clMitre 10 Cup Week 1, SR AU Playoff, Pro 14, Premiership 8-13 SEP + other rugby

2 early bet on the Champions Cup

Exeter -12.5
Racing +6

Will provide explanation next week

CM vs Tasman

Over 51.5 @ 1.83 on Spreadex

Rebels over 7.5 1st half pts @ 17/20

Against the tide somewhat, Rebels plus 9.5 at 15/20 Sunbet and unders total 45.5 at 8/10.

Leinster - Ulster

Under 42.5 points at 15/20

Stiffer than a honeymoon kok there with the Rebels plus , great defence though Reds.

Toulouse match over 52.5 points 17/20, def on the unders leinster game under 41.5,the handicap looks well set .

Good weekend so far, trying another -

La Rochelle +16.5 @ 8/10

Side looks decent and I think can keep this close enough.

Taking Bath +8.5 vs Sale. Both playing strong sides.

son_of_a_punt wrote: Taking Bath +8.5 vs Sale. Both playing strong sides.

Logged on to post the same bet. Was expecting +4

southpaw wrote: Good weekend so far, trying another -

La Rochelle +16.5 @ 8/10

Side looks decent and I think can keep this close enough.

Nice South , held on strongly !!!

Small bet Bayonne plus 5.5 at 9/10.
Later on I'm under 40.5 at 9/10 the Leinster match , disappointed I missed 42.5.

Northland @1.60

Manawatu lost a lot of players : Otere Black, Nick Crosswell for exemple, two leaders left the team, the same case for Hamish Northcott. If I compare the two teams, plus the inclusion of Jack Goodhue (no Laumape for Turbos), Northland is better.

Backing Leinster for a fast start, HT cap -6.5 @ 1.95

Ulster have started their recent games slowly, not scoring in the 1st half at all in 2/3 of these

coil wrote:

southpaw wrote: Good weekend so far, trying another -

La Rochelle +16.5 @ 8/10

Side looks decent and I think can keep this close enough.

Nice South , held on strongly !!!

Yes just sneaked in coil! caps a great day on the rugga.

That Northland +2.5 @1.90 and the win @2.20 was definitely one of the biggest bookie mistake this year so far, and in general plenty of Bookies inaccuracies for that 1st Round

The Thirteen wrote: French Pro D2 & Mitre 10 Cup
Combo Southland +28.5 x Valence Romans +26 @1.71 on Bet365. Stake 3/5
Southland @9

You have my explanations for Southland on the previous posts. If the rain is confirmed (normally the biggest is for next Tuesday, I prefer to wait before adding more bets because I lost too many bets on approximations related to the weather) it will benefit them because they are better at forwards han backs . I take the win because it is much too big for the first round, there are odds that I do not understand, for example Auckland at 1.08, OK there are the All Blacks but they did the first session of training last week and no friendlies.

For Valence Romans, they won well last week, Nevers average against Grenoble, Raisuqe not here for Nevers, it's their best weapons.

Brilliant call on Southland

Gallagher Premiership

London Irish under 27.5 @ 1.90
Under 56.5 @ 1.90 - Sarries vs Chiefs

I bet no-one who took the unders on Southland thought they would end up winning it by only scoring 16 points! Haha

Just looked at the Gallagher Premiership games later. I think Saracens v Exeter will be very competitive and looks a touch too high at 56.5 pts.

Going to go under 56.5 pts @ 1.91

Since the season resumed Saracens have gone under 56.5 pts from 5 of 6 games & Exeter have been under 56.5 pts in 4 of 6 games.

Exeter's 2nd team will still be very competitive and could well win this game. It is also not a Saracens first choice team either as they will have one eye on next weekends European Champions Cup vs Leinster. There is no Maro Itoje, Billy Vunipola, Brad Barritt, Elliot Daly and Farrell has also obviously been banned for filling in Charlie Atkinson and so will not be part of the equation later.

Sorry Bradie - Just refreshed my page and see that you have made the same call regarding Saracens v Exeter! Not trying to steal your picks.

Dizzle wrote: Sorry Bradie - Just refreshed my page and see that you have made the same call regarding Saracens v Exeter! Not trying to steal your picks.

No need to apologise at all!! I m happy to see i m not the only one on that under

Naidoo wrote:

The Thirteen wrote: French Pro D2 & Mitre 10 Cup
Combo Southland +28.5 x Valence Romans +26 @1.71 on Bet365. Stake 3/5
Southland @9

You have my explanations for Southland on the previous posts. If the rain is confirmed (normally the biggest is for next Tuesday, I prefer to wait before adding more bets because I lost too many bets on approximations related to the weather) it will benefit them because they are better at forwards han backs . I take the win because it is much too big for the first round, there are odds that I do not understand, for example Auckland at 1.08, OK there are the All Blacks but they did the first session of training last week and no friendlies.

