Tour de France 2020 - here at last

More
1 week 5 days ago #101 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
120km to go
Martinez @ 9/2

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 4 days ago #102 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Great in running pick Vann and what a great finish

Here is the stage 14 Preview, Bora going to make their move on Green


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann, kcmarinopirlo

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 4 days ago #103 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Thanks for preview Brent,

Taken 1 match bet today, Boasen Hagen / Impey @ 31/20 (Sunbet)
If it comes down to a straight sprint, I think EBH has the speed to beat him and he has shown he can get over the bumps.

Also taken some of Sonny Colbreli @ 100/1 Also can get over the bumps and not the worst sprinter, could pop up.

Enjoy the racing

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 4 days ago #104 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stuyven 25/1 and Kung 50/1 my each way plays for Saturday with stake covered on Sagan win, nice profile today, enjoy

twitter: @goodforthegame
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 4 days ago #105 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Nice pick yesterday kcm. The podium place meant you were in the money.
The match bet double came in yesterday so we were marginally in the black and then the in-play call made it a good day. Today could again go either way so a few darts up front with 1/3 of days funds kept for in-play
Stage 14
Kragh Andersen @ 25/1
de Gendt @ 33/1
Naesen @ 33/1
Bettiol @ 40/1
Doubt whether Coquard will be there if Bora hammer the whole stage but his lead out dude can
1-3
Barthe @ 54/1
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747, kcmarinopirlo

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 4 days ago #106 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Very exciting finish yesterday with Kamna; Martinez just too strong in the end.


Couple of speculative plays today; De Marchi @100 + Vuillermoz @400

Twitter @kamikazekamal

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 4 days ago #107 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Kicking myself - forgot to message Coil to ask him to lay Bennett for Green and missed 1st 3 hours of stage

Stage 14 Bets
0.25u Bettiol at 40/1
0.25u EBH at 33/1
1u Mezgec/Stuyven at 12/10 WSB
2u winning margin 1 sec or less at 9/10 Sunbet

adding 2u in play Sagan/Van Aert at 9/10 Sunbet

Betting summary after Stage 14
Leaking a bit with small plays and will look for a match bet strike or a lay this weekend
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: -5.4u
Lay: +10u

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 3 days ago #108 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Expect a GC battle today but main focus on match bets


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 3 days ago #109 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
There is PROPER climbing today and this stage winner will be a real mountain goat. Given that half the stage is pan-flat one struggles to see a decent climber get away unless Jumbo really take the first 100km's off.

Nairo to win @ 33/1

Twitter: @HDiemont
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 3 days ago #110 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Really looking forward to todays racing, I have gone with the following:

G Martin @ 125/1 E/W
Yes he had that bad day but hoping it was just that, one bad day. If I remember correctly hadn't he had a fall earlierr that stage or the previous day, maybe he was a bit sore. Prior to that he was all over the front.
I have also taken him to finish ahead of Carapaz @ 22/10. I think Carapaz could be made to work for Bernal and if so won't necessary be at the busines end.
Romain Sicard @ 400/1 E/W
Last big mountian top finish he was up near the front and ahead of some contenders, so obviously feeling can climb. Also think his team may be looking for something as they have done nothing, and also taken him for the Polka Dot jersey.

I know optimistic but maybe again its the painkillers I am on.

Lets hope for a good day's racing

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 3 days ago #111 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Jolly decent of Sunweb to pick the right winner for me yesterday. Leaning slightly towards a GC finish today and find myself in agreement with Brent's pick
Stage 15
1-3
Lopez @ 5/1
and a match bet double
Pinot/Gaudu into
Yates/Mas
@ 37/10

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 3 days ago #112 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Taking a little stab on the KOM based mostly on Sunweb's success to date.
KOM
Hirschi @ 8/1
With stake cover for 1-3 at 2/1
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 3 days ago #113 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
90km to go -

Quintana 18/1
Uran 66/1

Twitter @southpawZA
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 3 days ago #114 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
1u Mas/Yates at 8/10 with 22km to go

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 2 days ago #115 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
A good day yesterday with all 3 match bets arriving

I caught up with @GrootLem and we preview week 3 of the Tour


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 day ago #116 by Couch Critic
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Here we go into the business end of the race lads!

