Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other

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2 weeks 6 days ago #1 by Brent Graham
Getting my caps out early as tied up all day and won't have time to do them or the video - the video will be back next week

Not a bad week although never got too involved but Sharks beating the handicap was a highlight

Here are my projections for next weeks caps - sure GGGaming will be out mid-morning

Chiefs -7.5 v Hurricanes
Blues -14.5 v Lions
Sunwolves +42.5 v Crusaders
Reds -8.5 v Bulls
Sharks -6.5 v Stormers
Jaguares -9.5 v Highlanders
Brumbies -9.5 v Waratahs

Anything obvious stand out if I was the bookie?

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2 weeks 6 days ago #2 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
My early fancies at GG are Lions +17.5, Stormers +7.5 and Landers +13.5.

The Lions are poor but the Blues aren't the type of team that beats big handicaps. I would have priced this game around 13.5. In the coastal SA derby, when you get a converted try to start you have to take it. Storm have been strong over the years in Durban and they should keep this one close. Lastly, NZ sides typically do very well agains the Jags in Argentina and getting a double digit start just seems too generous. Landers aren't a great side but they will cover this cap in Arg.

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2 weeks 6 days ago #3 by TheBettingStig
Replied by TheBettingStig on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other

Brent Graham wrote: Getting my caps out early as tied up all day and won't have time to do them or the video - the video will be back next week

Not a bad week although never got too involved but Sharks beating the handicap was a highlight

Here are my projections for next weeks caps - sure GGGaming will be out mid-morning

Chiefs -7.5 v Hurricanes
Blues -14.5 v Lions
Sunwolves +42.5 v Crusaders
Reds -8.5 v Bulls
Sharks -6.5 v Stormers
Jaguares -9.5 v Highlanders
Brumbies -9.5 v Waratahs

Anything obvious stand out if I was the bookie?


Chiefs by 12
Blues by 23
Crusaders by 45
Reds by 12
Sharks by 10
Jaguares by 22
Brumbies by 19

Twitter @BettingStig

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2 weeks 5 days ago #4 by Tarka
Chiefs, Blues, Reds, Jaguares and Brumbies all outright at 5to2.
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2 weeks 4 days ago - 2 weeks 4 days ago #5 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other

I’ve seen Chiefs -6.5. Waiting on Cruden and Cane fitness but if both good I’m on it. Really seeing some weakness in the coaching at Canes. They are going to win some good games but also going to be found out in others when up against coaching units that do their home work.

I thought Gatland would struggle at Chiefs this season but am happy he’s proving me wrong. Put together a great set up there already and tactically they look on it, if you ignore the blip against Brumbies.

Twitter @southpawZA
Last edit: 2 weeks 4 days ago by southpaw.
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2 weeks 4 days ago #6 by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Chiefs have been behind at half time in every game this year (Sunwolves don't count). Beer money on Canes/Chiefs HT/FT is a must!

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2 weeks 4 days ago #7 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other

R3V3R3NT_ wrote: Chiefs have been behind at half time in every game this year (Sunwolves don't count). Beer money on Canes/Chiefs HT/FT is a must!


Have to agree, Chiefs behind Waratahs at half time! Gatland has magic water at half time.
Expect Canes to come out strong in first half after yellow & red card debacle last week v Blues and win first half. Value bet paying $6.50 Canes/ Chiefs HT/FT. Value Bet, worth a crack, not just beer $.

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2 weeks 4 days ago #8 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
hmm don't know lads, i just can't have Canes at all, even leading at HT. They are massively over-reliant on Jordie, he is carrying their 10 through the games, they didn't recruit to replace BB and its going to cost them this season.

Playing a bit one-dimensional crash-ball vs Blues, using Aso, Laumape and van Wyk to try blast through. Just my view but i think their season struggles from here on with many NZ derbies.

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2 weeks 4 days ago #9 by son_of_a_punt
Replied by son_of_a_punt on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Early thoughts:

Brumbies -11.5 v tahs - should be too strong at home for weak tahs

Jags -11.5 v highlanders - landers been horrific and now NZ have rested their highlander ABs (coltman and smith) and landers have sent nareki, parete and johnstone home to be rested)

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2 weeks 4 days ago #10 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other

southpaw wrote: hmm don't know lads, i just can't have Canes at all, even leading at HT. They are massively over-reliant on Jordie, he is carrying their 10 through the games, they didn't recruit to replace BB and its going to cost them this season.

Playing a bit one-dimensional crash-ball vs Blues, using Aso, Laumape and van Wyk to try blast through. Just my view but i think their season struggles from here on with many NZ derbies.


Agree with this to an extent, though thought Garden-Bachop was starting to look decent (was v.good vs Sharks) so real shame he was injured.
Out for another 2 weeks at least I think.
Fletcher Smith not the same quality and as such expect their struggles may continue.
Personally think the loss of Lomax at TH could be more damaging. He has been rock solid at scrum time.
No decent backup TH in their squad in my view.
I'm holding fire on bets for now.

