Tour de France 2020 - here at last
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #101
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
120km to go
Martinez @ 9/2
Martinez @ 9/2
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #102
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Great in running pick Vann and what a great finish
Here is the stage 14 Preview, Bora going to make their move on Green
Here is the stage 14 Preview, Bora going to make their move on Green
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann, kcmarinopirlo
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kt6747
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 1158
- Thank you received: 684
3 years 7 months ago #103
by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Thanks for preview Brent,
Taken 1 match bet today, Boasen Hagen / Impey @ 31/20 (Sunbet)
If it comes down to a straight sprint, I think EBH has the speed to beat him and he has shown he can get over the bumps.
Also taken some of Sonny Colbreli @ 100/1 Also can get over the bumps and not the worst sprinter, could pop up.
Enjoy the racing
Taken 1 match bet today, Boasen Hagen / Impey @ 31/20 (Sunbet)
If it comes down to a straight sprint, I think EBH has the speed to beat him and he has shown he can get over the bumps.
Also taken some of Sonny Colbreli @ 100/1 Also can get over the bumps and not the worst sprinter, could pop up.
Enjoy the racing
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 6585
- Thank you received: 939
3 years 7 months ago #104
by mackem
twitter: @goodforthegame
Replied by mackem on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stuyven 25/1 and Kung 50/1 my each way plays for Saturday with stake covered on Sagan win, nice profile today, enjoy
twitter: @goodforthegame
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #105
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Nice pick yesterday kcm. The podium place meant you were in the money.
The match bet double came in yesterday so we were marginally in the black and then the in-play call made it a good day. Today could again go either way so a few darts up front with 1/3 of days funds kept for in-play
Stage 14
Kragh Andersen @ 25/1
de Gendt @ 33/1
Naesen @ 33/1
Bettiol @ 40/1
Doubt whether Coquard will be there if Bora hammer the whole stage but his lead out dude can
1-3
Barthe @ 54/1
The match bet double came in yesterday so we were marginally in the black and then the in-play call made it a good day. Today could again go either way so a few darts up front with 1/3 of days funds kept for in-play
Stage 14
Kragh Andersen @ 25/1
de Gendt @ 33/1
Naesen @ 33/1
Bettiol @ 40/1
Doubt whether Coquard will be there if Bora hammer the whole stage but his lead out dude can
1-3
Barthe @ 54/1
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747, kcmarinopirlo
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kcmarinopirlo
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 362
- Thank you received: 131
3 years 7 months ago #106
by kcmarinopirlo
Twitter @kamalch53215288
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Very exciting finish yesterday with Kamna; Martinez just too strong in the end.
Couple of speculative plays today; De Marchi @100 + Vuillermoz @400
Couple of speculative plays today; De Marchi @100 + Vuillermoz @400
Twitter @kamalch53215288
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #107
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Kicking myself - forgot to message Coil to ask him to lay Bennett for Green and missed 1st 3 hours of stage
Stage 14 Bets
0.25u Bettiol at 40/1
0.25u EBH at 33/1
1u Mezgec/Stuyven at 12/10 WSB
2u winning margin 1 sec or less at 9/10 Sunbet
adding 2u in play Sagan/Van Aert at 9/10 Sunbet
Betting summary after Stage 14
Leaking a bit with small plays and will look for a match bet strike or a lay this weekend
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: -5.4u
Lay: +10u
Stage 14 Bets
0.25u Bettiol at 40/1
0.25u EBH at 33/1
1u Mezgec/Stuyven at 12/10 WSB
2u winning margin 1 sec or less at 9/10 Sunbet
adding 2u in play Sagan/Van Aert at 9/10 Sunbet
Betting summary after Stage 14
Leaking a bit with small plays and will look for a match bet strike or a lay this weekend
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: -5.4u
Lay: +10u
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #108
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Expect a GC battle today but main focus on match bets
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Couch Critic
-
- Offline
3 years 7 months ago #109
by Couch Critic
Twitter: @HDiemont
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
There is PROPER climbing today and this stage winner will be a real mountain goat. Given that half the stage is pan-flat one struggles to see a decent climber get away unless Jumbo really take the first 100km's off.
