Super Rugby AU Final, Mitre 10 wk 2, Champions Cup quarters + other rugby

Auckland -8.5 best bet of the weekend. Will win by 20+

Brent Graham wrote: Looks like a weekend of quality rugby ahead

Super Rugby AU final

I gather there was some +6.5 Reds early but line currently Brumbies -2.5

Also Mitre 10 Cup week 2 action

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I am more toward Brumbies to win @1.72 now, there are some injury concerns for the Reds and Brumbies will have fans back in stadium even partially for the Grand final. In general, I like playing the opposite team for a rematch and Reds won 2 weeks back, I am sure Brumbies will be a different beast at home for the final.

Do we know if ABs can play on MITRE this week end and the rules around minutes management for them?

Under 58.5 in Gloucester vs Quins

Late kickoff, 2 full strength sides batting for log points

Don't know how to delete my post, so please ignore this

As stated last week, here are my 2 early bets on the Champions Cup

Clermont vs Racing : Racing +6 @ 1.91 on Skybet : despite being an away game for Racing, I can’t see why there are underdogs by 6 points here. I have not been impressed at all by Clermont, losing in Bayonne this weekend and winning by 3 points against 13 men vs Toulouse. On the other hand, Racing get a win away in Lyon (can’ see many teams winning there this year) and they easily won against a disappointing Montpellier side Friday night and I must say I have been impressed by them Friday night despite not putting their best team. Beale will be out as he got a red card but Chavancy, Zebo, Thomas and Palu should be back which mean a full squad available. There is always a “surprise” in the quarter final with an underdog winning away and I reckon this could be the Racing.

Exeter vs Northampton : Exeter -12.5 @ @1.83 on Ne-Bet : This is a no brainer for me – Saints have been one of the worst team since rugby is back – could not score a point yesterday against 13 then 12 Tiger mens and despite 4 yellow cards in the game and not being a decent squad, Tigers managed to win that game quite easily. Then you have Exeter, one of the best European team for the past 2/3 years, that won at Saints few weeks ago with its second squad, that smashed those same Saints by 50 points back in February and that have rested its best players for the game on Saturday. With a dry forecast for the game, I can’t see that Saints team staying within that handicap

For tonight's game:

Gloucester -3.5 @1.76
&
Under 28.5 first half points @1.76

son_of_a_punt wrote: For tonight's game
Under 28.5 first half points @1.76

For those that can get on at Betfair, I've just taken this bet @ 1.95

Gloucester vs Harlequins
Neither team to race 35 points @ 1.91

Taken a Champions Cup acca:
Leinster win
Racing +6
Toulouse win
Exeter win
@ 3.60

No strong feel on Clermont v Racing, but have taken Bradie's input on board - I can see the line is on its way in also.

Important information for the Exeter game

www.bbc.com/sport/amp/rugby-union/541548...tter_impression=true

bradie82 wrote: Important information for the Exeter game

Merci Monsieur Bradie, I got the proverbial pension onto -15.5 before it started to rocket upwards

Methinks it will go higher yet

Hi all -- I'm a new contributor, but have been a big fan of this forum for some time.

I really like Toulouse to win the 1st Half vs Ulster at the weekend.

2/5 currently available on Betfair.

Ulster are notoriously slow starters this season (including in recent Pro14 Semi-Final vs Edinburgh), and I expect Toulouse to come out raring to go after a couple of decent Top 14 performances.

Just to add, you can follow my selections @89_scottie on Twitter or here www.bettingexpert.com/user/profile/scottie_89

Tasman vs Northland

Northland over 1.5 tries @ 1.93 on Novibet
Northland over 14.5 @ 1.90 on Spreadex

Tasman game

He scored the first two for them last week, so why not this week as well! Odds against in a -31 handicapped game will do me

Makalio anytime 11/10
First 9/1
Double 7/2
Hattrick 16/1
Anytime first half 5/2

Bet 1: Tasman -32.5 @1.90
Bet 2: Tasman team total over 47.5 points @1.85

Northerner wrote: Tasman game

He scored the first two for them last week, so why not this week as well! Odds against in a -31 handicapped game will do me

Makalio anytime 11/10
First 9/1
Double 7/2
Hattrick 16/1
Anytime first half 5/2

Hi Northerner, sorry to ask but which bookie offer the Anytime first half please? Cheers

bradie82 wrote:

Northerner wrote: Tasman game

He scored the first two for them last week, so why not this week as well! Odds against in a -31 handicapped game will do me

Makalio anytime 11/10
First 9/1
Double 7/2
Hattrick 16/1
Anytime first half 5/2

Hi Northerner, sorry to ask but which bookie offer the Anytime first half please? Cheers

Hi bradie, Boylesports is the only one I believe. I really like it as a market for hookers - the price is usually 2.5x that of the anytime odds, and hookers tend to only play 55 minutes anyway!