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2 weeks 3 days ago #11 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Line ups announced. Gone Chiefs -6 @ 10/11

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2 weeks 3 days ago #12 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other

southpaw wrote: Line ups announced. Gone Chiefs -6 @ 10/11


With you on that one but got the -5 @ 1.91 on William Hill

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2 weeks 3 days ago #13 by mackem
Another terrific effort from Thoughts on Sports with his Super Rugby Round 7 preview

goodforthegame.co.za/Thoughts-On-Sports/...-7-betting-tips.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 weeks 3 days ago #14 by Shazzadude
Replied by Shazzadude on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
There's been some strong trends with 1st and second half performances this season with a few teams.

Chiefs-awful 1st half team, amazing second half team
Reds-awesome 1st half team, awful second half team
Crusaders-strong 1st half team, poor second half team

On that basis, Canes +3.5, Reds -3.5 and Crusaders -18.5 1st half all seem like solid plays. I do feel the Bulls did punters a favour for the Reds clash by smashing the Highlanders, however the Reds have been fairly untrustworthy in second halves, so I feel the 1st half line might be safer.

Blues v Lions-the bookies have really struggled to grasp how awful this Lions team are, and still didn't learn after the Waratahs game, setting another low line against the Rebels. The Blues are another step up, I still don't feel -16.5 is enough and the Blues should cover it. Could be another good 1st half option here at -7.5.

Jaguares to crush the Highlanders seems like the right play, however the Jaguares do have the ability to switch off, like in their game against the Hurricanes.

Brumbies minus also seems like a common sense play. It is a derby match, and perhaps something of a Wallabies trial match, however even so you'd think the Brumbies will have too much for them.

Kiwi living in Australia
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2 weeks 2 days ago #15 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Chiefs v Hurricanes Preview - joining South on he Chiefs -6.5

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2 weeks 2 days ago #16 by mackem
Wales v Scotland, Six Nations

goodforthegame.co.za/Six-Nations-Rugby/w...betting-preview.html

2 units, Wales win by 1-12 points inclusive 19/10 Sportingbet

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 weeks 2 days ago #17 by Schooms
Hi all, I know they aren’t playing this weekend but the PRO14 has been suspended indefinitely until the corona threat has been contained.

Love sevens rugby.... dabbler in all!

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2 weeks 2 days ago #18 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
We had to cancel GGGaming Gome Mad due to load shedding but THE HANDICAP goes ahead at 21h00

Click here to watch on You Tube


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2 weeks 1 day ago #19 by Quill
Double
Brisbane (A-League) + Chiefs @2.00

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2 weeks 1 day ago #20 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Blues v Lions Preview - really battled with this one and have settled for a 5/2 winning margin play

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2 weeks 1 day ago #21 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
The rest of Saturdays previews

Sunwolves v Crusaders Preview - taking 13/10 a sub scores the last try

Reds v Bulls Preview
- following @Son_of_a_Punt on this one and going Reds minus

Sharks v Stormers Preview - joining Oracle on Sharks minus and will also be on unders if the quote is around 47.5

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2 weeks 1 day ago #22 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Jaguares v Highlanders Preview - not wasting time putting this up as the -11.5 Jags won't last with some +15.5 on offer

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2 weeks 1 day ago #23 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Brumbies v Waratahs Preview - the final one for the weekend and thanks to @BettingStig for this one

Have a great punting weekend lads, have a feeling betting opportunities are going to be sparse for a few weeks

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2 weeks 1 day ago #24 by kompos
chiefs-13.5 --- 37/20

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2 weeks 1 day ago #25 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Chiefs over 24.5 @ 2.04 on 888

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2 weeks 1 day ago #26 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
apologies if anyone followed on Chiefs -6. Was confident @ 24-14 it was in the bag, not to be. Won a packet on Chiefs minus last week, gave a chunk of that back, but would have taken bet again if given hindsight.

We move on, plenty good rugby to come this weekend and will come out firing tomorrow morning.

Twitter @southpawZA

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2 weeks 1 day ago #27 by mackem
Couch's plays for Saturday inc tryscorers

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...-week-7-preview.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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2 weeks 1 day ago #28 by kompos
Lions+9.5 19/10
Sunwolves+30.5 15/10
Bulls+1.5 37/20

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2 weeks 21 hours ago #29 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other

mackem wrote: Couch's plays for Saturday inc tryscorers

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...-week-7-preview.html


Blues v Lions "Couch Best Bet: 1st Half Handicap - Blues -6.5 @ 1.76

First Tryscorer - Akira Ioane @ 14.00"

Bit hard for Akira to score first try from the bench! lol

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2 weeks 20 hours ago #30 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Not strong on too much, modest plays on:

Brent's preview bet of Blues 11-20 @ 3.60

Wolves +40 @ 1.91
Wolves over 10.5 points @ evens

Anytime try Tupou @ 4.5
Joining Couch with Last try Daugunu @ 11

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2 weeks 20 hours ago #31 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other

Brad Breath wrote: Brent's preview bet of Blues 11-20 @ 3.60


Added Schoeman to score 2 or more @ 34 with Skybet.
Is as short as 8 elsewhere

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2 weeks 17 hours ago #32 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Over 53.5 in Blues game based purely on a twitter pic showing sime blue sky in the background

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2 weeks 14 hours ago #33 by hanrick
So stiff Brent. 46 points before 50 mins and then just 7 in that awful last 30 mins.

