Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

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1 week 4 days ago #1 by Brent Graham
Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5 was created by Brent Graham
It almosr feels as though we should have seperate threads for the NZL and Aus tournaments as they seem to be playing a totally different sport

Onto this week and here are my projected handicaps

Force +12.5 v Rebela
Brumbies -7.5 v Reds

Chiefs +7.5 v Crusaders
Highlanders +4.5 v Blues

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1 week 4 days ago #2 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
No early value for me this week, GGG out earlier and all within a point

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1 week 3 days ago #3 by BDub
Big strike on Chiefs plus 8.5. Alaimalo is probably gone for a while but expect chiefs to be massively up for their last game for the season in Hamilton.

Chiefs only lost 1 game by more than this cap.

Hopefully a bit of rain around to keep things even closer.
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1 week 2 days ago #4 by landrews77
Replied by landrews77 on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Agree Bdub , I also think the Chiefs and Highlanders are value this weekend.
Strike on Chiefs plus 8,5 and Highlanders plus 5,5. This Blues team live on a knife edge, too much penalties.

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1 week 2 days ago #5 by Experienced Novice
Replied by Experienced Novice on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
No use backing the Chiefs +, unless you are of the opinion that they might win this, and current form do not suggest.

The Crusaders have not lost back to back matches against NZ opposition since March 2018. Team with the worst home record vs the best away record in current competition.

I do however agree it will be very tight, but risk/reward trade off, I will be on Crusaders by 1 - 12.

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1 week 2 days ago #6 by KingTetley69
Replied by KingTetley69 on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
After a very bad weekend... should of stuck with my original gut predictions!

This week I would say Rebels to beat Western Force, either 1-10 Margin or 11-20.

Brumbies 1-12 Margin against the Reds.

Crusaders 1-12 Margin against the Chiefs.

Safe bet for Highlanders vs Blues, slap a bet on Either team by 6 points or less.

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1 week 2 days ago #7 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Betting Brumbies (-6.5) Points Start (a) Brumbies v Reds@ 1.73

Home field advanate in cold July weather in Canberra got to be worth a try!?
Queenslanders hate this kind of weather.
Brumbies are the far better coached TEAM.
Bet suppported by R4C, RVision, StatsChat algorithms.
Very hard to beat the bookies on margin at the moment, so have dropped below line of -7.5 to safety of a converted try -6.5
Cheers 3P

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1 week 1 day ago #8 by Bookie Basher
Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

threepeat wrote: Betting Brumbies (-6.5) Points Start (a) Brumbies v Reds@ 1.73

Home field advanate in cold July weather in Canberra got to be worth a try!?
Queenslanders hate this kind of weather.
Brumbies are the far better coached TEAM.
Bet suppported by R4C, RVision, StatsChat algorithms.
Very hard to beat the bookies on margin at the moment, so have dropped below line of -7.5 to safety of a converted try -6.5
Cheers 3P


Quite fancy that line myself but you lost me at 'Queenslanders hate this kind of weather'
How many of these players are genuinely from Queensland? :)

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1 week 1 day ago #9 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

Bookie Basher wrote:

threepeat wrote: Betting Brumbies (-6.5) Points Start (a) Brumbies v Reds@ 1.73

Home field advanate in cold July weather in Canberra got to be worth a try!?
Queenslanders hate this kind of weather.
Brumbies are the far better coached TEAM.
Bet suppported by R4C, RVision, StatsChat algorithms.
Very hard to beat the bookies on margin at the moment, so have dropped below line of -7.5 to safety of a converted try -6.5
Cheers 3P


Quite fancy that line myself but you lost me at 'Queenslanders hate this kind of weather'
How many of these players are genuinely from Queensland? :)


Basher, this is very much a Queensland Reds team made up of largely Queensland born Aussies (over 50% in Round 3 starting team) and naturalized Queenslanders (30%) who have grown up in the Queensland Junior Rugby System for more than five years. Add in three Pacific Islanders who do not like Canberra weather in July lol. Brad Thorn has bought a lot of the players with him from Queensland Country and makes no effort to recruit outsiders. You may not know that JOC is a Queensland native! Cheers 3P
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1 week 1 day ago #10 by Bookie Basher
Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Fair enough! Come on the Brumbies :)

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1 week 21 hours ago #11 by Brad Breath
Replied by Brad Breath on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Have boarded the Chiefs plus train, +9.5 @ 1.89

Cruden starts, and Ta'avao is back, named on the bench.
Moody & Whetu Douglas out for the Saders.

Chiefs win wouldnt surprise here.

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1 week 20 hours ago #12 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Join us tonight at 21h00 for The Handicap "Rugby Chat that Matters" where we will be talking Super Rugby of course

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1 week 17 hours ago #13 by mackem
Couch Critic's preview and plays in Australia this weekend

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...und-5-best-bets.html

twitter: @goodforthegame

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1 week 17 hours ago #14 by son_of_a_punt
Replied by son_of_a_punt on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Western Force vs Rebels

We having a strike on over 44.5 points in the match @1.75.

