Conner
Daniel Navarro

Both @ 125/1 E/W

Hoping one gets into the break and stays strong.

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1 week 4 days ago #71 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
I want to back Soler but the priceis half what I would have anticipated. Hoping Latour has recovered from top effort on Friday and gone with him at 20/1 and a hail mary on Cataldo at 150/1 in case he is the man up the road who gets go ahead to contest the stage.

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 week 4 days ago #72 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
I've been having a mare punting wise pretty much this entire cycling season to be fair. Got frustrated the other day and went for a rugby sized punt on Latour only for him to be caught 2km from the line...!

Feels like I just cant spot value at present. The likes of G Hart, Poels, Chavez and Nieve keep getting respect yet have given us little. Fuglsang and Soler look great for this stage but price is short considering possible team orders (not that Soler will give a damn this time around surely).

Jon Izagirre @ 44/1
Kelderman @ 59/1
Majka @ 59/1

Match:
Tao G Hart over Poels @ 8/10

Twitter: @HDiemont

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1 week 4 days ago #73 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Disappointing stage in more ways than one - hopefully we see serious action tomorrow

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1 week 3 days ago #74 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Could well be a GC stage but for an interest throwing in 4 0.5 u plays on possible breakers

Higuita 22/1
Martinez 33/1
TGHart 40/1
Frankiny 66/1

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1 week 3 days ago #75 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Stage 16
Not sure if the break stays today but must say there is a lack of cajones in the GC lot, except for Lopez who does not seem to have the legs, so it just might. Will probably look at GC in play if it looks like going that way.
Teuns @ 66/1
Henao, Sergio @ 100/1
Bizkarra @ 100/1
Leaving Martinez out of today's plays which must improve his chances.

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1 week 2 days ago #76 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
My disastrous Vuelta sees me switch to Tour of Britain for Tuesday's hilly route, not too far from home turf for me...

Tiesj Benoot16/1
Nils Politt33/1
Ben Hermans 66/1

Carrying the beer money

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 week 2 days ago #77 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
A fellow cycling punter prepared to lose money on the rest day. My gentlemanly instincts impel me to accompany him on the journey.
Tour of Britain Stage 4
Taking Trentin 1-3 at evens to cover
Win
Teunissen @ 12/1
Dowsett @ 200/1
1-3
Dowsett @ 50/1
Modolo @ 50/1

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1 week 1 day ago #78 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
No classified climbs today but it is not an easy stage or an easy finish

Bennett odds on and surely won't be beaten in a sprint but surely the likes of Quickstep won't play into his hands this time and will try and attack late through a Gilbert or Stybar

My main bet which I think is really good value at this stage of the Vuelta is winning margin 1 second or more at 4/1 - and going with a big 5 unit strike - not that I am that confident just like the price

then 0.5u

Gilbert 25/1 WSB
Aranburu 33/1 Hollies
TDG 66/1 Hollies

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1 week 1 day ago #79 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Came back from the weekend and have not made a bet. These are my plays and should not be taken in any way, shape or form as tips.
Vuelta 17
Think the right break may stay away today so going for
Aberasturi @ 18/1
De Gendt @ 66/1
Theuns @ 125/1
Barthe @ 200/1
Could not decide on a Quickstep rider but have to have one with wind expected to cause echelons so will follow Brent with Gilbert.

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1 week 1 day ago #80 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Sorry lads but I cant have anyone but Bennett today. Its been a long time since there was a chance for a sprint and I reckon they will make sure they get one!

Bennett will secure my pre tour bet of over 2.5 wins by taking victory but I am feeling bullish and will back him for the stage as well today. He has looked stront and wont be tripped up by the steep finish.
Sam the man @ 5/6 for a solid strike

Twitter: @HDiemont

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1 week 1 day ago #81 by Wies Bang
Replied by Wies Bang on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Hahahaha Hein , i hope he looks Strong and not Stront!

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1 week 1 day ago #82 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana

Couch Critic wrote: Sorry lads but I cant have anyone but Bennett today. Its been a long time since there was a chance for a sprint and I reckon they will make sure they get one!

Bennett will secure my pre tour bet of over 2.5 wins by taking victory but I am feeling bullish and will back him for the stage as well today. He has looked stront and wont be tripped up by the steep finish.
Sam the man @ 5/6 for a solid strike


Wish I had known, would gladly lay you 1/1

A sprint and he wins but I have my doubts it will be a pure sprint

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1 week 1 day ago #83 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana

Brent Graham wrote:

Couch Critic wrote: Sorry lads but I cant have anyone but Bennett today. Its been a long time since there was a chance for a sprint and I reckon they will make sure they get one!

Bennett will secure my pre tour bet of over 2.5 wins by taking victory but I am feeling bullish and will back him for the stage as well today. He has looked stront and wont be tripped up by the steep finish.
Sam the man @ 5/6 for a solid strike


Wish I had known, would gladly lay you 1/1

A sprint and he wins but I have my doubts it will be a pure sprint


One of those "What do you want first? The good news or the bad news?" Good news is Bennett makes the break - Bad news is so does Quintana which means Bora are now chasing for the Majka overall position. Would love to see this part live

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1 week 1 day ago #84 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Brent You Biscuit - also had a dip on the 1 second so dead chuffed. Thanks

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1 week 1 day ago #85 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Soooo in the end Sam was stronT G! Still cant believe I had the only pure sprinter in the group and no long distance break took the win and I still wasnt left counting my winnings.

Brent doubted it would be a sprint and clearly Bennett heard him. The fastest sprinter in the break needed to pick a wheel and coast till less than 400m to go and launch to glory but instead felt alone and confused without a leadout and completely shat the bed by going for glory just inside the 1km kite. What an idiot!