I have been on a poor run recently, hence the silence from my side, but dipping my toes back in with a points treble.

Crusaders under 47.5/Bulls under 22.5/Sharks vs Stormers under 44.5 at 11/2

Like Bulls under 22.5 the strongest of the three so will play that as a single aswell

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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2 weeks 13 hours ago #34 by Experienced Novice
Replied by Experienced Novice on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Reds winning margin 1 - 12

Reds have no form to suggest that this will be a runaway result, Bulls will be buoyed by their victory against the Highlanders and will be keen to start their tour campaign with a good result.

Marginally in favour of the home side, think winning margin will deviate within 3 points or so from the handicap of -7.5.

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2 weeks 12 hours ago #35 by hanrick

hanrick wrote: So stiff Brent. 46 points before 50 mins and then just 7 in that awful last 30 mins.

I have been on a poor run recently, hence the silence from my side, but dipping my toes back in with a points treble.

Crusaders under 47.5/Bulls under 22.5/Sharks vs Stormers under 44.5 at 11/2

Like Bulls under 22.5 the strongest of the three so will play that as a single aswell


As my current form goes the Crusaders unders get killed in extra time. Taken some more Bulls under 21.5 to recover

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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2 weeks 12 hours ago #36 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Alternate Double to the news letter

Reds - 5.5 @ 1.78 into Jags -9.5 @ 1.74 tab nz

Too higher risk to back Sharks v Stormers. Stormers caught napping by ascending Blues Team. Still four out of five and very capable of winning in Durban. Risk reward does not stack. Easier $ found by looking to South America and continued weakness of Landers. Cheers 3P

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2 weeks 12 hours ago #37 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Reds -2.5 2nd half cap @ 8/10 Main bet
Ht/ft bulls/reds @ 6/1 smaller interest

Twitter @southpawZA

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2 weeks 9 hours ago #38 by Delon
I just checked Stormers squad. In my opinion this is the weakest lineup from them so far this season in my eyes.
Ntubeni was very weak last time. Also they are a different side far from home. Lions is the worst squad in my eyes at the moment in the league. They won in Jhnsbrg on in the extra time. I am on the unchanged Sharks train

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2 weeks 9 hours ago #39 by kompos
Sharks-11.5 19/10

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2 weeks 8 hours ago #40 by hanrick
Thought I was dead with the Buls unders at 17-0, but somehow got lucky.

Stormers to win at 22/10

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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2 weeks 8 hours ago #41 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Nice start today on reds and ht/ft. Reinvesting some into next game -

Sharks over 23.5 points @ 17/20

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2 weeks 7 hours ago #42 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Sharks 1-12 @ 2.80

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1 week 6 days ago #43 by R3V3R3NT_
Replied by R3V3R3NT_ on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Brumbies Tahs looks to be the last game of the season. Such an odd way to finish.
What are the teams mindsets here Brumbies would think they had a chance to win it here for the Tahs its a seeet mercy.

Psychologically as a player are you mentally in this game knowing it means nothing. Perhaps the Brumbies want to make a statement and the Tahs are happy to end it. I cant see a tight game plan from either side so peehaps overs on points is the call here.

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1 week 6 days ago #44 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Hi Rev,
My tab coffers have swelled with the cancellation in Argie. Why am I so mad? Jags were coming home and coffers would have been endowed huge. Moving on. Playing the last game as follows:

Waratahs Over
(19.5)
Waratahs - Total Points
Brumbies v Waratahs
@ 1.83

PS: Despite your lack of recent form Hanrick, your opinion on unders and overs remains highly valued downunder ;- ) Cheers 3P

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1 week 5 days ago #45 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
Hi everyone,

A decent weekends punting with the Newsletter Best Bet and the reduced to 11/2 acca landing

I guess we will find out in the coming days what the future if any of Super Rugby 2020 is and lets just hope we get some rugby.

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1 week 5 days ago #46 by ThoughtsOnSports
Replied by ThoughtsOnSports on topic Super Rugby Week 7, Six Nations Week 5 + other
I expect a couple of smaller bookies to be in big trouble with no business coming in.

twitter: @ThoughtsOnSports

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