Super Rugby Unlocked, Mitre 10, Pro 14, Aus v NZL 2-8 Nov

Does anyone know when 6 nations player of championship is named and how decided? Have what seems like an eternity ago betting interest on Ntamac @ 20/1. Although I feel his teammate DuPoint might be the favourite.

First bookies to come out with a cap on Aus NZ for me is sportsbet at +13.5, was hoping for more of an overreaction and jumping on a +18ish but at 13.5 I'm quite hesitant. Aussie's have done better in Brisbane historically, but betting against the ABs is always difficult. As the fellas on the show said, if you're with the ABs you're always in the bet which also means if you're against them that you're never quite home. Could just look at overs plays on points for involvement

France to win the Autumn Nations Cup at 8/1.

2 horse race for me and the permutations of the tournament seem that France will likely play England in the final at Twickenham on 6 December.

With no crowd and France in red hot form, it's great value.

Hi everyone, back after a week off. Sharing the H we have on MITRE here:

Southland - Otago (+9.5)
Auckland - Northland (-25.5)
North Harbour - Counties (-14.5)
Tasman - Canterbury (-12.5)
HB - Wellington (+4.5)
Waikato - BOP (-5.5)
Manawatu - Taranaki (+12.5)

I am going for an early bet on Waikato speculating for BOP to rotate their team as they host NH next week for a must win match. NH -14.5 as well as they will go for BP win and HB +4.5 with less confidence. Rest would I will not touch without lineup (Auckland may rotate a bit for example)

GL everyone

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: France to win the Autumn Nations Cup at 8/1.

2 horse race for me and the permutations of the tournament seem that France will likely play England in the final at Twickenham on 6 December.

With no crowd and France in red hot form, it's great value.

I would be careful on France to win the tournament - yes that team is good but there is an agreement to have players involved in only 3 of the 6 games (being in the 23 squad counts as 1) which mean you will have a totally different team at least 3 games out of 4 and if an inexperienced squad goes to Scotland, not sure they ll win there

Any feels on the pro14 tonight? Looking like the handicap accum is gonna come through.

I don’t see why BOP would rest players for this one, they have a chance to both get out of the relegation zone and place themselves in contention for the semis, should they win.

I think it will be wise to wait for starting lineups and getting an accurate gauge on the weather-the weather played a big role last round, with only one game exceeding 50 plus

Just taken a win acca @ 2.86 for the Pro14.

There's shit weather in Wales and Scotland, Italy is fair weather.

bradie82 wrote:

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: France to win the Autumn Nations Cup at 8/1.

2 horse race for me and the permutations of the tournament seem that France will likely play England in the final at Twickenham on 6 December.

With no crowd and France in red hot form, it's great value.

I would be careful on France to win the tournament - yes that team is good but there is an agreement to have players involved in only 3 of the 6 games (being in the 23 squad counts as 1) which mean you will have a totally different team at least 3 games out of 4 and if an inexperienced squad goes to Scotland, not sure they ll win there

great info, i'd been wondering about the big looking price, now makes sense.

bradie82 wrote:

ThoughtsOnSports wrote: France to win the Autumn Nations Cup at 8/1.

2 horse race for me and the permutations of the tournament seem that France will likely play England in the final at Twickenham on 6 December.

With no crowd and France in red hot form, it's great value.

I would be careful on France to win the tournament - yes that team is good but there is an agreement to have players involved in only 3 of the 6 games (being in the 23 squad counts as 1) which mean you will have a totally different team at least 3 games out of 4 and if an inexperienced squad goes to Scotland, not sure they ll win there

Very useful info! Are there any articles about this. Struggling to find much information on the French leading up to this tourny!

Just found this
The French rugby federation (FFR) and the league (LNR) have reached an agreement over the players’ availabilities for this autumn’s test matches, both the FFR and the LNR said on Thursday.

According to the agreement, 31 players will be made available for the six matches France are scheduled to play, although one player will not be allowed to feature in more than three games.

Team to play Fiji (if the game goes on as there are few Fijian players impacted by Covid) will be announced today and the rumour is that the staff will keep the same squad so it would mean a totally bran new squad would be playing the last 3 games of the Autumn Cup.

I will share more info once I have them

bradie82 wrote: Just found this
The French rugby federation (FFR) and the league (LNR) have reached an agreement over the players’ availabilities for this autumn’s test matches, both the FFR and the LNR said on Thursday.

According to the agreement, 31 players will be made available for the six matches France are scheduled to play, although one player will not be allowed to feature in more than three games.

Team to play Fiji (if the game goes on as there are few Fijian players impacted by Covid) will be announced today and the rumour is that the staff will keep the same squad so it would mean a totally bran new squad would be playing the last 3 games of the Autumn Cup.

I will share more info once I have them

Much appreciated, thank you!

Stormers -10.5 vs Griquas.

Storm been woeful in their last two fixtures but this is against a Griquas side that has lost 9 players.

No chance they will manage the Storm set piece.