Agree with Brent's chat. Roglic will be a touch concerned that Pogi has proven to be that one pesky fly who doesn't wat to go away. Plan A is to just ride all possible contenders into eventual submission along the way. Plan B is to build up a bit of a buffer from bonus sprints. This tactic has worked beautifully for Jumbo apart from one sole thorn in their side. As BG said Roglic might now actually be a touch worried that his countryman could sneak a few more seconds out of him and he doesn't want to head into that TT with anything less than a 30s buffer. Thus I reckon Team JV will be very happy to see a big break go clear.

So into the stage we go and just one little moan from my side as its disappointing to see the low odds offered by the bookies who are clearly not going to be taking any chances in this third week.

Benoot - I got him at 70/1 but have seen he has seriously shortened so probably wouln't take at current 30's.

Lutsenko - Probably the last stage which will catch his eye. In form rider. (28/1 - if you like Astana but want a big price back Gorka Izagirre @ 300/1)

Madouas - FDJ have had a mare and this stage suits Valentin best of the team imo (66/1)

Vuilermoz - Love his as a rider so dont want to see him win without my money. AG2R really need a pick me up (80/1)

Dylan van Baarle - Brent rightly expects a big stage from Ineos so why not go for the lad with the big price of 250/1!

Twitter: @HDiemont
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 day ago #117 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
I like your Van Baarle and Benoot plays Couch

Thought I had posted this last night - stage 16 preview - I think the break may only go after the sprint


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 day ago #118 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Betting summary after Stage 15
Sunday was good and really enjoyed Kuss over Tom D at 22/10

Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: -2.1u
Lay: +10u

Stage 16 Bets

0.5u Kwiakowski 16/1 WSB
0.25u Sivakov 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Barguil 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Vuillermoz 80/1 WSB

1u Hirt/Reichenbach 13/10 Sunbet

adding
0.25u De Marchi at 125/1

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: coil, The Vann

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 day ago #119 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Right. News just in. No Covid positives so we still have Le Tour. Hoping for a break today but Bora could scupper that if they chase all the way to the sprint point. Less then 100km from top of Cat 2 to end.
Stage 16
Win
Kwiatkowski @ 14/1
Tommy d G @ 50/1
Hirt @ 100/1
Podium 1-3
LL Sanchez @ 125/1
With Brent on the match bet which I will double
Hirt/Reichenbach into
Gaudu/Vuillermoz
@ 36/10
The following user(s) said Thank You: coil

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 day ago #120 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
By the bye Brent. Enjoyed the show - just a few points. The final 4km on tomorrow's stage is at around 11%. The 20% refers to the steepest ramp. For those considering KOM picks. If the points are allocated the same as last year then both of tomorrows HC climbs will be worth 40 points which means the KOM can still be won by someone taking the first climb from a break. I hear what Grootlem says about Sunweb and Hirschi. I don't believe a word of it. MS preached the same crap about Yates being here for stages only yet there he is only 2min behind on GC going into the final week. He is spot on when it comes to falls though. You just never know how much it will affect the rider and the team's are never going to tell you. I have to say - the books are annoyingly better these days. I could not spot any value in the long terms on the rest day.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Brent Graham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 day ago #121 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
0.25u Bettiol just in case - looked for him this morning but couldn't find him quoted - thought he might of abandoned

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 day ago #122 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
5 units Bettiol/Trentin at 7/20 Sunbet around 55km to go

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 day ago #123 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Idiotic bet from me - both dropped but Trentin will keep riding for points - sometimes I need my head read

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 23 hours ago #124 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
I am lucky to have got away with that Bettiol bet

Stage 17 Preview


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 21 hours ago #125 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Lutsenko my bet today @66/1 win 16/1 Podium

Match bet double Hirshi > Peters and Kuss > Dumoulin @17/10

Twitter @kamikazekamal

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 13 hours ago #126 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Reckon its about a 50/50 break to peloton day so taking three upfront and looking for something in play
Stage 17
Hirschi @ 17/1
Hirt @ 79/1
Peters @ 89/1
Hear what you say about Quintana Brent. Agree this has happened in the past but not too convinced about it today so instead of a solid bet on it will be chucking a few beers at the double
Quintana/Martin G into
Porte/Landa
@ 34/10