Nairo to win @ 33/1
Nairo to win @ 33/1
Twitter: @HDiemont
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kt6747
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 1158
- Thank you received: 684
3 years 7 months ago #110
by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Really looking forward to todays racing, I have gone with the following:
G Martin @ 125/1 E/W
Yes he had that bad day but hoping it was just that, one bad day. If I remember correctly hadn't he had a fall earlierr that stage or the previous day, maybe he was a bit sore. Prior to that he was all over the front.
I have also taken him to finish ahead of Carapaz @ 22/10. I think Carapaz could be made to work for Bernal and if so won't necessary be at the busines end.
Romain Sicard @ 400/1 E/W
Last big mountian top finish he was up near the front and ahead of some contenders, so obviously feeling can climb. Also think his team may be looking for something as they have done nothing, and also taken him for the Polka Dot jersey.
I know optimistic but maybe again its the painkillers I am on.
Lets hope for a good day's racing
G Martin @ 125/1 E/W
Yes he had that bad day but hoping it was just that, one bad day. If I remember correctly hadn't he had a fall earlierr that stage or the previous day, maybe he was a bit sore. Prior to that he was all over the front.
I have also taken him to finish ahead of Carapaz @ 22/10. I think Carapaz could be made to work for Bernal and if so won't necessary be at the busines end.
Romain Sicard @ 400/1 E/W
Last big mountian top finish he was up near the front and ahead of some contenders, so obviously feeling can climb. Also think his team may be looking for something as they have done nothing, and also taken him for the Polka Dot jersey.
I know optimistic but maybe again its the painkillers I am on.
Lets hope for a good day's racing
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #111
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Jolly decent of Sunweb to pick the right winner for me yesterday. Leaning slightly towards a GC finish today and find myself in agreement with Brent's pick
Stage 15
1-3
Lopez @ 5/1
and a match bet double
Pinot/Gaudu into
Yates/Mas
@ 37/10
Stage 15
1-3
Lopez @ 5/1
and a match bet double
Pinot/Gaudu into
Yates/Mas
@ 37/10
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #112
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Taking a little stab on the KOM based mostly on Sunweb's success to date.
KOM
Hirschi @ 8/1
With stake cover for 1-3 at 2/1
KOM
Hirschi @ 8/1
With stake cover for 1-3 at 2/1
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
3 years 7 months ago #113
by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
90km to go -
Quintana 18/1
Uran 66/1
Quintana 18/1
Uran 66/1
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #114
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
1u Mas/Yates at 8/10 with 22km to go
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #115
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
A good day yesterday with all 3 match bets arriving
I caught up with @GrootLem and we preview week 3 of the Tour
I caught up with @GrootLem and we preview week 3 of the Tour
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Couch Critic
-
- Offline
3 years 7 months ago #116
by Couch Critic
Twitter: @HDiemont
Replied by Couch Critic on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Here we go into the business end of the race lads!
Agree with Brent's chat. Roglic will be a touch concerned that Pogi has proven to be that one pesky fly who doesn't wat to go away. Plan A is to just ride all possible contenders into eventual submission along the way. Plan B is to build up a bit of a buffer from bonus sprints. This tactic has worked beautifully for Jumbo apart from one sole thorn in their side. As BG said Roglic might now actually be a touch worried that his countryman could sneak a few more seconds out of him and he doesn't want to head into that TT with anything less than a 30s buffer. Thus I reckon Team JV will be very happy to see a big break go clear.
So into the stage we go and just one little moan from my side as its disappointing to see the low odds offered by the bookies who are clearly not going to be taking any chances in this third week.
Benoot - I got him at 70/1 but have seen he has seriously shortened so probably wouln't take at current 30's.