Conditions look great for tomorrow's game. If the Force keep it close then both teams will probably trade sticks and keep the scoreboard ticking over. If the Force don't keep it close, then the Rebels will probably be going after a bonus point try if they have a good lead. So either way we see it - we think there are going to be points.

Let's hope for an exciting game of rugby in the Australian competition for a change!

Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money
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1 week 14 hours ago #15 by Dizzle
Over 44.5 available @ 1.91 on Betfair Sportsbook if people are able to get on

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1 week 13 hours ago #16 by mackem
Chiefs v Crusaders preview and plays from Couch

goodforthegame.co.za/BetOlimp-Blog/couch...betting-preview.html

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1 week 9 hours ago #17 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Seen the 44.5, also very interested in this and the 9/10. But waiting for best Rebels line, worried about Force contribution to points tally.

Twitter @southpawZA

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1 week 8 hours ago #18 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
If you missed the show and prefer to listen rather than see our mugs then here is the PODCAST

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1 week 8 hours ago #19 by Northerner
Replied by Northerner on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

southpaw wrote: Seen the 44.5, also very interested in this and the 9/10. But waiting for best Rebels line, worried about Force contribution to points tally.


I’ve gone for over 26.5 rebels at 4/5 with both Sporting bet and Spreadex

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1 week 7 hours ago #20 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Force v Rebels Betting Preview

Full credit to SOAP and TOS - over 45,5 at 8/10

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1 week 2 hours ago #21 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Last Chance to get on the Koroibete Express
Betting Koroibete Top Try Scorer Super Rugby AU Regular Season @ $12

The SRAU Try Competition Ladder:
3 Filipo Dauguna (Reds) 6.50
3 Folau Fainga'a (Bru) 7.00
2 Tom Wright (Bru) 7.50
2 Byron Ralston (Force) 10.0

Tonight Koroibete scores at least one try versus the Force, moving his SRAU try tally to 2. Putting him in easy striking range of top of the ladder. Beats more defenders than any other player on top of try ladder. Just give him the ball Rebels. Top try scorer for Wallabies RWC 2019. Cheers 3P

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6 days 22 hours ago #22 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

Northerner wrote:

southpaw wrote: Seen the 44.5, also very interested in this and the 9/10. But waiting for best Rebels line, worried about Force contribution to points tally.


I’ve gone for over 26.5 rebels at 4/5 with both Sporting bet and Spreadex


Thanks northerner.gave up waiting, took over 44.5 @ 5/6 last night, so am on the total overs bandwagon.

A fast start to game would be nice.

Twitter @southpawZA

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6 days 21 hours ago #23 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
I m on the over train as well and expect a fast start

Over 44.5 @ 1.75
Over 27.5 Rebels @ 1.87
Over 21.5 HT @ 1.91

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6 days 20 hours ago #24 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

southpaw wrote:

Northerner wrote:

southpaw wrote: Seen the 44.5, also very interested in this and the 9/10. But waiting for best Rebels line, worried about Force contribution to points tally.


I’ve gone for over 26.5 rebels at 4/5 with both Sporting bet and Spreadex


Thanks northerner.gave up waiting, took over 44.5 @ 5/6 last night, so am on the total overs bandwagon.

A fast start to game would be nice.


added 1st try Uelese 12/1

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6 days 17 hours ago #25 by KingTetley69
Replied by KingTetley69 on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Very lucky on that over 44.5

Can’t believe they don’t get to kick the conversion on a try in super time... need them to win by more than 5... what a joke haha

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6 days 17 hours ago #26 by Bookie Basher
Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

KingTetley69 wrote: Very lucky on that over 44.5

Can’t believe they don’t get to kick the conversion on a try in super time... need them to win by more than 5... what a joke haha


My over 44.5 was resulted as a loss given I think the rules state 80 minutes only

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6 days 17 hours ago #27 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

Bookie Basher wrote:

KingTetley69 wrote: Very lucky on that over 44.5

Can’t believe they don’t get to kick the conversion on a try in super time... need them to win by more than 5... what a joke haha


My over 44.5 was resulted as a loss given I think the rules state 80 minutes only


This differs from bookie to bookie. Some bookies state that overtime is included and others not

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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6 days 17 hours ago #28 by Bookie Basher
Replied by Bookie Basher on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

hanrick wrote:

Bookie Basher wrote:

KingTetley69 wrote: Very lucky on that over 44.5

Can’t believe they don’t get to kick the conversion on a try in super time... need them to win by more than 5... what a joke haha


My over 44.5 was resulted as a loss given I think the rules state 80 minutes only


This differs from bookie to bookie. Some bookies state that overtime is included and others not

I clearly chose an unfortunate bookie lol

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6 days 16 hours ago #29 by KingTetley69
Replied by KingTetley69 on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Looks like we both got screwed on the over time then!