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 8 hours ago - 1 week 8 hours ago #127 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
No bets standing so probably being a little silly here
Uran/Mas @ 11/10 Kinda Brent 5 unit strike
20km to go
Last edit: 1 week 8 hours ago by The Vann.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 6 hours ago #128 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last

The Vann wrote: No bets standing so probably being a little silly here
Uran/Mas @ 11/10 Kinda Brent 5 unit strike
20km to go

Yep - Stupid must hurt:sick:

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
1 week 1 hour ago #129 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
What a stage and what a win for Lopez

Stage 18 Preview - this could be chaos but more than likely Jumbo control the break for a GC sprint


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
6 days 13 hours ago #130 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Heading into the red again with yesterday's brain fart. Agree with Sivakov and taking two from CCC. Sunweb have just not been able to get the youngster into the break on the last two stages. Maybe Hirschi'young legs have gone?
Stage 18
Sivakov @ 26/1
Hirt @ 85/1
de Marchi @ 319/1
Three singles and the treble on the following match bets
Sivikov/Reichenbach
Peters/Rolland
Soler/Madouas
Treble @ 23/2

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
6 days 5 hours ago #131 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
My Porte outright was in big trouble there. Saved by some incredible sportsmanship by Roglic and his fellow Slovenian. Absolute thumbs-down to the two Spanish dicks Landa and Mas for trying to take advantage of a mechanical due to a very poor route selection for stage 18 of a Grand Tour.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
6 days 3 hours ago - 6 days 2 hours ago #132 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Early outright heads-up. The KOM can only be won by three riders
Carapaz 74
Pogacar 72
Roglic 67
Points left on the Tour
Stage 19 One point
Stage 20 A Cat 1 climb with 10/8/6/4/2/1 points
Stage 21 A largely ceremonial Cat 4 with one point.
The Cat 1 points on Stage 20 are allocated in the ITT and are based on the time over the last 6km of a 36km ITT course. Now Pogacar and Roglic are committed to the fastest time they can produce over the 36km ITT whereas Carapaz can coast over the first 30km and spend 100% effort on the last 6km. There are also several riders who could go up that last climb pretty darn quick for eg Alaphilippe, Porte, Valverde etc.
I'm taking the old hail mary on
KOM
Carapaz @ 11/20 At Sunbet
Last edit: 6 days 2 hours ago by The Vann.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Brent Graham, kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
6 days 1 hour ago #133 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
I like your logic Vann

Betting summary after Stage 18
Van Aert my cloest today with 3rd but I layed Carapaz with about 60km to go - what a sweat that was trying to see who won the stage - Martinez beats Carthy and I edge back ahead of the books - how I am not sure because my stage picks have been awful.

Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: +0.4u
Lay: +13u

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
6 days 46 minutes ago #134 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 19 Preview


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 15 hours ago #135 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 19 Bets
0.25u Trentin win at 28/1 Sunbet
0.25u Bettiol win at 66/1 Sunbet
0.25u Soren Kragh Anderson win 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Edvald Boassen Hagen win 66/1 Sunbet
5u Bennett/Ewan at 1/2 at Sunbet
1u Viviani/Bol at 13/10 at Sunbet
0.5u Vivianni/Bol, Bennett/Ewan, Mezgec/Colbrelli at 4/1 Sunbet

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 14 hours ago #136 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Thanks Brent. Great Preview.

I have gone with following:

Viviani @ 66/1

Then taken the following small Acc
Viviani/Bob
Merwic/Colbrelli
Coquard/Bonifacio
Venturini/Hostetter
Works out at 13/1

That's all if the break doesn't stick

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 13 hours ago #137 by mackem
Replied by mackem on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 19 Jasper Stuyven each way at 33/1 for me. He was right there in the stage that Bohra ripped up earlier but couldn't go with the Sunweb guy at the death. Similar profile today of sorts so thinking he can be a factor.

twitter: @goodforthegame

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 11 hours ago #138 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 19
Mezgec @ 14/1
Naesen @ 50/1
C Pedersen 80/1
Podium 1-3
Kristoff @ 10/1
Joining the gang on Viviani and doubling with Coq
Viviani/Bol into
Coquard/Bonifazio
@ 32/10