Lutsenko - Probably the last stage which will catch his eye. In form rider. (28/1 - if you like Astana but want a big price back Gorka Izagirre @ 300/1)
Madouas - FDJ have had a mare and this stage suits Valentin best of the team imo (66/1)
Vuilermoz - Love his as a rider so dont want to see him win without my money. AG2R really need a pick me up (80/1)
Dylan van Baarle - Brent rightly expects a big stage from Ineos so why not go for the lad with the big price of 250/1!
Agree with Brent's chat. Roglic will be a touch concerned that Pogi has proven to be that one pesky fly who doesn't wat to go away. Plan A is to just ride all possible contenders into eventual submission along the way. Plan B is to build up a bit of a buffer from bonus sprints. This tactic has worked beautifully for Jumbo apart from one sole thorn in their side. As BG said Roglic might now actually be a touch worried that his countryman could sneak a few more seconds out of him and he doesn't want to head into that TT with anything less than a 30s buffer. Thus I reckon Team JV will be very happy to see a big break go clear.
So into the stage we go and just one little moan from my side as its disappointing to see the low odds offered by the bookies who are clearly not going to be taking any chances in this third week.
Benoot - I got him at 70/1 but have seen he has seriously shortened so probably wouln't take at current 30's.
Lutsenko - Probably the last stage which will catch his eye. In form rider. (28/1 - if you like Astana but want a big price back Gorka Izagirre @ 300/1)
Madouas - FDJ have had a mare and this stage suits Valentin best of the team imo (66/1)
Vuilermoz - Love his as a rider so dont want to see him win without my money. AG2R really need a pick me up (80/1)
Dylan van Baarle - Brent rightly expects a big stage from Ineos so why not go for the lad with the big price of 250/1!
Twitter: @HDiemont
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #117
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
I like your Van Baarle and Benoot plays Couch
Thought I had posted this last night - stage 16 preview - I think the break may only go after the sprint
Thought I had posted this last night - stage 16 preview - I think the break may only go after the sprint
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #118
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Betting summary after Stage 15
Sunday was good and really enjoyed Kuss over Tom D at 22/10
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: -2.1u
Lay: +10u
Stage 16 Bets
0.5u Kwiakowski 16/1 WSB
0.25u Sivakov 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Barguil 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Vuillermoz 80/1 WSB
1u Hirt/Reichenbach 13/10 Sunbet
adding
0.25u De Marchi at 125/1
Sunday was good and really enjoyed Kuss over Tom D at 22/10
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: -2.1u
Lay: +10u
Stage 16 Bets
0.5u Kwiakowski 16/1 WSB
0.25u Sivakov 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Barguil 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Vuillermoz 80/1 WSB
1u Hirt/Reichenbach 13/10 Sunbet
adding
0.25u De Marchi at 125/1
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: coil, The Vann
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #119
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Right. News just in. No Covid positives so we still have Le Tour. Hoping for a break today but Bora could scupper that if they chase all the way to the sprint point. Less then 100km from top of Cat 2 to end.