Pro 14 tonight:
Weather doesn't look that bad for Cardiff v Ulster 6pm
Game will be played in Newport and Bookies have set a reasonably high cap @46 - 48pts (2 high scoring teams here)
Wait for weather update before pulling trigger on pts
Ulster are humming along but there is no Marcel Coetzee in starting lineup

Zebre got badly beaten at Leinster last time. Still without test team starters, they nonetheless make several changes to last week's side.
Got to assume focus was on this game.
Ospreys beat Glasgow last week and the same 1-8 are turned out. A couple of changes in the backline. Handicap is only Ospreys -5, but I think this is tricky and I won't be getting involved

Leinster are also 5pt favourites on the road. I tend to go overs when teams are playing without test players - eg midfield defences not as up to speed as first XV selections. Pts cap is set at 43-44 pts but rain is forecast so perhaps wait again until later

3 x Pro14 games on a Monday is strange.
Too tricky for me to play on handicap

Best of Luck

Ospreys over 20.5 @ 1.83

2 rubbish teams playing each other but forecast is good and apparently that Welsh fly half is very good so lets see

Laraxwell wrote: Pro 14 tonight:
Weather doesn't look that bad for Cardiff v Ulster 6pm
Game will be played in Newport and Bookies have set a reasonably high cap @46 - 48pts (2 high scoring teams here)
Wait for weather update before pulling trigger on pts
Ulster are humming along but there is no Marcel Coetzee in starting lineup
k

Agree on the over on this game but this is the third game in a row on that Stadium (soccer Saturday then rugby yesterday) so not sure how the pitch will be, especially with the rain this week end : this to me is a blocker despite forecast that seems alright

Fair point Bradie

I've gone for a wee 7/4 treble
Ospreys win
Leinster U 31.5 pts
Cardiff v Ulster U 54.5 pts

Glasgow vs Leinster

The Warriors are getting 4 Scottish internationals back and the weather is bad.
I hope Glasgow stays close.

Bet 1: Under 44.0 @1.80
Bet 2: Glasgow +5.5 @1.80

Tricky games alright
Should have stayed away

Laraxwell wrote: Tricky games alright
Should have stayed away

Me too. Knew it the instant I laid my bet

Taken early doors:

Otago v Southland -10.5
Aukland v Northland -26.5
North Harbour v County Manakau (No Kieran Reed) -15.5
1 unit each at Sunbet.

And 2 units All Blacks -14.5
I'm thinking they'll slaughter the Wallabies again, and I expect to be supplementing this bet at higher H/C as week goes on.

Looks like I am going against the crowd here but I am with Sharks +0.5 @1.90 with a massive hammer. Cheetahs away for me can’t be trusted especially against Sharks physical type of play.

Under 58.5 in Auckland - Northland at 9/10

Double of under 53.5 in Southland - Otago X under 55.5 in Manawatu - Taranki at 11/10

I cannot wait for Betting stig post.he always has interesting lines. Cheers

Todays early double :
NZ -10,5 / Stormers -10,5 - what ever the price might be.

]Todays early double :
NZ -10,5 / Stormers -10,5 - what ever the price might be.[/quote]

I like the changes made by Ian Foster. me think that the new guys will bring new energy to the game.Still not convinced of the fly half selection for the Wallabies.

Southland v Otago -
Invercargill, 7pm with Pickerill reffing.
That’s unders all day.
Would be surprised if either team makes it to 20 points.

Sharks v Cheetahs -
Dirtbin, 7pm regardless of who is reffing, going Unders.

going Sharks outright @ 10/11

Under 47.5pts sneaks in @ Southland v Otago
Pts u/o seems way to go in this competition

Picking a horse is another thing - few would have gone for a convincing Southland win

I understand Oracle's apathy toward this competition

Southland v Otago unders just arrives, thanks to many missed kicks from the 10s.

Tomorrow- thinking Unders on Canterbury points, and smaller play on total unders, can’t see Canterbury scoring more than 14-17 points.

Pro14

Connacht x Ulster @ 2.10 on Skybet

bradie82 wrote: Pro14

Connacht x Ulster @ 2.10 on Skybet

Was eyeing up a treble with these 2 and Leinster, but Dragons v Connacht has been postponed
Covid rife in Dragons camp

Canterbury +13.5

Weather looking grim in Nelson and Cantabs weakness lies in their backs. I fancy the the loose trio of Prinsep, Billy Harmon and Tom Christie to keep it tight.

Sharks v Cheetahs - easy unders lands.

Money in the Bank with the Sharks but I have the feeling I wasted 80min of my life watching that match ... Imaging both teams against NZ franchises it’s even better in Mitre at the moment. Cheetahs handed that one over to Sharks, butchering 2-3 easy tries but this was painful and ugly to watch

Nice start to weekend on Sharks outright. Great call on unders in the newsletter, thought we may break the record for lowest scoring game at one point.

Aus v NZ - got a hunch on a better Aus start. I may still get involved in NZ minus cap, but for now -

Aus over 7.5 1st half points @ 17/20

Tasman -12.5 at 9/10 and Tasman over 26.5 points at 0.89/1.

Shouldn't rain in Blenheim

hanrick wrote: Tasman -12.5 at 9/10 and Tasman over 26.5 points at 0.89/1.

Shouldn't rain in Blenheim

Following you here.