La Vuelta 2020 and other cycling
- The Vann
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Once again it is difficult to spot any value in the out rights as all markets seem fairly priced. The only minor prospect for me is FDJ in the team comp at 40/1. The side looks good enough to place but I can't find any 1-3 at my books and won't be taking the 40/1.
Today's stage finishes on a cat 1 but the climb is not steep enough for one rider to jump clear so I expect a small group to sprint for the line. The finish is flat and this fellow finished level with S Yates on a couple of stages at Tirreno and Simon has a bit of a sprint.
Vuelta Stage 1
e/w
Vlasov @ 25/1
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 2
Aranburu @ 20/1
Geschke @ 28/1
Wellens @ 40/1
Mccarthy @ 80/1
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 3
D Martin @ 11/1
Geschke @ 40/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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Also see Team Ineos dropping Kelderman and then Geoghegan Hart not losing enough (if any) time to Hindley that he cant win back on the time trial... so 7/4 to win the Giro is still good for me
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- Brent Graham
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- The Vann
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Trying a Quick Step fast finisher for the expected reduced peloton sprint and maybe the birthday boy gets lucky.
Vuelta Stage 6
Bagioli @ 33/1
Formolo @ 40/1
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- Brent Graham
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Peters 40
Formolo 40
Vlasov 12
0.25u
Eg 200
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- Brent Graham
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- Brent Graham
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0.25u Schultz 66/1 Godon 100/1
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 7
Match bet
Carthy/Carapaz @ 27/10
And break away darts are the following
Formolo @ 20/1
Aranburu @ 28/1
Mate @ 100/1
Eg @ 150/1
I see several guys are on LL Sanchez but the current 11/1 for me is just daylight robbery.
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- The Vann
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Taken another match bet - same logic as above
Peters/Champoussin @ 14/10
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 8
1-3
D Martin @ 9/2 (Sunbet had the best odds)
Match Bet Double
Champoussin/Formolo
G Martin/Woods
@ 15/10
and the stage beers
D Martin @ 18/1
Champoussin @ 28/1
Cattaneo @ 66/1
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- Brent Graham
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0.5u Poels 33/1 De La Cruz 80/1
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- Brent Graham
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3u double Crapaz/Roglic x Martin/Mas at 13/8
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 9
1-3
Kanter @ 11/2
Double
Ackermann/Phillipsen into
Mareczko/Nielsen
@ 21/10
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- Brent Graham
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Todays stage has so many possibilities and while Bennett is a firm fav you can see from the range of riders behind him that anything can happen including a Roglic win
0.5u Aranburu at 11/1 - his team will need to make it really tough up the final climb to deaden the legs of Bennett
0.5u Costa at 33/1 - been getting into breaks and I give the break a chance today - could also win with a late attack
0.25u Zimmermann at 200/1 - stage should suit and cannot do damage at the price
Main bet
1.5u winning margin 1 sec or more at 7/5
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- The Vann
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Can't remember having seen this finish before but if Aranburu is at 11/1 I am happy with my place pick for similar odds as they finished next to each other at Milan - San Remo.
Vuelta Stage 10
1-3
Smith @ 10/1
and the Match Bet Double
Philipsen/Ackermann into
Kort Nielsen/Aranburu
@ 4/1
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 11
Win
Carapaz @ 11/2
1-3
D Martin @ 5/1
Match bet double
Herrada/Goossens
G Martin/Champoussin
@ 31/10
Break away beers
Formolo @ 28/1
Peters @ 40/1
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- Brent Graham
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0.5u on
Nieve 22/1, Soler 22/1
1.5u Rider in red Roglic - No at 14/5
Price seems big (it was 7/2 when I 1st looked) given Carapaz is 6/4 in a match bet and they are level on time - I expect JV to be put under big pressure today although clearly Roglic is very strong and does not need to attack
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- Brent Graham
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I had a nice interest on Soler yesterday but he had worked too hard and was a big underdog when it came to the 2 horse race
Roglic a big fav today and hard to argue but I am going
0.5u Hirt at 66/1 and Nieve at 40/1
Have layed Roglic outright at 5/10 so need him to show some unlikely weakness today
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 12
The three favorites PR/RC and Vlasov are 14/10 - 4/1 - 6/1. Personally think these odds offer much better value
1-3
D Martin @ 5/1
Not sure how G Martin will approach the stage but the 19/10 under dog odds are just too long
Match Bet Double
G Martin/Gaudu
Vlasov/Poels
@ 37/10
and today's beers find a single home
Win
G Martin @ 50/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 13
Poels/Grossschartner @ 14/10
and a treble
Roglic/Cavagna - TJ/Dyball - Vlasov/Valverde @ 39/10
Days beers going to
1-3
Poels @ 18/1
Win
Any form and he cruises this
Froome @ 33/1
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- The Vann
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So very close there kc - but still a winnerkcmarinopirlo wrote: Will Barta looks big for the ITT tomorrow 66/1 and 10/1 to podium
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- Brent Graham
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- Brent Graham
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0.5u
Schultz 100/1
Rojas 100/1
Godon 66/1
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- The Vann
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I think if Movistar put a rider in the break today then the break stays. They are very good at it so just a few darts
Vuelta Stage 14
LL Sanchez @ 22/1
Formolo @ 40/1
e/w
Donovan @ 150/1
Mader @ 300/1
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- The Vann
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Perichon @ 270/1
Goossens @ 440/1
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- The Vann
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- Brent Graham
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2u Fraille 12/1
0.5u Godon 80/1 Schultz 66/1
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- The Vann
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I Izzagirri @ 33/1
Stannard @ 40/1
Godon @ 66/1
Verona @ 125/1
Goossens @ 250/1
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- Brent Graham
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2u Fraille at 14/1 - has done nothing for the last 2 days with my money on - problem is I would rather back him and lose now than not back him and watch him win
0.5u Godon and Schultz at 50/1 and 125/1
1u Valverde at 16/1
I really hope we get some cross win action early, would make for a great stage
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- kcmarinopirlo
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 16
Philipsen @ 28/1
Godon @ 50/1
Simon @ 66/1
Dewulf @ 100/1
Goossens @ 250/1
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- The Vann
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Mader @ 44/1
van Rensburg @ 199/1
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- The Vann
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Vuelta Stage 17
Vlasov @ 6/1
Match bet double
Carthy/Carapaz into Grossschartner/Nieve @ 33/10
and as its our last climb of the cycling year a few beers just in case
Formolo @ 33/1
Peters @ 70/1
Storer @ 150/1
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- The Vann
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This young sprinter has been active in the last week making a break or two and generally looking like he still has some legs. Unlikely to separate the top three in today's sprint stage but , if someone does, it would probably be him and the odds are pretty nifty
Vuelta Final Stage
1-3
Stannard @ 24/1
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- kcmarinopirlo
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They've added
Adam Yates
Daniel Felipe Martinez
Richie Porte
And Tom Pidcock
To Bernal, Carapaz, Thomas, Sivakov + GeogheganHart
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