Super Rugby Aotearoa week 4, Australia Week 1

Big strike on Reds -3.5 and will take Reds -8.5 @17/10.

Double of Reds X Brumbies @ evens.

Not much reasoning required here.

Love the Highlanders +10.5 at 17/20.

In Dunedin against the Crusaders the Landers have stayed within that cap in the last 5 games and last time they didn't was in 2013. IMO this year's Crusaders team is weaker than previous years.

Will also get on Reds -3.5 and higher caps for Reds. Reckon they put the Waratahs away.

Breaking News that Carlos Spencer has been released from Canes duties due to Covid-19 does not pass the sniff test.
Thinking all is not well in the Holland Canes Camp and they are ripe for the picking in Hamilton.

Taking a shark sized bite with Chiefs -5.5 @ $1.87 @ tab nz

Thought new AB Captain Sam Cane was quiet in ChCh, but good for a 7 with a bad back. Expect a big game from him in front of his home crowd and other forwards that have become starters due to Chiefs injuries. Gatland v Holland and mooloo faithful adds to
confidence in this probable outcome. Cheers 3P

Have joined on the Reds -4 @ 1.91
Out to -7 with most European books

Was hoping Josh Ioane would be fit for the Landers, but not the case.
Hunt will stay at 10 and their back 3 will remain uninspiring.
May still get involved in the plus if the caps blows out a bit more.

Staying away from Chiefs v Canes for now, hoping Jordie Barret lines up for the Canes.....

Teams have been announced. Callen Grace is a big loss to Crusaders. He was by far their leading tackler.

The Landers have caught many punters by surprise, including myself, in the opening rounds of Super Rugby Aotearoa. They have improved more than any other Kiwi team during the lock down. Rarely do we see the Landers embarrassed at home in the battle for South Island supremacy. In fact, the Saders three wins at Forsyth Barr in the Razor Robertson era have come by margins of just three, six and two points. Tie that in with the Crusaders’ poor record against the spread in away Kiwi derbies and we have another close encounter ahead on Saturday.

Given the big brother little brother rivalry, the no love lost between former team m8s Razor & Major, the roar of "the Zoo" in Dunedin the probable outcome for me is Saders 1-12 Paying a juicy $3.10. . Game can also be viewed as a trial for many for North v South game in August.

Seems far superior than the Landers +10.5 @ $1.87 recommended elsewhere.

So far have only used this bet to supercharge my Multis/ ACCA's. There is a real risk of Sevu Reece coming off the bench and scoring in the last twenty, tipping the game into Saders 13+ Cheers 3P

Reds to make the grand finals at 13/10.

Fill your boots.

TOP REGULAR SEASON TRYSCORER SUPER RUGBY AU 2020

Betting on Rebels Wing Koroibete @ a juicy $9.50 tab nz.

Paid a nice dividend as top Wallaby try scorer RWC 2019.

Favourite is Brumbies Hooker Fainga'a @ $7

IMHO this new Aussie 50/22 rule will create more opportunities for line drives and hooker tries, but goal line drop outs will create more time inside the 22 and opportunities for Dangermen like Marika Koroibete. Cheers 3P

Reds vs Waratahs
Small play on highest scoring half : first half @2
This had been the trend on the SR NZ so could expect same type of game

Waratahs under 2.5 tries at 11/10

Under 3.5 FH tries in reds v tahs at 0.85 at gbets.

Expecting poles to be traded and don't think these teams will come out with the intensity of the AB teams.

Penalty to be scored before 14min

Tahs + 10.5 @ 15/20

1st try Tupou 22/1
1st try Hooper 25/1

1/2 for this morning's Reds game - thanks JOC!

2 more bets from us:

Over 51.5 points in brumbies v rebels (hollywood)
- afternoon game, good weather

Canes +5.5 at 0.92 v chiefs (supabets)
- jordie barrett back and weather not looking great. Also think this game should be a choice!

All the best out there!

son_of_a_punt wrote: 1/2 for this morning's Reds game - thanks JOC!

2 more bets from us:

Over 51.5 points in brumbies v rebels (hollywood)
- afternoon game, good weather

Canes +5.5 at 0.92 v chiefs (supabets)
- jordie barrett back and weather not looking great. Also think this game should be a choice!

Hello Barcelona, I made a rare tweet last weekend warning about the weather and slippery ground conditions in Christchurch and recommended the unbelievable -51.5 unders opportunity. Sorry u appear to have missed it.

You need to reconsider your Overs bet in Canberra. It is in fact a freezing cold night game with temp forecast to be 2%.