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 10 hours ago #139 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Sadly the last stage in this years tour where we can throw a few beers at the impossible
Schachmann @ 80/1
van Baarle @ 133/1
Walscheid @ 200/1
Barthe @ 319/1

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 9 hours ago #140 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last

Brent Graham wrote: Stage 19 Bets
0.25u Trentin win at 28/1 Sunbet
0.25u Bettiol win at 66/1 Sunbet
0.25u Soren Kragh Anderson win 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Edvald Boassen Hagen win 66/1 Sunbet
5u Bennett/Ewan at 1/2 at Sunbet
1u Viviani/Bol at 13/10 at Sunbet
0.5u Vivianni/Bol, Bennett/Ewan, Mezgec/Colbrelli at 4/1 Sunbet


Added 1.5u Sagan to win interndiate (against SB, MT and BQ) - worried Trentin might beat him but reckon Bennett may not be there

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 2 hours ago #141 by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Can't wait for tomorrow and got some early punts down:

Van Aert/Dumilon
Bilboa/Martinez
Yates/Landa
Porte/Uran

Works out at bout 4.2

Then a few beer money picks
Bilbao @ 66/1
Jungles @ 400/1
Sivakov @ 600/1

Main bet though match ups

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 2 hours ago #142 by kcmarinopirlo
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Some big prices around.

I like Asgreen at 150 or 40 for podium

Cavagna 100
Kragh Anderson 66
Schachmann 50


All stellar time trialists

Twitter @kamikazekamal
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
5 days 57 minutes ago #143 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Betting summary after Stage 19
Great stage thanks mainly to SKA but also hit all the match bets and just a pity about the in-running play – layed Bennett at 38/10 for the stage early on

Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: +16.45u
Lay: +15u

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
4 days 16 hours ago #144 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 20 preview below - I generally favour match plays and will add more bets later but for now a solid 29/10 treble and win bet


Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
4 days 15 hours ago #145 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 20 Bets

2u Roglic win at 15/10 WSB*
2u Kwiatkowski/Alaphilippe x Martinez/Bilbao x Asgreen/Cavagna at 29/10 at WSB
1u SKA/TDG at 16/10 WSB
1u Kwiatkowski/Alaphilippe x Martinez/Bilbao x Asgreen/Cavagna x Soler/Kamna x Lopez/Mas at 11/1 Sunbet

*Money Back for 2nd place

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
4 days 14 hours ago #146 by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Excellent going yesterday Brent! Been waiting for your big stage win to land but sadly I’d lost time all this week to watch or punt TDF so didn’t follow.

Looked for a punt on Wout in final stage tomorrow, not sure what sort of price to expect?

Twitter @southpawZA

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
4 days 13 hours ago #147 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Good one on SKA Brent. Don't have all my plays for today but there is one bit of logic that has to affect a match bet - I have no doubt the late Nicolas Portal would have called it.
Carapaz lies 7 points ahead of Roglic on KOM. Roglic is expected to be fastest today and may collect the first prize of 10 KOM points. Kwaitowski goes off several riders before Carapaz so they don't know how Carapaz will go when Kwaito hits the climb. You definately do not want to slot a team mate in between Roglic and Carapaz as it could cost Carapaz the KOM jersey. I'm INEOS DS today I tell Kwiatkowski to take the climb slowly.
Alaphilippe/Kwaitkowski @ 2/1
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
4 days 12 hours ago #148 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 20
Win
van Aert @ 29/10
Podium 1-3
Porte @ 13/4
de Gendt @ 8/1
Match bet treble
de Gendt/SKA
Mas/Lopez
Valverde/Caruso
@ 17/2

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
4 days 8 hours ago #149 by Brent Graham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Cavagna so strong and blows my accas away

Taken 2.5u

Kwia/Martinez (hope the Vann message doesnt get through) onto Martinez/Bilbao 11/10

Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

More
4 days 7 hours ago - 4 days 7 hours ago #150 by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last

Brent Graham wrote: Cavagna so strong and blows my accas away

Taken 2.5u

Kwia/Martinez (hope the Vann message doesnt get through) onto Martinez/Bilbao 11/10


Presume thats Kwia/Alaphilippe ? Should be fine Alaph just coasting around for some strange reason at great cost to The Vann
Last edit: 4 days 7 hours ago by The Vann.

Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.

Powered by Kunena Forum