For Valence Romans, they won well last week, Nevers average against Grenoble, Raisuqe not here for Nevers, it's their best weapons.

Brilliant call on Southland

Thanks dude. Sometimes in sports betting you have to go to the end for these impressions of the beginning of the week.

Top 14
Castres vs Stade Français & Toulon vs Lyon
Bet : Stade Français +14.5 x Lyon +11.5

What a Stade Français team ! If Quesada does a good job, it can go a long way. Kremer Matera Macalou in the backrow, I don't think other teams have the same. Let's be honest: no player from Castres would start in this team. OK, a lot of covid cases, but the excitement of the first game will take over. I see minimum a defensive bonus point.

Hard missings in Toulon. Takulua / Serin in 9/10 combo, not a good fan, Serin never play at 10. Etzebeth / Taofifenua OUT in 2nd row, big glow. No number 9 and number 10 substitute on the bench (WTF if someone is injured ?). For Lyon, there are also a lot of missings but the team is good on paper. The bench is much better than that of Toulon. Toulon always starts its seasons slowly and always loses its first home game, we will see if this is the case this year.

Aviva PremierShip

Leicester Tigers vs Northampton Saints
Bet : Draw @25

The two worst teams in Premiership. So a draw between two really bad teams

Great pick Southland there.

Today all day games in England, weather mostly perfect -

Wasps - Bristol
Over 55.5

Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints
Over 48.5

London Irish - Worcester Warriors
Over 51.5

Sale Sharks - Bath
Over 47.5

Saracens - Exeter Chiefs
Over 53.5

Multi @ 15/1

I'm on unders in the Sarries game, leaning towards Worcester on the outright, small play on Wasps game over 56.5 , have taken the double Saints and Sale at evens.

Stade Francais over 19.5 @ 1.90 on Spreadex

Northampton are terrible.... How can you not score against 13 men! Just cut and reversed my position. Now on Leicester -4 !!!

Dizzle wrote: Northampton are terrible.... How can you not score against 13 men! Just cut and reversed my position. Now on Leicester -4 !!!

They are truly shocking , had so many chances to put that game to bed. Not sure if its the coaching or players ..just awful to watch .

And somehow I manage to lose on both sides of that bet! F*cking annoying...

4 minutes to go and 8 points ahead - not sure why Leicester kicked that last penalty. Kicking it into the corner for a line out kills the clock in the right area of the pitch and gives potential for a try from a line out drive to finish the game etc...

Dizzle wrote: And somehow I manage to lose on both sides of that bet! F*cking annoying...

4 minutes to go and 8 points ahead - not sure why Leicester kicked that last penalty. Kicking it into the corner for a line out kills the clock in the right area of the pitch and gives potential for a try from a line out drive to finish the game etc...

As Brent would say, " stiffer than a honeymoon kok " very stiff mate

southpaw wrote: Great pick Southland there.

Today all day games in England, weather mostly perfect -

Wasps - Bristol
Over 55.5

Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints
Over 48.5

London Irish - Worcester Warriors
Over 51.5

Sale Sharks - Bath
Over 47.5

Saracens - Exeter Chiefs
Over 53.5

Multi @ 15/1

Amazing South , I had a huge bet under 56.5 in the Sarries game ... I'm gutted .

bradie82 wrote: Gallagher Premiership

London Irish under 27.5 @ 1.90
Under 56.5 @ 1.90 - Sarries vs Chiefs

Not a single weekend without a huge bad beat - this needs to stop!!

coil wrote:

southpaw wrote: Great pick Southland there.

Today all day games in England, weather mostly perfect -

Wasps - Bristol
Over 55.5

Leicester Tigers - Northampton Saints
Over 48.5

London Irish - Worcester Warriors
Over 51.5

Sale Sharks - Bath
Over 47.5

Saracens - Exeter Chiefs
Over 53.5

Multi @ 15/1

Amazing South , I had a huge bet under 56.5 in the Sarries game ... I'm gutted .

Shot coil, couldn’t believe it when scored deep in red, my heart couldn’t take the anguish. Would have happy if they’d missed conversion at end for the guys on under 56.5. So stiff.

Happy Monday’s Guys,

Quick question are the ABs eligible to play for week 2 and if so any game minutes limitation?

Thank you