Rugby World Cup - Pool matches 20-22 September

Bought Argentina front 5 try minutes at 6 with SX.

My gut reaction was it seemed a low price (9 to buy elsewhere). Stats aren't spectacular for the players in question but, to be honest, it's such a cheap buy I'd rather buy it and lose than swerve it and see a high make-up now I've considered it. Think that's me done for tomorrow's games.

Radradra anytime @ 3.05
He s been a beast with Bordeaux last year

I'll reply...you all over reacted to the Italy match against Russia....and didn't really think in a measured way about the dynamics of that first match. A number of issues....who actually knew the Russia team that played Italy? How good are Japan really? Surely expectation on Japan can hinder them? Russia...do they have anything to lose. No they don't. They have a free card here...sure they'll be shit later on...but on the world rugby stage..in the first match...they are going to turn up.
The smugness and general unwillingness to see that everything was slightly "false" was palpable on here...
The original quote of around 20 points on the line was spot on...
Let it be a lesson to us all...

Thrasher6 wrote: I'll reply...you all over reacted to the Italy match against Russia....and didn't really think in a measured way about the dynamics of that first match. A number of issues....who actually knew the Russia team that played Italy? How good are Japan really? Surely expectation on Japan can hinder them? Russia...do they have anything to lose. No they don't. They have a free card here...sure they'll be shit later on...but on the world rugby stage..in the first match...they are going to turn up.
The smugness and general unwillingness to see that everything was slightly "false" was palpable on here...
The original quote of around 20 points on the line was spot on...
Let it be a lesson to us all...

I would jump on anything under 30 if they played each other again next week. Japan were Pacific Nations Cup champions. Russia slipped into the comp by default. There was Italy AND Jersey and the fact that even the coach was saying he didn't have nearly the time he wanted with his side.

The Brave Blossoms were clearly completely overwhelmed by the occasion - those basic kicks they put down was a clear sign of the pressure of the occasion. I thought it would motivate them but instead it crippled them. So yes the 40 was clearly wayyy too much considering this but as stated I would jump on 20 every single time, even knowing what I do now.

In other news those long water breaks and the struggles with handling was exactly as most expected.

Happy hunting tomorrow everyone!

Serious aftertiming from mr thrasher, always easy to be the smart ass after the result. Post your bets/thoughts in advance or don’t post at all. Simple.

Good start on unders in jap game but not touching that in game 1 tomorrow, under roof, anything could happen.

Fiji +17.5 @ 9/10 taken few weeks ago.
Small interest 1st try Radrara 18/1

Couch Critic wrote:
I would jump on anything under 30 if they played each other again next week. Japan were Pacific Nations Cup champions. Russia slipped into the comp by default. There was Italy AND Jersey and the fact that even the coach was saying he didn't have nearly the time he wanted with his side.

The Brave Blossoms were clearly completely overwhelmed by the occasion - those basic kicks they put down was a clear sign of the pressure of the occasion. I thought it would motivate them but instead it crippled them. So yes the 40 was clearly wayyy too much considering this but as stated I would jump on 20 every single time, even knowing what I do now.

Totally agree with Couch, Leach was virtually stuttering when he spoke to the TV people before the game, far too much pressure.
I was on the -39.5 too, despite Oracle warning us about the big minuses. And I’d also take it again tomorrow.
And I’m on Italy -28.5, and England -40.5 too. So, nobody to blame but myself if they don’t arrive: but they will

In other news, Sportingbet still haven’t refunded me my (attempted) cancelled Canterbury bet, bullshitting me instead that they’re not allowed to, despite offering cash-out options on all my other bets. Then they send me a survey asking me what I think of their service. Obviously I said they must be the stupidest people in the world to treat a customer like that, especially a customer who loses as much as I do to them. They don’t need to steal and lie too. Dumb shits.

Good picking guys.

Put up or shut up! I’d still take my Japan -22.5 and -25.5 any day of the week. Couldn’t believe the game plan from Japan. Seemed like it was to kick the ball away at all cost which is a complete 180 from the way they always play. Tamura was awful.

Anyway, going against the grain on the Fiji game. Small play taking Aus-14.5 at 9/10. Super dangerous Fiji backline but I haven’t been impressed with them in the build up in the Pacific Cup. Like Brent mentioned the other night, that Aus performance against AB’s in Perth showed glimpses of quality. The White - Lealiifano partnership looked good! Hopefully the air conditioning at the Sapporo dome will make for better conditions. Good punting lads!

A good start yesterday for me , smaller bets today as I can’t watch , under 53.5 at 9/10 in aus game , plus 5.5 boks , Argentina and draw at 12/10 and under bok game the smallest at 42.5

Japs let me down but as most have said, would take that -22.5 again every time so just an anomaly how they did not cover those early spreads!

Today I'm all over the Boks!
Got them on the outright and +7.5 at 8/10 at GG

The best opportunity to beat the AB's on the big stage, Boks are in peak condition, know their best XV and everyone in the united squad knows their duties while the AB's team selection is questionable and cracks have been showing.

COME ON BOKKE!

BDub wrote: Put up or shut up! I’d still take my Japan -22.5 and -25.5 any day of the week. Couldn’t believe the game plan from Japan. Seemed like it was to kick the ball away at all cost which is a complete 180 from the way they always play. Tamura was awful.

Anyway, going against the grain on the Fiji game. Small play taking Aus-14.5 at 9/10. Super dangerous Fiji backline but I haven’t been impressed with them in the build up in the Pacific Cup. Like Brent mentioned the other night, that Aus performance against AB’s in Perth showed glimpses of quality. The White - Lealiifano partnership looked good! Hopefully the air conditioning at the Sapporo dome will make for better conditions. Good punting lads!