My accumulator is still running though:

Rebels (1-10)
Brumbies (1-12)
Crusaders (1-12)
Highlanders vs Blues (Either team by 6 points or less)

Fingers crossed!

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6 days 16 hours ago #30 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Sunbet pay on Inclusive super time for points markets, if anyone interested.

Tomorrow I’m fully aligned with Hanrick and Brent on Brumbies, they are looking ominous on form and just carry too much for Reds in my view.

Brumbies -5.5 @ 17/20

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6 days 15 hours ago #31 by mackem

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5 days 21 hours ago #32 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Chiefs over 10.5 1st half points @ 21/20

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5 days 21 hours ago #33 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Chiefs vs Crusaders, small bet both teams to score the same amount of tries at 13/2

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 days 20 hours ago #34 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Half Time Saders over 31.5 tab nz

Already got 17! Cheers 3P

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5 days 19 hours ago #35 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Fired Brumbies over 27.5pts @ 8/10, will be my biggest bet of weekend.

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5 days 19 hours ago #36 by hanrick
Replied by hanrick on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Don't like moaning about refs, but Chiefs absolutely robbed by Ben O'Keeffe

Reds under 20.5 points at 0.86/1

Let the battle begin www.twitter.com/hanrickswart

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5 days 17 hours ago #37 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Followed you on Reds unders Hanrick - started watching with 30 min to go and 20 points on the board

Makes up for the handicap knock

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5 days 17 hours ago #38 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Took a knock there, Brumbies were so unbelievably crap after the break, should have put it out for line out just before half time. Also the follow on the newsletter Brumbies minus compounding a dreadful result.

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5 days 16 hours ago #39 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Yip been a poor weekend for me - overall losses on all 3 games

Think I will sleep in tomorrow morning

Looking forward to an evening of cycling

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5 days 10 hours ago #40 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Highlanders vs Blues
Highlanders over 10.5 HT @ 1.88

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5 days 9 hours ago #41 by Zambusta
Replied by Zambusta on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

bradie82 wrote: Highlanders vs Blues
Highlanders over 10.5 HT @ 1.88


I had the same thought but on the second half points of over 10,5.

Highlanders have always been comeback kings...I'll never forget them scoring 21 points in the last 5 minutes to come from way behind and win against the Cheetahs years ago.

I reckon the Blues will go ahead and the Highlanders will chase second half.

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5 days 8 hours ago #42 by bradie82
Replied by bradie82 on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

Zambusta wrote:

bradie82 wrote: Highlanders vs Blues
Highlanders over 10.5 HT @ 1.88


I had the same thought but on the second half points of over 10,5.

Highlanders have always been comeback kings...I'll never forget them scoring 21 points in the last 5 minutes to come from way behind and win against the Cheetahs years ago.

I reckon the Blues will go ahead and the Highlanders will chase second half.


Landers tend to score more in the first half at home but agree with you that the 10.5 second half seems interesting too especially cause its 12.5/13.5 elsewhere

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5 days 6 hours ago #43 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

bradie82 wrote: Highlanders vs Blues
Highlanders over 10.5 HT @ 1.88


I have been looking at the points lines and like your choice.
Best I could get was Over 11.5 HT @1.83.
Fraser is big on yellow cards which helps overs. Anymore intel on Fraser's Unders/ Overs Record?
Ash Dixon interview indicates that they intend to close down Blues space.
This could translate to Dixon first Landers try scorer. Cheers 3P

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5 days 3 minutes ago #44 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Way to go Brad! Plus bonus, thank you Ash Dixon

Time to make more $ in the second half!

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4 days 23 hours ago #45 by son_of_a_punt
Replied by son_of_a_punt on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Good punting in the first half everyone! Looking to take some U68.5 points in play

Twitter: son_of_a_punt | Time to win some beer money
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4 days 23 hours ago #46 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
In Play Blues -13.5 Current score 16-29 Cheers 3P

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4 days 23 hours ago #47 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

threepeat wrote: In Play Blues -13.5 Current score 16-29 Cheers 3P


Adding/ Covering with Over (53.5)
Total Points
Highlanders v Blues

For Insurance!

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4 days 23 hours ago #48 by threepeat
Replied by threepeat on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5

son_of_a_punt wrote: Good punting in the first half everyone! Looking to take some U68.5 points in play


Well done SOAP, yet another game of two halves! Cheers 3P
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4 days 22 hours ago #49 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
Another cracking NZL derby, breathtaking stuff

Thanks everyone for the forum contributions and well done to those who came out ahead this weekend - I certainly wasn't one of them LOL

New thread with projected caps up soon

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4 days 22 hours ago #50 by Roger Neil
Replied by Roger Neil on topic Super Rugby Aotearoa Week 8, Australia Week 5
I took my bet for Crusaders vs Chiefs total points 48,5/50.5 over 50.5 at 1/1but when I place my bet at wsb it shows (home) and my bet lost. Is it a technical problem or is wsb hoop wurm bollie

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