General Sports Tips W/C 25th May

Friendly

Brondby vs Lyngby

A few days ago these two teams played another friendly in Lyngby, won by today's guests 2-0.
Brondby have been the better team in the past few years in the league, winning all 4 of their last 4 encounters, home and away.
Considering that they lost a few days ago, it's time they took revenge in this return friendly.

Bet 1: Brondby -0.75 @1.78
Bet 2: Brondby win & Over 1.5 goals @1.80

Bundesliga
My original thoughts were sides with the most motivation ie avoid relegation etc would do better than expected in the empty stadiums. There has been some of this but what is very clear is that sides running out at home just seem unable to get over the non existent crowd support and away sides are doing rather well in this environment. Matches to date are played 18 with Home 3 - Draw 5 - Away 10.
Frankfurt v Freiburg
Taking Freiburg over 1.5 match goals @ 18/10
and a few beers on the win double
Freiburg/Monchengladbach @ 11/2
Not interested in the big match this pm Dortmund v Bayern. Reckon both sides could be very cautious and could finish with very few goals.

Augsburg vs Paderborn

Since they changed their coach, Augsburg looks much better. Although they lost at home to Wolfsburg, their coach wasn't able to attend because he was late at the gates and wasn't allowed in anymore, and even so they conceded defeat in injury time.
They turned things around away to Schalke however, in a spectacular manner (3-0).
They look much better in defence too.

Paderborn seem to have lost the fight to survive, they are bottom in the league.

Bet: Augsburg (-0.5) @1.98

Bundesliga
Going to stick with looking for away team value - see above
Union Berlin v Mainz
Reverse fixture was won 3-2 by UB. UB have conceded 6 goals in their two matches since returning.
Mainz over 1.5 match goals @ 14/10
Hoffenheim v Cologne
Reverse fixture was won 2-1 by Hoffenheim but they have been poor on their return and I'm going with my empty stadium affecting the home team more theory. I would have preferred higher odds on this bet but these are the best I could find
Match bet and Total
Cologne and over 2.5 goals @ 23/10

Turkmenistan
Sagadam vs Ahal

There are very few goals when these teams play.
Sagadam is mid table, Ahal second, level on points with the top team on the ladder, but the hosts are on a very good run of form, 4 wins and one draw. They also drew with Altyn Asyr (league leaders) at home (1-1).

Bet: Number of Goals - 2 or 3 @1.91

Turkmenistan
Kopetdag vs Altyn Asyr

Altyn Asyr are joint leaders with Ahal. They've beaten Kopetdag home and away continuously for the past few years, until last month when they drew. It's not that Kopetdag are all of a sudden a top team, I think it was an accident, as their other results do not tell the story of a great team.

I'm taking Altyn Asyr for the revenge here, especially that Ahal are leading away in the other match.

Bet 1: Altyn (-1) @1.94
Bet 2: HT/FT Altyn/Altyn @2.40

lazy acca until horse racing returns Monday -

4 x afternoon German games
Over 2.5 goals
8/1

A couple of early ones for tomorrow morning at Shatin:

Race 1 - Multimax @ 18/1 (WSB)
Dropping down from Class 4 to Class 5, last win was at course over 1200m but with same jock up. Worth ago in what looks like a very weak race.

Race 3 - Winning Dreamer @ 7/2
First run tomorrow but had a more than decent barrier trial, beating by a short head California Concord who came out and won midweek well.

Race 11 - Armando @ 11/1
An old South African favourite of mine, first run in Hong Kong but a decent last Barrier Trial. Gets Karis Teetan up as well. Worth ago at those odds.

Enjoy the racing and looking forward to Greyville Poly on Monday. (Never thought I would say that ever)

Nice call on WD kt.

Going for an interest r9 Ka Ying star 6/1 ew, down in class and yard in good form.

Will follow on the ex SA runner interest in last.

Great call South on Ka Ying Star. Great odds as well.

Cheers KT! And nice run Armando in last, Hollywood paid 13/10 for 4 places and had it in 4/1 place double with mine. One to follow next time out, bit unlucky.

Thanks South. Yeah I always rated it in SA. Thought it could be the next big sprinter, was very sad when was sold to HK.

Was first time around the bend in a race so hopefully lots more to come.

Definitely one for the book in HK.