Super Rugby wk 2, 6 Nations Rd 1 and other rugby
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
A good weekend for the previews though with 6/7 winners and the loss just a lonely unit on the Rebels winning margin
Here are my projected handicaps and GGGaming will be out at 12h15 (EDIT GGG came out at 10h30)
Highlanders -6.5 v Sharks
Brumbies -4.5 v Rebels
Chiefs -0.5 v Crusaders
Waratahs +2.5 v Blues
Lions -8.5 v Reds
Stormers -7.5 v Bulls
Jaguares -6.5 v Hurricanes
Here is the video
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
Highlanders -6.5 v Sharks (no cap but o/r relates to around 4.5)
Brumbies -4.5 v Rebels (no cap but o/r relates to around 4.5)
Chiefs -0.5 v Crusaders +8.5
Waratahs +2.5 v Blues choice
Lions -8.5 v Reds (No cap but o/r relates to around -3.5)
Stormers -7.5 v Bulls -10.5
Jaguares -6.5 v Hurricanes -12.5
I like the Chiefs +8.5 and Canes +12.5 early doors
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- hanrick
- Offline
- Posts: 873
- Thank you received: 400
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1326
- Thank you received: 465
Mine to the extreme right in bold , without looking .
="Brent Graham" post=94333]GGG are out - theirs t the right
Highlanders -6.5 v Sharks (no cap but o/r relates to around 4.5) MINUS 3.5
Brumbies -4.5 v Rebels (no cap but o/r relates to around 4.5). MINUS 6.5
Chiefs -0.5 v Crusaders -8.5 CHIEFS PLUS 5.5
Waratahs +2.5 v Blues choice. CHOICE
Lions -8.5 v Reds (No cap but o/r relates to around -3.5). LIONS MINUS 5.5
Stormers -7.5 v Bulls -10.5. MINUS 8.5
Jaguares -6.5 v Hurricanes -12.5. MINUS 8.5
I like the Chiefs +8.5 and Canes +12.5 early doors[/quote]
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1326
- Thank you received: 465
Ire minus 6.5 vs Wales
Scot plus 6.5 vs Eng
France minus 29.5 vs Italy
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- threepeat
- Offline
- Posts: 376
- Thank you received: 155
The show down of the two rugby coaches who are widely regarded as better coaches than incumbent AB Coach Fossie Foster. This game is huge.
I am picking Crusaders to WIN this Round 2 Away fixture.
46 AB Test Prop Joe Moody should return for 60 minutes. Cody Taylor should start for 60 mins.
This changes the dynamic of the Crusader leadership group, freeing up Scooter Barrett to do what he does best. win lineouts and lead from the front.
For Chiefs Hooker Nathan Harris is gone for the season. Expect Damien Mckenzie to be out this week with adducter, but no word yet.
Chiefs +8.5 is a lot and an early bet may give you cash out or spread option later. No odds yet at TAB NZ.
Full Disclosure I picked Crusaders in Chiefs Fiji fixture last year and they lost 40-27. Crusaders Old Boys ran out of gas in Suva heat v young Chiefs team. Those guys are resting their 1,000 caps in the Japanese League. New look Crusaders firing and ready to play for Razor and they owe the Chiefs. Big motivation. Cheers 3P
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- CLrugby
- Offline
- Posts: 185
- Thank you received: 97
GL everyone
@Chris_Lacharge
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- TheBettingStig
- Offline
- Posts: 79
- Thank you received: 56
Sharks plus 9.5
Reds plus 7.5
Jaguares minus 5.5
Twitter @BettingStig
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Offline
- Posts: 6508
- Thank you received: 928
New logo, same slaying
goodforthegame.co.za/Couch-Critic/post-m...an-same-slaying.html
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Offline
- Posts: 6508
- Thank you received: 928
goodforthegame.co.za/Super-Rugby-2020/su...te-3rd-february.html
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- NicG
- Offline
- Posts: 32
- Thank you received: 7
I really believe Jaguares will dominate up front and cover this minus easily
I expected minus 10.5 at least
Thoughts from you guys?