The line has moved into Chiefs -4.5 on the Jordie Barrett and Anton Leonard - Brown news. I am a Jordie fan and he can make a difference. However he has not played a Super Rugby game since way back in March. He will be there for his boot. Coming into a game cold, where your opponents have had three weeks of super games is a big ask for anyone coming in off a shoulder injury. Last night he was doing some PR on his brothers $NZ 1.5 mill one season deal in Tokyo, Japan. I am sure he will be thinking of his own future millions of yens when Sam Cane or Boshier come through the channel and not risking it all on a high ball with a weak shoulder lol

It definitely looks like Waikato rain in the Tron, which will favour the homeside and masterboot of Cruds, plus last weeks rain day experience. Unlike last week in ChCh, Tron Stadium was built in approx 2002 with proper drainage. Check the footage of the Chiefs v Blues game. McKenzie's dancing feet will be even better than last week.

Last, but far from least Jason John Holland (Dutchie as his Irish friends call him) has been tested and found wanting. Nine years as a player in Munster and four more as an assistant Munster Coach - in 2012 he left when they gave the job to Rob Penney! That guy should have been fired already from the Tahs, but RA did not want to admit their stupidity in hiring him in the first place. Jason is 4 Wins 4 Losses for his entire Head Coaching career, has just had one of great AB's and talented Backs/ Attack Coaches leave him. and is up against the Gatling Gun with a rugby archway named after him at the Stadium in Wales!

Good luck with your bet, but I am doubling down on early bet with more Chiefs -4.5 Cheers 3P

I m gonna keep going with the first half being the highest scoring half on both game @ 2.10 on the Landers one and 2 on the Brumbies one
Adding to that my main bet of the weekend
Rebels to score a penalty before 25” @ 2.10

Nice strike on Brumbies over 13.5 1st half points at 15/20.

They tend to start fast in Canberra. Weatherwise it's a cold day and there's some cloud cover at night so there shouldn't be dew. Conditions should be very good for running rugby and Gus is an overs ref.

bradie82 wrote: I m gonna keep going with the first half being the highest scoring half on both game @ 2.10 on the Landers one and 2 on the Brumbies one
Adding to that my main bet of the weekend
Rebels to score a penalty before 25” @ 2.10

I'm going to double the first half points @ 26/10 and just don't think the Saders look that good so
Landers +11.5 @ evens

Highlanders over 9.5 1st half pts @ 15/20 sunbet

Brumbies Half Time -4.5 @ $1,87

Reason: Alaalatoa, Fainga'a and Slipper, an All-Wallabies front row, v the other guys.

Bookies agree FF only paying $8 for first try scorer

Interesting bet on offer at the NZ TAB Crusader win by 1-25 points, paying $1.50 ...not a bad bet 50% return as I'm convinced they will win but I very much doubt it will be by 26+

Crusaders under 33.5 points at 0.86/1

Highlanders +5.5 HT

Landers +12 @ evens

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hanrick wrote: Crusaders under 33.5 points at 0.86/1

That last Jordan try was brutal. Too make it worse I took under 59.5 total points at halftime.

Brumbies, Rebels. Over 3 penalties 13/10

You can change the rules all you want to improve the product but - Man - this is just piss poor execution in every department. A poor ad for the code.

Especially after the Crusaders game this morning. That game was fantastic.

Canes +5.5 @ 1.80

Teams off the bye have performed well - and Jordie back is massive for me

Weather Forecast for Hamilton game in three hours. No where near the amount of rain first predicted.

Today 16° Hamilton
Mostly cloudy, the odd spit or shower from afternoon then evening rain. Nor'East winds.
Rain (chance) 70%
Rain (amount) 0.3mm
Wind NE 25 km/h
UV Index 1 (Low) Cheers 3P

Hurricanes over 23.5 points @1.83

Have diversified lol

Chiefs First Half Result
Chiefs v Hurricanes, @ 1.73 tab nz Cheers 3P

Chiefs over 13.5 1st half points @ 9/10

Chiefs down by 0-7, minute 12

In game bet Chiefs to win @2.15 Cheers 3P

Rugby was going well this weekend up until that disaster 1st half from Chiefs.

Not getting up this early for nothing -

Chiefs +15 @ 10/11 at break. Fire.

How to get out of this mess?

In for a penny in for a pound.

Going Chiefs +15.5 @ $1.75 Cheers 3P

southpaw wrote: Rugby was going well this weekend up until that disaster 1st half from Chiefs.

Not getting up this early for nothing -

Chiefs +15 @ 10/11 at break. Fire.

Penalty Damien McKenzie!

Best of luck Southpaw we are both in the same sinking Waka. Paddle! Cheers 3P