Stage 16
Win
Kwiatkowski @ 14/1
Tommy d G @ 50/1
Hirt @ 100/1
Podium 1-3
LL Sanchez @ 125/1
With Brent on the match bet which I will double
Hirt/Reichenbach into
Gaudu/Vuillermoz
@ 36/10
Stage 16
Win
Kwiatkowski @ 14/1
Tommy d G @ 50/1
Hirt @ 100/1
Podium 1-3
LL Sanchez @ 125/1
With Brent on the match bet which I will double
Hirt/Reichenbach into
Gaudu/Vuillermoz
@ 36/10
The following user(s) said Thank You: coil
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #120
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
By the bye Brent. Enjoyed the show - just a few points. The final 4km on tomorrow's stage is at around 11%. The 20% refers to the steepest ramp. For those considering KOM picks. If the points are allocated the same as last year then both of tomorrows HC climbs will be worth 40 points which means the KOM can still be won by someone taking the first climb from a break. I hear what Grootlem says about Sunweb and Hirschi. I don't believe a word of it. MS preached the same crap about Yates being here for stages only yet there he is only 2min behind on GC going into the final week. He is spot on when it comes to falls though. You just never know how much it will affect the rider and the team's are never going to tell you. I have to say - the books are annoyingly better these days. I could not spot any value in the long terms on the rest day.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Brent Graham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #121
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
0.25u Bettiol just in case - looked for him this morning but couldn't find him quoted - thought he might of abandoned
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #122
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
5 units Bettiol/Trentin at 7/20 Sunbet around 55km to go
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #123
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Idiotic bet from me - both dropped but Trentin will keep riding for points - sometimes I need my head read
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #124
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
I am lucky to have got away with that Bettiol bet
Stage 17 Preview
Stage 17 Preview
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: The Vann
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kcmarinopirlo
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 362
- Thank you received: 131
3 years 7 months ago #125
by kcmarinopirlo
Twitter @kamalch53215288
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Lutsenko my bet today @66/1 win 16/1 Podium
Match bet double Hirshi > Peters and Kuss > Dumoulin @17/10
Match bet double Hirshi > Peters and Kuss > Dumoulin @17/10
Twitter @kamalch53215288
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #126
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Reckon its about a 50/50 break to peloton day so taking three upfront and looking for something in play
Stage 17
Hirschi @ 17/1
Hirt @ 79/1
Peters @ 89/1
Hear what you say about Quintana Brent. Agree this has happened in the past but not too convinced about it today so instead of a solid bet on it will be chucking a few beers at the double
Quintana/Martin G into
Porte/Landa
@ 34/10
Stage 17
Hirschi @ 17/1
Hirt @ 79/1
Peters @ 89/1
Hear what you say about Quintana Brent. Agree this has happened in the past but not too convinced about it today so instead of a solid bet on it will be chucking a few beers at the double
Quintana/Martin G into
Porte/Landa
@ 34/10
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago - 3 years 7 months ago #127
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
No bets standing so probably being a little silly here
Uran/Mas @ 11/10 Kinda Brent 5 unit strike
20km to go
Uran/Mas @ 11/10 Kinda Brent 5 unit strike
20km to go
Last edit: 3 years 7 months ago by The Vann.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #128
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Yep - Stupid must hurt:sick:The Vann wrote: No bets standing so probably being a little silly here
Uran/Mas @ 11/10 Kinda Brent 5 unit strike
20km to go
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #129
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
What a stage and what a win for Lopez
Stage 18 Preview - this could be chaos but more than likely Jumbo control the break for a GC sprint
Stage 18 Preview - this could be chaos but more than likely Jumbo control the break for a GC sprint
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #130
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Heading into the red again with yesterday's brain fart. Agree with Sivakov and taking two from CCC. Sunweb have just not been able to get the youngster into the break on the last two stages. Maybe Hirschi'young legs have gone?
Stage 18
Sivakov @ 26/1
Hirt @ 85/1
de Marchi @ 319/1
Three singles and the treble on the following match bets
Sivikov/Reichenbach
Peters/Rolland
Soler/Madouas
Treble @ 23/2
Stage 18
Sivakov @ 26/1
Hirt @ 85/1
de Marchi @ 319/1
Three singles and the treble on the following match bets
Sivikov/Reichenbach
Peters/Rolland
Soler/Madouas
Treble @ 23/2
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #131
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
My Porte outright was in big trouble there. Saved by some incredible sportsmanship by Roglic and his fellow Slovenian. Absolute thumbs-down to the two Spanish dicks Landa and Mas for trying to take advantage of a mechanical due to a very poor route selection for stage 18 of a Grand Tour.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago - 3 years 7 months ago #132
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Early outright heads-up. The KOM can only be won by three riders
Carapaz 74
Pogacar 72
Roglic 67
Points left on the Tour
Stage 19 One point
Stage 20 A Cat 1 climb with 10/8/6/4/2/1 points
Stage 21 A largely ceremonial Cat 4 with one point.