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brad Breath
- Offline
- Posts: 812
- Thank you received: 205
They've covered this in 4 out of 5 of the last H2Hs
The extra half a point is crucial - (covers more than 1 score and the losing BP range)
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
Click Here to watch in You Tube and comment live
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
Click here to listen and download as a podcast
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- threepeat
- Offline
- Posts: 376
- Thank you received: 155
Saders -2.5
Blues Win
Jags -5.5 (BB)
All TAB NZ, Individual bets + Multi bet
Games of the round Razor v Gatland in Hamilton and Downtown Tony Brown's "Shark Attack" in Dunedin
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- TheBettingStig
- Offline
- Posts: 79
- Thank you received: 56
TheBettingStig wrote: Early calls
Sharks plus 9.5
Reds plus 7.5
Jaguares minus 5.5
Crusaders minus 2.5
Brumbies minus 5.5
Waratahs plus 3.5
Stormers minus 10.5
Twitter @BettingStig
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- CLrugby
- Offline
- Posts: 185
- Thank you received: 97
@Chris_Lacharge
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Zambusta
- Offline
- Posts: 280
- Thank you received: 79
Still suspended for breaching team protocols last week...getting pissed.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- stokes1982
- Offline
- Posts: 383
- Thank you received: 155
Not sure if anyone has access to Betway uk, but they've priced up the following as a requestabet and it seems ridiculously generous ( unless I'm missing something )
Either team to win by 1-12 @ 2/1
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Offline
- Posts: 6508
- Thank you received: 928
Ireland v Wales preview
goodforthegame.co.za/Six-Nations-Rugby/i...betting-preview.html
3 units Wales +4.5 points at 9/10 with WSB
Unit Scale 1-5
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Offline
- Posts: 6508
- Thank you received: 928
goodforthegame.co.za/Six-Nations-Rugby/s...betting-preview.html
A couple of units on England to win by 1-12 pts, 14/10 with BetXchange best I could find right now
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Offline
- Posts: 6508
- Thank you received: 928
goodforthegame.co.za/Six-Nations-Rugby/f...betting-preview.html
1 unit on France to win by 21-30 pts inc, 22/10 BetXchange
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- stokes1982
- Offline
- Posts: 383
- Thank you received: 155
stokes1982 wrote: Ireland v Wales
Not sure if anyone has access to Betway uk, but they've priced up the following as a requestabet and it seems ridiculously generous ( unless I'm missing something )
Either team to win by 1-12 @ 2/1
Unfortunately, bets gone and stake reimbursed. Had a feeling that they might of priced that up wrong lol
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- son_of_a_punt
- Offline
- Posts: 127
- Thank you received: 111
We are going to be focusing on Super Rugby this weekend, there are some mouth-watering encounters that await us! Here is where the value is at in round 2 of the competition:
Match: Brumbies vs Rebels
Pick: Brumbies -6.5 (Hollywoodbets)
Logic: Rebels were terrible against the Wolves. Everyone is expecting them to bounce back against the Brumbies, but we don't think that is going to happen. Brumbies have only made one change to the side that beat the Reds last week, which is great show of consistency. Rebels have an amazing backline, there is no denying that, but the Brumbies forwards could prove to be too strong... and if that happens the Rebels backline is not going to see the ball much. Rain, rain and more rain predicted for the game, which is putting us even more on the side of the Brumbies as the conditions play perfectly into their hands.
Match: Chiefs vs Crusaders aka Gatland vs Razor Robertson
Pick: Crusaders -2.5 (BetOlimp) aka Razor -2.5
Logic: Conditions look great on Saturday evening in Hamilton. Chiefs are set to miss All Black props Nepo Laulala and Angus Ta'avao - this is a huge blow as the Crusaders' forward pack is not one to be messed with! The Chiefs do have a fit and healthy Aaron Cruden to start at 10, but this likely comes with the loss of Damian McKenzie. We think that the Crusaders are going to be able to get on top of the Chiefs, which will allow Richie Mo'unga and his incredible backline to wreak havoc.
Match: Waratahs vs Blues
Pick: Waratahs +3.5 (Hollywood)
Logic: Massive winds and rain all weekend in Newcastle Australia (the venue for this match due to the fires). For us, this screams a game that is going to be won in the forwards. The Waratahs boast a pretty impressive forward pack, whilst the Blues have been hit with injuries. Front-rowers Alex Hodgman and Ray Niuia are out. Moreover, The Blues lose their best player from last week, with Rieko Ioane fracturing his hand. Blues didn't win a game on the road last season and we think that is not going to change this weekend. Also could be interested in an unders play if the line is high enough.
Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
Highlanders v Sharks Preview
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
Brumbies v Rebels Preview
Looking forward to chatting with Hanrick and Andrew (one half of Son of a Punt) on tonights THE HANDICAP at 21h00
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- hanrick
- Offline
- Posts: 873
- Thank you received: 400
hanrick wrote: All over the Chiefs +8.5
Taking some more Chiefs to win the game at 12/10. Betting for this game is the wrong way round and if it was switched I would have taken the 8/10 Chiefs now aswell.
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- son_of_a_punt
- Offline
- Posts: 127
- Thank you received: 111
Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- hanrick
- Offline
- Posts: 873
- Thank you received: 400
son_of_a_punt wrote: We see that Chiefs have McKenzie in the starting line up...and no Mo’unga for the Crusaders! Bit worried about the -2.5, but nothing we can do now.
But we knew yesterday morning already that Mo'unga wouldn't play...
Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
- Offline
- Posts: 4432
- Thank you received: 1173
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Zambusta
- Offline
- Posts: 280
- Thank you received: 79
Just a thought.
I'm sticking on the Crusaders...the team sheet looks very good.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Zambusta
- Offline
- Posts: 280
- Thank you received: 79
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Offline
- Posts: 6508
- Thank you received: 928
goodforthegame.co.za/Thoughts-On-Sports/...-2-betting-tips.html
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
- Offline
- Posts: 6508
- Thank you received: 928
goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...-week-2-preview.html
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
hanrick wrote:
son_of_a_punt wrote: We see that Chiefs have McKenzie in the starting line up...and no Mo’unga for the Crusaders! Bit worried about the -2.5, but nothing we can do now.
But we knew yesterday morning already that Mo'unga wouldn't play...
I can see we will have some interesting chat around this one on tonights show
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- coil
- Offline
- Posts: 1326
- Thank you received: 465
I'm leaning towards the Sharks in the first match on Friday , the cap looks reasonably set at 7.5 , 6.5 in most places and with a run under their belts I'm hoping they'll run the Highlanders in their first start close .
the second game on Friday is a bit of a tough one , I was hoping for a little larger on the plus Rebels. They were atrocious last week against the Sunwolves and lacked any kind of leadership on the field . It is tough to see them making huge improvement in a week while the Brumbies fought back well against the Reds last week in Canberra .
To be honest Australian rugby is plain awful nowadays and I havent enjoyed their sides for ages . There is a chance of some showers so total points could be an option but for now it'll be a tentative watch and should the Brumbies get off to a flyer I may look to punt the Rebels in running .
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brad Breath
- Offline
- Posts: 812
- Thank you received: 205
Shame as it's been largely fine in the UK all week.
I like the Welsh team with Tompkins in the centre, albeit perhaps a slight question mark over their scrum. Can see them going really close if not beating the Irish - who have a somewhat uninspiring line up in my view
Wales +5 @ 1.91
Smaller play Wales win @ 2.70
Scotland will scrap and fight for everything, England's team changes strengthen them slightly but Eddie is rolling the dice a bit in my view, with a 6:2 split on the bench.
Scotland +8 @ 1.91
Smaller play Scotland by 1-10 @ 5
Not confident on too much of Super rugby, looking forward to the Handicap this evening!
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Shazzadude
- Offline
- Posts: 75
- Thank you received: 33
Brumbies-Rebels: I'm expecting a rubbish game here, maybe total points unders or total tries unders is the go.
Chiefs-Crusaders: When was the last time you saw a Crusaders line move three points against them? Something's fishy here, and the Chiefs have a nice looking run on side. There's a strong Tasman contingent from last year's Mitre 10 cup champion side in this Crusaders lineup, but man for man I think the Chiefs match up well.
Tahs-Blues: Smells like unders to me, or tries unders, weather forecast to be horrible in Newcastle. Hard to back the Blues when their goalkicker can be expected to leave 6-10 points on the tee, but the weather conditions may well suit.
Lions-Reds: I grabbed some +7.5 earlier in the week, and I'm kicking myself for not taking more. The Lions stink this year, and I think a fit, young Reds team are going to do well at altitude. They should have beaten the Brumbies last week in what were trying conditions at 40 plus degrees celsius, but will only get better with execution as the season goes on. I think the Reds win straight up.