Beautifully done by QS with their usual brilliance in being vital in creating the split and then playing the one-two combo with Stybar and Gilbert to get the win.

Nice going on Gilbert and the 1sec bet Brent. Still cant believe my bad luck /poor form in this Vuelta.

Twitter: @HDiemont

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1 week 1 day ago #86 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Cheers Couch - to be fair to your man I think he feared Gilbert attacking as soon as he reached Stybar and decided to go over the top - he was unfortunate that a very powerful Gilbert managed to chase him down.

Was just hoping Gilbert wouldn't slow down too much and very pleased to land the 4/1 play which was great value

Onto tomorrow and there must be some very tired legs

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1 week 1 day ago #87 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Bennett should have been in the wheel of the guy he feared most Brent and not thinking he could sprint for almost a full kilo against a main who is known for being able to put in a longer effort. But I completely get that its not his usual type of finish as it wasnt the normal sprinter type setup so cant be too hard in him whilst QS have that type of tactic down to a tee. Just think Sam had all the hard work for the day done at the kite and then he had a bit of a brain fade in moment. But oh well it happens and at least glad you guys made some money instead of no one ending with cash in their pocket.

My early pick for tomorrow (yes you heard me right - there will be no retreat, no surrender from this punter!) is Jon Izagirre hopefully being let off the hook to ride his own race @ 60/1

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1 week 14 hours ago #88 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
You got a great early price on Izagirre there Couch

I will speculate with 0.5u on each of

Cataldo 125/1
Fraile 125/1
Chaves 40/1

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1 week 12 hours ago #89 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Stage 18
Fancied Gheoghegan Hart and Guerreiro today but the 9/1 and 14/1 does not appeal. We get the whole stage today so may pick one in play at reduced odds. Joining Couch (Sadly the butt of another Irish joke yesterday) and adding a few
Win
J Izagirre @ 33/1
Aranburu @ 45/1
De Gendt @ 63/1
King @ 109/1
and a match bet double
Pernsteiner/Kelderman into
Lopez/Pogacar @ 4/1

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1 week 12 hours ago #90 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Super stuff yesterday Brent, :beer Well played.

Thursday, Latour for me at 25/1, was in leading group yesterday i think but not for long, hoping it was with today in mind rather than bad legs.

Also nibbling at Lawson Craddock at 125/1 and I want a GC man so Roglic at 14/1 in case they all his main rivals cut their own throats

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 week 9 hours ago #91 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Late call fellows apologies
Tour of Britain
Top 3
Durbridge @ 13/2

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1 week 8 hours ago #92 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Stage 18
In play 112km left
Geoghegan Hart @ 7/2

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6 days 15 hours ago #93 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Todays finish should be exciting and I see the 1 sec or more winning margin has shortened from 19/10 to 31/20 overnight at Sunbet.

It is not the standout value of Wednesday where we got 4/1 but I think there is more likely to be a 1 second gap than not so I am wading in again with a 5 unit play

5u winning margin 1 sec or more at 31/20 at Sunbet

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6 days 15 hours ago #94 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Stage 19, Luis Leon Sanchez is my pick, think he gets the go ahead to have a tilt at this and I'm also backing Valverde

twitter: @goodforthegame

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6 days 15 hours ago #95 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Money for Valverde I see

I like him and will nibble on Stybar and throw in some roughies

1u Valverde around 9/1
1u Stybar at 11/1
0.5u LaTour 66/1
0.5u Brambilla 100/1

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6 days 12 hours ago #96 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
No idea what Trek were doing yesterday when they rode down the break? Made most guys give up except Higuita. Good for him. Missed Durbridge by point something of a second in Britain but at least made the match bet double so came out square on the Vuelta. Should probably lump the stage money on Gilbert today but will be going with
Aranburu @ 22/1
De Gendt @ 85/1 (Last chance stage for him)
Brambilla @ 100/1
Grosschartner @ 110/1
Normally that would be it but the missus wants to know how much of my money would she need to get 1k if Stybar wins. Therefor R72 - which I won't see again on
Stybar @ 14/1

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5 days 14 hours ago #97 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
Quite a dramatic stage in the end yesterday and the 1 sec or more ensure a nice profit

Todays stage is tough, not brutal climbs but hardly any flat and very difficult to control. If Lopez is feeling strong this could get very exciting early - break has a decent chance though I reckon and will probably pick a few long shots today.

Roglic is the strongest in the race but if Movi and Astana both ride aggressively he could well be exposed today.

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5 days 14 hours ago #98 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
I think Astana will try and load the break and Jumbo will be happy to let it go.

Then is Lopez has the legs he attacks and one by one the Astana crew drop back to pace him - if you want to make big time on this stage you need a seriously strong team which Lopez has. Valverde is likely to ride defensively although a few Movi will be in the break for sure and I think the condition of Quintana will determine how aggressive they go. They showed yesterday when they never really worked with Bora in that small echolon that they want to protect Quintana podium

Let's hope we get serious action and here are my bets - all 0.5u on

Brambilla 28/1
Frankiny 66/1
De Gendt 125/1
Chavez 66/1

Considering a decent lump on Lopez at 6/1 but a bit worried as he (and Roglic) went down yesterday.

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5 days 14 hours ago - 5 days 14 hours ago #99 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
The big play of the day for me

5u Lopez/Majka onto Podgacar/Quintana at 1.25/1 - Hollywood

Could have got 14/10 at Sporting if they didn't somehow think the events were related

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Last edit: 5 days 14 hours ago by Brent Graham.

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5 days 14 hours ago #100 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Cycling : La Vuelta Espana
And finally a speculative unit on Roglic not wearing Red at end of stage at 9/1 at Sunbet

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