The Cat 1 points on Stage 20 are allocated in the ITT and are based on the time over the last 6km of a 36km ITT course. Now Pogacar and Roglic are committed to the fastest time they can produce over the 36km ITT whereas Carapaz can coast over the first 30km and spend 100% effort on the last 6km. There are also several riders who could go up that last climb pretty darn quick for eg Alaphilippe, Porte, Valverde etc.
I'm taking the old hail mary on
KOM
Carapaz @ 11/20 At Sunbet
Carapaz 74
Pogacar 72
Roglic 67
Points left on the Tour
Stage 19 One point
Stage 20 A Cat 1 climb with 10/8/6/4/2/1 points
Stage 21 A largely ceremonial Cat 4 with one point.
The Cat 1 points on Stage 20 are allocated in the ITT and are based on the time over the last 6km of a 36km ITT course. Now Pogacar and Roglic are committed to the fastest time they can produce over the 36km ITT whereas Carapaz can coast over the first 30km and spend 100% effort on the last 6km. There are also several riders who could go up that last climb pretty darn quick for eg Alaphilippe, Porte, Valverde etc.
I'm taking the old hail mary on
KOM
Carapaz @ 11/20 At Sunbet
Last edit: 3 years 7 months ago by The Vann.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Brent Graham, kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #133
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
I like your logic Vann
Betting summary after Stage 18
Van Aert my cloest today with 3rd but I layed Carapaz with about 60km to go - what a sweat that was trying to see who won the stage - Martinez beats Carthy and I edge back ahead of the books - how I am not sure because my stage picks have been awful.
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: +0.4u
Lay: +13u
Betting summary after Stage 18
Van Aert my cloest today with 3rd but I layed Carapaz with about 60km to go - what a sweat that was trying to see who won the stage - Martinez beats Carthy and I edge back ahead of the books - how I am not sure because my stage picks have been awful.
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: +0.4u
Lay: +13u
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #134
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 19 Preview
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #135
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 19 Bets
0.25u Trentin win at 28/1 Sunbet
0.25u Bettiol win at 66/1 Sunbet
0.25u Soren Kragh Anderson win 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Edvald Boassen Hagen win 66/1 Sunbet
5u Bennett/Ewan at 1/2 at Sunbet
1u Viviani/Bol at 13/10 at Sunbet
0.5u Vivianni/Bol, Bennett/Ewan, Mezgec/Colbrelli at 4/1 Sunbet
0.25u Trentin win at 28/1 Sunbet
0.25u Bettiol win at 66/1 Sunbet
0.25u Soren Kragh Anderson win 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Edvald Boassen Hagen win 66/1 Sunbet
5u Bennett/Ewan at 1/2 at Sunbet
1u Viviani/Bol at 13/10 at Sunbet
0.5u Vivianni/Bol, Bennett/Ewan, Mezgec/Colbrelli at 4/1 Sunbet
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kt6747
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 1158
- Thank you received: 684
3 years 7 months ago #136
by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Thanks Brent. Great Preview.
I have gone with following:
Viviani @ 66/1
Then taken the following small Acc
Viviani/Bob
Merwic/Colbrelli
Coquard/Bonifacio
Venturini/Hostetter
Works out at 13/1
That's all if the break doesn't stick
I have gone with following:
Viviani @ 66/1
Then taken the following small Acc
Viviani/Bob
Merwic/Colbrelli
Coquard/Bonifacio
Venturini/Hostetter
Works out at 13/1
That's all if the break doesn't stick
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- mackem
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 6585
- Thank you received: 939
3 years 7 months ago #137
by mackem
twitter: @goodforthegame
Replied by mackem on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 19 Jasper Stuyven each way at 33/1 for me. He was right there in the stage that Bohra ripped up earlier but couldn't go with the Sunweb guy at the death. Similar profile today of sorts so thinking he can be a factor.