Stormers-Bulls: Stormers should cover this easily; whether they do is another matter
Jaguares-Hurricanes: Last week I took the Stormers to beat the Canes, this week I like the Canes in a bounce back spot. The Jaguares did smash the Lions, but I think the Lions are just junk this year, and see +5.5 as a nice start for the Canes. Had the Stormers-Canes game last weekend been close, I think this would have been a pick em.
Kiwi living in Australia
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Kirky
- Offline
- Posts: 396
- Thank you received: 98
This Highlanders outfit looks good to me albeit their first game - they must be raring to go.
Their backline looks deadly from Smith to McKay, and the forwards are a properly capable bunch too. Then they have the bench - ha...
I'm -6.5 @ 1.95 (Sunbet)
over 53.5. @ 1.85 Sportingbet)
Josh Ioane for 1st try @ 17.00 (Sportingbet) Either him or Jonah Nareki's gonna get it, but my fancy is Ioane.
I watched a lot of these boys play Mitre10. They were drooling for SR, and I can't see a slouch anywhere in their lineup.
Looking forward to tonight's show
Good picking guys
Also thinking Brumbies vs Rebels will be a miserable, wet, low scoring game, edged by the Brumbies.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Kirky
- Offline
- Posts: 396
- Thank you received: 98
Just gonna have to run the generator - simple.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
- Offline
- Posts: 4432
- Thank you received: 1173
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
Chiefs v Crusaders - the lads are split on this one and I am going for either team by 7 points or less at Sunbet
Don't miss tonights THE HANDICAP live at 9 - The Betting Stig makes his debut and Hanrick and Son of a Punt are in separate corners for this one
Waratahs v Blues - have decided to look no further than Son of a Punts +3.5
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3536
- Thank you received: 1396
Been holding out for some points markets but in meantime like the Highlanders/Higlanders ht/ft @ 15/20.
But points lines if low enough will be main interest.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
- Offline
- Posts: 3536
- Thank you received: 1396
Onto
Brum v Rebels - under 50.5pts
Double @ 11/5
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- threepeat
- Offline
- Posts: 376
- Thank you received: 155
The line has moved into Crusaders - .5 @ $1.90 tab nz
Someone suggested that the Crusader pack was weak (we suspect a case of beer goggles), so we have taken a layer off the onion of the Crusaders starting pack to play the Chiefs: We reveal 3 All Blacks, 3 NZ U20 All Blacks, 1 Maori All Black and an Irishmen good enough to get into the Crusaders Academy and be in the Crusader squad since 2017, playing behind and training with an all AB front row for the last three years.
1. Joe Moody - AB
2. Codie Taylor -AB
3. Oliver Jager - NZ Barbars
4. Scott Barrett (C) - AB
5. Mitchell Dunshea- AB U20 NZ Barbars
6. Tom Sanders - AB U20, NZ Universities
7. Tom Christie - NZ Schools, Captain AB U20
8. Whetukamokamo Douglas - Maori All Black
With AB props Laulau and Ta'avoa out injured, Chiefs are ripe for the taking up front.
Sader backline is an excitement machine with AB's Ennor, Goodhue, Reece and Bridge all starting..
Solid bet Crusaders -.05 plus a little interest in -6.5 & -8.5 in the alternate start points.
Cheers & Good Luck. 3P
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- R3V3R3NT_
- Offline
- Posts: 230
- Thank you received: 89
Brent Graham wrote: 2 more previews up
Chiefs v Crusaders - the lads are split on this one and I am going for either team by 7 points or less at Sunbet
Don't miss tonights THE HANDICAP live at 9 - The Betting Stig makes his debut and Hanrick and Son of a Punt are in separate corners for this one
Waratahs v Blues - have decided to look no further than Son of a Punts +3.5
Good stuff guys just caught the replay shame I couldn't make it live. My first week back into it some good tips to ponder!
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
Really enjoyed last nights show and am working the weekly betting mailer as we speak - you can sign up below any of the Super Rugby previews
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
- Topic Author
- Away
- Posts: 4761
- Thank you received: 1046
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brad Breath
- Offline
- Posts: 812
- Thank you received: 205
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- bradie82
- Offline
- Posts: 881
- Thank you received: 406
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.