Like Taranaki +14.5 tomorrow. Feel it will be closer than 2 converted tries, their rolling maul was good vs BOP and Barrett brothers should be more settled after last weeks outing.

Canterbury strong on paper but didn't impress me vs Harbour for large parts of 80min.

Based on last night show, taking

Taranaki +19 @ 1.70 on Gentingbet - this is a shield and this odd is very high as I expect a closer game than the bookies see
Brumbies on the board @ 1.70 on Gentingbet - agree with SOAP on that one
Perpignan -14.5 @ 1.93 on Novibet - small punt on that one but I can see Rouen struggling tonight

In proD2 adding a small play on Aurillac on the board @ 1.79 on Novibet

No Coetzee for Ulster - massive IMO

Toulouse -12 @ 1.91

For me the biggest value is Leicester @1.50, Castres rotating their pack and going again with the has been 9-10 pairing between Urda and Kockott. Leicester going full strength that’s the main objective of their season they should outclass them everywhere + strong bench. Leicester x Toulouse @1.80 on max play

French Pro D2

Perpignan vs Rouen
Bet : Perpignan -1.5 (Most Tries Handicap) 1.61 Bet365

First game of the season for Rouen, they had two games canceled because of COVID-19 (Carcassonne and Colomiers), a difficult beginning for them in a stadium like Aimé Giral which will be filled with 5,000 people for this evening.

Statement from the hooker and club captain of Rouen:

Didn't the preparation conditions disturb you too much? ''

“It’s true that they weren't optimal, as we only had one real collective training before setting up yesterday. There are some players who haven't really been able to play rugby in the last few weeks. Physically, we may not be at the top, but we were able to work on the game plan, we know where we are going. We're not going to make excuses. "

Perpignan, which did not take any points in Biarritz, sees a great opportunity to take 5 points. In France, it takes three tries of gaps for the offensive bonus.

CLrugby wrote: For me the biggest value is Leicester @1.50, Castres rotating their pack and going again with the has been 9-10 pairing between Urda and Kockott. Leicester going full strength that’s the main objective of their season they should outclass them everywhere + strong bench. Leicester x Toulouse @1.80 on max play

I follow you on this bet. Looks very solid.

Looks like forum is on fire, I see alot of punts landed. Well done guys!

A few bets for us so far:

Brumbies at 7/10

Edinburgh +9.5 at 9/10

Quins +7.5 at 9/10

Brumbies over 10.5 1st half pts @ 9/10

Waikato vs North Harbour

Waikato over 33.5 points @1.83
Waikato over 4.5 tries @1.75
Harbour over 24.5 points @1.82

Brent Graham wrote: Great play the Naki lads, newsletter bet delivers!

Big double onto the Brumbies outright for me

Shot Brent and nice one the lads on show, I hadn’t seen show when adding my Taranaki post yesterday morning but very happy there was alignment!

Nice start to day, Brumbies fast start would be very welcome.

Wrong calls on the prod2 last night but Aurillac not scoring a point with 15 men vs 12 and Perpignan being catastrophic, could not expect anything else
Time to move on and I will put my frustration on hookers today
Fainga’a @ 2.15
Chat @ 7
Etrillard @ 8
All on Spreadex
Clermont struggled to defende last week Bayonne’s maul anc Chat is strong while Toulon will be targeting mauls as they have such a strong pack (3 penalty tries last Sunday)

System update for tomorrow guys, if you've taken Counties take some cover. Team news and other results sway the Stig line in favour of H.Bay.

Hawkes Bay 5.5 v Counties Manukua
Stig line: 9
Tip: Hawkes Bay minus 5.5 @0.89
Book: Playabets.co.za

Racing now favourites with most books

Placed yesterday, Racing by 1-12 @ 3.75

LCD anytime @ 2.62 on Spreadex

Bet 1: Exeter -10.5 HT @1.93
Bet 2: Exeter over 37.5 points @1.87
Bet 3: Exeter over 17.5 points HT @1.83

Guys, are the ABs eligible on MITRE next week for R3. I thought they were just for the first 2

Leicester `Tigers +10.5 vs Toulon. Weeks rest and Toulon with injuries - should cover comfortably

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: Leicester `Tigers +10.5 vs Toulon. Weeks rest and Toulon with injuries - should cover comfortably

Agree, just Etzebeth should be back and Carbonel fit to start moving back Serin at 9. My initial cap was 6.5 so still a value. Bordeaux is also appealing at 7.5 BUT the week after is Top14 and I am not sure that Urios will go 3 times with his first 15. Good thing is that Bordeaux has almost 2 teams with similar level

Early bet for me is Toulouse +5.5 @ 1.84 on 888
Not impressed by Exeter today and the Toulouse pack + fast paced game played could be an issue for Exeter