twitter: @goodforthegame
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #138
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 19
Mezgec @ 14/1
Naesen @ 50/1
C Pedersen 80/1
Podium 1-3
Kristoff @ 10/1
Joining the gang on Viviani and doubling with Coq
Viviani/Bol into
Coquard/Bonifazio
@ 32/10
Mezgec @ 14/1
Naesen @ 50/1
C Pedersen 80/1
Podium 1-3
Kristoff @ 10/1
Joining the gang on Viviani and doubling with Coq
Viviani/Bol into
Coquard/Bonifazio
@ 32/10
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #139
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Sadly the last stage in this years tour where we can throw a few beers at the impossible
Schachmann @ 80/1
van Baarle @ 133/1
Walscheid @ 200/1
Barthe @ 319/1
Schachmann @ 80/1
van Baarle @ 133/1
Walscheid @ 200/1
Barthe @ 319/1
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #140
by Brent Graham
Added 1.5u Sagan to win interndiate (against SB, MT and BQ) - worried Trentin might beat him but reckon Bennett may not be there
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Brent Graham wrote: Stage 19 Bets
0.25u Trentin win at 28/1 Sunbet
0.25u Bettiol win at 66/1 Sunbet
0.25u Soren Kragh Anderson win 50/1 Sunbet
0.25u Edvald Boassen Hagen win 66/1 Sunbet
5u Bennett/Ewan at 1/2 at Sunbet
1u Viviani/Bol at 13/10 at Sunbet
0.5u Vivianni/Bol, Bennett/Ewan, Mezgec/Colbrelli at 4/1 Sunbet
Added 1.5u Sagan to win interndiate (against SB, MT and BQ) - worried Trentin might beat him but reckon Bennett may not be there
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kt6747
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 1158
- Thank you received: 684
3 years 7 months ago #141
by kt6747
Replied by kt6747 on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Can't wait for tomorrow and got some early punts down:
Van Aert/Dumilon
Bilboa/Martinez
Yates/Landa
Porte/Uran
Works out at bout 4.2
Then a few beer money picks
Bilbao @ 66/1
Jungles @ 400/1
Sivakov @ 600/1
Main bet though match ups
Van Aert/Dumilon
Bilboa/Martinez
Yates/Landa
Porte/Uran
Works out at bout 4.2
Then a few beer money picks
Bilbao @ 66/1
Jungles @ 400/1
Sivakov @ 600/1
Main bet though match ups
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- kcmarinopirlo
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 362
- Thank you received: 131
3 years 7 months ago #142
by kcmarinopirlo
Twitter @kamalch53215288
Replied by kcmarinopirlo on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Some big prices around.
I like Asgreen at 150 or 40 for podium
Cavagna 100
Kragh Anderson 66
Schachmann 50
All stellar time trialists
I like Asgreen at 150 or 40 for podium
Cavagna 100
Kragh Anderson 66
Schachmann 50
All stellar time trialists
Twitter @kamalch53215288
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #143
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Betting summary after Stage 19
Great stage thanks mainly to SKA but also hit all the match bets and just a pity about the in-running play – layed Bennett at 38/10 for the stage early on
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: +16.45u
Lay: +15u
Great stage thanks mainly to SKA but also hit all the match bets and just a pity about the in-running play – layed Bennett at 38/10 for the stage early on
Long Term Invested: 10.25u
Stage Nett: +16.45u
Lay: +15u
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #144
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 20 preview below - I generally favour match plays and will add more bets later but for now a solid 29/10 treble and win bet
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #145
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 20 Bets
2u Roglic win at 15/10 WSB*
2u Kwiatkowski/Alaphilippe x Martinez/Bilbao x Asgreen/Cavagna at 29/10 at WSB
1u SKA/TDG at 16/10 WSB
1u Kwiatkowski/Alaphilippe x Martinez/Bilbao x Asgreen/Cavagna x Soler/Kamna x Lopez/Mas at 11/1 Sunbet
*Money Back for 2nd place
2u Roglic win at 15/10 WSB*
2u Kwiatkowski/Alaphilippe x Martinez/Bilbao x Asgreen/Cavagna at 29/10 at WSB
1u SKA/TDG at 16/10 WSB
1u Kwiatkowski/Alaphilippe x Martinez/Bilbao x Asgreen/Cavagna x Soler/Kamna x Lopez/Mas at 11/1 Sunbet
*Money Back for 2nd place
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- southpaw
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 3596
- Thank you received: 1410
3 years 7 months ago #146
by southpaw
Replied by southpaw on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Excellent going yesterday Brent! Been waiting for your big stage win to land but sadly I’d lost time all this week to watch or punt TDF so didn’t follow.