Happy with that win but wouldn't have minded losing that one. Jeez the standard of reffing is absolutely shocking. Hodge should have been red carded for that hit on Yato. Not even reviewed.

On to a bigger play on Argies +2.5

Argentina over 9.5 1st pts @ 9/10
Argentina over 19.5 total pts @ 5/6
And then got a cracking price on this - yellow card = yes @ 5/6.

Just missed kick off and was intending to go for an over penalties bet. Bet365 have a market for over Sanchez points which I’ve taken just now, over 8.5 points at 4/5. Surely a couple of penalties and conversions for him today

Thinking similar Mackem - took over 42.5 @ 8/10 sunbet

New Zealand/South Africa:

Yellow card 5/4, Red card 14/1 (Lads or Sportingbet)
NZ first yellow card 12/5, >1.5 total cards 3/1 (Hills)
Yellow card both teams 6/1 (Betway)

Garces apparently not shy of carding the All Blacks and these prices all seem reasonable for an added interest. Big difference of opinion on the spreads, as low as 11 to buy and as high as 16. I’d rather back a yellow at odds against than buy bookings at 11.

Boks outclassed, had chances but NZ more clinical. Poor day overall on betting front, regroup and fire tomorrow. The joy of the World Cup, plenty chance to bounce back.

Sale -17.5 @ just under 9/10 with Sunbet. Named a very strong side today.

If only I'd not seen the stat that drew me into those card bets! Decent day otherwise with 2 out of the 3 handicaps and a 37 point profit on Argentina front 5 try minutes.

For tomorrow I'm just doing two of the handicaps, singles and the double.

Namibia +31 with Hills and Tonga +45 with Lads (double with Lads at +30 and +45).

I'd take Ireland -8 if you pushed me for a selection but it's too close to put money on. Gone for them to win by 1-10 points at 9/4 Betway which seems a reasonable pick and is sub 2/1 in most places.

Only other bet so far is a buy of Namibia's multi points at 29 with SPIN (up to 35 now but was 24 just prior to me deciding to make the bet earlier).

An angry rash bet on Sale has got my weekend back on track, was really aggrieved by Hodge not getting carded in Fiji game. Cost me at time.

Tomorrow am - Namibia over 5.5 1st half pts @ 19/20

Under 53.5 points at 9/10 in Italy vs Namibia game

Looking at all the future Pool games on my tab nz account and I thought there was a typo.
USA $2.30 v Tonga $1.55 Based on my viewing of Pacific Nations Cup and NZ v Tonga, USA v Canada a glitch, these odds should be reversed.

Going large on USA 10 of 10.

Seemingly the reason is that USA are on very short turn around, playing Argentina on the 9th October and then Tonga game on the 13th October.

If you like it get in now, as Tonga are about to go down to England by 40-60 points, maybe more, and odds will change.
Safer option of USA +3.5 @ $2 also available. Cheers 3P

hanrick wrote: Under 53.5 points at 9/10 in Italy vs Namibia game

Got on -59,5 with score 14-7 @ 35 minute mark. Cannot believe my luck!

Taken under 58.5 at ht

Allergic to odds-on but found this at evens so going with
Scotland over 7.5 first half points @ evens

Heading out to an Irish Pub to watch this one.

Taking an entertainment bet on Ireland -8.5. When in doubt back the Kiwi Coached Team ;- )

Ireland to win and under 40.5 points at 1.45/1 and Ireland by 1 - 12 at 16/10

Good start to day. Battling to make a solid call in next but gone -

Either side win by 7 or less @ just under 15/10
1st Ireland try Best @ 14/1

Smalls Scotland plus 8.5 at evens

Think the bookies are being a bit disrespectful to Tonga. They were nowhere near ready vs NZ, this indoor conditions will suit.

Tonga over 3.5 1st half pts @ 17/20
Tonga over 0.5 2nd half pts @ 8/10

Try and salvage something on this match
Ireland over 29.5 points @ 9/10

Main play Tonga under 12.5 points @ 15/20. Some extra on England win to nil @ 7/1

Have also taken the Tonga under 12.5 points at 0.78/1. Also on England -38.5 at 9/10 and England -43.5 at 13/10 taken on Friday

hanrick wrote: Have also taken the Tonga under 12.5 points at 0.78/1. Also on England -38.5 at 9/10 and England -43.5 at 13/10 taken on Friday

Have added England over 7.5 tries at 0.88/1

Realised I have some pennies left in spread account so why not -

High underhill try min @ 9

Brent Graham wrote: 1st RWC strike - England over 24.5. 1st half points

I can't believe that didn't arrive. It looked like a sure thing to me.

World Cup from hell so far! Wont see another cent from me until I've cleared the head and sanity prevails lol

Whooeee, I've had an absolute cracker of a weekend RWC = 100%
Wrong that is. 100% wrong. ha ha ha

Next week I'm just gonna take R1,000.00 quick picks on the lotto at the filling station.
Thank goodness the BOP Steamers got me out of jail, for a net loss of 37% on the weekend.

Yowza, that was like getting cavity searched at the airport
Thank goodness for booze

harry_rag wrote:
Only other bet so far is a buy of Namibia's multi points at 29 with SPIN (up to 35 now but was 24 just prior to me deciding to make the bet earlier).

An absolute beauty Harry:beer

Cheers Vann, shame I was just shy of going for the Ireland -8 handicap as well but it's been a good day today, I think South Africa -7 is the only handicap pick I've got wrong so far, though that sort of strike rate isn't likely to last much longer!