Looked for a punt on Wout in final stage tomorrow, not sure what sort of price to expect?
Looked for a punt on Wout in final stage tomorrow, not sure what sort of price to expect?
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #147
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Good one on SKA Brent. Don't have all my plays for today but there is one bit of logic that has to affect a match bet - I have no doubt the late Nicolas Portal would have called it.
Carapaz lies 7 points ahead of Roglic on KOM. Roglic is expected to be fastest today and may collect the first prize of 10 KOM points. Kwaitowski goes off several riders before Carapaz so they don't know how Carapaz will go when Kwaito hits the climb. You definately do not want to slot a team mate in between Roglic and Carapaz as it could cost Carapaz the KOM jersey. I'm INEOS DS today I tell Kwiatkowski to take the climb slowly.
Alaphilippe/Kwaitkowski @ 2/1
Carapaz lies 7 points ahead of Roglic on KOM. Roglic is expected to be fastest today and may collect the first prize of 10 KOM points. Kwaitowski goes off several riders before Carapaz so they don't know how Carapaz will go when Kwaito hits the climb. You definately do not want to slot a team mate in between Roglic and Carapaz as it could cost Carapaz the KOM jersey. I'm INEOS DS today I tell Kwiatkowski to take the climb slowly.
Alaphilippe/Kwaitkowski @ 2/1
The following user(s) said Thank You: kt6747
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago #148
by The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Stage 20
Win
van Aert @ 29/10
Podium 1-3
Porte @ 13/4
de Gendt @ 8/1
Match bet treble
de Gendt/SKA
Mas/Lopez
Valverde/Caruso
@ 17/2
Win
van Aert @ 29/10
Podium 1-3
Porte @ 13/4
de Gendt @ 8/1
Match bet treble
de Gendt/SKA
Mas/Lopez
Valverde/Caruso
@ 17/2
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- Brent Graham
-
Topic Author
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4827
- Thank you received: 1056
3 years 7 months ago #149
by Brent Graham
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Replied by Brent Graham on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Cavagna so strong and blows my accas away
Taken 2.5u
Kwia/Martinez (hope the Vann message doesnt get through) onto Martinez/Bilbao 11/10
Taken 2.5u
Kwia/Martinez (hope the Vann message doesnt get through) onto Martinez/Bilbao 11/10
Chat with me on Twitter - @BrentGraham
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
- The Vann
-
- Offline
Less
More
- Posts: 4455
- Thank you received: 1181
3 years 7 months ago - 3 years 7 months ago #150
by The Vann
Presume thats Kwia/Alaphilippe ? Should be fine Alaph just coasting around for some strange reason at great cost to The Vann
Replied by The Vann on topic Tour de France 2020 - here at last
Brent Graham wrote: Cavagna so strong and blows my accas away
Taken 2.5u
Kwia/Martinez (hope the Vann message doesnt get through) onto Martinez/Bilbao 11/10
Presume thats Kwia/Alaphilippe ? Should be fine Alaph just coasting around for some strange reason at great cost to The Vann
Last edit: 3 years 7 months ago by The Vann.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
